March 24, 2011 - Ohio Voters Divided On Second Term For Obama, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; But Voters Like Him More Than Gov. Kasich

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Ohio voters are split 45 - 46 percent on whether President Barack Obama deserves a second term, but they favor him over an unnamed Republican 2012 challenger 41 - 34 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

President Obama has a split 47 - 48 percent job approval rating, compared to 49 - 46 percent in a January 20 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

Sen. Sherrod Brown, who also faces re-election in 2012, is in better shape with Ohio registered voters, who prefer Brown over an unnamed GOP challenger 45 - 29 percent. Voters also say 45 - 30 percent that he deserves a second term in the U.S. Senate.

"There is little change in President Barack Obama's approval rating in Ohio, which historically has been among the most important swing states in presidential elections, as he's hovering about where he was during most of 2010," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "The small lead over an unnamed Republican and the split verdict on whether he deserves another term indicate that, as has been the case in most presidential elections over recent decades, Ohio will be closely contested.

"It is also clear that despite misgivings about his policies, President Obama remains personally popular with Ohioans," said Brown. Given four choices to describe their feelings about Obama:
  • 43 percent like him personally and like his policies;
  • 30 percent like him personally but not his policies;
  • 1 percent like his policies but not him;
  • 21 percent don't like him or his policies.
Taken together, 73 percent of voters like Obama, but only 44 percent like his policies.

By comparison, when voters are given the same choices about Gov. John Kasich, only 43 percent like him personally, 30 percentage points less than say that about Obama, while 33 percent like his policies, 11 percentage points less than the president.

The breakdown is:
  • 26 percent like Kasich personally and like his policies;
  • 17 percent like him personally but not his policies;
  • 7 percent like his policies but not him;
  • 34 percent don't like him or his policies.
Democrats approve of Obama's job performance 82 - 15 percent, while disapproval is 86 - 11 percent among Republicans and 50 - 42 percent among independent voters. Women approve 51 - 43 percent while men disapprove 53 - 44 percent.

Democrats would give Obama a second term 81 - 12 percent. Voting against him are Republicans 85 - 9 percent and independent voters 49 - 40 percent. Women say yes 51 - 41 percent, but men say no 50 - 39 percent.

Sen. Brown gets a 43 - 27 percent job approval rating with 30 percent not sure. Approval is 59 - 17 percent among Democrats and 42 - 27 percent among independent voters. Republicans disapprove 39 - 30 percent with 31 percent undecided.

"Sen. Brown is in decent shape heading into 2012. While he doesn't have large numbers of voters massed against him, his re-elect number, 45 percent, is short of the 50 percent threshold that generally signals an incumbent's likely re-election," Brown said.

First-term Sen. Rob Portman has a 30 - 25 percent approval rating with 45 percent undecided.

From March 15 - 21, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,384 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rob Portman is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Approve              30%    53%    16%    28%    34%    27%    36%
Disapprove           25      8     36     28     24     25     15
DK/NA                45     39     47     44     42     48     49
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
 
Approve              23%    27%    29%    26%    53%    30%    22%
Disapprove           25     24     26     28     21     28     25
DK/NA                52     49     45     46     26     42     53
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rob Portman is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Mar 24  Jan 20
                     2011    2011
 
Approve              30      34
Disapprove           25      16
DK/NA                45      51
 
 
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Approve              43%    30%    59%    42%    43%    44%    37%
Disapprove           27     39     17     27     30     25     26
DK/NA                30     31     24     31     28     31     37
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
 
Approve              43%    46%    46%    36%    40%    41%    44%
Disapprove           28     26     23     32     27     29     24
DK/NA                29     28     31     33     33     31     33
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                     APPROVE....... DIS....
                                                     High   Low     High
                     Mar 24  Jan 20  Jun 30  Apr 29  May 06 Jul 07  Sep 15
                     2011    2011    2010    2010    2009   2009    2009
                             
Approve              43      45      46      45      52     41      48
Disapprove           27      25      29      31      24     29      33
DK/NA                30      30      25      24      24     30      20
 
 
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Approve              47%    11%    82%    42%    44%    51%    32%
Disapprove           48     86     15     50     53     43     63
DK/NA                 5      3      3      8      4      6      5
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
 
Approve              51%    47%    48%    49%    39%    49%    48%
Disapprove           42     47     47     49     58     49     46
DK/NA                 7      6      5      1      3      3      6
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 24  Jan 20  Jun 30  Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 06  Feb 23
                     2011    2011    2010    2010    2010    2009    2010
 
Approve              47      49      45      45      47      67      44
Disapprove           48      46      49      50      48      16      52
DK/NA                 5       5       6       5       5      17       5
 
 
5. Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President... If the 2012 election for President were being held today, do you think you would vote for Barack Obama, the Democratic candidate, or the Republican candidate?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Obama                41%     4%    80%    32%    35%    46%    24%
Republican           34     76      7     34     36     33     50
DEPENDS(VOL)         16     15      8     22     18     14     18
DK/NA                 9      5      5     12     11      7      7
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
 
Obama                43%    43%    38%    51%    32%    35%    47%
Republican           34     31     38     32     43     34     29
DEPENDS(VOL)         14     16     12     11     21     19     14
DK/NA                 9      9     12      6      4     12     10
 
TREND: Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President... If the 2012 election for President were being held today, do you think you would vote for Barack Obama, the Democratic candidate, or the Republican candidate?
                     Mar 24  Jan 20
                     2011    2011
 
Obama                41      44
Republican           34      39
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 16      11
DK/NA                 9       6
 
 
6. Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President... Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Yes/Deserves         45%     9%    81%    40%    39%    51%    29%
No/Does not          46     85     12     49     50     41     62
DK/NA                 9      7      7     11     10      8      9
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
 
Yes/Deserves         50%    46%    45%    49%    36%    46%    50%
No/Does not          41     45     50     44     54     45     42
DK/NA                 9      9      4      8     10      9      9
 
TREND: Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President, do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Mar 24  Jan 20
                     2011    2011
 
Yes/Deserves
 reelection          45      48
No/Does not          46      44
DK/NA                 9       8
 
 
7. Looking ahead to the 2012 election for United States Senator... If the 2012 election for United States Senator were being held today, do you think you would vote for Sherrod Brown, the Democratic candidate, or the Republican candidate?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Brown                45%     9%    83%    37%    41%    48%    31%
Republican           29     71      5     23     34     25     41
DEPENDS(VOL)         10     12      5     15     10     11     12
DK/NA                16      9      8     24     15     16     17
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
 
Brown                46%    50%    46%    54%    36%    31%    54%
Republican           27     27     36     24     32     34     22
DEPENDS(VOL)         10      9      5      5     13     16      7
DK/NA                17     14     13     16     19     18     17
 
TREND: Looking ahead to the 2012 election for United States Senator... If the 2012 election for United States Senator were being held today, do you think you would vote for Sherrod Brown, the Democratic candidate, or the Republican candidate?
                     Mar 24  Jan 20
                     2011    2011
 
Brown                45      45
Republican           29      33
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 10       8
DK/NA                16      14
 
 
8. Looking ahead to the 2012 election for United States Senator... Do you feel that Sherrod Brown deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Yes/Deserves         45%    19%    73%    40%    43%    47%    38%
No/Does not          30     54     10     31     34     26     32
DK/NA                25     28     17     29     23     27     29
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
 
Yes/Deserves         43%    50%    50%    39%    35%    40%    54%
No/Does not          35     28     27     31     31     29     20
DK/NA                22     22     23     30     34     31     26
 
TREND: Looking ahead to the 2012 election for U.S. Senate do you feel that Sherrod Brown deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Mar 24  Jan 20
                     2011    2011
Yes/Deserves
 reelection          45      45
No/Does not          30      30
DK/NA                25      25
 
 
9. Which one of the following statements comes closest to the way you feel about Barack Obama - A) I like Barack Obama as a person and I also like most of his policies B) I like Barack Obama as a person but I don't like most of his policies C) I don't like Barack Obama as a person but I DO like most of his policies D) I don't like Barack Obama as a person and I also don't like most of his policies.
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Person/Policies      43%     6%    80%    38%    39%    48%    28%
Person/Not policies  30     45     12     36     35     26     37
Policies/Not person   1      1      1      1      1      1      1
Not Pol/Not person   21     43      4     20     22     19     31
DK/NA                 5      5      3      5      3      6      2
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
 
Person/Policies      46%    42%    41%    51%    37%    49%    47%
Person/Not policies  27     31     34     21     36     28     30
Policies/Not person   1      2      2      -      -      1      1
Not Pol/Not person   20     21     20     24     23     17     19
DK/NA                 5      5      4      3      4      5      4
 
 
10. Which one of the following statements comes closest to the way you feel about John Kasich - A) I like John Kasich as a person and I also like most of his policies B) I like John Kasich as a person but I don't like most of his policies C) I don't like John Kasich as a person but I DO like most of his policies D) I don't like John Kasich as a person and I also don't like most of his policies.
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Person/Policies      26%    52%    12%    20%    30%    23%    32%
Person/Not policies  17     11     22     16     16     17     18
Policies/Not person   7      9      4     10     10      5      4
Not Pol/Not person   34     11     50     37     32     37     28
DK/NA                15     17     12     17     12     18     19
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
 
Person/Policies      21%    24%    34%    22%    35%    27%    17%
Person/Not policies  17     18     12     29     16     11     18
Policies/Not person  12      5     11      2      6      7      2
Not Pol/Not person   37     35     30     27     31     38     49
DK/NA                13     17     13     20     12     16     14