February 20, 2014 - Clinton Sweeps 2016 Ohio Field As Christie Drops, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Obama Approval Goes From Terrible To Bad
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Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton sweeps the 2016 presidential field in Ohio as New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie is stuck in traffic with other leading Republican contenders, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Secretary Clinton tops Gov. Christie 49 - 36 percent in an early look at the 2016 presidential race in this critical swing state. This compares to results of a November 27 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University showing Clinton at 42 percent, with Christie at 41 percent. The Democrat tops other possible Republican contenders:
  • 51 - 36 percent over former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush;
  • 50 - 36 percent over U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida;
  • 51 - 38 percent over U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky;
  • 49 - 40 percent over U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin;
  • 51 - 34 percent over U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas;
  • 51 - 39 percent over Ohio Gov. John Kasich.
Ohio voters say 55 - 39 percent that Clinton would make a good president. No Republican listed gets a positive score on this question, as even Gov. Kasich gets a negative 34 - 47 percent. Christie gets a big negative 31 - 48 percent, compared to a positive 44 - 32 percent November 27.

"The George Washington Bridge is not in Ohio, but voters there seem very aware of its traffic problems - and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie's traffic problems," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "When Quinnipiac University asked Ohioans in November about Gov. Christie vs. Secretary Hillary Clinton in a 2016 White House race, the two were in a dead heat and voters thought he would make a good president. Today, she enjoys a comfortable double-digit lead and voters say Christie would not be a good president."

"Of Republicans tested, Wisconsin's Paul Ryan runs best in Ohio against the former Secretary of State and Gov. John Kasich runs relatively well. But Mrs. Clinton remains far and away the leader at this point in Ohio," Brown added. President Obama's Approval

Ohio voters give President Barack Obama a negative 40 - 55 percent job approval rating, an improvement on his negative 34 - 61 percent score in a November 27 Quinnipiac University poll, his lowest score ever in Ohio.

Today, negative scores are 8 - 89 percent among Republicans and 30 - 63 percent among independent voters, while Democrats approve 80 - 16 percent. The president gets a negative 34 - 61 percent score from men and a slightly negative 46 - 50 percent score from women.

"The good news for President Barack Obama is his job approval rating among Ohioans has improved from its record low in November. The bad news is that with a 40 percent approval rating he remains in the Buckeye dog house," Brown said. "If those numbers remain where they are or go lower, it's difficult to see him as an asset to Democratic candidates this November."

Ohio voters approve 48 - 34 percent of the job U.S. Sen. Sherrod Brown is doing and give U.S. Sen. Rob Portman a 38 - 32 percent approval rating.

From February 12 - 17, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,370 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

4. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              51%    10%    93%    47%    45%    57%    62%    46%    54%    50%
Bush                 36     80      2     33     39     34     22     40     35     41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      2      -      4      4      1      2      4      3      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      3      -      7      4      4      4      4      4      2
DK/NA                 6      4      4      9      8      4     10      6      4      5
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Feb 20  Nov 27
                     2014    2013
 
Clinton              51      50
Bush                 36      37
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4       4
DK/NA                 6       7
 
 
5. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              50%    10%    92%    45%    44%    56%    57%    46%    52%    49%
Rubio                36     76      2     35     41     31     23     37     35     41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      3      -      5      3      2      3      3      3      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      -      5      2      3      4      2      3      2
DK/NA                 9      9      6     11     10      8     12     11      7      6
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Feb 20  Nov 27
                     2014    2013
 
Clinton              50      48
Rubio                36      39
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       3
DK/NA                 9       8
 
 
6. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              51%    11%    93%    44%    43%    57%    51%    48%    54%    51%
Paul                 38     79      2     40     45     32     33     41     36     39
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      -      4      3      1      3      1      3      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      4      -      4      2      4      6      3      2      3
DK/NA                 6      6      4      8      7      6      7      7      5      5
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Feb 20  Nov 27  Jun 26
                     2014    2013    2013
 
Clinton              51      50      47
Paul                 38      40      44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       3       2
DK/NA                 6       6       6
 
 
7. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              49%    11%    90%    43%    43%    55%    55%    46%    51%    47%
Christie             36     76      4     34     40     31     27     38     33     41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       4      4      -      6      5      2      3      3      5      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      5      5      -      8      4      6      8      6      4      3
DK/NA                 7      4      5     10      8      6      7      7      6      6
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Feb 20  Nov 27  Jun 26
                     2014    2013    2013
 
Clinton              49      42      42
Christie             36      41      42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       4       3       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      5       4       4
DK/NA                 7      10      10
 
 
8. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Paul Ryan the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              49%     7%    92%    44%    41%    56%    51%    46%    53%    49%
Ryan                 40     84      3     41     47     35     34     42     39     44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      -      4      3      1      2      3      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      4      -      4      3      4      7      4      2      1
DK/NA                 5      4      5      7      6      5      6      6      5      6
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Paul Ryan the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Feb 20  Nov 27
                     2014    2013
 
Clinton              49      49
Ryan                 40      41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       3
DK/NA                 5       5
 
 
9. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              51%    10%    92%    48%    46%    56%    56%    48%    54%    51%
Cruz                 34     74      1     32     38     30     27     36     32     37
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      -      4      3      2      1      2      4      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      3      -      5      3      3      5      4      2      2
DK/NA                 9     11      6     11     10      9     11     10      9      8
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Feb 20  Nov 27
                     2014    2013
 
Clinton              51      50
Cruz                 34      35
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       3
DK/NA                 9       9
 
 
10. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John Kasich the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              51%    10%    93%    46%    44%    57%    59%    47%    52%    51%
Kasich               39     80      4     39     45     33     29     42     38     41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      -      3      2      1      -      1      3      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      5      1      5      4      4      8      5      3      1
DK/NA                 5      4      2      7      5      5      4      5      5      5
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John Kasich the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Feb 20  Nov 27
                     2014    2013
 
Clinton              51      49
Kasich               39      38
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4       3
DK/NA                 5       7
 
 
11. Do you think Chris Christie would make a good President or not?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  31%    49%    18%    31%    32%    30%    25%    32%    31%    33%
No                   48     30     61     51     50     47     49     49     51     44
DK/NA                21     22     22     18     17     24     26     19     18     23
 
 
TREND: Do you think Chris Christie would make a good President or not?
                     Feb 20  Nov 27
                     2014    2013
 
Yes                  31      44
No                   48      32
DK/NA                21      24
 
 
12. Do you think Hillary Clinton would make a good President or not?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  55%    18%    94%    51%    47%    62%    62%    54%    56%    54%
No                   39     77      3     42     47     32     29     40     40     43
DK/NA                 5      5      3      7      6      5      9      6      5      3
 
TREND: Do you think Hillary Clinton would make a good President or not?
                     Feb 20  Nov 27
                     2014    2013
 
Yes                  55      54
No                   39      40
DK/NA                 5       6
 
 
13. Do you think Joe Biden would make a good President or not?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  27%     9%    45%    24%    25%    29%    33%    24%    26%    27%
No                   64     86     42     68     69     60     55     67     65     66
DK/NA                 9      5     13      8      6     12     11      9      9      8
 
TREND: Do you think Joe Biden would make a good President or not?
                     Feb 20  Nov 27
                     2014    2013
 
Yes                  27      28
No                   64      62
DK/NA                 9      10
 
 
14. Do you think Rand Paul would make a good President or not?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  32%    56%     5%    37%    38%    27%    31%    34%    33%    31%
No                   47     22     74     42     46     48     41     48     49     47
DK/NA                21     22     21     21     16     25     28     18     19     21
 
TREND: Do you think Rand Paul would make a good President or not?
                     Feb 20  Nov 27
                     2014    2013
 
Yes                  32      33
No                   47      44
DK/NA                21      22
 
 
15. Do you think Ted Cruz would make a good President or not?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  20%    37%     5%    22%    27%    14%    16%    22%    19%    23%
No                   45     23     65     46     48     43     40     45     49     45
DK/NA                34     40     30     33     25     43     43     33     32     32
 
TREND: Do you think Ted Cruz would make a good President or not?
                     Feb 20  Nov 27
                     2014    2013
 
Yes                  20      23
No                   45      46
DK/NA                34      31
 
 
16. Do you think Paul Ryan would make a good President or not?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  36%    65%    10%    37%    43%    30%    33%    36%    37%    37%
No                   44     15     67     47     44     44     39     49     44     42
DK/NA                20     20     22     16     13     26     28     15     19     21
 
TREND: Do you think Paul Ryan would make a good President or not?
                     Feb 20  Nov 27
                     2014    2013
 
Yes                  36      37
No                   44      42
DK/NA                20      21
 
 
17. Do you think Jeb Bush would make a good President or not?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  33%    63%    12%    31%    36%    31%    20%    36%    34%    38%
No                   48     17     73     50     48     49     47     48     52     46
DK/NA                18     20     15     19     16     20     33     17     14     15
 
TREND: Do you think Jeb Bush would make a good President or not?
                     Feb 20  Nov 27
                     2014    2013
 
Yes                  33      33
No                   48      48
DK/NA                18      20
 
 
18. Do you think Marco Rubio would make a good President or not?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  27%    54%     6%    24%    33%    21%    23%    28%    27%    28%
No                   43     18     64     43     45     41     39     42     46     41
DK/NA                30     28     30     33     22     38     38     30     27     31
 
TREND: Do you think Marco Rubio would make a good President or not?
                     Feb 20  Nov 27
                     2014    2013
 
Yes                  27      27
No                   43      41
DK/NA                30      32
 
 
19. Do you think John Kasich would make a good President or not?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  34%    56%    16%    35%    44%    26%    34%    33%    34%    37%
No                   47     23     68     48     44     51     37     49     52     46
DK/NA                18     21     16     17     13     23     29     18     14     17
 
TREND: Do you think John Kasich would make a good President or not?
                     Feb 20  Nov 27
                     2014    2013
 
Yes                  34      32
No                   47      49
DK/NA                18      19
 
 
22. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              48%    32%    68%    43%    46%    50%    43%    48%    52%    48%
Disapprove           34     49     16     39     41     28     33     34     33     36
DK/NA                18     19     16     18     13     22     25     18     16     16
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator? (* High also 52% May 2009, Sep 2011)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Feb 20  Nov 27  Jun 26  Apr 19  Feb 28  Dec 12  Jul 07
                     2014    2013    2013    2013    2013    2012*   2009
 
Approve              48      47      46      47      51      52      41
Disapprove           34      37      38      38      33      35      29
DK/NA                18      16      16      15      16      13      30
 
 
23. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rob Portman is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              38%    57%    25%    37%    46%    32%    31%    36%    40%    46%
Disapprove           32     16     43     32     32     31     34     31     33     29
DK/NA                30     27     32     31     22     37     35     33     27     26
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rob Portman is handling his job as United States Senator? (* High also 44% Feb 2013)
                                                             APPROVE......
                                                             High    Low
                     Feb 20  Nov 27  Jun 26  Apr 19  Feb 28  Jun 26  Mar 24
                     2014    2013    2013    2013    2013    2013*   2011
 
Approve              38      41      44      40      44      44      30
Disapprove           32      28      26      31      24      26      25
DK/NA                30      30      30      29      33      30      45
 
 
24. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              40%     8%    80%    30%    34%    46%    38%    38%    43%    42%
Disapprove           55     89     16     63     61     50     56     57     53     54
DK/NA                 4      3      3      7      5      4      6      5      4      4
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Feb 20  Nov 27  Jun 26  Apr 19  Mar 01  Feb 06  Nov 27
                     2014    2013    2013    2013    2013    2009    2013
 
Approve              40      34      40      45      48      67      34
Disapprove           55      61      57      51      47      16      61
DK/NA                 4       5       3       4       4      17       5
 
 

Demographic Summary