April 29, 2010 - Ohio Senate, Governor Races Remain Tight, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Obama Still Under Water

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Democrats have small leads for governor and U.S. Senator in Ohio, while President Barack Obama's job approval remains stuck in the mid 40s, and the new health care legislation is decidedly unpopular, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Gov. Ted Strickland leads Republican John Kasich 44 - 38 percent, statistically unchanged from the 43 - 38 percent lead he held in the March 31 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

In the U.S. Senate race, Democratic Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher gets 40 percent to Republican Rob Portman's 37 percent while Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner edges Portman 40 - 36 percent. Fisher and Brunner meet May 4 in a primary to determine who will face Portman in November.

President Obama's job approval is underwater in Ohio, considered by many to be the nation's bellwether state, with 45 percent approving of his job performance and 50 percent disapproving. That's compared to 47 percent approve, 48 percent disappove March 31.

Ohio voters disapprove 38 - 55 percent of the health care overhaul Obama signed into law last month. But these voters say 44 - 40 percent that Obama, rather than congressional Republicans, does a better job handling health care.

"Ohio is upholding its reputation as a battleground state. Democrats seem to have a slight edge in the key races, but those leads are small and have gone back and forth in recent months. As has historically been the key in Ohio elections, the undecided vote - many of whom are independents - could well hold the balance of power come November," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "

"Although Gov. Ted Strickland remains ahead, there are a couple of numbers that might be of some concern to his re-election committee," Brown added. "Only 37 percent of voters say he has kept his campaign promises and the race remains close even though 62 percent of voters don't know enough about Kasich to have an opinion of him.

"The Senate numbers reflect the same level of voter unfamiliarity with the candidates, which means that race has a long, long way to go once the Democratic nomination is settled."

Obama's approval rating reflects continued disillusionment with him among independents, who disapprove of his job performance 55 - 38 percent, while Democrats approve 82 - 15 percent and Republicans disapprove 85 - 12 percent. Obama's approval rating in Ohio has been 45 percent plus or minus two percent since November.

"The President's approval has remained in the mid-40s percentage range for six months. His numbers aren't great, but they are not awful either. It's worth remembering that George W. Bush won re-election in 2004 with those kinds of numbers," Brown said.

Both of Ohio's U.S. senators have positive job approval ratings. Democrat Sherrod Brown has a 45 - 31 percent score, and Republican George Voinovich, who is retiring and whose seat is up for grabs this November, gets a 47 - 35 percent score.

From April 21 - 26, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,568 registered Ohio voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Florida, Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

2. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Ted Strickland the Democrat and John Kasich the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Strickland           44%     9%    83%    33%    41%    45%    30%
Kasich               38     76     10     38     42     34     56
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      2      2      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      1      1      -      -
DK/NA                17     14      6     26     14     19     13
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
Strickland           43%    46%    41%    54%    43%    37%    43%
Kasich               42     35     33     29     38     45     37
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      5      -      2      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      -      -      1      -      -
DK/NA                14     18     21     16     16     17     19
 
TREND: If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Ted Strickland the Democrat and John Kasich the Republican, for whom would you vote? (Data available upon request back to Feb 2009)
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 11  Sep 15  Jul 3   May 6
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009
Strickland           44      43      44      40      46      43      51
Kasich               38      38      39      40      36      38      32
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       1       1       2       2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -       1       2       1       1       1       1
DK/NA                17      17      15      18      15      16      16
 
 
3. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Lee Fisher the Democrat and Rob Portman the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Fisher               40%     7%    79%    31%    37%    43%    32%
Portman              37     80      7     35     42     33     48
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      2      1      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -      -      2      1      -      1
DK/NA                21     13     13     30     19     23     19
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
Fisher               44%    46%    39%    29%    28%    39%    47%
Portman              40     31     31     30     51     44     32
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      4      -      2      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      -      -      1      2      -
DK/NA                15     22     26     41     18     15     20
 
TREND: If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Lee Fisher the Democrat and Rob Portman the Republican, for whom would you vote? (Data available upon request back to Feb 2009)
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 24  Nov 12  Sep 16  Jul 7   May 6
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009
Fisher               40      41      37      36      42      37      42
Portman              37      37      40      39      31      33      31
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       -       -       1       2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1       1       2       1       1       2       -
DK/NA                21      21      21      24      26      26      26
 
 
4. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Jennifer Brunner the Democrat and Rob Portman the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Brunner              40%     7%    77%    32%    39%    42%    25%
Portman              36     79      6     34     40     33     49
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      2      1      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      -      2      2      1      2      2
DK/NA                21     14     15     29     19     23     24
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
Brunner              46%    44%    31%    37%    31%    38%    44%
Portman              35     30     33     32     50     44     31
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      3      -      2      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      2      2      -      1      2      1
DK/NA                18     23     30     31     16     16     23
 
TREND: If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Jennifer Brunner the Democrat and Rob Portman the Republican, for whom would you vote? (Data available upon request back to Feb 2009)
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 24  Nov 12  Sep 16  Jul 7   May 6
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009
Brunner              40      38      35      34      39      35      40
Portman              36      37      40      38      34      34      32
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       -       -       1       1       -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       1       2       1       1       1       -
DK/NA                21      23      23      27      25      29      27
 
 
5. Is your opinion of - Ted Strickland favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Favorable            45%    23%    71%    37%    42%    47%    33%
Unfavorable          32     54     11     38     37     29     48
Hvn't hrd enough     20     18     17     21     18     21     17
REFUSED               3      5      1      4      3      4      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Ted Strickland favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 11  Sep 15  Feb 5   Nov 11
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009
Favorable            45      46      45      38      43      60      38
Unfavorable          32      35      36      37      34      19      37
Hvn't hrd enough     20      16      16      23      20      17      23
REFUSED               3       3       2       2       3       3       2
 
 
6. Is your opinion of - John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Favorable            27%    49%    15%    22%    32%    22%    36%
Unfavorable          10      4     17      8     11      9      6
Hvn't hrd enough     62     47     67     68     56     68     57
REFUSED               1      -      1      2      1      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 11  Sep 15  Apr 29  Dec 10
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009    2010    2008
Favorable            27      24      26      23      22      27      18
Unfavorable          10      10      10       7      10      10       8
Hvn't hrd enough     62      64      62      69      68      62      73
REFUSED               1       1       1       1       -       1       1
 
 
7. Is your opinion of - Lee Fisher favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Favorable            27%    11%    47%    21%    26%    28%    20%
Unfavorable          13     25      4     12     16     10     17
Hvn't hrd enough     59     61     48     66     56     60     61
REFUSED               2      2      1      1      2      2      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Lee Fisher favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 24  Nov 12  Sep 16  May 6   Dec 10
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2008
Favorable            27      27      26      25      33      37      23
Unfavorable          13      13      12      15      13      13      10
Hvn't hrd enough     59      60      61      58      54      48      66
REFUSED               2       1       1       2       1       1       1
 
 
8. Is your opinion of - Jennifer Brunner favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Favorable            25%     9%    41%    22%    23%    27%    15%
Unfavorable          14     23      4     15     17     11     17
Hvn't hrd enough     60     64     55     62     58     61     66
REFUSED               1      3      -      2      2      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Jennifer Brunner favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 24  Nov 12  Sep 16  Feb 4   Nov 12
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009
Favorable            25      21      21      20      27      34      20
Unfavorable          14      12      12      18      14      10      18
Hvn't hrd enough     60      65      66      61      58      55      61
REFUSED               1       1       1       1       1       1       1
 
 
9. Is your opinion of - Rob Portman favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Favorable            25%    51%     9%    22%    30%    22%    31%
Unfavorable           8      1     15      8      9      7      4
Hvn't hrd enough     65     47     75     69     60     70     64
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Rob Portman favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (*High also 25% Mar 2010, Feb 2010 & Mar 2009)
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 24  Nov 12  Sep 16  Apr 29  Dec 10
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009    2010*   2008
Favorable            25      25      25      22      20      25      12
Unfavorable           8       8       7       7       7       8       7
Hvn't hrd enough     65      66      66      70      72      65      80
REFUSED               1       1       1       1       1       1       1
 
 
10. Is your opinion of - the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Favorable            36%    80%    10%    32%    35%    37%    50%
Unfavorable          44     12     72     41     47     41     33
Hvn't hrd enough     16      5     16     20     13     18     11
REFUSED               5      3      2      7      5      4      5
 
TREND: Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 24
                     2010    2010    2010
Favorable            36      37      37
Unfavorable          44      45      46
Hvn't hrd enough     16      14      13
REFUSED               5       5       3
 
 
11. Is your opinion of - the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Favorable            42%     6%    85%    30%    40%    44%    28%
Unfavorable          43     87      7     45     48     38     58
Hvn't hrd enough     11      4      6     19      7     14      9
REFUSED               4      3      2      6      4      3      4
 
TREND: Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 24
                     2010    2010    2010
Favorable            42      41      38
Unfavorable          43      45      50
Hvn't hrd enough     11       9      10
REFUSED               4       4       3
 
 
12. Is your opinion of - the Tea Party movement favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Favorable            38%    65%    16%    40%    43%    33%    49%
Unfavorable          28     13     48     22     31     26     16
Hvn't hrd enough     32     21     35     37     25     39     33
REFUSED               1      1      2      1      1      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 24
                     2010    2010    2010
Favorable            38      35      32
Unfavorable          28      29      23
Hvn't hrd enough     32      35      43
REFUSED               1       1       2
 
 
13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling his job as Governor?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Approve              47%    22%    75%    41%    46%    47%    35%
Disapprove           38     64     13     44     43     35     51
DK/NA                15     14     12     14     11     18     14
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
Approve              49%    48%    48%    51%    46%    38%    53%
Disapprove           39     37     39     32     37     45     37
DK/NA                12     15     13     17     17     17     10
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling his job as Governor? (*Low app also 45% Feb 2007)
                                                     APPROVE.......  DIS...
                                                     High    Low     High
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 11  Feb 5   Nov 11  Nov 11
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009    2009*   2009
Approve              47      49      48      45      63      45      45
Disapprove           38      40      40      43      25      43      43
DK/NA                15      11      12      12      12      12      12
 
 
14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Approve              45%    26%    68%    39%    43%    46%    38%
Disapprove           31     47     13     37     38     24     36
DK/NA                24     27     19     25     18     29     27
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
Approve              46%    50%    40%    37%    37%    45%    55%
Disapprove           30     31     42     14     30     33     27
DK/NA                24     20     17     49     33     23     18
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                     APPROVE.......  DIS....
                                                     High    Low     High
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 24  Nov 11  May 6   Jul 7   Sep 15
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009
Approve              45      45      43      46      52      41      48
Disapprove           31      30      30      31      24      29      33
DK/NA                24      25      26      23      24      30      20
 
 
15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Voinovich is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Approve              47%    43%    60%    41%    44%    50%    54%
Disapprove           35     38     28     40     41     30     31
DK/NA                18     19     12     19     15     20     14
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
Approve              48%    51%    49%    45%    39%    42%    52%
Disapprove           38     34     40     27     36     34     33
DK/NA                13     15     11     28     25     24     15
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Voinovich is handling his job as United States Senator? (*High also 55% Feb 2009 / **Disapprove high also 36% Nov 2009)
                                                     APPROVE.......  DIS....
                                                     High    Low     High
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 24  Nov 11  May 6   Dec 13  Mar 31
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009*   2006    2010**
Approve              47      46      51      47      55      41      46
Disapprove           35      36      32      36      30      33      36
DK/NA                18      18      17      17      15      26      18
 
 
16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Approve              35%    28%    49%    29%    33%    36%    32%
Disapprove           47     55     32     55     49     44     48
DK/NA                19     17     19     16     17     20     19
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
Approve              37%    33%    32%    35%    37%    37%    40%
Disapprove           47     47     53     39     43     46     47
DK/NA                16     20     15     26     20     17     13
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 11  Sep 15  Dec 10  Dec 12
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009    2008    2006
Approve              35      34      31      33      33      46      25
Disapprove           47      46      51      47      48      35      55
DK/NA                19      20      19      20      19      19      20
 
 
17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Lee Fisher is handling his job as Ohio's Lieutenant Governor?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Approve              42%    21%    66%    37%    42%    42%    37%
Disapprove           27     44     13     28     31     24     32
DK/NA                30     34     21     35     27     34     31
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
Approve              47%    45%    35%    34%    42%    36%    49%
Disapprove           30     27     25     24     24     32     22
DK/NA                23     28     40     42     34     32     29
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Lee Fisher is handling his job as Ohio's Lieutenant Governor?
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 24  Nov 12  Sep 16  Jul 7   May 6
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009
Approve              42      43      39      39      44      39      49
Disapprove           27      23      22      23      21      24      17
DK/NA                30      35      39      37      35      38      33
 
 
18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jennifer Brunner is handling her job as Ohio's Secretary of State?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Approve              42%    21%    65%    39%    42%    43%    31%
Disapprove           27     48      8     29     31     23     33
DK/NA                31     32     27     33     27     34     36
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
Approve              43%    45%    34%    49%    42%    37%    47%
Disapprove           34     21     27     18     25     37     22
DK/NA                23     33     38     33     33     27     31
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jennifer Brunner is handling her job as Ohio's Secretary of State?
                                                             APPROVE......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 24  Nov 12  Sep 16  May 6   Feb 24
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2010
Approve              42      42      36      38      41      45      36
Disapprove           27      23      25      25      23      20      25
DK/NA                31      34      39      37      36      34      39
 
 
19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Approve              45%    12%    82%    38%    43%    47%    27%
Disapprove           50     85     15     55     54     47     69
DK/NA                 5      2      3      7      4      6      4
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 12  Sep 16  Feb 6   Feb 23
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2010
Approve              45      47      44      45      53      67      44
Disapprove           50      48      52      50      42      16      52
DK/NA                 5       5       5       5       5      17       5
 
 
20. Do you think Barack Obama has been a better President than George W. Bush, worse, or about the same as President Bush?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Better               44%    10%    80%    38%    41%    46%    23%
Worse                34     69      4     37     36     32     54
About the same       19     18     16     22     20     19     21
DK/NA                 3      3      1      4      3      3      2
 
TREND: Do you think Barack Obama has been a better President than George W. Bush, worse, or about the same as President Bush?
                     Apr 29  Mar 31
                     2010    2010
Better               44      45
Worse                34      32
About the same       19      20
DK/NA                 3       3
 
 
21. Would you like to see the next United States Senator elected from Ohio generally support Barack Obama's policies or oppose Barack Obama's policies?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Support              45%    11%    84%    36%    42%    48%    26%
Oppose               48     84     10     55     53     44     67
DK/NA                 7      4      5      9      6      8      7
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
Support              47%    50%    43%    36%    40%    39%    52%
Oppose               46     43     50     54     55     53     43
DK/NA                 6      7      7     10      5      8      6
 
TREND: Would you like to see the next United States Senator elected from Ohio generally support Barack Obama's policies or oppose Barack Obama's policies?
                     Apr 29  Mar 31
                     2010    2010
Support              45      44
Oppose               48      46
DK/NA                 7      10
 
 
22. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Ohio today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Very satisfied        3%     2%     7%     2%     3%     3%     2%
Smwht satisfied      38     23     55     32     36     40     32
Smwht dissatisfied   30     37     25     33     33     28     31
Very dissatisfied    28     37     13     33     28     28     34
DK/NA                 1      1      1      -      -      1      1
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
Very satisfied        2%     3%     2%     4%     8%     1%     4%
Smwht satisfied      44     36     37     44     36     35     42
Smwht dissatisfied   27     31     31     29     30     35     29
Very dissatisfied    26     30     28     22     26     28     25
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      1      1      1
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Ohio today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? (*Low also 32% Mar 2009)
                                                             VERY+SMWHT SAT
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 11  Sep 15  Mar 21  Feb 23
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009    2007    2010*
Very satisfied        3       3       2       3       2       5       2
Smwht satisfied      38      35      30      32      37      49      30
Smwht dissatisfied   30      35      36      37      35      28      36
Very dissatisfied    28      26      32      27      25      16      32
DK/NA                 1       1       1       1       1       1       1
 
 
23. Do you think that Ted Strickland has kept his campaign promises so far or not?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Yes                  37%    22%    59%    28%    34%    39%    30%
No                   41     56     24     46     43     39     48
DK/NA                22     22     16     27     23     22     22
 
TREND: Do you think that Ted Strickland has kept his campaign promises so far or not?
                                                             YES..........
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 11  Sep 15  Aug 14  Nov 11
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009    2008    2009
Yes                  37      36      34      32      37      47      32
No                   41      41      45      43      40      31      43
DK/NA                22      24      21      25      23      22      25
 
 
24. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling the economy?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Approve              36%    17%    59%    31%    36%    36%    29%
Disapprove           53     75     30     59     54     53     60
DK/NA                11      8     11     10     10     11     11
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling the economy? (*Low also 33% Sep 2009 & Jul 2009)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 11  Sep 15  Feb 5   Nov 11
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009*
Approve              36      35      35      33      33      44      33
Disapprove           53      52      53      52      54      37      52
DK/NA                11      13      12      15      12      19      15
 
 
25. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Approve              42%    11%    78%    33%    39%    45%    24%
Disapprove           55     88     19     63     59     52     74
DK/NA                 3      1      3      3      2      3      2
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 12  Sep 16  Feb 6   Feb 23
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2010
Approve              42      40      39      42      48      58      39
Disapprove           55      54      57      53      46      21      57
DK/NA                 3       6       4       5       6      21       4
 
 
26. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling the state budget?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Approve              36%    17%    59%    31%    38%    35%    30%
Disapprove           48     69     29     50     49     47     52
DK/NA                16     14     12     19     13     18     18
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling the state budget? (*Low also 32% Jul 2009)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 23  Sep 15  Jul 3   Feb 5   Feb 23
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2010*
Approve              36      37      32      36      32      48      32
Disapprove           48      47      51      47      53      30      51
DK/NA                16      16      17      17      15      21      17
 
 
27. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job rebuilding Ohio's economy - Ted Strickland or John Kasich?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Strickland           39%    11%    71%    29%    39%    38%    28%
Kasich               41     72     14     45     45     37     54
NO DIFF(VOL)          2      2      2      2      2      3      2
DK/NA                18     14     13     23     14     22     16
 
TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job rebuilding Ohio's economy - Ted Strickland or John Kasich?
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 12
                     2010    2010    2010    2009
Strickland           39      38      35      33
Kasich               41      38      41      41
NO DIFF(VOL)          2       2       2       -
DK/NA                18      22      22      27
 
 
28. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling Ohio's state budget - Ted Strickland or John Kasich?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Strickland           39%    11%    71%    30%    40%    39%    30%
Kasich               40     70     14     44     43     37     54
NO DIFF(VOL)          2      2      1      2      2      3      1
DK/NA                19     16     13     24     15     21     15
 
TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling Ohio's state budget - Ted Strickland or John Kasich?
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 12
                     2010    2010    2010    2009
Strickland           39      38      36      34
Kasich               40      39      42      42
NO DIFF(VOL)          2       2       1       -
DK/NA                19      21      21      25
 
 
29. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you trust more to do in office what they say they will do during the campaign - Ted Strickland or John Kasich?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Strickland           41%    15%    74%    30%    38%    43%    29%
Kasich               35     64     12     36     39     32     50
NO DIFF(VOL)          7      5      4      8      7      6      4
DK/NA                18     15     11     26     16     19     16
 
TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you trust more to do in office what they say they will do during the campaign - Ted Strickland or John Kasich?
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 23
                     2010    2010    2010
Strickland           41      40      35
Kasich               35      35      36
NO DIFF(VOL)          7       5       6
DK/NA                18      20      22
 
 
30. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you believe most shares your values - Ted Strickland or John Kasich?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Strickland           42%    17%    75%    33%    40%    44%    31%
Kasich               36     67     12     36     41     31     53
NO DIFF(VOL)          3      3      2      3      2      3      1
DK/NA                19     13     11     28     16     22     14
 
TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you believe most shares your values, Ted Strickland or John Kasich?
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 23
                     2010    2010    2010
Strickland           42      42      40
Kasich               36      34      36
NO DIFF(VOL)          3       2       3
DK/NA                19      22      21
 
 
31. Currently, Democrats control the Ohio House and Republicans control the Ohio Senate. After the 2010 election would you prefer that the Democrats control both houses of the legislature, the Republicans control both houses of the legislature, or would you prefer that control is split as it is today?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Democrats            23%     -     54%    12%    20%    27%    13%
Republicans          24     59      1     19     27     21     38
Split                48     38     42     61     49     47     46
DK/NA                 5      4      2      7      4      6      3
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
Democrats            23%    28%    18%    20%    20%    20%    26%
Republicans          24     21     22     10     26     34     17
Split                48     48     51     67     43     41     55
DK/NA                 4      3      8      4     11      5      1
 
TREND: Currently, Democrats control the Ohio House and Republicans control the Ohio Senate. After the 2010 election would you prefer that the Democrats control both houses of the legislature, the Republicans control both houses of the legislature, or would you prefer that control is split as it is today?
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 11
                     2010    2010    2010    2009
Democrats            23      24      22      19
Republicans          24      23      21      22
Split                48      50      51      52
DK/NA                 5       4       7       6
 
 
37. Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Right thing          48%    69%    32%    47%    57%    39%    54%
Shld not be inv      45     23     63     45     38     51     41
DK/NA                 7      8      5      8      4      9      5
 
TREND: Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now?
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 12
                     2010    2010    2010    2009
Right thing          48      50      55      48
Shouldn't be inv     45      43      39      43
DK/NA                 7       7       6       9
 
 
38. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - health care?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Approve              39%     9%    73%    31%    36%    41%    21%
Disapprove           55     89     19     61     59     51     73
DK/NA                 7      2      8      9      5      8      6
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling health care?
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 12  Sep 16
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009
Approve              39      41      34      36      44
Disapprove           55      51      58      57      45
DK/NA                 7       8       7       6      10
 
 
39. Who do you trust to do a better job handling health care - President Obama or the Republicans in Congress?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Pres Obama           44%    10%    82%    36%    41%    47%    24%
Reps in Cong         40     78     10     40     43     37     59
DK/NA                16     12      8     24     17     16     16
 
TREND: Who do you trust to do a better job handling health care - President Obama or the Republicans in Congress?
                     Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 12  Sep 16
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009
President Obama      44      45      40      40      49
Reps in Congress     40      39      37      40      28
DK/NA                16      16      23      21      23
 
 
40. Do you approve or disapprove of the federal health care overhaul?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Approve              38%    11%    72%    28%    35%    40%    21%
Disapprove           55     85     21     63     59     51     72
DK/NA                 7      4      7      9      6      9      7
 
 
41. If your member of Congress voted for the health care overhaul just passed by Congress, would that make you more likely to vote for him or her in November, less likely, or not make a difference?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
More likely          22%     6%    43%    16%    23%    22%    12%
Less likely          39     71      7     45     43     35     56
No diff              36     21     47     35     33     38     27
DK/NA                 3      3      3      3      1      5      5
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
More likely          26%    22%    17%    20%    24%    19%    25%
Less likely          35     35     44     46     44     44     35
No diff              35     40     37     30     28     33     37
DK/NA                 3      3      2      4      4      4      4
 
 
42. If you agreed with a candidate for Congress on other issues, but disagreed on the health care overhaul, do you think you could still vote for that candidate or not?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Yes                  49%    32%    64%    50%    52%    47%    40%
No                   37     56     21     39     38     36     48
DK/NA                14     12     15     12     10     17     13
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
Yes                  47%    51%    44%    55%    46%    50%    53%
No                   40     35     37     34     43     36     33
DK/NA                14     14     19     12     11     13     14
 
TREND: If you agreed with a candidate for Congress on other issues, but completely disagreed on the health care overhaul, do you think you could still vote for that candidate or not? (*disagreed on the issue of health care reform)
                     Apr 29  Mar 31
                     2010    2010
Yes                  49      46
No                   37      43
DK/NA                14      11
 
 
43. Attorneys general from several states have said they will sue to block the recently passed health care overhaul plan. Do you think filing a lawsuit to stop the plan from taking effect is a good idea or a bad idea?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Good idea            41%    67%    14%    46%    46%    37%    56%
Bad idea             52     25     82     47     50     55     36
DK/NA                 6      8      4      7      5      8      8
 
TREND: Attorneys general from several states have said they will sue to block the recently passed healthcare overhaul plan. Do you think filing a lawsuit to stop the plan from taking effect is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Apr 29  Mar 31
                     2010    2010
Good idea            41      39
Bad idea             52      54
DK/NA                 6       7