December 11, 2012 - Ohio Voters Give Gov. Kasich First Positive Score, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; But There Is Little Support For Four More Years

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Ohio Gov. John Kasich has a 42 - 35 percent job approval, the first time since his inauguration in 2011 that registered voters have given him a thumbs-up rating, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Gov. Kasich seems to be benefitting from high levels of satisfaction among Ohio voters with life in the Buckeye State.

But the governor does not deserve a second term, voters tell the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll by an almost identical 43 - 36 percent margin. All voters say 44 - 37 percent that another Republican should challenge the governor for the 2014 nomination. By 45 - 41 percent, self-described Republicans say no other Republican should challenge Kasich.

By a 40 - 34 percent margin, Ohio voters have a favorable opinion of Kasich, while 24 percent haven't heard enough about him to form an opinion. Former Gov. Ted Strickland gets a 41 - 29 percent favorability, with 29 percent who haven't heard enough.

Among other possible 2014 candidates for governor, Richard Cordray of the U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, Cuyahoga County Executive Ed Fitzgerald and U.S. Rep. Tim Ryan, the "don't know enough" scores range from 70 percent to 84 percent.

"Things are looking better for Gov. John Kasich," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "But it is not all blue skies as Gov. Kasich enters the last half of his term. His job approval rating is positive for the first time among registered voters, although he started getting positive scores in Quinnipiac University surveys of likely voters during the presidential race."

"Ohio Gov. John Kasich still has work to do to convince voters that he deserves a second term, and there is significant support for a primary challenge to him. One in five voters are not sure whether they want him around for another four years," Brown added.

"Former Gov. Ted Strickland is by far the best known of the potential Democratic candidates for governor, while the other potential contenders are less well-known, in some cases almost invisible, to voters statewide."

Approval of the governor is 71 - 12 percent among Republicans and 39 - 34 percent among independent voters, while Democrats give him a thumbs down 57 - 21 percent. The gender gap is small, with men approving 44 - 37 percent and women agreeing 39 - 33 percent.

Kasich's approval rating previously peaked at 42 - 42 percent in March, 2012, and hit its low point with a negative 30 - 46 percent in March, 2011.

Perhaps helping Kasich is the fact that a total of 58 percent of Ohio voters are very satisfied or somewhat satisfied with the way things are going in the state, the highest satisfaction ever measured in Ohio. Satisfaction has doubled since October, 2011, when only 29 percent of Ohioans said they were very or somewhat satisfied with the way things were going in the state.

"An improved voter mood in Ohio portends well for the governor's political future. Historically, satisfied voters tend to credit incumbents and provide a positive environment for those seeking re-election," said Brown.

President Barack Obama, who carried the state last month in his re-election bid, also enjoys popular support in the Buckeye State. He has a 54 - 42 job approval rating, below his all- time high of 67 - 16 percent in February of 2009, but well above his ratings the past two years that have generally been in the 40s.

The Ohio economy is getting better, 42 percent of voters say, while 19 percent say it's worse and 38 percent say it's unchanged.

Among those who say the state economy is better, 61 percent say Kasich deserves a lot or some of the credit and 58 percent say Obama deserves a lot or some of the credit.

From December 4 - 9, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,165 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling his job as Governor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              42%    71%    21%    39%    44%    39%    44%    27%
Disapprove           35     12     57     34     37     33     34     44
DK/NA                23     17     21     27     19     27     22     29
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Approve              47%    40%    38%    41%    50%    31%    38%    42%    52%
Disapprove           40     34     33     41     37     26     35     41     32
DK/NA                13     27     29     17     13     42     27     16     17
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling his job as Governor? (*High also 42% Mar 2012, **Low also 30% Jan 2011)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Dec 11  Jun 27  May 09  Mar 28  Feb 14  Dec 11  Mar 23
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2012*   2011**
 
Approve              42      40      41      42      40      42      30
Disapprove           35      44      44      42      46      35      46
DK/NA                23      16      15      16      14      23      23
 
 
5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              54%    12%    92%    51%    50%    58%    48%    95%
Disapprove           42     85      7     43     46     38     47      5
DK/NA                 4      3      2      6      4      4      5      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Approve              58%    52%    59%    55%    47%    66%    50%    57%    45%
Disapprove           40     43     36     40     51     30     42     41     51
DK/NA                 2      5      4      6      1      4      8      2      4
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Dec 11  Jun 27  May 10  May 03  Mar 28  Feb 06  Dec 08
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2009    2011
 
Approve              54      48      49      48      47      67      41
Disapprove           42      46      48      47      49      16      55
DK/NA                 4       5       2       5       5      17       4
 
 
6. Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            40%    67%    19%    41%    42%    39%    42%    29%
Unfavorable          34     13     56     32     36     32     33     36
Hvn't hrd enough     24     18     24     24     20     28     23     32
REFUSED               2      1      2      3      2      2      2      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Favorable            45%    39%    35%    44%    49%    31%    40%    41%    45%
Unfavorable          41     31     31     38     40     29     34     40     28
Hvn't hrd enough     11     29     33     16      9     38     25     17     25
REFUSED               3      2      2      2      2      2      2      2      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Dec 11  Jun 29  Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 23  Dec 11  Dec 10
                     2012    2010    2010    2010    2010    2012    2008
 
Favorable            40      28      27      24      26      40      18
Unfavorable          34      19      10      10      10      34       8
Hvn't hrd enough     24      52      62      64      62      24      73
REFUSED               2       1       1       1       1       2       1
 
 
7. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            56%    13%    93%    56%    52%    60%    50%    95%
Unfavorable          41     86      6     40     45     37     47      4
Hvn't hrd enough      1      -      1      1      1      2      2      -
REFUSED               2      1      -      3      2      1      2      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Favorable            58%    55%    61%    56%    49%    71%    52%    57%    47%
Unfavorable          40     42     35     40     49     28     43     41     49
Hvn't hrd enough      2      1      2      -      1      -      2      1      2
REFUSED               -      2      2      3      1      1      3      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Dec 11  Jun 27  May 10  May 03  Mar 28  Dec 11  Jan 30
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2007
 
Favorable            56      50      48      46      49      56      35
Unfavorable          41      44      47      45      46      41      12
Hvn't hrd enough      1       3       2       5       2       1      52
REFUSED               2       3       2       5       2       2       1
 
 
8. Is your opinion of Richard Cordray favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            19%    18%    22%    18%    21%    17%    20%    13%
Unfavorable          11     10     11     11     12      9     10     12
Hvn't hrd enough     70     71     67     70     66     73     68     76
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      1      1      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Favorable            27%    16%    15%    23%    28%     9%    17%    23%    21%
Unfavorable          15      9      9     14     11     10     10     13      8
Hvn't hrd enough     57     74     76     62     60     82     72     63     70
REFUSED               2      1      1      1      1      -      1      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Richard Cordray favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Dec 11  Aug 14
                     2012    2008
 
Favorable            19      19
Unfavorable          11       4
Hvn't hrd enough     70      74
REFUSED               1       3
 
 
9. Is your opinion of Ted Strickland favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            41%    21%    61%    38%    43%    40%    40%    48%
Unfavorable          29     49     14     29     31     26     31     14
Hvn't hrd enough     29     29     25     30     25     32     27     37
REFUSED               1      1      1      3      1      2      2      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Favorable            46%    39%    40%    44%    44%    37%    32%    47%    43%
Unfavorable          34     27     23     33     39     15     31     33     27
Hvn't hrd enough     18     33     36     22     16     46     36     18     27
REFUSED               1      1      2      1      2      1      1      1      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Ted Strickland favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Dec 11  Jun 29  Apr 29  Mar 31  Feb 23  Feb 5   Nov 11
                     2012    2010    2010    2010    2010    2009    2009
 
Favorable            41      42      45      46      45      60      38
Unfavorable          29      37      32      35      36      19      37
Hvn't hrd enough     29      19      20      16      16      17      23
REFUSED               1       2       3       3       2       3       2
 
 
10. Is your opinion of Ed Fitzgerald favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            10%     5%    14%     9%    12%     8%     9%    19%
Unfavorable           5      5      2      7      6      3      4      7
Hvn't hrd enough     84     88     82     82     81     88     85     75
REFUSED               1      2      1      2      1      1      2      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Favorable            11%     9%    10%     9%     9%     8%    11%     9%    11%
Unfavorable           5      4      6      4      4      7      5      4      3
Hvn't hrd enough     81     85     83     85     85     85     82     86     83
REFUSED               2      1      1      2      1      -      2      1      2
 
 
11. Is your opinion of Tim Ryan favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            15%    13%    16%    15%    18%    13%    15%    16%
Unfavorable          10      6     14     10     10     10      9     16
Hvn't hrd enough     74     80     70     73     72     75     74     67
REFUSED               1      1      1      2      1      2      2      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Favorable            16%    15%    16%    15%    18%    16%    11%    16%    18%
Unfavorable          12      9     10     11      8     10      8     12      9
Hvn't hrd enough     71     74     72     73     74     72     80     71     71
REFUSED               1      1      2      2      -      2      2      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Tim Ryan favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Dec 11  Mar 18  Feb 4
                     2012    2009    2009
 
Favorable            15      13      12
Unfavorable          10       4       3
Hvn't hrd enough     74      82      84
REFUSED               1       1       1
 
 
12. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Ohio today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Very satisfied        6%     8%     6%     4%     6%     6%     6%     6%
Smwht satisfied      52     56     53     48     53     52     51     56
Smwht dissatisfied   27     23     28     32     26     29     28     28
Very dissatisfied    14     12     11     15     15     12     14      6
DK/NA                 1      1      2      1      1      1      1      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Very satisfied        6%     6%     5%     8%     7%     5%     4%     5%     9%
Smwht satisfied      55     51     50     54     55     62     44     50     57
Smwht dissatisfied   28     27     29     25     27     24     29     31     22
Very dissatisfied    10     15     16     11     10      7     22     13     10
DK/NA                 -      1      1      1      -      2      1      -      2
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Ohio today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? (*Low also 29% Mar 2011)
                                                             VERY+SMWHT SAT
                                                             High    Low
                     Dec 11  May 09  Feb 14  Jan 19  Oct 25  Dec 11  Oct 25
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2012    2011*
 
Very satisfied        6       4       3       4       3       6       3
Smwht satisfied      52      47      40      37      26      52      26
Smwht dissatisfied   27      31      36      36      34      27      34
Very dissatisfied    14      17      20      22      37      14      37
DK/NA                 1       1       1       1       1       1       1
 
 
13. Do you feel that John Kasich deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes/Deserves         36%    67%    15%    33%    40%    32%    38%    24%
No/Does not          43     19     66     42     43     43     42     52
DK/NA                21     15     19     25     17     25     20     25
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes/Deserves         41%    34%    30%    41%    42%    26%    33%    38%    45%
No/Does not          43     43     44     45     41     44     41     47     37
DK/NA                16     23     25     14     17     30     26     15     19
 
 
14. Do you think that some other Republican should run against John Kasich for the Republican nomination or don't you think so?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Republican shld run  44%    41%    39%    52%    46%    42%    44%    44%
Don't think so       37     45     40     28     38     36     38     31
DK/NA                19     14     21     20     16     22     18     25
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Republican shld run  42%    45%    43%    50%    42%    53%    50%    44%    29%
Don't think so       41     35     36     34     44     30     29     40     47
DK/NA                17     20     21     15     15     17     22     16     24
 
 
15. Regardless of how you feel about John Kasich's policies, would you say you like or don't like John Kasich as a person?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Like                 43%    63%    28%    44%    48%    39%    45%    30%
Don't like           19      6     33     17     19     19     19     19
DK/NA                38     32     38     40     33     42     36     51
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Like                 44%    43%    40%    43%    52%    35%    42%    45%    47%
Don't like           21     18     19     21     18     19     18     21     17
DK/NA                35     39     41     36     30     46     41     34     36
 
TREND: Regardless of how you feel about John Kasich's policies, would you say you like or don't like John Kasich as a person?
                     Dec 11  Jan 19
                     2012    2012
 
Like                 43      41
Don't Like           19      29
DK/NA                38      30
 
 
16. And regardless of how you feel about John Kasich as a person, would you say you like or don't like most of John Kasich's policies?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Like                 38%    69%    17%    35%    41%    36%    41%    17%
Don't like           43     16     67     42     44     41     40     60
DK/NA                19     15     16     23     15     23     19     23
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Like                 43%    36%    33%    42%    48%    23%    37%    39%    49%
Don't like           47     41     44     46     43     41     44     48     33
DK/NA                10     23     24     12      9     36     19     13     18
 
TREND: And regardless of how you feel about John Kasich as a person, would you say you like or don't like most of John Kasich's policies?
                     Dec 11  Jan 19
                     2012    2012
 
Like                 38      35
Don't Like           43      50
DK/NA                19      15
 
 
17. Do you think Ohio's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Better               42%    43%    48%    36%    45%    39%    41%    55%
Worse                19     19     16     20     17     20     19     17
The same             38     37     35     41     36     39     38     28
DK/NA                 1      1      1      2      2      1      2      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Better               55%    37%    34%    45%    60%    34%    34%    46%    51%
Worse                12     21     23     12     11     19     25     19     11
The same             31     40     42     40     28     47     38     35     36
DK/NA                 2      1      1      3      1      -      3      1      2
 
 
18a. (If economy better q17) How much credit, if any, do you think the Obama administration should receive for this; a lot of credit, some, a little or none at all?
                     ECONOMY BETTER Q17
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
A lot                31%    30%    32%
Some                 27     26     28
A little             13     15     12
None at all          28     29     28
DK/NA                 -      -      -
 
 
18b. (If economy better q17) How much credit, if any, do you think the Kasich administration should receive for this; a lot of credit, some, a little or none at all?
                     ECONOMY BETTER Q17
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
A lot                23%    22%    25%
Some                 38     40     35
A little             27     29     25
None at all          10      8     12
DK/NA                 2      1      3
 
 
19a. (If economy worse q17) How much blame, if any, do you think the Obama administration should receive for this; a lot of blame, some, a little or none at all?
                     ECONOMY WORSE Q17
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
A lot                42%    47%    38%
Some                 28     30     26
A little             12     12     12
None at all          17     11     21
DK/NA                 1      -      2
 
 
19b. (If economy worse q17) How much blame, if any, do you think the Kasich administration should receive for this; a lot of blame, some, a little or none at all?
                     ECONOMY WORSE Q17
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
A lot                28%    28%    28%
Some                 36     40     33
A little             22     24     20
None at all           8      3     13
DK/NA                 5      5      5
 
 
20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling the state budget?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              40%    65%    19%    38%    46%    34%    42%    27%
Disapprove           40     18     59     39     37     42     38     52
DK/NA                21     17     21     22     17     24     20     21
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Approve              46%    38%    33%    41%    54%    32%    35%    44%    43%
Disapprove           41     39     42     41     36     42     46     40     29
DK/NA                13     23     25     17     10     26     18     17     28
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling the state budget?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Dec 11  May 09  Jan 19  Oct 25  Sep 27  Dec 11  Mar 23
                     2012    2012    2012    2011    2011    2012    2011
 
Approve              40      37      33      34      35      40      31
Disapprove           40      49      53      55      53      40      51
DK/NA                21      14      13      11      12      21      18
 
 
21. Do you think the state budget is fair or unfair to people like you?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Fair                 44%    65%    31%    39%    48%    39%    47%    24%
Unfair               41     23     53     44     40     42     38     62
DK/NA                15     12     16     16     12     18     15     14
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Fair                 53%    40%    34%    50%    60%    40%    39%    46%    48%
Unfair               33     44     49     37     30     41     48     43     31
DK/NA                15     15     17     13     10     19     14     11     21
 
 

Demographic Summary