May 14, 2014 - Ohio Gov Roars Past Little Known Challenger, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Support For Life Options Outweighs Death Penalty
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Ohio Gov. John Kasich is at or over the critical 50 percentage point mark on a number of measures, including his 50 - 35 percent lead over Cuyahoga County Executive Ed FitzGerald, his Democratic challenger, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to a 43 - 38 percent Kasich lead in a February 19 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

Voters approve 56 - 33 percent of the job Gov. Kasich is doing, his best score since he was elected in 2010, and say 53 - 37 percent that he deserves to be reelected.

Kasich leads FitzGerald 56 - 30 percent among men and 45 - 40 percent among women. He leads 92 - 2 percent among Republicans and 49 - 32 percent among independent voters, while Democrats back FitzGerald 77 - 12 percent.

By a 47 - 29 percent margin, Ohio voters have a favorable opinion of Kasich, while 63 percent of voters don't know enough about FitzGerald to form an opinion of him.

"Ohio Gov. John Kasich has opened up a 15-point lead in his re-election race as voters give him sterling grades for his job performance, especially on the economy," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. "He gets plus-50 percent approval ratings from voters on his handling of the economy and the state budget. These numbers are crucial because the economy and jobs are the most important issues in the minds of voters.

"Democratic County Executive Ed FitzGerald remains unknown to many voters. Democratic optimists will argue that with six months until Election Day, FitzGerald has a golden opportunity to reach all those voters. He's going to have to spend a lot of money on that introduction while the better-funded Kasich will introduce FitzGerald to those same voters in a much less flattering way."

In an open-ended question, allowing for any answer, 37 percent of Ohio voters list the economy or jobs as the most important issue in this year's governor's race. Another 9 percent list education or education funding, with 6 percent citing the budget and government spending and 6 percent pointing to taxes.

Ohio voters approve 53 - 38 percent of the way Kasich is handling the economy and jobs and give him positive or split grades on handling other issues:
  • 48 - 38 percent on taxes;
  • 51 - 35 percent on the state budget;
  • 42 - 38 percent on health care;
  • 29 - 29 percent on abortion.
The state economy got better in the last four years, 50 percent of voters say, while 18 percent say it got worse and 30 percent say the economy is "about the same."

Looking at Kasich's qualities, voters say 67 - 23 percent that he has strong leadership qualities; 54 - 31 percent that he is honest and trustworthy; 53 - 39 percent that he cares about their needs and problems, and 57 - 30 that he has good judgment.

"Voters think Gov. Kasich deserves another term and two-thirds consider him a strong leader. A small majority says he cares about their needs, a measure on which Republicans, even successful ones, often don't do that well. And perhaps most important for Kasich's re-election, 60 percent of voters are satisfied with the way things are going in the state," Brown said. Death Penalty

Ohio voters favor the death penalty, 69 - 25 percent, for persons convicted of murder.

But when offered a choice, 43 percent of voters favor the death penalty and 40 percent favor life in prison with no chance of parole, while 9 percent favor life in prison with a chance of parole, a total of 49 percent for the two life options.

"Ohioans overwhelmingly support capital punishment, but the option of life in prison without parole tips the balance against the death penalty," said Brown.

From May 7 - 12, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,174 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Ed FitzGerald the Democrat and John Kasich the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
FitzGerald           35%     2%    77%    32%    30%    40%    27%    31%    47%    35%
Kasich               50     92     12     49     56     45     48     52     45     55
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      2      2      1      2      2      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      1      -      3      3      1      6      2      -      -
DK/NA                11      4     10     15      9     13     17     13      7      9
 
TREND: If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Ed FitzGerald the Democrat and John Kasich the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     May 14  Feb 19  Nov 26  Jun 25  Apr 18  Feb 28
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013    2013
 
FitzGerald           35      38      37      33      37      35
Kasich               50      43      44      47      46      45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       2       1       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       2       4       4       2       2
DK/NA                11      16      15      15      15      17
 
 
2. Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            47%    78%    18%    47%    51%    43%    33%    44%    46%    60%
Unfavorable          29      6     54     27     30     29     19     30     38     24
Hvn't hrd enough     21     14     25     23     17     24     46     20     14     13
REFUSED               3      2      3      3      2      4      3      6      2      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     May 14  Feb 19  Nov 26  Jun 25  Apr 18  Feb 28  Dec 10
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013    2013    2008
 
Favorable            47      42      41      47      46      48      18
Unfavorable          29      30      30      28      29      32       8
Hvn't hrd enough     21      24      27      22      24      17      73
REFUSED               3       4       3       3       1       3       1
 
 
3. Is your opinion of Ed FitzGerald favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            20%     4%    43%    15%    18%    22%    13%    18%    25%    21%
Unfavorable          15     26      3     15     21     10     12     18     13     15
Hvn't hrd enough     63     68     52     68     59     67     73     63     59     62
REFUSED               2      2      2      1      2      2      3      1      2      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Ed FitzGerald favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     May 14  Feb 19  Nov 26  Jun 25  Apr 18  Feb 28  Dec 11
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013    2013    2012
 
Favorable            20      18      17      15      14      13      10
Unfavorable          15      11      11       9       8       5       5
Hvn't hrd enough     63      70      71      76      76      80      84
REFUSED               2       1       1       1       1       1       1
 
 
20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling his job as Governor?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              56%    86%    28%    57%    59%    53%    52%    57%    49%    64%
Disapprove           33      8     58     31     32     33     28     32     42     26
DK/NA                11      6     14     12      9     14     20     11      9     10
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling his job as Governor? (*Low also 30% Jan 2011)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     May 14  Feb 19  Nov 26  Jun 25  Apr 18  May 14  Mar 23
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013    2014    2011*
                                                                     
Approve              56      51      52      54      52      56      30
Disapprove           33      36      33      32      34      33      46
DK/NA                11      13      15      13      15      11      23
 
 
21. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              42%    66%    23%    39%    43%    40%    47%    44%    38%    38%
Disapprove           41     17     65     39     41     40     28     42     50     36
DK/NA                18     18     12     22     15     20     24     14     13     26
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     May 14  Feb 19  Nov 26  Jun 25  Apr 19  Dec 10  Dec 12
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013    2008    2006
 
Approve              42      38      41      41      41      46      25
Disapprove           41      43      42      41      41      35      55
DK/NA                18      19      18      18      17      19      20
 
 
25. Do you feel that John Kasich deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes/Deserves         53%    85%    23%    55%    57%    50%    51%    53%    49%    59%
No/Does not          37     10     64     36     35     39     32     38     43     32
DK/NA                10      5     12      9      9     11     17      9      8      9
 
TREND: Do you feel that John Kasich deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     May 14  Feb 19  Nov 26  Jun 25  Apr 18  Feb 28  Dec 11
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013    2013    2012
 
Yes/Deserves         53      46      48      49      46      46      36
No/Does not          37      42      39      37      37      36      43
DK/NA                10      13      13      14      17      18      21
 
 
26. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Ohio today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Very satisfied        8%    16%     3%     7%    10%     7%    10%     5%    10%    11%
Smwht satisfied      52     67     38     52     54     51     49     56     48     52
Smwht dissatisfied   28     12     41     28     25     30     31     27     30     24
Very dissatisfied    11      5     17     11     10     12      9     11     13     11
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      1      1      1      1      -      2
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Ohio today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? (*Low also 29% Mar 2011)
                                                             VERY+SMWHT SAT
                                                             High    Low
                     May 14  Feb 19  Dec 11  May 09  Feb 14  May 14  Oct 25
                     2014    2014    2012    2012    2012    2014    2011*
                                                                     
Very satisfied        8       7       6       4       3       8       3
Smwht satisfied      52      49      52      47      40      52      26
Smwht dissatisfied   28      28      27      31      36      28      34
Very dissatisfied    11      16      14      17      20      11      37
DK/NA                 1       1       1       1       1       1       1
 
 
27. What is the most important issue to you in deciding how to vote for Governor this year?
                            Tot
 
Economy(General)            10%
Jobs/Unemployment           26
Economy(Other Specific)      1
 
Budget(General)              5
Government spending          1
 
Taxes(General)               5
Taxes(Other Specific)        1
 
Education(General)           7
Funding/Spending education   1
Education(Other Specific)    1
 
Unions (General)             2
 
Gun Issues/Policy/Control    1
 
Healthcare                   4
Abortion                     1
Women's Issues               1
Social Issues                1
Social Services(General)     1
Elderly Issues               1
Gay marriage/Gay Issues      1
Marijuana                    1
Environment                  1
Gas/Oil/Energy Issues        1
 
Party/Political Philosophy   2
Voting/Election issues       1
 
Honesty/Trustworthiness      2
Caring about people          1
Candidate experience         1
 
Other                        8
DK/NA                       11
 
 
28. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling - taxes?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              48%    70%    25%    51%    53%    43%    45%    49%    46%    48%
Disapprove           38     19     58     37     37     39     35     37     43     36
DK/NA                14     11     17     13     10     18     19     14     11     16
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling taxes?
                     May 14  Feb 19
                     2014    2014
 
Approve              48      44
Disapprove           38      40
DK/NA                14      15
 
 
29. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling - the economy and jobs?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              53%    79%    28%    55%    60%    47%    45%    55%    52%    59%
Disapprove           38     15     63     38     35     42     42     38     43     32
DK/NA                 8      6      9      7      5     11     13      7      6      9
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling the economy and jobs? (* handling the economy)
                     May 14  Feb 19  Nov 26  Jun 25  Apr 18
                     2014    2014    2013*   2013*   2013*
 
Approve              53      44      50      52      49
Disapprove           38      46      39      37      41
DK/NA                 8      10      12      11      10
 
 
30. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling - the state budget?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              51%    77%    25%    54%    57%    44%    46%    49%    51%    53%
Disapprove           35     11     63     32     32     38     34     38     40     27
DK/NA                14     13     13     14     11     17     20     12      9     20
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling the state budget?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     May 14  Feb 19  Nov 26  Jun 25  Feb 28  May 14  Mar 23
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013    2014    2011
                                                                     
Approve              51      44      44      46      45      51      31
Disapprove           35      42      40      38      39      35      51
DK/NA                14      15      16      16      15      14      18
 
 
31. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling - health care?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              42%    55%    34%    43%    44%    40%    42%    40%    40%    49%
Disapprove           38     24     51     37     37     39     38     41     43     28
DK/NA                20     22     15     20     19     21     20     19     16     24
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling health care?
                     May 14  Feb 19
                     2014    2014
 
Approve              42      36
Disapprove           38      42
DK/NA                20      22
 
 
32. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling - the issue of abortion?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              29%    48%    12%    28%    32%    26%    31%    29%    27%    28%
Disapprove           29      7     53     29     26     32     27     32     34     23
DK/NA                42     46     35     43     42     43     42     39     39     49
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling the issue of abortion?
                     May 14  Feb 24
                     2014    2014
 
Approve              29      26
Disapprove           29      34
DK/NA                42      40
 
 
33. Would you say that John Kasich - has strong leadership qualities or not?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  67%    87%    53%    65%    69%    65%    64%    67%    65%    69%
No                   23      6     38     24     23     24     17     25     28     22
DK/NA                10      7      9     11      8     11     19      8      7     10
 
TREND: Would you say that John Kasich has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     May 14  Feb 19  May 09
                     2014    2014    2012
 
Yes                  67      61      54
No                   23      31      36
DK/NA                10       8      10
 
 
34. Would you say that John Kasich - is honest and trustworthy or not?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  54%    80%    34%    54%    57%    52%    42%    50%    54%    68%
No                   31     10     48     33     32     30     37     35     34     19
DK/NA                15     11     18     12     11     18     20     15     12     13
 
TREND: Would you say that John Kasich is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     May 14  Feb 19  Nov 26
                     2014    2014    2013
 
Yes                  54      52      53
No                   31      35      33
DK/NA                15      13      14
 
 
35. Would you say that John Kasich - cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  53%    83%    28%    52%    56%    50%    53%    53%    48%    57%
No                   39     11     65     39     37     41     32     42     44     34
DK/NA                 8      6      7      9      8      9     15      4      8     10
 
TREND: Would you say that John Kasich cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     May 14  Feb 19  May 09
                     2014    2014    2012
 
Yes                  53      43      40
No                   39      47      50
DK/NA                 8       9      10
 
 
36. Would you say that John Kasich - has good judgment or not?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  57%    85%    30%    59%    61%    53%    56%    56%    52%    62%
No                   30      7     54     29     28     32     24     32     37     26
DK/NA                13      9     16     12     11     15     20     12     11     12
 
TREND: Would you say that John Kasich has good judgment or not?
                     May 14  Feb 19
                     2014    2014
 
Yes                  57      49
No                   30      38
DK/NA                13      13
 
 
37. Do you think John Kasich is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Liberal              11%    10%     8%    13%    11%    10%     9%    14%    10%     9%
Conservative         28      5     55     25     27     28     25     25     35     26
About right          49     79     24     49     51     47     43     50     46     54
DK/NA                13      7     13     14     11     14     23     12      9     12
 
TREND: Do you think John Kasich is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
                     May 14  Feb 19  Nov 26  Jun 25  Apr 18
                     2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Liberal              11      13      10      10      10
Conservative         28      29      27      26      26
About right          49      45      47      48      47
DK/NA                13      13      17      16      16
 
 
38. Would you describe the state of Ohio's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Excellent             1%     3%     1%     -      1%     1%     -      -      2%     3%
Good                 41     61     25     39     47     37     40     41     41     42
Not so good          42     30     53     43     41     43     46     43     44     38
Poor                 14      5     20     16     10     17     12     15     13     14
DK/NA                 1      1      1      2      1      2      2      -      -      3
 
TREND: Would you describe the state of Ohio's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor? (*High also 42% Jun 2013, **Low also 5% Dec 2008, Feb 2009)
                                                             EXCELLENT+GOOD
                                                             High    Low
                     May 14  Nov 26  Jun 25  Apr 18  Mar 18  May 14  Mar 18
                     2014    2013    2013    2013    2009    2014*   2009**
                                                                     
Excellent             1       1       2       2       -       1       -
Good                 41      38      40      36       5      41       5
Not so good          42      40      42      44      36      42      36
Poor                 14      18      15      16      59      14      59
DK/NA                 1       2       1       2       -       1       -
 
 
39a. (If economy excellent/good q38) How much credit do you give Governor Kasich for the state of Ohio's economy; a lot, some, not much, or none at all?
                     Economy excellent/Good Q38
 
A lot                34%
Some                 52
Not much             10
None at all           2
DK/NA                 3
 
 
39b. (If economy not so good/poor q38) How much blame do you give Governor Kasich for the state of Ohio's economy; a lot, some, not much, or none at all?
                     Economy not so good/Poor Q38
 
A lot                14%
Some                 54
Not much             25
None at all           4
DK/NA                 3
 
 
40. Do you think Ohio's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Better               41%    52%    31%    41%    48%    34%    26%    44%    44%    43%
Worse                14      8     21     13     10     17     18     16     15      7
The same             44     39     47     45     41     46     53     40     40     48
DK/NA                 1      1      2      1      -      2      2      -      1      2
 
TREND: Do you think Ohio's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
                     May 14  Nov 26  Jun 25  Apr 18  Dec 11
                     2014    2013    2013    2013    2012
 
Better               41      35      44      43      42
Worse                14      17      11      13      19
The same             44      46      42      43      38
DK/NA                 1       1       2       1       1
 
 
41. Compared with four years ago, do you think Ohio's economy is better today, worse today, or about the same?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Better               50%    60%    38%    52%    58%    43%    37%    53%    52%    51%
Worse                18     11     22     20     14     22     18     24     15     12
About the same       30     26     39     26     27     32     42     22     32     33
DK/NA                 2      2      1      3      1      3      3      1      1      4
 
 
42. Compared with four years ago, are you and your family financially better off today, worse off today, or about the same?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Better off           25%    28%    19%    28%    33%    19%    36%    31%    22%    14%
Worse off            25     18     28     26     23     26     16     29     28     20
About the same       49     54     52     45     43     54     48     40     49     64
DK/NA                 1      -      -      1      1      1      -      1      1      2
 
 
45. Do you favor or oppose the death penalty for persons convicted of murder?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favor                69%    84%    55%    72%    76%    64%    66%    72%    70%    68%
Oppose               25     10     41     22     19     31     26     25     25     24
DK/NA                 5      6      3      5      5      5      8      3      4      8
 
TREND: Do you favor or oppose the death penalty for persons convicted of murder?
                     May 14  Feb 19
                     2014    2014
 
Favor                69      68
Oppose               25      26
DK/NA                 5       6
 
 
46. Which punishment do you prefer for people convicted of murder; the death penalty life in prison with no chance of parole, or life in prison with a chance of parole?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Death penalty        43%    51%    30%    49%    49%    38%    33%    49%    45%    40%
Life/No parole       40     36     51     37     33     47     46     36     42     43
Life/Chance parole    9      7     13      6     10      8     13     10      6      8
DK/NA                 7      5      7      8      8      7      8      6      7      9
 
TREND: Which punishment do you prefer for people convicted of murder; the death penalty, life in prison with no chance of parole, or life in prison with a chance of parole?
                     May 14  Feb 19
                     2014    2014
 
Death penalty        43      47
Life/No parole       40      36
Life/Chance parole    9      12
DK/NA                 7       5
 
 

Demographic Summary

Additional Crosstabs