July 31, 2014 - Obama Approval In Ohio Nears All-Time Low Anywhere, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Clinton Tops Kasich, Other Republicans In 2016 Race
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Ohio voters give President Barack Obama a negative 36 - 59 percent job approval rating today, close to his all-time low score in any of the nine states surveyed by Quinnipiac University.

The president's all-time low, in the nine state polls or nationally, is a negative 34 - 61 percent in a November 27 Ohio survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

Today, Obama gets negative grades of 30 - 67 percent among men, 42 - 52 percent among women, 4 - 94 percent among Republicans and 30 - 65 percent among independent voters. Democrats approve 74 - 21 percent.

"The bad news for Democrats is that President Barack Obama's approval rating in Ohio is close to his all-time, all-state low. The good news for the party is that the president doesn't appear to be hurting the Democrats' consensus front-runner for 2016, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac Poll.

"Only three in ten men or independent voters approve of his job performance, a far cry from almost two years ago where he won the nation's most important swing state. And the Democratic approval rating in the low 70s is anemic, at best.

"Secretary Clinton, on the other hand, is almost everyone's favorite candidate. She squeaks past U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky and easily defeats each of the other Republicans she is matched against and has a solidly positive favorability rating. Obviously there is a long way to go until 2016, but at this point the political problems the president is encountering are not rubbing off on her."

Looking at the 2016 White House race, Ohio voters back Clinton over their Favorite Son, Gov. John Kasich, 47 - 40 percent. She tops other possible Republican contenders:
  • 46 - 42 percent over U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky;
  • 48 - 37 percent over former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush;
  • 46 - 37 percent over New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie.
By a 52 - 43 percent margin, Ohio voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton. For Republicans, favorability ratings are:
  • Negative 29 - 35 percent for Bush;
  • 35 - 30 percent for Paul;
  • 34 percent favorable to 36 percent unfavorable for Christie;
  • 46 - 30 percent for Kasich.
In matchups against Republicans, Clinton's lead among women ranges from 20 to 24 percentage points.

Paul gets 44 percent of independent voters to Clinton's 41 percent, but she leads other candidates among this pivotal group by margins of 6 to 14 percentage points.

Ohio voters approve 49 - 32 percent of the job U.S. Sen. Sherrod Brown is doing and give U.S. Sen. Rob Portman a 40 - 28 percent thumbs up.

From July 24 - 28, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,366 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

2. Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            46%    81%    17%    45%    51%    41%    28%    43%    49%    57%
Unfavorable          30      4     57     27     27     34     29     32     32     26
Hvn't hrd enough     21     13     23     25     19     22     42     21     17     12
REFUSED               3      2      3      3      3      3      1      3      2      4
 
TREND: Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 30  May 14  Feb 19  Nov 26  Jun 25  Feb 28  Dec 10
                     2014    2014    2014    2013    2013    2013    2008
 
Favorable            46      47      42      41      47      48      18
Unfavorable          30      29      30      30      28      32       8
Hvn't hrd enough     21      21      24      27      22      17      73
REFUSED               3       3       4       3       3       3       1
 
 
4. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              48%     5%    92%    45%    41%    55%    49%    50%    49%    44%
Bush                 37     85      2     31     43     31     28     35     38     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      1      1      6      4      3      6      4      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      3      1      5      5      2      1      4      4      3
DK/NA                 9      6      4     13      8      9     16      6      8      8
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Jul 31  May 15  Feb 20  Nov 27
                     2014    2014    2014    2013
 
Clinton              48      48      51      50
Bush                 37      39      36      37
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3       2       3       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       4       4       4
DK/NA                 9       6       6       7
 
 
5. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              46%     8%    88%    41%    37%    55%    44%    49%    47%    44%
Paul                 42     81      5     44     52     33     44     39     42     45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      4      3      2      1      4      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      3      1      2      3      1      1      2      2      2
DK/NA                 8      7      5      9      6      9     10      7      8      7
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Jul 31  May 15  Feb 20  Nov 27  Jun 26
                     2014    2014    2014    2013    2013
 
Clinton              46      49      51      50      47
Paul                 42      41      38      40      44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       1       2       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       3       3       3       2
DK/NA                 8       6       6       6       6
 
 
6. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              46%     6%    87%    45%    38%    54%    50%    46%    47%    43%
Christie             37     81      7     32     44     31     31     37     37     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      1      1      5      4      3      7      4      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      5      1      4      5      3      -      4      4      5
DK/NA                10      7      5     13      9     10     13      8     11      8
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Jul 31  May 15  Feb 20  Nov 27  Jun 26
                     2014    2014    2014    2013    2013
 
Clinton              46      46      49      42      42
Christie             37      38      36      41      42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3       2       4       3       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4       5       5       4       4
DK/NA                10       8       7      10      10
 
 
7. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John Kasich the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              47%     7%    89%    43%    40%    53%    49%    49%    47%    42%
Kasich               40     85      5     37     47     33     36     36     39     48
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      3      2      2      1      4      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      1      4      4      2      1      3      3      2
DK/NA                 9      6      4     13      8     10     13      8     10      6
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John Kasich the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Jul 31  May 15  Feb 20  Nov 27
                     2014    2014    2014    2013
 
Clinton              47      47      51      49
Kasich               40      42      39      38
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       2       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       3       4       3
DK/NA                 9       6       5       7
 
 
8. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            52%    14%    92%    49%    43%    61%    50%    55%    53%    48%
Unfavorable          43     82      6     43     51     35     37     41     44     47
Hvn't hrd enough      5      3      2      7      6      3     14      3      2      4
REFUSED               1      1      -      -      -      1      -      1      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 31  May 15  Jun 26  May 22  May 01  May 15  Nov 14
                     2014    2014    2013    2008    2008    2014    2007
 
Favorable            52      53      52      52      46      53      44
Unfavorable          43      43      44      42      44      43      44
Hvn't hrd enough      5       3       3       4       6       3       9
REFUSED               1       1       1       2       4       1       3
 
 
9. Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            29%    58%     7%    26%    32%    26%    14%    27%    30%    38%
Unfavorable          35      6     59     33     33     36     30     36     37     31
Hvn't hrd enough     35     35     33     38     34     37     55     35     32     28
REFUSED               1      -      2      2      1      2      1      2      -      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 31  May 15
                     2014    2014
 
Favorable            29      32
Unfavorable          35      38
Hvn't hrd enough     35      29
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
10. Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            35%    62%     7%    38%    45%    26%    39%    34%    34%    37%
Unfavorable          30     11     53     27     28     32     31     30     28     31
Hvn't hrd enough     34     26     40     34     25     42     30     36     36     30
REFUSED               1      1      1      2      1      1      -      1      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 31  May 15  Jun 26
                     2014    2014    2013
 
Favorable            35      38      43
Unfavorable          30      29      26
Hvn't hrd enough     34      32      31
REFUSED               1       1       1
 
 
11. Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            34%    55%    20%    32%    36%    33%    19%    34%    39%    39%
Unfavorable          36     20     48     35     36     35     40     37     35     32
Hvn't hrd enough     28     22     31     31     26     31     39     28     25     27
REFUSED               2      3      1      2      2      2      3      1      1      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 31  May 15  Jun 26
                     2014    2014    2013
 
Favorable            34      36      48
Unfavorable          36      36      16
Hvn't hrd enough     28      26      34
REFUSED               2       1       1
 
 
14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              49%    30%    68%    48%    44%    54%    42%    51%    49%    50%
Disapprove           32     44     20     32     38     26     33     31     34     33
DK/NA                19     26     12     20     18     20     25     18     17     17
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator? (* High also 52% Sep 2011, May 2009)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 31  May 15  Feb 20  Nov 27  Jun 26  Dec 12  Jul 07
                     2014    2014    2014    2013    2013    2012*   2009
 
Approve              49      49      48      47      46      52      41
Disapprove           32      33      34      37      38      35      29
DK/NA                19      18      18      16      16      13      30
 
 
15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rob Portman is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              40%    61%    24%    38%    45%    36%    37%    36%    43%    45%
Disapprove           28     16     41     27     30     27     27     31     27     27
DK/NA                32     23     36     35     26     37     35     33     30     29
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rob Portman is handling his job as United States Senator? (* High also 44% Jun 2013, Feb 2013)
                                                             APPROVE......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 31  May 15  Feb 20  Nov 27  Jun 26  May 15  Mar 24
                     2014    2014    2014    2013    2013    2014*   2011
 
Approve              40      44      38      41      44      44      30
Disapprove           28      27      32      28      26      27      25
DK/NA                32      29      30      30      30      29      45
 
 
16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-29  30-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              36%     4%    74%    30%    30%    42%    38%    36%    37%    33%
Disapprove           59     94     21     65     67     52     59     57     59     63
DK/NA                 5      2      6      5      4      6      3      6      4      4
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 31  May 15  Feb 20  Nov 27  Jun 26  Feb 06  Nov 27
                     2014    2014    2014    2013    2013    2009    2013
 
Approve              36      39      40      34      40      67      34
Disapprove           59      58      55      61      57      16      61
DK/NA                 5       3       4       5       3      17       5
 
 

Demographic Summary

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