February 28, 2008 - Pennsylvania Voters Don't Expect Tax Break From Slots, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Most Say Slot Machine Corruption Is A Problem

Word format

Most Pennsylvania voters expect the state's slot machine gambling to raise $1 billion by 2012, but they don't expect a significant tax break from this new revenue, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

A total of 36 percent of Philadelphia residents say it is "very likely" or "somewhat likely" that slot machine revenues will result in "significant cuts" in their City Wage Tax, while 58 percent say these tax cuts are "not too likely" or "not likely at all," the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN uh- pe-ack) University poll finds.

Among residents in the rest of Pennsylvania, 33 percent say "significant property tax rebates" from slot machine revenues are "very likely" or "somewhat likely," while 65 percent say tax rebates are "not too likely" or "not likely at all."

Still, 71 percent of Pennsylvania voters say it is "very likely" or "somewhat likely" slot machine gambling will raise an additional $1 billion in state revenues by 2012, while 25 percent say the billion-dollar goal is "not too likely" or "not likely at all."

"Pennsylvania voters are not counting the money they were promised in the form of significant tax cuts paid for by slot machine revenues," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"They do believe Harrisburg will receive a billion-dollar windfall, but they don't expect this money to trickle down to them in the form of significant tax cuts or rebates."

By a 65 - 27 percent margin, Pennsylvania voters say it's a "good thing" that the state now has four of the five top producing slot machine casinos on the East Coast. Results are consistent among men and women.

But 14 percent of voters say corruption in the operation of these casinos is "a major problem," while 42 percent say it is "somewhat of a problem."

Governor's Approval

Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell gets a 52 - 34 percent approval rating, almost the same as his 53 - 36 percent rating in a November 7, 2007 Quinnipiac University poll.

But voters split 42 - 42 percent in their approval of the way Gov. Rendell is handling slot machine gambling in the state.

"While Pennsylvania voters remain skeptical that slot machine gambling casino revenue will cut their taxes, the author of the plan, Gov. Ed Rendell, cruises along with a comfortable approval rating," Richards said.

"Voters are split right down the middle, however, on the Governor's handling of slot machine gambling. A majority are concerned about corruption in the slot casinos, but about a quarter say it's not much of a problem."

Voters approve 54 - 31 percent of the job U.S. Sen. Arlen Specter is doing and approve 50 - 20 percent of the job U.S. Sen. Robert Casey is doing.

From February 21 - 25, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,872 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.3 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.

7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling his job as Governor?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
 
Approve                 52%     34%     68%     52%     51%     54%
Disapprove              34      55      16      35      38      30
DK/NA                   13      11      15      12      11      16
 
                        Alghny  Philly  NthEst  SthEst  NthWst  SthWst  Cntrl
 
Approve                 47%     73%     54%     68%     41%     47%     40%
Disapprove              43      13      30      20      43      41      46
DK/NA                   10      14      17      12      16      12      14
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling his job as Governor? * Also 46% on 10/5/2005, 4/22/2004, 3/18/2004 and 12/16/2003
                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Feb 28  Nov 7   Aug 22  May 30  Mar 28  Feb 7   Apr 5
                        2008    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2006*
 
Approve                 52      53      53      55      57      61      46
Disapprove              34      36      37      36      33      30      37
DK/NA                   13      11      10       9      10       9      17
 
 
8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
 
Approve                 37%     34%     42%     35%     34%     40%
Disapprove              42      48      34      45      48      36
DK/NA                   21      18      24      21      18      24
 
                        Alghny  Philly  NthEst  SthEst  NthWst  SthWst  Cntrl
 
Approve                 33%     36%     44%     43%     38%     33%     34%
Disapprove              53      34      34      31      36      50      49
DK/NA                   13      30      22      26      26      17      17
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Feb 28  Nov 7   Aug 22  May 30  Mar 28  Apr 10  Oct 5
                        2008    2007    2007    2007    2007    2003    2005
 
Approve                 37      35      30      34      39      49      26
Disapprove              42      48      55      47      41      24      60
DK/NA                   21      17      15      18      20      27      14
 
 
9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Arlen Specter is handling his job as United States Senator?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
 
Approve                 54%     48%     60%     55%     51%     57%
Disapprove              31      40      24      32      39      24
DK/NA                   14      11      16      13      10      19
 
                        Alghny  Philly  NthEst  SthEst  NthWst  SthWst  Cntrl
 
Approve                 55%     61%     56%     54%     55%     54%     51%
Disapprove              35      23      31      32      25      31      34
DK/NA                   10      16      13      14      20      15      14
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Arlen Specter is handling his job as United States Senator? * Also 60% on 5/22/2003 & 2/21/2003
                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Feb 28  Nov 8   Aug 22  May 30  Mar 28  Jul 13  Apr 22
                        2008    2007    2007    2007    2007    2005*   2004
 
Approve                 54      54      58      56      59      60      47
Disapprove              31      31      32      34      29      30      36
DK/NA                   14      14      10      11      12      10      17
 
 
10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job as United States Senator?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
 
Approve                 50%     37%     62%     49%     50%     49%
Disapprove              20      31      12      19      24      16
DK/NA                   30      32      26      33      26      35
 
                        Alghny  Philly  NthEst  SthEst  NthWst  SthWst  Cntrl
 
Approve                 46%     52%     55%     48%     50%     55%     47%
Disapprove              29      11      17      20      17      22      21
DK/NA                   25      38      28      32      33      23      32
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Feb 28  Nov 8   Aug 22  May 30  Mar 28  Feb 28  Mar 28
                        2008    2007    2007    2007    2007    2008    2007
 
Approve                 50      49      49      47      46      50      46
Disapprove              20      21      23      21      18      20      18
DK/NA                   30      30      28      32      35      30      35
 
 
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling slot machine gambling in Pennsylvania?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
 
Approve                 42%     37%     47%     43%     42%     42%
Disapprove              42      52      35      40      45      39
DK/NA                   16      11      18      16      12      18
 
                        Alghny  Philly  NthEst  SthEst  NthWst  SthWst  Cntrl
 
Approve                 40%     49%     47%     45%     47%     40%     35%
Disapprove              49      30      37      38      35      52      49
DK/NA                   11      21      16      17      18       8      16
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling slot machine gambling in Pennsylvania?
                        Feb 28  Mar 28
                        2008    2007
 
Approve                 42      43
Disapprove              42      43
DK/NA                   16      14
 
 
13. (Philadelphia ONLY) State officials say that slot machine gambling in Pennsylvania is now making enough money to start reducing the city wage tax. How likely do you think it is that you will ever see significant cuts in the Philadelphia wage tax from revenue raised through slot machine gambling - Very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not likely at all?
                        Philly
                        Tot     
 
Very likely              4%     
Smwht likely            32      
Not too likely          28      
Not likely at all       30      
DK/NA                    5      
 
 
14. (Outside Philadelphia ONLY)State officials say that slot machine gambling in Pennsylvania is now making enough money to start giving out property tax rebates. How likely do you think it is that you will ever see significant property tax rebates from revenue raised through slot machine gambling - Very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not likely at all?
                        OUTSIDE PHILADELPHIA.......................
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
 
Very likely              5%      4%      8%      4%      6%      5%
Smwht likely            28      22      36      24      26      30
Not too likely          31      33      26      37      28      34
Not likely at all       34      39      27      33      39      29
DK/NA                    2       2       3       2       2       3
 
                        Alghny  NthEst  SthEst  NthWst  SthWst  Cntrl
 
Very likely              4%      5%      8%      4%      6%      4%
Smwht likely            28      29      25      30      27      29
Not too likely          31      34      28      31      28      33
Not likely at all       35      30      38      28      38      32
DK/NA                    2       3       2       6       2       2
 
 
15. State officials say slot machine gambling will raise 1 billion dollars in revenue for the state by 2012. Do you think this is very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not likely at all?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
 
Very likely             26%     23%     25%     29%     31%     21%
Smwht likely            45      44      51      40      39      50
Not too likely          15      16      13      16      14      16
Not likely at all       10      13       8      10      12       9
DK/NA                    4       4       3       4       4       4
 
                        Alghny  Philly  NthEst  SthEst  NthWst  SthWst  Cntrl
 
Very likely             23%     26%     31%     22%     26%     29%     26%
Smwht likely            46      45      46      47      47      46      42
Not too likely          19      14      11      16      12      12      16
Not likely at all        9       9       7      11      12       9      13
DK/NA                    3       6       4       4       3       4       3
 
 
16. From what you have heard or read, how big a problem is corruption in the operation of slot machine casinos in Pennsylvania - A major problem, somewhat of a problem or not much of a problem at all?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
 
A major prob            14%     17%     11%     14%     15%     13%
Somewhat of a prob      42      42      43      40      40      43
Not much of a prob      27      25      29      29      33      23
DK/NA                   17      17      17      17      12      21
 
                        Alghny  Philly  NthEst  SthEst  NthWst  SthWst  Cntrl
 
A major prob            16%     12%     17%     10%      9%     15%     16%
Somewhat of a prob      41      40      48      40      41      40      42
Not much of a prob      24      29      25      31      32      33      23
DK/NA                   19      19      10      18      19      13      18
 
 
17. Pennsylvania now has four of the five top producing slot machine casinos on the East Coast in terms of producing the most revenue. Is that a good thing for Pennsylvania or a bad thing?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
 
Good thing              65%     57%     71%     65%     67%     63%
Bad thing               27      36      20      27      27      26
DK/NA                    8       8       9       8       6      11
 
                        Alghny  Philly  NthEst  SthEst  NthWst  SthWst  Cntrl
 
Good thing              67%     73%     69%     62%     63%     64%     62%
Bad thing               28      19      22      32      22      25      30
DK/NA                    5       8       9       6      15      11       8