April 8, 2008 - Obama Catching Up With Clinton In Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; She's Losing Ground Even Among Women

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Illinois Sen. Barack Obama is catching up with New York Sen. Hillary Clinton in the Pennsylvania Democratic primary and now trails 50 - 44 percent among likely primary voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to a 50 - 41 percent Sen. Clinton lead in an April 2 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN uh-pe-ack) University.

In this latest survey, one of the biggest shifts is among women who went from 54 - 37 percent for Clinton April 2 to 54 - 41 percent for her today. A look at other groups shows:
  • White voters for Clinton 56 - 38 percent, down from 59 - 34 percent last week.
  • Black voters back Obama 75 - 17 percent, compared to 73 - 11 percent.
  • Men are for Obama 48 - 44 percent, compared to a 46 - 46 percent tie last week.
  • Voters under 45 go with Obama 55 - 40, while older voters back Clinton 55 - 38 percent.
"With two weeks to go, Sen. Barack Obama is knocking on the door of a major political upset in the Pennsylvania Democratic primary. Obama is not only building on his own constituencies, but is taking away voters in Sen. Hillary Clinton's strongest areas - whites including white women, voters in the key swing Philadelphia suburbs and those who say the economy is the most important issue in the campaign," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"The Pennsylvania primary is like a game of horseshoes: Sen. Obama needs only to come close to be considered the winner - taking away, perhaps fatally, Sen. Clinton's argument she is the candidate best able to defeat Sen. John McCain in critical swing states like Pennsylvania."

Obama leads 55 - 37 percent among Philadelphia voters and 53 - 42 percent in the Philadelphia suburbs, widening a 49 - 44 percent April 2 lead in this critical area.

By a 71 - 23 percent margin, Pennsylvania likely Democratic primary voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton, compared to 67 - 19 percent for Obama.

The economy is the single most important issue in deciding their primary vote, 52 percent of Pennsylvania Democrats say, followed by 22 percent who list the war in Iraq and 15 percent who cite healthcare.

Voters who list the economy as their top issue give Clinton a small 49 - 45 percent margin over Obama, down from 53 - 39 percent. Voters who cite the war in Iraq back Obama 51 - 44 percent. Voters worried about health care go with Clinton 62 - 32 percent.

"The economy was supposed to be Clinton's ace in the hole in Rust Belt states such as Pennsylvania, but Obama is holding a good hand, too," Richards said.

Looking at the qualities they most want in a candidate, 37 percent of Pennsylvania Democrats are looking for a strong leader, with 27 percent looking for someone who is trustworthy and 18 percent seeking someone who shares their values.

Among those looking for a strong leader, Clinton leads 64 - 31 percent. Obama leads 59 - 32 percent among voters looking for a trustworthy candidate.

Pennsylvania Democrats approve 65 - 23 percent of the way Obama is handling race issues in the campaign, with white voters approving 62 - 25 percent and black voters approving 80 - 14 percent.

Voters approve 56 - 28 percent of the way Clinton is handling race issues, with white approval at 60 - 24 percent and black approval at a negative 35 - 48 percent.

From April 3 - 6, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,340 Pennsylvania likely Democratic primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.

1. If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, for whom would you vote? (If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton or Obama? This table includes "Leaners".
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Clinton                 50%     44%     54%     56%     17%     55%     52%
Obama                   44      48      41      38      75      37      43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       -       1       -       1       -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    6       7       5       6       8       8       5
 
                        Alghny  Philly  NthEst  SthEst  NthWst  SthWst  Cntrl
 
Clinton                 57%     37%     63%     42%     57%     60%     46%
Obama                   39      55      33      53      37      31      45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          -       -       -       -       1       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    3       9       3       5       5       8       7
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    >50k
 
Clinton                 40%     55%     54%     39%     53%     49%
Obama                   55      38      38      57      41      47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       -       1       -       1       -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    4       7       7       3       5       4
 
                        WHITE DEM LIKELY VOTERS............................
                                        No col  Col             INCOME......
                        Men     Wom     degree  degree  Cath    <50k    >50k
 
Clinton                 49%     62%     62%     42%     65%     62%     53%
Obama                   42      34      31      54      29      32      43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       1       -       -       1       -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    7       4       6       3       5       4       4
 
                        IMPORTANT ISSUE TO VOTE/IMPORTANT QLTY IN CANDIDATE ........
                        War     Econ    HlthCr /Trust  ShrVals Leader  CanWin Inspres
 
Clinton                 44%     49%     62%     32%    51%     64%     50%     29%
Obama                   51      45      32      59     42      31      46      71
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          -       1       -       -      2       -       -       -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -      -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    5       6       6       9      5       5       4       -
 
TREND: If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton or Obama? *This table includes Leaners.
                        LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS......
                        TOTAL.................................
                        Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008     2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 50      50      53      49      52
Obama                   44      41      41      43      36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       1       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    6       8       6       7      11
 
                        MEN...................................
                        Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 44      46      45      43      49
Obama                   48      46      48      50      39
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       1       2       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    7       7       6       4      10
 
                        WOMEN.................................
                        Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 54      54      59      53      54
Obama                   41      37      35      39      34
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          -       1       -       -       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    5       9       5       9      12
 
                        WHITE.................................
                        Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 56      59      61      56      58
Obama                   38      34      33      37      31
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       1       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    6       7       6       7       9
 
                        BLACK.................................
                        Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 17      11      18      23      10
Obama                   75      73      76      69      71
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          -       -       -       -       -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    8      15       6       8      19
 
                        WHITE MEN.............................
                        Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 49      52      52      48      52
Obama                   42      40      42      45      36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       1       2       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    7       7       6       6       8
 
                        WHITE WOMEN...........................
                        Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 62      63      68      61      62
Obama                   34      29      26      31      28
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       -       -       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    4       7       5       8      10
 
                        AGE 18-44.............................
                        Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 40      42      39      41      52
Obama                   55      51      57      58      41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       1       -       -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    4       7       3       1       7
 
                        AGE 45+...............................
                        Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 55      54      60      52      51
Obama                   38      37      34      39      34
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          -       1       1       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    7       9       6       8      12
 
                        NO COLLEGE DEGREE.....................
                        Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 54      55      57      52      57
Obama                   38      36      37      39      28
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       1       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    7       9       6       8      13
 
                        COLLEGE DEGREE........................
                        Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 39      40      45      41      40
Obama                   57      53      50      53      53
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          -       -       1       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    3       7       5       5       6
 
                        SOUTHEAST.............................
                        Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 42      44      52      41      42
Obama                   53      49      44      53      54
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          -       -       1       -       -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    5       8       4       6       4
 
 
                        INCOME <50K...........................
                        Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 53      53      57      52      59
Obama                   41      38      38      40      30
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       -       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    5       8       5       6       9
 
 
                        INCOME 50K+...........................
                        Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 49      49      49      46      43
Obama                   47      45      46      48      48
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          -       1       1       -       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    4       6       5       6       8
 
 
2. Is your opinion of -- Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Favorable               71%     67%     75%     74%     56%     66%     73%
Unfavorable             23      27      20      21      34      29      21
Hvn't hrd enough         4       5       3       4       5       3       4
REFUSED                  2       2       2       2       4       2       1
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    >50k
 
Favorable               69%     72%     73%     66%     75%     69%
Unfavorable             25      22      20      29      18      27
Hvn't hrd enough         3       4       4       3       5       3
REFUSED                  2       2       2       2       3       1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of -- Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                        Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18
                        2008    2008    2008
 
Favorable               71      71      71
Unfavorable             23      23      23
Hvn't hrd enough         4       4       4
REFUSED                  2       2       2
 
 
3. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Favorable               67%     70%     64%     62%     91%     60%     66%
Unfavorable             19      17      21      23       3      23      23
Hvn't hrd enough        11      11      11      12       6      12      11
REFUSED                  3       1       3       3       -       5       1
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    >50k
 
Favorable               75%     63%     62%     80%     61%     73%
Unfavorable             18      20      22      13      24      17
Hvn't hrd enough         7      13      13       5      12       9
REFUSED                  1       3       3       2       3       1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                        Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18
                        2008    2008    2008
 
Favorable               67      63      61
Unfavorable             19      21      19
Hvn't hrd enough        11      14      17
REFUSED                  3       2       3
 
 
4. Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the Democratic primary for President this year? (Read options)
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Terrorism                3%      3%      3%      3%      -       7%      4%
The war in Iraq         22      24      21      24      16      20      24
The economy             52      54      51      50      59      52      54
Illegal immigration      2       2       3       2       2       4       2
Health care             15      13      17      15      20      13      12
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)      2       3       2       3       2       2       2
DK/NA                    3       2       3       3       2       2       1
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    >50k
 
Terrorism                2%      3%      3%      3%      2%      3%
The war in Iraq         19      24      20      27      23      23
The economy             59      49      53      51      49      57
Illegal immigration      2       2       3       2       2       2
Health care             14      17      17      11      19      12
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)      2       3       2       4       2       3
DK/NA                    2       3       3       2       3       1
 
TREND: Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the Democratic primary for President this year?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                        Apr 8   Mar 18
                        2008    2008
 
Terrorism                3       3
The war in Iraq         22      23
The economy             52      48
Illegal immigration      2       3
Health care             15      18
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)      2       3
DK/NA                    3       2
 
 
5. When you decide how to vote in the democratic primary for president, which of the following is the single most important quality you look for in a candidate? (Read options)
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Trustworthy             27%     26%     28%     28%     23%     31%     29%
Shares your values      18      16      19      18      16      16      20
A strong leader         37      34      40      36      43      38      37
Can win in November     10      13       8      10      13       8       9
Inspiring                5       7       3       5       3       5       3
DK/NA                    3       5       1       3       3       4       3
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    >50k
 
Trustworthy             25%     29%     29%     23%     29%     25%
Shares your values      21      17      17      21      17      21
A strong leader         35      37      39      31      38      35
Can win in November     12       9       9      14       9      11
Inspiring                5       4       3       9       4       6
DK/NA                    3       3       3       2       3       3
 
TREND: When you decide how to vote in the democratic primary for president, which of the following is the single most important quality you look for in a candidate?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                        Apr 8   Mar 18
                        2008    2008
 
Trustworthy             27      23
Shares your values      18      22
A strong leader         37      37
Can win in November     10      11
Inspiring                5       5
DK/NA                    3       2
 
 
6. In deciding your vote in the democratic primary for president today how important is the candidate's gender - Very important, somewhat important, not too important or not important at all?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Very important          10%     10%      9%      7%     23%      8%      8%
Somewhat important       7       6       7       7       7       8       7
Not too important       12      11      13      13       8      10      15
Not important at all    71      73      70      73      63      74      70
DK/NA                    -       -       -       -       -       -       -
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    >50k
 
Very important           6%     11%     12%      4%     14%      4%
Somewhat important       4       8       6       8       7       7
Not too important       14      12      12      12      13      10
Not important at all    76      69      69      75      65      79
DK/NA                    -       -       -       -       -       -
 
 
7. In deciding your vote in the democratic primary for president today how important is the candidate's race - Very important, somewhat important, not too important or not important at all?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Very important           8%      9%      6%      6%     15%      6%      6%
Somewhat important       6       5       7       6       8       8       7
Not too important       11      11      10      11       8       7      14
Not important at all    75      75      76      77      69      79      72
DK/NA                    -       -       -       -       -       -       1
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    >50k
 
Very important           6%      8%      9%      3%     11%      3%
Somewhat important       5       6       7       5       6       5
Not too important       11      11      11      10      13       9
Not important at all    77      75      73      82      69      83
DK/NA                    -       -       -       -       -       -
 
 
8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling issues involving race in the Presidential campaign?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Approve                 65%     69%     63%     62%     80%     63%     61%
Disapprove              23      22      24      25      14      25      29
DK/NA                   12      10      13      12       6      11      10
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    >50k
 
Approve                 68%     64%     61%     75%     62%     69%
Disapprove              21      24      26      16      25      22
DK/NA                   11      12      13       8      13       9
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling issues involving race in the Presidential campaign?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                        Apr 8   Apr 2
                        2008    2008
 
Approve                 65      65
Disapprove              23      24
DK/NA                   12      11
 
 
9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hillary Clinton is handling issues involving race in the Presidential campaign?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Approve                 56%     57%     55%     60%     35%     58%     57%
Disapprove              28      28      27      24      48      28      27
DK/NA                   17      15      18      16      16      14      17
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    >50k
 
Approve                 50%     59%     57%     52%     56%     55%
Disapprove              30      26      25      35      26      30
DK/NA                   20      15      18      13      18      15
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hillary Clinton is handling issues involving race in the Presidential campaign?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                        Apr 8   Apr 2
                        2008    2008
 
Approve                 56      55
Disapprove              28      31
DK/NA                   17      15
 
 
10. As you may know, Governor Ed Rendell has endorsed Hillary Clinton for President. Does Rendell's endorsement of Clinton make you more likely to vote for Clinton, less likely to vote for Clinton, or doesn't it make a difference?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
More likely              8%     10%      7%      9%      4%      5%      9%
Less likely              9      11       8       9      13      13      12
Doesn't make diff       82      79      85      82      81      82      79
DK/NA                    1       1       1       -       2       1       -
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    >50k
 
More likely             10%      8%      9%      6%      7%     11%
Less likely              7      10       9      10       9      10
Doesn't make diff       82      82      81      84      84      79
DK/NA                    1       -       1       -       1       -
 
 
11. As you may know, Senator Bob Casey has endorsed Barack Obama for President. Does Casey's endorsement of Obama make you more likely to vote for Obama, less likely to vote for Obama, or doesn't it make a difference?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
More likely              5%      6%      3%      4%      5%      5%      4%
Less likely              7       7       8       8       1       8       9
Doesn't make diff       87      86      88      87      93      87      87
DK/NA                    1       1       -       -       2       1       -
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    >50k
 
More likely              6%      4%      4%      5%      5%      5%
Less likely              5       9       8       6      10       6
Doesn't make diff       89      87      87      89      85      89
DK/NA                    1       -       1       -       -       -
 
 
12. (Philadelphia only) As you may know, Mayor Michael Nutter has endorsed Hillary Clinton for President. Does Nutter's endorsement of Clinton make you more likely to vote for Clinton, less likely to vote for Clinton, or doesn't it make a difference?
                        LIKELY DEM
                        PRIMARY VOTERS
                        Tot
 
More likely             11%
Less likely              5
Doesn't make diff       83
DK/NA                    1
 
 
13. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Right thing             11%     14%      9%     13%      1%     23%     14%
Wrong thing             84      83      85      82      94      71      81
DK/NA                    5       3       5       4       5       6       5
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    >50k
 
Right thing             12%     11%     12%     10%     10%     13%
Wrong thing             83      84      83      87      86      84
DK/NA                    5       4       5       3       4       3
 
TREND: Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                        Apr 8   Apr 2
                        2008    2008
 
Right thing             11      12
Wrong thing             84      84
DK/NA                    5       3
 
 
14. What should the United States do in Iraq? Withdraw all troops as soon as possible, OR set a timetable to withdraw troops gradually OR keep troops in Iraq as long as needed?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Withdraw all troops     29%     29%     29%     27%     40%     20%     26%
Set a timetable         58      55      61      59      55      56      62
Keep troops as needed    9      12       7      10       5      19      10
DK/NA                    3       3       3       4       1       5       2
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    >50k
 
Withdraw all troops     29%     29%     31%     24%     34%     23%
Set a timetable         60      58      57      61      56      62
Keep troops as needed    9       9       8      14       7      13
DK/NA                    2       4       4       2       3       2
 
TREND: What should the United States do in Iraq? Withdraw all troops as soon as possible, OR set a timetable to withdraw troops gradually OR keep troops in Iraq as long as needed?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                        Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18
                        2008    2008    2008
 
A) Withdraw all troops  29      33      32
B) Set a timetable      58      55      53
C) As long as needed     9       9      13
DK/NA                    3       3       3
 
 
15. Do you think it's the government's responsibility to make sure that everyone in the United States has adequate health-care, or don't you think so?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Yes                     83%     81%     85%     81%     91%     72%     82%
No                      14      16      12      16       5      25      14
DK/NA                    3       3       3       3       3       3       4
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    >50k
 
Yes                     84%     83%     85%     78%     85%     81%
No                      14      14      12      18      12      16
DK/NA                    3       3       3       3       3       3
 
TREND: Do you think it's the government's responsibility to make sure that everyone in the United States has adequate health-care, or don't you think so?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                        Apr 8   Apr 2
                        2008    2008
 
Yes                     83      80
No                      14      16
DK/NA                    3       4
 
 
16. Which best describes your family's financial situation - Getting ahead, falling behind or holding steady?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Getting ahead           13%     17%     11%     12%     19%     13%     14%
Falling behind          21      17      24      21      18      21      23
Holding steady          65      66      64      66      62      66      61
DK/NA                    1       1       1       1       1       -       2
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    >50k
 
Getting ahead           20%     10%     10%     21%      8%     21%
Falling behind          22      20      23      16      27      16
Holding steady          57      69      66      63      65      63
DK/NA                    1       1       1       -       -       -
 
TREND: Which best describes your family's financial situation - getting ahead, falling behind, or holding steady?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                        Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18
                        2008    2008    2008
 
Getting ahead           13      14      19
Falling behind          21      19      19
Holding steady          65      67      62
DK/NA                    1       -       1
 
 
17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Approve                  6%      7%      5%      7%      -      12%      6%
Disapprove              91      91      92      90      99      81      91
DK/NA                    3       3       3       3       1       7       3
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    >50k
 
Approve                  7%      5%      6%      5%      6%      6%
Disapprove              91      92      91      92      91      92
DK/NA                    3       3       3       3       2       2
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                        Apr 8   Apr 2
                        2008    2008
 
Approve                  6       6
Disapprove              91      92
DK/NA                    3       2