March 29, 2012 - Brown Is 10 Points Up In Ohio Senate Race Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Women Back Democrat By 17 Points

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With a commanding lead among women, Ohio U.S. Sen. Sherrod Brown, the Democratic incumbent, leads Republican challenger Josh Mandel 46 - 36 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to a 48 - 35 percent Brown lead in a February 15 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

In today's survey, the Democrat leads 48 - 31 percent among women while men are tied with 43 percent for Brown and 42 percent for Mandel. Independent voters go with the Democrat 46 - 28 percent.

"Sen. Sherrod Brown retains his double-digit lead in the Ohio U.S. Senate race. As is the case with President Barack Obama's lead in the White House race, the Democratic margin is made up almost completely of the votes of women," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "At this point, Josh Mandel is not very well known and he can take some solace in the fact that Brown is not over the magic 50 percent threshold. There are seven months until Election Day, but Mandel needs to show some signs of life if he is going to make the Senate race competitive."

From March 20 - 26, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,246 Ohio voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

8a. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Sherrod Brown the Democrat and Josh Mandel the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk


Brown 46% 6% 84% 46% 43% 48% 43% 73% Mandel 36 82 4 28 42 31 40 8 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 1 - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 3 4 3 2 2 6 DK/NA 14 10 8 21 11 18 15 12

WHITE............................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold

Brown 47% 41% 39% 43% 40% 45% 30% 49% 45% Mandel 43 39 47 38 46 35 51 34 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 - - 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 1 2 3 2 1 3 4 DK/NA 8 17 12 17 10 19 17 12 8

COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-49 50-64 65+

Brown 49% 45% 49% 45% 47% 46% 48% 45% 44% Mandel 39 35 27 37 43 43 31 39 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - - - 1 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 4 2 2 1 4 3 - DK/NA 9 17 19 15 8 8 16 12 12



TREND: If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Sherrod Brown the Democrat and Josh Mandel the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election")

                     Mar 29  Feb 15  Jan 19  Oct 26  Sep 28  Jul 21  May 19
                     2012    2012    2012    2011    2011    2011    2011


Brown 46 48 47 49 49 49 45 Mandel 36 35 32 34 36 34 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 1 1 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 2 1 2 1 DK/NA 14 14 18 14 13 14 21




Demographic Summary