January 20, 2011 - Brown, Obama Deserve Reelection, Ohio Voters Tell Quinnipiac University Poll; Boehner Cries Tears Of Strength, More Voters Say

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Ohio voters say 45 - 30 percent that Sen. Sherrod Brown deserves to be re-elected in 2012, while they say the same thing about President Barack Obama by a narrow 48 - 44 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Ohioans have a 27 - 18 percent favorable opinion of John Boehner, the speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives and a member of the state's congressional delegation, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Boehner's tendency to cry in public is a sign of strength rather than weakness, voters say 36 - 27 percent, with 37 percent undecided.

In a big gender split, women see strength in Boehner's tears 44 - 20 percent, while men see weakness 34 - 27 percent.

"Sen. Sherrod Brown starts off his 2012 re-election campaign in decent but not overwhelming shape," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "He'd like to be above the magic 50 percent threshold, but he is within hailing distance. President Barack Obama is in a slightly weaker position than Sen. Brown when it comes to carrying Ohio, perhaps the nation's premier swing state, in the 2012 election."

Ohio voters give President Obama a 49 - 46 percent job approval rating, reversing a negative 45 - 49 percent approval rating the last time Quinnipiac University surveyed Ohio registered voters June 30. By 44 - 39 percent they said they would vote for him rather than an unnamed Republican in 2012.

Democrats say Obama deserves re-election 84 - 10 percent. He does not deserve a term, Republicans say 83 - 7 percent and independent voters say 51 - 40 percent.

Sen. Brown has a 45 - 25 approval rating, similar to the 46 - 29 percent he received in June. In a matchup against an unnamed Republican he would win 45 - 33 percent. Democrats back Brown 84 - 4 percent while Republicans back an unnamed GOP candidate 75 - 6 percent. Independent voters split with 35 percent for Brown and 32 percent for a Republican.

"Given the shellacking Democrats took in the November election both here in Ohio and around the country, both Sen. Brown and President Obama begin their 2012 campaigns in reasonably good shape," said Brown.

Asked to rate both men ideologically, 37 percent of voters say Obama is too liberal and 7 percent say he is too conservative, while 46 percent say he is "about right." Among these same Ohio voters, 26 percent say Brown is too liberal, while 6 percent say he is too conservative and 44 percent say he is "about right."

Ohio voters say 53 - 16 percent that Obama and Brown generally share the same views. There is little difference in perception on that question among Republicans, Democrats or independent voters.

As speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives, Boehner is one of the most powerful people in the nation and third in line to succeed the president, but more than half of Ohio voters, 52 percent, say they don't know enough about him to have an opinion.

"That's not hugely surprising since even in their own states members of Congress are not very well known outside their own districts," said Brown.

On other matters, Ohio voters are increasingly turning against the war in Afghanistan with 54 percent now saying America should not be involved there compared to 38 percent who see it as the right thing to do. When Quinnipiac University asked that question in June, voters split with 46 percent supporting the war and 48 percent opposed.

Voters also split on the health care reform bill, with 46 percent who want it repealed and 44 percent who want to keep the measure.

Newly-elected U.S. Sen. Rob Portman gets a 34 - 16 percent approval in his first month.

From January 12 - 17, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,299 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rob Portman is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Approve              34%    49%    24%    33%    34%    33%    44%
Disapprove           16      6     26     12     19     13      7
DK/NA                51     45     50     56     47     54     49
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
 
Approve              30     30     42     36     49     27     29
Disapprove           21     17      9     22     14      7     18
DK/NA                49     54     48     42     37     66     54
 
 
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as Senator?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Approve              45%    29%    56%    46%    45%    45%    37%
Disapprove           25     37     15     25     28     22     28
DK/NA                30     34     28     29     27     33     35
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
 
Approve              48     48     45     39     38     40     47
Disapprove           23     27     25     13     25     25     24
DK/NA                29     25     30     48     37     34     29
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                     APPROVE....... DIS....
                                                     High   Low     High
                     Jan 20  Jun 30  Apr 29  Mar 31  May 06 Jul 07  Sep 15
                     2011    2010    2010    2010    2009   2009    2009
 
Approve              45      46      45      45      52     41      48
Disapprove           25      29      31      30      24     29      33
DK/NA                30      25      24      25      24     30      20
 
 
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Approve              49%    14%    81%    41%    47%    52%    30%
Disapprove           46     81     15     53     49     43     67
DK/NA                 5      5      4      6      4      5      4
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
 
Approve              51     51     53     41     44     48     54
Disapprove           42     44     43     51     54     47     41
DK/NA                 7      5      4      7      1      4      5
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jan 20  Jun 30  Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 23  Feb 06  Feb 23
                     2011    2010    2010    2010    2010    2009    2010
 
Approve              49      45      45      47      44      67      44
Disapprove           46      49      50      48      52      16      52
DK/NA                 5       6       5       5       5      17       5
 
 
7. Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President... If the 2012 election for President were being held today, do you think you would vote for Barack Obama the Democratic candidate, or the Republican candidate?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Obama                44%     2%    83%    34%    41%    46%    22%
Republican           39     87      5     41     40     39     62
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 11      9      8     15     12     11     11
DK/NA                 6      3      4      9      7      4      5
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
 
Obama                46     47     44     41     37     39     50
Republican           40     34     35     47     48     45     32
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 11     12     16      4      8     12     14
DK/NA                 3      7      4      7      7      5      4
 
 
8. Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President, do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Yes/Deserves
 reelection          48%     7%    84%    40%    47%    50%    25%
No/Does not          44     83     10     51     46     42     66
DK/NA                 8     10      6      9      7      8      9
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
 
Yes/Deserves
 reelection          50     53     50     47     35     43     53
No/Does not          41     39     41     50     58     48     38
DK/NA                 9      7      9      3      7      9      8
 
 
9. Looking ahead to the 2012 election for United States Senator... If the 2012 election for United States Senator were being held today, do you think you would vote for Sherrod Brown the Democratic candidate, or the Republican candidate?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Brown                45%     6%    84%    35%    44%    47%    26%
Republican           33     75      4     32     36     30     50
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL)  8      7      3     12      7      8     10
DK/NA                14     11      9     20     13     15     14
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
 
Brown                44     53     38     40     38     37     52
Republican           29     31     27     37     43     36     25
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL)  7      6     18      3      7      9     10
DK/NA                20     10     17     19     12     17     12
 
 
9. Looking ahead to the 2012 election for U.S. Senate do you feel that Sherrod Brown deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Yes/Deserves
 reelection          45%    16%    71%    42%    47%    44%    32%
No/Does not          30     54     11     30     34     26     32
DK/NA                25     30     18     28     19     30     36
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
 
Yes/Deserves
 reelection          45     51     46     41     35     38     51
No/Does not          26     30     25     33     33     32     22
DK/NA                29     19     29     26     32     30     26
 
 
10. Do you think Barack Obama is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Liberal              37%    73%     8%    44%    40%    36%    60%
Conservative          7      6      8      6     10      4      3
About right          46     10     78     42     42     51     28
DK/NA                 9     11      6      8      8     10      9
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
 
Liberal              34     35     31     34     46     48     38
Conservative          7      8      5      5     11      2      8
About right          52     49     53     48     34     38     50
DK/NA                 8      8     11     13      9     12      5
 
TREND: Do you think Barack Obama is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
                     Jan 20  May 01
                     2011    2008
 
Too liberal          37      35
Too conservative      7       5
About right          46      48
DK/NA                 9      12
 
 
11. Do you think Sherrod Brown is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Liberal              26%    42%    10%    28%    30%    21%    33%
Conservative          6      4      9      4      8      5      3
About right          44     21     62     44     41     46     35
DK/NA                24     33     18     23     20     28     29
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
 
Liberal              25     25     20     25     27     31     21
Conservative          7      6      5      7     12      1      6
About right          46     46     53     44     36     37     52
DK/NA                22     23     21     25     25     31     21
 
 
12. Do you think Sherrod Brown generally shares the views of Barack Obama on major issues or not?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Yes                  53%    55%    53%    52%    58%    48%    54%
No                   16     12     18     17     18     15     10
DK/NA                31     33     30     31     24     37     37
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
 
Yes                  55     53     45     56     50     58     54
No                   19     19     20      7     13      7     16
DK/NA                26     28     35     36     37     35     30
 
 
13. Is your opinion of John Boehner favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Favorable            27%    54%     6%    30%    30%    24%    39%
Unfavorable          18      2     33     17     21     16      8
Hvn't hrd enough     52     43     59     50     47     58     49
REFUSED               2      1      2      4      2      2      4
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
 
Favorable            29     18     15     27     41     48     28
Unfavorable          18     16     23      6     26     22     26
Hvn't hrd enough     51     63     60     67     33     27     46
REFUSED               2      3      3      -      -      4      1
 
 
14. As you may know, John Boehner, the Speaker of the US House of Representatives, often cries in public. Do you think that is a sign of strength or weakness?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Strength             36%    45%    27%    41%    27%    44%    45%
Weakness             27     17     39     21     34     20     20
DK/NA                37     38     34     39     40     35     36
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
 
Strength             33     34     30     44     34     51     33
Weakness             29     28     29     23     31     15     26
DK/NA                38     38     41     33     35     34     40
 
 
27. Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Right thing          38%    62%    25%    34%    42%    35%    48%
Shld'nt be involved  54     30     68     59     50     57     43
DK/NA                 8      8      8      7      8      8      8
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
 
Right thing          33     35     30     41     49     49     39
Shld'nt be involved  58     57     62     56     44     44     51
DK/NA                 9      9      8      3      7      7     10
 
TREND: Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now?
                     Jan 20  Jun 30  Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 12
                     2011    2010    2010    2010    2010    2009
 
Right thing          38      46      48      50      55      48
Shouldn't be inv     54      48      45      43      39      43
DK/NA                 8       6       7       7       6       9
 
 
28. Do you think Congress should try to repeal the new health care law, or should they let it stand?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Repeal               46%    76%    18%    52%    48%    43%    61%
Let it stand         44     15     72     36     44     44     28
DK/NA                11      9     10     12      8     13     11
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
 
Repeal               40     44     46     48     47     55     46
Let it stand         48     46     42     35     45     34     45
DK/NA                12     10     12     18      8     11      9