June 26, 2013 - Obama Hits Lowest Point Ever In Ohio, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Clinton-Christie Dead Even In Critical Swing State

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President Barack Obama's job approval in Ohio is a negative 40 - 57 percent, his lowest grade ever in the state and nearly matching a 39 - 57 percent low in Florida in September, 2011, his lowest grade ever in any of the nine states surveyed by Quinnipiac University, according to a poll released today. Ohio independent voters continue to move away from President Obama and now give him a 30-point negative rating, 34 - 64 percent.

If the 2016 presidential election were today, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie are deadlocked 42 - 42 percent in the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University survey of this critical swing state. Ms. Clinton gets 47 percent to Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul's 44 percent.

Both potential GOP candidates top Vice President Joseph Biden, Christie by 50 - 32 percent and Paul by 49 - 40 percent.

"Ohio was the key state in both of President Barack Obama's elections and it was his strong showing among independent voters there that made the difference," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "President Obama's fortunes in the Buckeye State have turned. Since last December he has lost 10 points among Democrats and 17 points among independent voters. He has gone from a 20-point approval margin among women to a 9-point disapproval margin among female voters."

Democrats approve of the president's job performance 82 - 14 percent, while Republicans disapprove 91 - 9 percent. Even women disapprove 53 - 44 percent, while men disapprove 61 - 37 percent.

That compares to last December when he had a 92 - 7 percent approval among Democrats and 51 - 43 percent among independent voters while getting an 85 - 12 disapproval among Republicans. Then, he had a 50 - 46 percent approval among men and 58 - 38 among women.

It is Ms. Clinton's strength among women and ability to keep her Democratic base when matched against Gov. Christie that keeps her in the presidential hunt. Clinton leads among women 47 - 36 percent and among Democrats 86 - 6 percent, which allows her to counter Christie's narrower 80 - 8 percent margin among his GOP base and 48 - 37 percent lead among men. Independent voters are divided with 41 percent for Christie and 38 percent for Clinton.

Against Biden, Christie wins independent voters 53 - 25 percent, along with Republicans 85 - 4 percent, while losing Democrats 70 - 15 percent. Christie carries men 52 - 29 percent and women 48 - 34 percent. Gun Control

A total of 78 percent of Ohio voters, including 70 percent of voters in households with guns, say they "somewhat" or "strongly" support a law requiring background checks for people buying guns at gun shows and online.

Voters say 45 - 15 percent that Sen. Rob Portman's vote against that measure makes them think less favorably about Portman, while 38 percent say is doesn't make a difference.

Sen. Sherrod Brown's vote for background checks makes them view him more favorably, voters say 43 - 16 percent, while 40 percent say it makes no difference.

Portman's overall job approval rating, however, is 44 - 26 percent, compared to 40 - 31 percent in April before the gun vote. Brown has a 46 - 38 percent approval rating, compared to 47 - 38 percent in April.

On another issue, voters are split 46 - 47 percent on whether the state should expand its Medicaid program to cover more people or not as part of the federal health care overhaul.

From June 18 - 23, Quinnipiac University surveyed 941 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

6. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Clinton              42%     8%    86%    38%    37%    47%
Christie             42     80      6     41     48     36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      1      3      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      4      -      4      5      2
DK/NA                10      5      7     14      7     13
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Clinton              36%    39%    29%    39%    33%    43%    22%    41%
Christie             51     44     57     46     52     40     65     45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      2      2      3      2      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      4      4      3      5      2      3      5
DK/NA                 9     11      9      9      7     13      8      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Clinton              41%    43%    51%    39%    37%    46%    47%    40%    39%
Christie             46     40     34     47     51     40     38     43     44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      2      3      1      3      4      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      4      3      3      3      2      5      3      4
DK/NA                 9     11     10      8      8      9      7     12     12
 
 
7. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Clinton              47%    12%    87%    46%    40%    53%
Paul                 44     79      7     44     52     36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      2      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      4      1      2      2      3
DK/NA                 6      5      4      7      6      6
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Clinton              48%    40%    33%    42%    34%    49%    24%    45%
Paul                 44     50     55     48     58     40     65     46
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      1      2      2      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      3      5      1      2      3      3      3
DK/NA                 5      6      7      8      5      6      6      7
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Clinton              52%    45%    56%    39%    44%    42%    55%    45%    46%
Paul                 40     45     35     51     46     49     41     44     41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      1      -      2      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      3      2      3      1      2      1      3      3
DK/NA                 5      6      5      5      8      7      2      7      8
 
 
8. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Biden                32%     4%    70%    25%    29%    34%
Christie             50     85     15     53     52     48
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      2      3      3      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      5      5      1      6      6      4
DK/NA                11      5     12     13      9     12
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Biden                27%    27%    22%    24%    24%    29%    15%    29%
Christie             61     52     60     60     57     53     66     56
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      3      2      1      4      1      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      6      4      5      7      5      4      6
DK/NA                 7     12     12     10      9     12     13      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Biden                32%    32%    38%    30%    28%    40%    34%    28%    30%
Christie             55     48     43     55     58     47     46     53     50
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      3      3      2      1      -      4      3      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      6      4      4      5      3      8      4      4
DK/NA                 8     12     12      8      8     10      7     12     14
 
 
9. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Biden                40%     8%    80%    35%    35%    44%
Paul                 49     84      8     51     55     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      2      3      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      2      3      2      2
DK/NA                 8      5      8      8      6      9
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Biden                40%    33%    29%    32%    29%    40%    20%    38%
Paul                 51     54     57     57     61     47     68     50
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      2      2      1      2      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      3      4      1      3      2      2      3
DK/NA                 5      8      8      9      6      9      8      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Biden                45%    38%    47%    38%    39%    44%    41%    39%    38%
Paul                 46     49     41     51     56     51     51     49     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      2      2      1      -      2      2      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      2      2      1      -      1      4      3
DK/NA                 6      8      8      8      3      5      5      7     14
 
 
10. Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            43%    70%    13%    43%    50%    36%
Unfavorable          26      8     47     26     25     26
Hvn't hrd enough     31     22     38     30     24     37
REFUSED               1      -      2      2      2      1
 
 
11. Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            48%    55%    37%    53%    50%    46%
Unfavorable          16     14     19     14     18     15
Hvn't hrd enough     34     29     43     32     30     37
REFUSED               1      2      1      1      1      1
 
 
12. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            52%    18%    86%    55%    43%    60%
Unfavorable          44     80      9     43     53     36
Hvn't hrd enough      3      1      5      2      3      3
REFUSED               1      1      1      -      1      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? (* High also 52% May 2008)
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                    Jun 26   May 22  May 01  Apr 02  Feb 25  Jun 26  Nov 14
                    2013     2008    2008    2008    2008    2013*   2007
                                                                      
Favorable           52       52      46      47      47      52      44
Unfavorable         44       42      44      45      41      44      44
Hvn't hrd enough     3        4       6       6       9       3       9
REFUSED              1        2       4       3       3       1       3
 
 
13. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            41%    12%    78%    37%    37%    43%
Unfavorable          48     81      9     53     56     41
Hvn't hrd enough     10      7     12     10      6     14
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jun 26  May 10  Dec 08  Jan 30
                     2013    2012    2011    2007
 
Favorable            41      39      34      19
Unfavorable          48      39      40      19
Hvn't hrd enough     10      20      25      61
REFUSED               1       1       1       1
 
 
16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve              46%    32%    69%    41%    43%    48%
Disapprove           38     52     19     41     43     33
DK/NA                16     17     12     18     14     18
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Approve              52%    44%    48%    50%    42%    55%    42%    45%    46%
Disapprove           36     39     33     37     44     28     39     42     37
DK/NA                12     17     18     13     14     17     19     13     17
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator? (* High also 52% May 2009, Sep 2011)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jun 26  Apr 19  Feb 28  Dec 12  May 10  Dec 12  Jul 07
                     2013    2013    2013    2012    2012    2012*   2009
 
Approve              46      47      51      52      46      52      41
Disapprove           38      38      33      35      33      35      29
DK/NA                16      15      16      13      21      13      30
 
 
17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rob Portman is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve              44%    59%    33%    43%    50%    39%
Disapprove           26     15     35     27     25     26
DK/NA                30     25     33     31     25     34
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Approve              57%    40%    41%    47%    45%    44%    43%    45%    44%
Disapprove           23     27     25     27     32     20     26     28     28
DK/NA                20     33     34     26     23     36     31     28     28
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rob Portman is handling his job as United States Senator? (* High also 44% Feb 2013)
                                                             APPROVE......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jun 26  Apr 19  Feb 28  Dec 12  May 10  Jun 26  Mar 24
                     2013    2013    2013    2012    2012    2013*   2011
                                                                     
Approve              44      40      44      42      38      44      30
Disapprove           26      31      24      27      23      26      25
DK/NA                30      29      33      31      39      30      45
 
 
18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve              40%     9%    82%    34%    37%    44%
Disapprove           57     91     14     64     61     53
DK/NA                 3      1      4      2      3      3
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              38%    33%    27%    32%    30%    38%    15%    39%
Disapprove           59     65     70     66     68     60     82     59
DK/NA                 3      2      3      2      2      3      3      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Approve              43%    39%    50%    34%    35%    50%    39%    37%    41%
Disapprove           53     58     47     63     64     48     60     60     55
DK/NA                 4      2      3      3      1      2      1      3      4
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jun 26  Apr 19  Mar 01  Dec 11  Jun 27  Feb 06  Jun 26  
                     2013    2013    2013    2012    2012    2009    2013    
                                                                             
Approve              40      45      48      54      48      67      40      
Disapprove           57      51      47      42      46      16      57      
DK/NA                 3       4       4       4       5      17       3      
 
 
25. Would you say that Barack Obama is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  44%    14%    84%    38%    37%    50%
No                   52     82     13     58     58     46
DK/NA                 4      4      3      4      4      3
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  45%    36%    32%    40%    32%    45%    19%    46%
No                   52     60     65     56     65     52     76     51
DK/NA                 3      4      3      4      4      3      4      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  50%    42%    53%    38%    41%    49%    43%    42%    47%
No                   47     53     43     58     57     46     54     55     48
DK/NA                 3      4      5      4      2      5      3      3      6
 
TREND: Would you say that Barack Obama is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     Jun 26  Nov 10  May 01
                     2013    2011    2008
 
Yes                  44      57      53
No                   52      37      32
DK/NA                 4       5      15
 
 
35. As you may know Medicaid is a government program that pays for health care for low-income people and others with certain disabilities. Do you think that increasing the number of people eligible for Medicaid coverage in Ohio is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Good idea            46%    24%    72%    46%    41%    50%
Bad idea             47     70     22     46     51     43
DK/NA                 7      6      6      9      8      7
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Good idea            40%    41%    35%    37%    36%    45%    27%    41%
Bad idea             54     50     56     58     56     47     63     52
DK/NA                 6      8     10      6      8      8      9      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Good idea            45%    46%    57%    37%    40%    41%    42%    50%    47%
Bad idea             50     46     36     58     55     55     52     43     42
DK/NA                 6      8      8      5      5      4      6      7     11
 
TREND: As you may know Medicaid is a government program that pays for health care for low-income people and others with certain disabilities. Do you think that increasing the number of people eligible for Medicaid coverage in Ohio is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Jun 26  Apr 19  Mar 01
                     2013    2013    2013
 
Good idea            46      48      48
Bad idea             47      43      42
DK/NA                 7       9      10
 
 
37. Would you support or oppose a law requiring background checks on people buying guns at gun shows or online? IF SUPPORT OR OPPOSE: Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Support strongly     61%    50%    82%    58%    51%    70%
Somewhat support     17     22     10     17     20     14
Somewhat oppose       7     12      3      6      9      5
Strongly oppose      13     14      4     15     16     10
DK/NA                 2      2      1      3      3      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Support strongly     60%    62%    67%    58%    57%    59%    57%    60%    71%
Somewhat support     21     15     13     22     15     23     17     15     13
Somewhat oppose       7      7      8      6      5      7      8      8      4
Strongly oppose       9     14     10     13     20      9     17     14      8
DK/NA                 3      2      2      1      3      1      1      3      4
 
                     DENSITY............  GUN HSHOLD    HAVE KIDS
                     Urban  Subrbn Rural  Yes    No     <18
 
Support strongly     67%    64%    51%    49%    74%    59%
Somewhat support     14     19     17     21     13     15
Somewhat oppose       8      6      7      9      5      6
Strongly oppose      11      9     21     19      5     18
DK/NA                 1      2      4      2      2      2
 
 
38. As you may know, Senator Portman voted against a proposal that would require background checks on people buying guns at gun shows or online. Does this make you think more favorably of him, less favorably of him, or doesn't it make a difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
More favorably       15%    18%     5%    18%    24%     7%
Less favorably       45     29     69     45     35     55
No difference        38     52     24     35     40     36
DK/NA                 2      2      1      1      2      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
More favorably       11%    17%    14%    18%    15%    19%    17%    17%     7%
Less favorably       53     43     46     47     45     35     46     46     52
No difference        35     39     38     35     40     46     36     36     36
DK/NA                 2      1      2      1      -      -      1      1      4
 
                     DENSITY............  GUN HSHOLD    HAVE KIDS
                     Urban  Subrbn Rural  Yes    No     <18
 
More favorably       13%    13%    20%    22%     8%    19%
Less favorably       50     50     33     33     58     47
No difference        35     36     45     44     33     33
DK/NA                 1      2      2      1      1      -
 
 
39. As you may know, Senator Brown voted for a proposal that would require background checks on people buying guns at gun shows or online. Does this make you think more favorably of him, less favorably of him, or doesn't it make a difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
More favorably       43%    25%    71%    41%    37%    49%
Less favorably       16     20      4     20     22     11
No difference        40     54     24     38     40     40
DK/NA                 1      1      -      1      1      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
More favorably       49%    41%    46%    45%    44%    37%    42%    44%    49%
Less favorably       12     18     12     18     20     16     19     16     13
No difference        39     40     42     36     36     47     38     39     37
DK/NA                 1      1      -      1      -      -      1      1      1
 
                     DENSITY............  GUN HSHOLD    HAVE KIDS
                     Urban  Subrbn Rural  Yes    No     <18
 
More favorably       51%    44%    33%    31%    56%    42%
Less favorably       16     14     21     23      7     24
No difference        33     42     45     46     36     34
DK/NA                 -      1      1      1      -      -
 
 

Demographic Summary