April 15, 2008 - Clinton Stalls Obama, Holds 6-Point Pennsylvania Lead, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Many Clinton Dems Would Back Mccain Over Obama

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New York Sen. Hillary Clinton has stalled Illinois Sen. Barack Obama's drive in the Pennsylvania Democratic primary and holds a 50 - 44 percent lead among likely primary voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today, unchanged from April 8 results.

There was no noticeable difference in the matchup in polling April 12 - 13, following widespread media reports on Sen. Obama's 'bitter' comments.

In this latest survey of 2,103 likely Democratic primary voters by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN uh-pe-ack) University, 26 percent of Clinton supporters would switch to Arizona Sen. John McCain, the Republican, in November if Obama were the Democratic nominee. Nineteen percent of Obama backers would switch to McCain if Clinton were the Democratic nominee. A look at other groups shows:
  • White voters for Clinton 57 - 37 percent, compared to 56 - 38 percent last week;
  • Black voters back Obama 86 - 8 percent, compared to 75 - 17 percent;
  • Women back Clinton 54 - 40 percent, unchanged from 54 - 41 percent last week;
  • Men are for Obama 51 - 43 percent, compared to a 48 - 44 percent tie last week;
  • Reagan Democrats back Clinton 55 - 40 percent;
  • Voters under 45 go with Obama 55 - 39, while older voters back Clinton 55 - 40 percent.
"Sen. Hillary Clinton is fighting off Sen. Barack Obama's drive to make it a close race in the Pennsylvania Democratic primary, holding the six-point edge she had a week ago. She seems to have halted the erosion of whites and white women in particular from her campaign," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"She even gained back some ground in the Philadelphia suburbs - the area where elections are won and lost in the Keystone State. She now trails Obama by just two points in this critical area, while she was 11 points behind a week ago."

Obama will win the Democratic nomination, say 55 percent of Pennsylvania likely Democratic primary voters, including 32 percent of Clinton supporters.

"Two big questions are whether the Clinton forces can keep from getting discouraged by all the talk she can't win the nomination even if she wins Pennsylvania and whether enthusiasm for Obama will translate into a record turnout of blacks and young first-time voters that would deny Clinton the victory she needs to stay alive," Richards added.

"A bigger problem for Democrats looms in Pennsylvania. One out of four Clinton voters, including a third of men, say they will vote for Republican Sen. John McCain in November if Obama is the Democratic candidate.

By a 70 - 22 percent margin, Pennsylvania likely Democratic primary voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton, compared to 65 - 20 percent for Obama, virtually unchanged from last week.

The economy is the single most important issue in deciding their primary vote, 49 percent of Pennsylvania Democrats say, followed by 27 percent who list the war in Iraq and 16 percent who cite healthcare.

Voters who list the economy as their top issue give Clinton a small 50 - 44 percent margin over Obama, up from 49 - 45 percent. Voters who cite the war in Iraq back Obama 54 - 42 percent, up from 51 - 44 percent. Voters worried about health care go with Clinton 60 - 36 percent, compared to 62 - 32 percent last week.

Looking at the qualities they most want in a candidate, 36 percent of Pennsylvania Democrats are looking for a strong leader, with 29 percent looking for someone who is trustworthy and 17 percent seeking someone who shares their values.

Voters looking for a strong leader back Clinton 64 - 31 percent. Obama leads 52 - 40 percent with voters looking for a trustworthy candidate, down from 59 - 32 percent.

From April 9 - 13, Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,103 Pennsylvania likely Democratic primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.1 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research.
1. If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Clinton or Obama?(If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton or Obama? This table includes "Leaners".
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Clinton                 50%     43%     54%     57%      8%     55%     51%
Obama                   44      51      40      37      86      40      42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          -       -       1       1       -       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    6       6       5       5       7       4       6
 
                        Alghny  Philly  NthEst  SthEst  NthWst  SthWst  Cntrl
 
Clinton                 49%     33%     58%     46%     54%     66%     49%
Obama                   44      63      37      48      42      28      43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          -       -       -       -       -       -       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    7       4       5       6       4       6       6
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    50k+
 
Clinton                 39%     55%     54%     39%     50%     48%
Obama                   55      40      39      57      45      47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       -       1       -       -       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    5       5       6       4       5       5
 
                        WHITE DEM LIKELY VOTERS............................
                                        No col  Col             INCOME......
                        Men     Wom     degree  degree  Cath    <50k    50k+
 
Clinton                 51%     62%     63%     44%     63%     61%     53%
Obama                   44      32      31      51      30      33      42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       1       -       1       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    5       5       6       4       6       5       4
 
                  IMP ISSUE TO VOTE Q4.../IMP QUALITY IN CANDIDATE Q5.........
                  War     Econ    HlthCr /Trust   ShrVals Leader  CnWin Insprs
 
Clinton           42%     50%     60%     40%     49%     64%     47%    17%
Obama             54      44      36      52      47      31      46     78
SMONE ELSE(VOL)    1       -       -       1       -       -       -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)   -       -       -       -       -       -       -      -
DK/NA              4       6       4       7       4       5       7      6
 
                        Age........................
                        18-34   35-49   50-64   65+
 
Clinton                 35%     47%     49%     62%
Obama                   59      47      46      31
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       -       -       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    5       5       5       6
 
TREND: If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton or Obama? *This table includes Leaners.
                        LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS..............
                        TOTAL.........................................
                        Apr 15  Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008     2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 50      50      50      53      49      52
Obama                   44      44      41      41      43      36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          -       1       1       1       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    6       6       8       6       7      11
 
                        MEN...........................................
                        Apr 15  Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 43      44      46      45      43      49
Obama                   51      48      46      48      50      39
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          -       1       1       1       2       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    6       7       7       6       4      10
 
                        WOMEN.........................................
                        Apr 15  Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 54      54      54      59      53      54
Obama                   40      41      37      35      39      34
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       -       1       -       -       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    5       5       9       5       9      12
 
                        WHITE.........................................
                        Apr 15  Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 57      56      59      61      56      58
Obama                   37      38      34      33      37      31
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       1       1       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    5       6       7       6       7       9
 
                        BLACK.........................................
                        Apr 15  Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                  8      17      11      18      23      10
Obama                   86      75      73      76      69      71
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          -       -       -       -       -       -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    7       8      15       6       8      19
 
                        WHITE MEN.....................................
                        Apr 15  Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 51      49      52      52      48      52
Obama                   44      42      40      42      45      36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       1       1       2       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    5       7       7       6       6       8
 
                        WHITE WOMEN...................................
                        Apr 15  Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 62      62      63      68      61      62
Obama                   32      34      29      26      31      28
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       1       -       -       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    5       4       7       5       8      10
 
                        AGE 18-44.....................................
                        Apr 15  Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 39      40      42      39      41      52
Obama                   55      55      51      57      58      41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       1       1       -       -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    5       4       7       3       1       7
 
                        AGE 45+.......................................
                        Apr 15  Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 55      55      54      60      52      51
Obama                   40      38      37      34      39      34
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          -       -       1       1       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    5       7       9       6       8      12
 
                        NO COLLEGE DEGREE.............................
                        Apr 15  Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 54      54      55      57      52      57
Obama                   39      38      36      37      39      28
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       1       1       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    6       7       9       6       8      13
 
                        COLLEGE DEGREE................................
                        Apr 15  Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 39      39      40      45      41      40
Obama                   57      57      53      50      53      53
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          -       -       -       1       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    4       3       7       5       5       6
 
                        SOUTHEAST.....................................
                        Apr 15  Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 46      42      44      52      41      42
Obama                   48      53      49      44      53      54
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          -       -       -       1       -       -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    6       5       8       4       6       4
 
                        INCOME <50K...................................
                        Apr 15  Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 50      53      53      57      52      59
Obama                   45      41      38      38      40      30
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          -       1       1       -       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    5       5       8       5       6       9
 
                        INCOME 50K+...................................
                        Apr 15  Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                        2008    2008    2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton                 48      49      49      49      46      43
Obama                   47      47      45      46      48      48
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       -       1       1       -       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                    5       4       6       5       6       8
 
 
2. Is your opinion of -- Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Favorable               70%     66%     73%     73%     58%     62%     71%
Unfavorable             22      27      19      21      30      31      22
Hvn't hrd enough         5       4       5       4       6       4       5
REFUSED                  3       3       2       2       6       2       2
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    50k+
 
Favorable               64%     73%     71%     67%     70%     71%
Unfavorable             28      20      21      27      22      23
Hvn't hrd enough         5       5       6       2       5       4
REFUSED                  3       2       2       3       3       2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of -- Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS.....
                        Apr 15  Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18
                        2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Favorable               70      71      71      71
Unfavorable             22      23      23      23
Hvn't hrd enough         5       4       4       4
REFUSED                  3       2       2       2
 
 
3. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Favorable               65%     67%     63%     59%     95%     55%     64%
Unfavorable             20      19      20      22       1      29      22
Hvn't hrd enough        13      12      14      15       3      15      12
REFUSED                  3       3       3       3       1       1       3
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    50k+
 
Favorable               72%     61%     59%     79%     62%     69%
Unfavorable             14      22      23      12      21      18
Hvn't hrd enough        11      14      15       8      14      11
REFUSED                  2       3       3       2       2       2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS.....
                        Apr 15  Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18
                        2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Favorable               65      67      63      61
Unfavorable             20      19      21      19
Hvn't hrd enough        13      11      14      17
REFUSED                  3       3       2       3
 
 
4. Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the Democratic primary for President this year? (Read options)
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Terrorism                2%      2%      2%      2%      1%      4%      2%
The war in Iraq         27      25      28      27      23      24      25
The economy             49      51      48      49      55      49      55
Illegal immigration      2       3       2       2       1       6       2
Health care             16      14      17      16      16      13      12
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)      2       2       2       2       4       2       2
DK/NA                    3       3       2       2       -       2       2
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    50k+
 
Terrorism                1%      2%      2%      2%      2%      1%
The war in Iraq         25      27      25      30      25      27
The economy             54      47      49      49      48      54
Illegal immigration      2       2       3       1       3       2
Health care             12      17      17      13      18      12
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)      3       2       2       2       2       2
DK/NA                    3       2       3       2       3       1
 
TREND: Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the Democratic primary for President this year? (Read Options)
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                        Apr 15  Apr 8   Mar 18
                        2008    2008    2008
 
Terrorism                2       3       3
The war in Iraq         27      22      23
The economy             49      52      48
Illegal immigration      2       2       3
Health care             16      15      18
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)      2       2       3
DK/NA                    3       3       2
 
 
5. When you decide how to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which of the following is the single most important quality you look for in a candidate? (Read options)
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Trustworthy             29%     30%     29%     28%     37%     33%     30%
Shares your values      17      16      18      18      16      15      23
A strong leader         36      30      40      37      29      38      32
Can win in November      9      13       6       9       8       7       8
Inspiring                7       9       5       6       9       5       5
DK/NA                    2       2       1       2       1       3       2
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    50k+
 
Trustworthy             26%     31%     32%     24%     32%     26%
Shares your values      21      16      16      20      18      19
A strong leader         34      36      37      33      35      36
Can win in November      9       8       7      13       8      10
Inspiring                8       6       5       9       5       8
DK/NA                    1       2       2       1       2       1
 
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                        Apr 15  Apr 8   Mar 18
                        2008    2008    2008
 
Trustworthy             29      27      23
Shares your values      17      18      22
A strong leader         36      37      37
Can win in November      9      10      11
Inspiring                7       5       5
DK/NA                    2       3       2
 
 
6. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think will win the Democratic party's nomination for President - Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Clinton                 30%     26%     32%     33%     13%     33%     32%
Obama                   55      62      50      53      70      54      53
DK/NA                   15      11      18      14      17      13      15
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    50k+
 
Clinton                 23%     33%     35%     19%     34%     25%
Obama                   66      51      49      69      51      63
DK/NA                   12      16      16      12      15      12
 
                        Age........................
                        18-34   35-49   50-64   65+
 
Clinton                 21%     27%     27%     41%
Obama                   68      60      59      38
DK/NA                   10      13      14      21
 
                        Clinton Obama
                        Voters  Voters
                        
Clinton                  52%      7%
Obama                    32      84
DK/NA                    16       9
 
 
7. (If Obama supporter Q1)If Barack Obama loses the Democratic nomination to Hillary Clinton, who would you vote for in the general election for president in November - Hillary Clinton the Democrat or John McCain the Republican?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                        OBAMA SUPPORTER Q1.....................................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Clinton                 70%     67%     72%     63%     88%     37%     74%
McCain                  19      22      16      25       5      51      15
DK/NA                   11      11      12      12       7      12      11
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    50k+
 
Clinton                 73%     68%     70%     70%     71%     71%
McCain                  18      19      19      19      20      17
DK/NA                    9      13      12      11       9      11
 
 
8. (If Clinton supporter q1)If Hillary Clinton loses the Democratic nomination to Barack Obama, who would you vote for in the general election for president in November - Barack Obama the Democrat or John McCain the Republican? (Black subgroup too small for accurate analysis)
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                        CLINTON SUPPORTER Q1...................................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk*    Dems    HsHolds
 
Obama                   50%     45%     54%     50%             36%     49%
McCain                  26      34      22      27              42      34
DK/NA                   23      21      24      23              21      17
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    50k+
 
Obama                   54%     49%     47%     62%     50%     52%
McCain                  24      27      27      25      22      31
DK/NA                   22      23      26      13      28      18
 
 
9. Would you say that Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy or not?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Yes                     66%     62%     70%     69%     54%     56%     69%
No                      26      30      23      24      33      37      22
DK/NA                    8       8       8       7      12       6       9
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    50k+
 
Yes                     62%     68%     68%     62%     66%     66%
No                      31      24      23      31      27      25
DK/NA                    8       8       8       7       8       8
 
 
10. Would you say that Barack Obama is honest and trustworthy or not?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Yes                     74%     75%     72%     70%     94%     67%     70%
No                      14      16      13      17       1      21      19
DK/NA                   12       9      15      13       4      12      11
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    50k+
 
Yes                     81%     71%     68%     86%     72%     77%
No                      12      15      17       9      14      15
DK/NA                    7      14      15       6      14       8
 
 
11. Would you say that Hillary Clinton has strong leadership qualities or not?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Yes                     84%     79%     88%     87%     69%     77%     82%
No                      13      18      10      12      23      22      15
DK/NA                    3       3       2       1       8       1       2
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    50k+
 
Yes                     81%     85%     84%     85%     83%     85%
No                      16      12      13      13      14      14
DK/NA                    3       3       3       1       4       1
 
 
12. Would you say that Barack Obama has strong leadership qualities or not?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Yes                     70%     71%     69%     65%     90%     61%     67%
No                      19      18      19      22       2      27      24
DK/NA                   12      11      12      13       8      11       9
 
                        Age     Age     No col  Col     INCOME......
                        18-44   45+     degree  degree  <50k    50k+
 
Yes                     79%     65%     64%     82%     67%     74%
No                      13      22      21      11      20      18
DK/NA                    8      13      14       6      13       9
 
 
13. Which best describes your family's financial situation - Getting ahead, falling behind or holding steady?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Getting ahead           13%     15%     11%     13%     12%     14%     12%
Falling behind          20      18      21      21      17      19      22
Holding steady          66      66      66      65      69      67      66
DK/NA                    1       1       1       1       1       1       1
 
                        Alghny  Philly  NthEst  SthEst  NthWst  SthWst  Cntrl
 
Getting ahead           14%     16%     11%     15%     13%      7%     13%
Falling behind          20      16      22      16      28      22      19
Holding steady          65      68      65      68      59      71      66
DK/NA                    1       -       2       1       -       -       3
 
TREND: Which best describes your family's financial situation - getting ahead, falling behind, or holding steady?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS.....
                        Apr 15  Apr 8   Apr 2   Mar 18
                        2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Getting ahead           13      13      14      19
Falling behind          20      21      19      19
Holding steady          66      65      67      62
DK/NA                    1       1       -       1
 
 
14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Approve                  6%      8%      5%      7%      4%     15%      6%
Disapprove              91      90      93      91      94      81      92
DK/NA                    2       2       2       2       2       4       3
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                        Apr 15  Apr 8   Apr 2
                        2008    2008    2008
 
Approve                  6       6       6
Disapprove              91      91      92
DK/NA                    2       3       2
 
 
15. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS..............................
                                                                Reagan  Union
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Dems    HsHolds
 
Right thing             12%     12%     12%     13%      5%     23%     12%
Wrong thing             84      84      84      83      88      71      84
DK/NA                    4       4       4       3       8       5       4
 
TREND: Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?
                        LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS
                        Apr 15  Apr 8   Apr 2
                        2008    2008    2008
 
Right thing             12      11      12
Wrong thing             84      84      84
DK/NA                    4       5       3