January 18, 2012 - Romney Takes The Lead In GOP Presidential Pack In Ohio, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Obama Approval Still Sags As He Ties Romney

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A nine-point jump combined with the collapse of former House Speaker Newt Gingrich gives former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney the lead over the Republican field in the race for Ohio's Republican presidential primary, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. In the general election, Romney has 42 percent to President Barack Obama's 44 percent in the race for the state's crucial Electoral College votes.

Ohio voters give President Obama 51 - 44 percent thumbs down on his job performance and say 51 - 45 percent he does not deserve a second term in the Oval Office, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

Romney leads in the Republican presidential primary with 27 percent, followed by former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum with 18 percent, Gingrich with 17 percent, down from 36 percent December 8, Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul with 10 percent and Texas Gov. Rick Perry with 4 percent.

"Gov. Mitt Romney is comfortably ahead of the Republican field," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "If he continues to win primaries elsewhere, that margin will likely increase by the time the voting comes to Ohio on March 6. But if he should lose his momentum - and some primaries - then that lead might not be safe."

The last time Quinnipiac University surveyed Ohio Republicans on December 8, Gingrich held a 36 - 18 percent lead over Romney with Paul at 7 percent, Perry at 4 percent and Santorum at 2 percent.

Among Republicans, 43 percent say Gingrich is the best qualified when it comes to foreign affairs, with Romney second at 16 percent. Gingrich has the right kind of knowledge and experience to be president, 38 percent of Republicans say, as 25 percent point to Romney.

Romney is best able to handle the economy, 36 percent of Republicans say, with 19 percent for Gingrich. Romney is a strong leader, 32 percent say, with 31 percent for Gingrich.

"GOP voters think highly of Gingrich, but are much less likely to back his candidacy," said Brown.

The Obama - Romney virtual tie in the general election is in line with previous Quinnipiac University polls. In five surveys since July, the two men have swapped the lead back and forth with four points being the largest margin between them.

In today's survey, Obama holds leads of 48 - 37 percent over Santorum, 48 - 39 percent over Paul and 52 - 38 percent over Gingrich.

Romney beats Obama 89 - 5 percent among Republicans and the two men tie among independent voters 39 - 40 percent. The president carries Democrats 87 - 7 percent. Romney gets 45 percent of men to Obama's 42 percent. Women back Obama 47 - 38 percent.

"With Ohio being perhaps the most important single state in the country when it comes to the Electoral College math, all indications are that if Romney is the Republican nominee it will be a very, very close contest," said Brown. "The president's problem is getting back the voters who voted for him in 2008 but went for John Kasich for governor in 2010. His main obstacle may be that voters say 48 - 42 percent that Romney is better able to fix the economy."

The biggest problems demographically for the president are among white voters, where only 38 percent say he deserves re-election.

Ohio voters don't have a very good opinion of any of the candidates, giving Romney a split 36 - 34 percent favorability. Scores for other candidates are:
  • Obama: 48 - 47 percent;
  • Santorum: 25 - 25 percent;
  • Paul: Negative 28 - 33 percent;
  • Gingrich: Negative 26 - 51 percent.
From January 9 - 16, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,610 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Republican primary includes 542 voters with a margin of error of +/- 4.2 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.


1. (If Registered Republican)If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, and Jon Huntsman, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED REPUBLICANS....................................
                                                        WhtBrnAgnEv   TEA PARTY
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No     Yes    No
 
Perry                 4%     4%     3%     4%     4%     5%     2%     5%     3%
Gingrich             17     20     13     19     10     18     15     23     14
Romney               27     26     28     24     33     25     30     22     29
Santorum             18     16     22     23      7     24     17     25     15
Paul                 10     13      6     11      7      7     10     12      8
Huntsman              2      5      -      2      3      1      3      -      3
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      1      1      1      1      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      2      1      4      2      1      1      2
DK/NA                20     15     25     15     32     18     20     12     24
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-49  50-64  65+    <30K  30-50  50-100 >100
 
Perry                 2%     4%     2%     4%     4%     5%     5%     1%     4%
Gingrich             16     17     13     21     16     13     20     22     11
Romney               30     25     27     22     34     26     33     23     32
Santorum             20     18     10     24     19     13     14     22     20
Paul                  8     10     16      9      3     13     10     13      4
Huntsman              6      1      4      3      1      -      -      3      8
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      1      3      -      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      2      2      2      1      -      3      1      1
DK/NA                16     22     27     13     21     25     15     15     19
 
TREND: (If Registered Republican) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, and Jon Huntsman, for whom would you vote? (na=not asked, 2011 wording referenced "2012 election")
                     REGISTERED REPUBLICANS........................
                     Jan 18  Dec 08  Nov 10  Oct 26  Sep 28  Jul 21
                     2012    2011    2011    2011    2011    2011
                             
Perry                 4       4       4       4      20       8
Gingrich             17      36      11       7       4       4
Romney               27      18      20      23      24      16
Santorum             18       2       1       1       4       2
Paul                 10       7       9       8       6       5
Huntsman              2       1       2       2       1       1
Bachmann             na       5       4       4       3      11
Cain                 na       7      25      28       7       6
McCotter             na      na      na      na      na       -
Palin                na      na      na      na       9      15
Pawlenty             na      na      na      na      na       3
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       2       1       2       1      na
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       2       2       2       1      na
DK/NA                20      15      20      18      21      28
 
 
1a. (If voting for Huntsman q1) Who is your second choice? (*q1 Recalculated primary vote without Huntsman using second choice question)
                     REGISTERED REPUBLICANS WITHOUT HUNTSMAN...................
                                                        WhtBrnAgnEv   TEA PARTY
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No     Yes    No
 
Perry                 4%     4%     3%     4%     4%     5%     2%     5%     3%
Gingrich             17     21     13     19     10     18     16     23     15
Romney               28     28     28     25     34     25     33     22     31
Santorum             19     17     22     24      7     24     17     25     16
Paul                 10     13      6     11      8      7     10     12      9
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      1      1      1      1      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      2      1      4      2      1      1      2
DK/NA                20     15     25     15     33     18     20     12     24
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-49  50-64  65+    <30K  30-50  50-100 >100
 
Perry                 2%     4%     2%     4%     4%     5%     5%     1%     4%
Gingrich             17     17     13     22     16     13     20     22     12
Romney               33     25     28     24     35     27     33     24     37
Santorum             22     18     11     24     19     13     14     22     22
Paul                  9     11     16      9      3     13     10     14      4
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      1      3      -      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      2      2      2      1      -      3      1      1
DK/NA                16     22     27     14     21     25     15     16     19
 
 
2. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                44%     5%    87%    40%    42%    47%    39%    89%
Romney               42     89      7     39     45     38     47      3
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      2      -      6      4      2      3      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      1      4      2      3      3      -
DK/NA                 8      3      5     11      6     10      8      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-49  50-64  65+    <30K  30-50  50-100 >100
 
Obama                47%    43%    46%    46%    40%    50%    44%    41%    41%
Romney               43     41     38     41     50     32     47     45     52
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      3      3      3      1      3      2      3      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      3      4      2      3      5      -      4      1
DK/NA                 5     10      9      8      7     10      6      7      4
 
                     WHITE................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                 BrnAgnEv      Military
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     HsHolds
 
Obama                45%    36%    30%    40%    22%    41%    37%
Romney               46     47     57     49     62     47     48
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      3      2      2      3      2      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      4      3      3      3      4      2
DK/NA                 4     10      8      6     10      7     10
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election")
                     Jan 18  Dec 08  Nov 10  Oct 26  Sep 28  Jul 21
                     2012    2011    2011    2011    2011    2011
                             
Obama                44      42      45      45      44      45
Romney               42      43      42      41      42      41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3       4       3       2       2       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       4       3       3       3       3
DK/NA                 8       8       7       9       9       9
 
 
3. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Rick Santorum the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                48%     9%    90%    43%    47%    48%    42%    90%
Santorum             37     83      2     34     39     35     42      2
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      1      1      5      3      2      3      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      1      2      6      4      3      4      -
DK/NA                 9      5      5     12      7     12      9      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-49  50-64  65+    <30K  30-50  50-100 >100
 
Obama                54%    45%    53%    46%    40%    52%    49%    46%    47%
Santorum             38     37     30     40     46     27     40     43     45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      3      3      3      2      3      3      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      4      5      2      3      5      3      3      2
DK/NA                 4     11      9      9      9     13      6      7      4
 
                     WHITE................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                 BrnAgnEv      Military
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     HsHolds
 
Obama                51%    37%    32%    43%    25%    43%    39%
Santorum             40     43     53     41     58     41     45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      3      2      3      3      1      4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      5      4      4      2      5      3
DK/NA                 4     12     10      9     12      9      9
 
 
4. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Ron Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
                                                                       
Obama                48%    10%    87%    43%    42%    54%    40%    92%
Paul                 39     76      7     40     46     32     46      2
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      4      3      1      2      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      5      2      7      4      5      5      1
DK/NA                 6      8      3      6      5      8      7      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-49  50-64  65+    <30K  30-50  50-100 >100
 
Obama                49%    48%    51%    49%    39%    57%    42%    43%    50%
Paul                 42     38     39     37     43     29     48     47     38
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      3      1      3      4      2      4      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      4      5      4      5      5      1      6      6
DK/NA                 5      7      4      7      9      7      5      4      5
 
                     WHITE................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                 BrnAgnEv      Military
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     HsHolds
 
Obama                46%    38%    30%    41%    25%    40%    41%
Paul                 45     46     52     43     56     46     45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      3      2      3      4      2      4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      5      5      7      5      6      3
DK/NA                 5      8     10      7     10      6      6
 
 
5. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Newt Gingrich the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
                                                                       
Obama                52%    10%    90%    49%    48%    55%    44%    94%
Gingrich             38     83      4     35     41     34     44      1
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      1      -      6      5      1      3      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      1      1      5      2      4      4      -
DK/NA                 5      5      4      4      4      7      5      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-49  50-64  65+    <30K  30-50  50-100 >100
 
Obama                54%    51%    58%    49%    41%    58%    47%    52%    52%
Gingrich             40     37     29     43     47     29     41     41     44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      3      3      3      2      3      5      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      4      5      -      3      4      2      2      1
DK/NA                 3      6      5      4      7      6      6      3      2
 
                     WHITE................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                 BrnAgnEv      Military
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     HsHolds
 
Obama                51%    41%    34%    42%    25%    45%    42%
Gingrich             43     45     56     45     62     44     48
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      4      2      2      2      3      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      5      2      3      2      4      1
DK/NA                 3      6      6      7      8      4      7
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Newt Gingrich the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election")
                     Jan 18  Dec 08  Nov 10
                     2012    2011    2011
                             
Obama                52      42      49
Gingrich             38      43      37
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3       3       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       4       4
DK/NA                 5       7       7
 
 
6. Is your opinion of - Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            25%    52%     7%    23%    29%    22%    28%     9%
Unfavorable          25      6     42     24     28     22     24     27
Hvn't hrd enough     48     41     50     51     42     54     46     61
REFUSED               2      1      1      1      1      2      2      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-49  50-64  65+    <30K  30-50  50-100 >100
 
Favorable            29%    24%    17%    30%    32%    17%    26%    28%    35%
Unfavorable          38     20     28     24     22     23     20     29     35
Hvn't hrd enough     32     55     54     44     44     57     53     41     29
REFUSED               2      2      1      2      2      2      1      2      1
 
                     WHITE................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                 BrnAgnEv      Military
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     HsHolds
 
Favorable            31%    27%    35%    33%    38%    30%    31%
Unfavorable          38     18     15     22     12     23     25
Hvn't hrd enough     29     54     49     42     49     46     43
REFUSED               2      2      1      3      1      2      1
 
 
7. Is your opinion of - Ron Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            28%    34%    17%    33%    35%    22%    31%    11%
Unfavorable          33     34     42     27     35     31     33     33
Hvn't hrd enough     36     31     40     38     27     45     34     53
REFUSED               2      2      2      1      2      2      2      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-49  50-64  65+    <30K  30-50  50-100 >100
 
Favorable            32%    27%    34%    27%    19%    25%    32%    35%    26%
Unfavorable          43     29     24     40     41     25     28     38     50
Hvn't hrd enough     24     42     40     30     37     47     39     25     24
REFUSED               2      3      2      2      3      3      1      2      -
 
                     WHITE................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                 BrnAgnEv      Military
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     HsHolds
 
Favorable            34%    30%    29%    29%    30%    30%    25%
Unfavorable          41     29     32     36     29     35     39
Hvn't hrd enough     23     39     37     32     38     33     32
REFUSED               2      2      2      3      3      2      3
 
 
8. Is your opinion of - Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            26%    55%     8%    23%    30%    23%    29%     9%
Unfavorable          51     26     73     50     51     50     50     51
Hvn't hrd enough     20     16     18     25     17     23     18     37
REFUSED               3      3      1      3      2      4      3      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-49  50-64  65+    <30K  30-50  50-100 >100
 
Favorable            29%    25%    21%    28%    33%    20%    26%    34%    27%
Unfavorable          61     46     49     55     48     48     52     52     62
Hvn't hrd enough      8     25     28     13     17     30     20     11      9
REFUSED               2      3      2      3      2      3      2      2      2
 
                     WHITE................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                 BrnAgnEv      Military
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     HsHolds
 
Favorable            31%    28%    33%    31%    37%    30%    34%
Unfavorable          59     46     44     48     40     50     46
Hvn't hrd enough      8     23     20     17     21     17     18
REFUSED               2      3      3      3      3      2      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jan 18  Dec 08  Nov 10  Jan 30
                     2012    2011    2011    2007
                             
Favorable            26      32      28      24
Unfavorable          51      38      44      50
Hvn't hrd enough     20      29      26      24
REFUSED               3       1       2       2
 
 
9. Is your opinion of - Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            36%    63%    20%    33%    41%    31%    39%    17%
Unfavorable          34     15     51     32     35     33     33     41
Hvn't hrd enough     26     18     27     32     20     32     25     36
REFUSED               4      3      2      3      4      4      3      7
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-49  50-64  65+    <30K  30-50  50-100 >100
 
Favorable            45%    32%    33%    36%    43%    25%    41%    43%    49%
Unfavorable          38     32     32     38     30     35     31     38     33
Hvn't hrd enough     14     32     32     22     22     36     27     15     16
REFUSED               3      4      3      4      4      4      2      4      2
 
                     WHITE................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                 BrnAgnEv      Military
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     HsHolds
 
Favorable            47%    35%    42%    47%    44%    41%    38%
Unfavorable          36     31     27     28     27     31     34
Hvn't hrd enough     14     30     27     22     26     25     23
REFUSED               2      4      3      4      3      3      5
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (*High also 36% Nov 2011)
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Jan 18  Dec 08  Nov 10  Dec 05  Oct 10  Jan 18  Jan 30
                     2012    2011    2011    2007    2007    2012*   2007
                                                                     
Favorable            36      32      36      24      19      36       9
Unfavorable          34      28      31      23      22      34      10
Hvn't hrd enough     26      38      32      51      57      26      80
REFUSED               4       2       2       3       1       4       1
 
 
10. Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            48%     8%    88%    45%    45%    51%    42%    92%
Unfavorable          47     89      8     50     51     44     54      3
Hvn't hrd enough      2      2      2      3      2      3      2      2
REFUSED               2      1      2      2      2      3      2      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-49  50-64  65+    <30K  30-50  50-100 >100
 
Favorable            52%    46%    53%    47%    41%    53%    46%    45%    49%
Unfavorable          45     48     43     49     52     42     49     52     48
Hvn't hrd enough      2      3      2      2      2      2      4      2      -
REFUSED               1      3      1      3      4      3      1      1      2
 
                     WHITE................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                 BrnAgnEv      Military
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     HsHolds
 
Favorable            48%    39%    33%    41%    26%    43%    39%
Unfavorable          49     56     64     51     69     52     55
Hvn't hrd enough      2      2      2      4      3      3      2
REFUSED               1      3      2      4      2      3      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Jan 18  Dec 08  Nov 10  May 22  May 1   Jan 18  Jan 30
                     2012    2011    2011    2008    2008    2012    2007
                                                                     
Favorable            48      42      47      44      44      48      35
Unfavorable          47      52      46      38      37      47      12
Hvn't hrd enough      2       3       4      16      15       2      52
REFUSED               2       3       2       3       4       2       1
 
 
11. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More                 29%    39%    24%    26%    32%    26%    28%    33%
Less                 22     19     22     23     20     23     24      6
About the same       49     42     53     49     48     50     48     60
DK/NA                 1      1      -      1      1      1      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-49  50-64  65+    <30K  30-50  50-100 >100
 
More                 28%    29%    26%    29%    34%    30%    30%    28%    28%
Less                 23     21     22     21     23     21     22     22     24
About the same       48     49     51     50     42     48     47     50     48
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      1      1      1      -      -
 
                     WHITE................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                 BrnAgnEv      Military
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     HsHolds
 
More                 27%    28%    29%    29%    31%    27%    34%
Less                 24     24     26     22     23     24     21
About the same       48     47     45     49     46     48     43
DK/NA                 -      1      -      1      -      1      2
 
TREND: Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election")
                     Jan 18  Dec 08  Nov 10  Oct 26  Sep 28
                     2012    2011    2011    2011    2011
                             
More                 29      26      25      25      31
Less                 22      22      23      23      23
About the same       49      51      51      51      46
DK/NA                 1       1       1       1       -
 
 
19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              44%     8%    83%    41%    42%    46%    38%    90%
Disapprove           51     91     15     53     55     48     57      6
DK/NA                 5      1      3      7      4      6      5      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-49  50-64  65+    <30K  30-50  50-100 >100
 
Approve              47%    43%    46%    45%    40%    48%    45%    41%    45%
Disapprove           51     51     49     51     55     44     52     57     52
DK/NA                 2      6      5      4      5      7      3      2      3
 
                     WHITE................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                 BrnAgnEv      Military
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     HsHolds
 
Approve              44%    35%    29%    39%    24%    39%    35%
Disapprove           54     59     67     53     72     55     59
DK/NA                 2      6      4      8      4      6      6
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jan 18  Dec 08  Nov 10  Oct 26  Sep 28  Feb 06  Dec 08  
                     2012    2011    2011    2011    2011    2009    2011    
                                                                             
Approve              44      41      44      43      42      67      41      
Disapprove           51      55      50      51      53      16      55      
DK/NA                 5       4       6       6       4      17       4      
                             
 
20. (If Registered Republican) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling - the economy: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, or Jon Huntsman?
                     REGISTERED REPUBLICANS....................................
                                                        WhtBrnAgnEv   TEA PARTY
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No     Yes    No
 
Perry                 4%     4%     5%     4%     4%     5%     3%     4%     4%
Gingrich             19     21     17     18     19     21     16     21     18
Romney               36     36     36     35     37     30     45     30     40
Santorum             11      8     15     14      4     19      8     15      9
Paul                 16     20     11     18     12     11     17     25     11
Huntsman              3      4      2      2      4      2      2      -      4
DK/NA                11      8     15      8     19     13      9      5     14
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-49  50-64  65+    <30K  30-50  50-100 >100
 
Perry                 4%     4%     4%     6%     3%     7%     5%     2%     2%
Gingrich             15     20     12     23     19     13     21     22     16
Romney               45     32     34     30     49     36     40     28     52
Santorum             10     12      7     15     10     11     10     14      8
Paul                 15     16     20     19      5     16     15     19     12
Huntsman              3      2      3      1      4      2      -      3      4
DK/NA                 7     13     19      6     10     15      9     13      6
 
TREND: (If Registered Republican) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling the economy: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, or Jon Huntsman? (na=not asked)
                     REGISTERED REPUBLICANS
                     Jan 18  Dec 08
                     2012    2011
                             
Perry                 4       5
Gingrich             19      31 
Romney               36      24 
Santorum             11       2 
Paul                 16       9 
Huntsman              3       1
Bachmann             na       4  
Cain                 na      10 
DK/NA                11      14 
 
 
21. (If Registered Republican) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling - foreign policy: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, or Jon Huntsman?
                     REGISTERED REPUBLICANS....................................
                                                        WhtBrnAgnEv   TEA PARTY
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No     Yes    No
 
Perry                 3%     4%     3%     3%     5%     2%     2%     2%     3%
Gingrich             43     44     42     47     32     45     46     50     40
Romney               16     14     19     14     20     18     17     13     17
Santorum             11     10     11     13      5     10     10     16      8
Paul                  7     11      3      9      3      6      6     10      6
Huntsman              5      7      2      4      8      2      6      2      6
DK/NA                15     10     21     11     27     17     13      6     20
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-49  50-64  65+    <30K  30-50  50-100 >100
 
Perry                 2%     4%     3%     3%     3%    10%     1%     -      5%
Gingrich             49     40     42     43     43     36     48     45     44
Romney               19     15     15     14     22     16     19     17     17
Santorum             11     10      8     14      8      9      9      9     16
Paul                  4      9     12      4      6      8      8     12      1
Huntsman              8      3      3      6      5      3      4      3      9
DK/NA                 7     19     16     15     14     19     12     13      7
 
TREND: (If Registered Republican) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling foreign policy: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, or Jon Huntsman? (na=not asked)
                     REGISTERED REPUBLICANS
                     Jan 18  Dec 08
                     2012    2011
                             
Perry                 3       2
Gingrich             43      51 
Romney               16      11 
Santorum             11       2 
Paul                  7       4 
Huntsman              5       3 
Bachmann             na       3 
Cain                 na       3 
DK/NA                15      19 
 
 
22. (If Registered Republican) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling - immigration issues: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, or Jon Huntsman?
                     REGISTERED REPUBLICANS....................................
                                                        WhtBrnAgnEv   TEA PARTY
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No     Yes    No
 
Perry                12%    15%     9%    14%     9%    12%    14%    14%    11%
Gingrich             23     23     23     25     18     25     23     30     20
Romney               18     17     18     14     24     16     22     11     21
Santorum             17     16     18     21      6     22     15     22     14
Paul                 10     13      6     11      8      8      9     13      8
Huntsman              3      6      -      3      2      1      3      2      4
DK/NA                18     11     25     12     33     17     15      9     22
 
                     REGISTERED REPUBLICANS....................................
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-49  50-64  65+    <30K  30-50  50-100 >100
 
Perry                 9%    13%     9%    14%    13%    15%    16%     7%    10%
Gingrich             23     23     24     23     24     19     24     27     24
Romney               20     17     20     14     21     20     20     17     19
Santorum             19     15      9     23     14     13     12     21     18
Paul                  9     10     13     11      3     10     10     11     12
Huntsman              6      2      7      1      2      1      1      6      4
DK/NA                13     20     19     14     22     23     17     12     14
 
TREND: (If Registered Republican) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling immigration issues: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, or Jon Huntsman? (na=not asked)
                     REGISTERED REPUBLICANS
                     Jan 18  Dec 08
                     2012    2011
                             
Perry                12      13
Gingrich             23      27 
Romney               18      11 
Santorum             17       4 
Paul                 10       8 
Huntsman              3       1 
Bachmann             na       9 
Cain                 na       6 
DK/NA                18      21 
 
 
23. (If Registered Republican) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think is best described as - having the knowledge and experience necessary to be a good president: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, or Jon Huntsman?
                     REGISTERED REPUBLICANS....................................
                                                        WhtBrnAgnEv   TEA PARTY
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No     Yes    No
 
Perry                 2%     3%     1%     2%     3%     2%     2%     3%     2%
Gingrich             38     40     35     42     26     40     38     48     33
Romney               25     22     29     22     34     21     30     18     29
Santorum             14     11     17     15      9     17     10     15     13
Paul                  7     10      4      9      3      6      6     10      6
Huntsman              2      4      -      2      4      1      2      -      3
DK/NA                11      9     14      8     20     14     10      6     14
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-49  50-64  65+    <30K  30-50  50-100 >100
 
Perry                 2%     3%     4%     2%     1%     5%     1%     1%     3%
Gingrich             39     37     33     39     42     33     43     44     35
Romney               33     21     24     24     28     22     28     22     33
Santorum             10     15      7     19     13     13     13     11     10
Paul                  4      9     13      4      3     13      5      9      5
Huntsman              6      1      3      2      1      -      1      2      6
DK/NA                 6     14     15      9     12     14      9     11      8
 
TREND: (If Registered Republican) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think is best described as having the knowledge and experience necessary to be a good president: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, or Jon Huntsman? (na=not asked)
                     REGISTERED REPUBLICANS
                     Jan 18  Dec 08
                     2012    2011
                             
Perry                 2       3
Gingrich             38      54 
Romney               25      20 
Santorum             14       1 
Paul                  7       5 
Huntsman              2       - 
Bachmann             na       3 
Cain                 na       2 
DK/NA                11      11 
 
 
24. (If Registered Republican) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think is best described as - being a strong leader: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, or Jon Huntsman?
                     REGISTERED REPUBLICANS....................................
                                                        WhtBrnAgnEv   TEA PARTY
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No     Yes    No
 
Perry                 4%     5%     4%     4%     6%     4%     4%     7%     3%
Gingrich             31     33     28     32     29     35     29     38     28
Romney               32     29     35     30     38     26     39     22     36
Santorum             12      8     17     15      6     17      9     16     10
Paul                  8     11      3      8      5      6      7     10      6
Huntsman              2      3      -      2      2      1      2      -      3
DK/NA                11     10     12      9     15     11     10      6     14
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-49  50-64  65+    <30K  30-50  50-100 >100
 
Perry                 4%     4%     4%     5%     4%     8%     2%     2%     5%
Gingrich             26     33     28     31     34     34     36     33     24
Romney               42     27     28     29     40     26     36     26     40
Santorum             10     13      9     17     10     13      9     15     11
Paul                  5      9     11      7      3     13      7      8      4
Huntsman              4      1      2      2      2      1      -      2      6
DK/NA                 9     12     17      9      7      5     10     13     10
 
TREND: (If Registered Republican) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think is best described as being a strong leader: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, or Jon Huntsman? (na=not asked)
                     REGISTERED REPUBLICANS
                     Jan 18  Dec 08
                     2012    2011
                             
Perry                 4       6
Gingrich             31      44 
Romney               32      20 
Santorum             12       2 
Paul                  8       4 
Huntsman              2       - 
Bachmann             na       4 
Cain                 na       8 
DK/NA                11      12 
 
 
25. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or - Mitt Romney?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                42%     5%    80%    38%    38%    45%    36%    86%
Romney               48     91     12     49     54     42     53     10
DK/NA                10      4      8     13      8     13     11      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-49  50-64  65+    <30K  30-50  50-100 >100
 
Obama                42%    42%    43%    44%    37%    49%    43%    36%    38%
Romney               50     47     47     46     53     38     49     56     57
DK/NA                 8     11     10     10     10     13      9      8      5
 
                     WHITE................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                 BrnAgnEv      Military
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     HsHolds
 
Obama                39%    34%    25%    38%    21%    35%    35%
Romney               53     53     63     55     66     55     54
DK/NA                 8     12     12      7     12      9     11
 
TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     Jan 18  Dec 08  Nov 10
                     2012    2011    2011
                             
Obama                42      39      43
Romney               48      47      45
DK/NA                10      13      12
 
 
26. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or - Rick Santorum?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                46%     9%    85%    44%    45%    47%    41%    89%
Santorum             39     80      6     39     44     35     44      5
DK/NA                14     11      9     17     11     17     15      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-49  50-64  65+    <30K  30-50  50-100 >100
 
Obama                50%    45%    53%    44%    39%    51%    46%    44%    47%
Santorum             40     39     33     42     46     32     39     45     45
DK/NA                10     16     14     13     15     17     15     11      7
 
                     WHITE................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                 BrnAgnEv      Military
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     HsHolds
 
Obama                47%    37%    31%    39%    24%    42%    38%
Santorum             42     45     53     46     57     44     50
DK/NA                10     18     16     15     19     14     13
 
 
28. Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes/Deserves         45%     6%    85%    42%    41%    48%    38%    93%
No/Does not          51     92     11     54     55     47     57      5
DK/NA                 5      2      4      4      4      5      5      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-49  50-64  65+    <30K  30-50  50-100 >100
 
Yes/Deserves         48%    44%    48%    45%    39%    51%    45%    42%    41%
No/Does not          50     51     48     51     56     42     52     55     56
DK/NA                 2      6      4      4      5      6      3      3      2
 
                     WHITE................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                 BrnAgnEv      Military
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     HsHolds
 
Yes/Deserves         45%    35%    28%    38%    21%    40%    37%
No/Does not          53     59     68     55     73     55     59
DK/NA                 2      6      4      7      6      5      4
 
TREND: Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                                                             DESERVES......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jan 18  Dec 08  Nov 10  Oct 26  Sep 28  Jan 20  Dec 08  
                     2012    2011    2011    2011    2011    2011    2011    
                                                                             
Yes/Deserves         45      42      46      44      43      48      42      
No/Does not          51      53      48      49      51      44      53      
DK/NA                 5       5       6       7       6       8       5
 

Demographic Summary