April 8, 2010 - Republicans Lead In Pennsylvania Senate, Governor Races, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Rendell Approval Up, While Obama Approval Is Down

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Republican Pat Toomey is back on top 46 - 41 percent over Sen. Arlen Specter in Pennsylvania's seesaw U.S. Senate race, while Attorney General Tom Corbett, the leader for the Republican gubernatorial nomination, remains ahead of each of the three top Democratic contenders by double digits, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Gov. Ed Rendell's job approval rating is 45 - 45 percent, up from a negative 43 - 49 percent last month, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University survey finds. But President Barack Obama's approval is a negative 45 - 49 percent, down from 49 - 46 percent.

Disapproval of the President's health care plan, 53 - 39 percent, is unchanged from a 52 - 37 percent disapproval March 2. Pennsylvania voters say 39 - 20 percent they are more likely to vote against a lawmaker who supported the health plan.

Toomey, a former congressman who is unchallenged for the GOP Senate nomination, trailed Specter 49 - 42 percent March 2. The two men have swapped the lead by small margins since last fall.

Toomey also leads U.S. Rep. Joe Sestak, who is challenging Specter in the Democratic primary, by 42 - 34 percent. Specter leads Sestak for the Democratic nomination 53 - 32 percent in a Quinnipiac University poll released yesterday of likely Democratic primary voters, a different sample.

"A Toomey-Specter race could continue swinging back and forth until November because most voters won't begin to focus on it until after Labor Day," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"On paper, Sen. Specter is vulnerable in the general election because only 36 percent of voters say he deserves another term. But Toomey is so little known that the electorate is torn which way to go," Brown added.

Specter is a known quantity to Pennsylvanians since he has been their U.S. senator since 1981. Asked to rate him, 40 percent view him favorably, 46 percent unfavorably and 11 percent say they haven't heard enough about him to have an opinion. By comparison, 61 percent of voters say they don't know enough about Toomey, while 29 percent view him favorably and 9 percent view him unfavorably.

In the governor's race, Corbett - by far the best known of the contenders - retains a double digit lead over the three leading contenders for the Democratic nomination, which will be decided in the May 18 primary.

Corbett gets a 47 - 13 percent favorability rating. For the Democratic contenders, Allegheny County Executive Dan Onorato, State Auditor General Jack Wagner and former U.S. Senate nominee Joe Hoeffel, the "don't know enough" factor ranges from 66 to 75 percent.

Corbett's greater name recognition is a major reason why he leads Onorato 45 - 33 percent, Wagner 48 - 29 percent and Hoeffel 50 - 28 percent, continuing his double-digit leads from Quinnipiac University's March 3 survey.

"Once the primary is over and the Democrats have a candidate, presumably he will be able to introduce himself to the larger electorate and we'll get a better idea of how the race actually stands," said Brown. "Corbett is certainly in the enviable position but the structure of the race will become clearer when he gets into a one-on-one comparison."

While Pennsylvania voters still disapprove of the new health care plan they say 52 - 39 percent that the attempt by attorneys general of several states to ask the courts to throw out the health care law is a bad idea.

From March 30 - April 5, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,412 Pennsylvania voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

4. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Dan Onorato the Democrat and Tom Corbett the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Onorato              33%     5%    70%    25%    29%    36%    36%
Corbett              45     81     11     43     53     37     44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -      1      2      1      1      2
DK/NA                21     13     18     29     15     25     18
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
Onorato              47%    53%    34%    29%    24%    39%    20%
Corbett              38     25     40     48     47     43     57
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      3      -      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      2      1      3      -      2
DK/NA                14     22     24     20     26     18     21
 
TREND: If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Dan Onorato the Democrat and Tom Corbett the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Apr 8   Mar 3   Dec 17  Sep 30
                     2010    2010    2009    2009
Onorato              33      32      30      28
Corbett              45      42      45      47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1       1       1       1
DK/NA                21      24      22      24
 
 
5. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Jack Wagner the Democrat and Tom Corbett the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Wagner               29%     3%    65%    20%    24%    33%    37%
Corbett              48     84     14     47     56     40     41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      1      1      -      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -      2      2      2      1      -
DK/NA                21     12     20     30     17     26     20
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
Wagner               38%    43%    30%    24%    19%    34%    22%
Corbett              44     30     48     51     48     47     55
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      -      -      1      -      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      -      1      2      -      -      2
DK/NA                14     26     20     22     33     19     19
 
TREND: If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Jack Wagner the Democrat and Tom Corbett the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Apr 8   Mar 3   Dec 17  Sep 30
                     2010    2010    2009    2009
Wagner               29      30      33      29
Corbett              48      42      43      44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1       1       1       1
DK/NA                21      26      23      25
 
 
6. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Joe Hoeffel the Democrat and Tom Corbett the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Hoeffel              28%     3%    62%    19%    25%    30%    39%
Corbett              50     86     18     48     56     44     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      1      1      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -      1      2      1      1      -
DK/NA                21     12     19     30     17     24     17
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
Hoeffel              26%    50%    30%    32%    14%    26%    19%
Corbett              57     30     47     46     50     50     61
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      -      -      -      -      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      1      2      -      -      2
DK/NA                14     20     21     20     36     24     18
 
TREND: If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Joe Hoeffel the Democrat and Tom Corbett the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Apr 8   Mar 3   Dec 17
                     2010    2010    2009
Hoeffel              28      30      30
Corbett              50      41      46
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1       1       1
DK/NA                21      27      23
 
 
7. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Arlen Specter the Democrat and Pat Toomey the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Specter              41%     9%    78%    38%    37%    44%    43%
Toomey               46     81     10     46     54     38     47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      1      -      1      1      -
DK/NA                12      8     10     16      7     16     10
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
Specter              46%    64%    54%    35%    32%    38%    30%
Toomey               39     25     36     52     49     48     56
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      1      3      -      2
DK/NA                14     11     10     11     16     13     12
 
TREND: If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Arlen Specter the Democrat and Pat Toomey the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Apr 8   Mar 2   Dec 18  Oct 1   Jul 22  May 28  May 4
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009    2009
Specter              41      49      44      42      45      46      53
Toomey               46      42      44      43      44      37      33
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -       -       1       1       -       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1       1       -       1       -       3       1
DK/NA                12       8      11      13      10      14      10
 
 
8. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Joe Sestak the Democrat and Pat Toomey the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Sestak               34%     4%    71%    26%    29%    38%    39%
Toomey               42     78      8     42     52     33     40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      -      1      1      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      1      1      1      2      -
DK/NA                22     15     20     30     17     27     21
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
Sestak               37%    58%    36%    35%    20%    34%    21%
Toomey               35     27     37     43     44     43     54
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      1      3      -      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      2      3      -      2
DK/NA                27     14     26     17     32     22     22
 
TREND: If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Joe Sestak the Democrat and Pat Toomey the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Apr 8   Mar 2   Dec 18  Oct 1   Jul 22  May 28
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009
Sestak               34      36      35      35      35      37
Toomey               42      39      40      38      39      35
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       1       1       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1       1       2       1       1       3
DK/NA                22      24      22      25      23      23
 
 
9. Is your opinion of - Arlen Specter favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Favorable            40%    16%    71%    35%    38%    42%    43%
Unfavorable          46     73     17     48     53     40     46
Hvn't hrd enough     11     10      9     14      5     16      9
REFUSED               3      2      3      3      4      3      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Arlen Specter favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                             FAVORABLE....
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 8   Mar 2   Dec 18  Oct 1   Jul 22  Nov 26  Apr 8
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2008    2010
Favorable            40      44      43      42      45      56      40
Unfavorable          46      43      45      46      44      23      46
Hvn't hrd enough     11      11       9      10       9      19      11
REFUSED               3       1       3       2       2       3       3
 
 
10. Is your opinion of - Pat Toomey favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Favorable            29%    48%    14%    25%    37%    22%    26%
Unfavorable           9      2     15     11     12      7     10
Hvn't hrd enough     61     49     71     63     50     71     62
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      2      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Pat Toomey favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 8   Mar 2   Dec 18  Oct 1   Jul 22  Dec 18  Mar 25
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009    2009
Favorable            29      26      35      34      34      35      14
Unfavorable           9       8      10      12      10      10       6
Hvn't hrd enough     61      65      55      53      56      55      78
REFUSED               1       1       1       1       1       1       2
 
 
11. Is your opinion of - Joe Sestak favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Favorable            20%    13%    33%    16%    21%    20%    21%
Unfavorable          11     16      4     12     16      6     14
Hvn't hrd enough     68     70     63     70     62     73     65
REFUSED               1      1      1      2      1      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Joe Sestak favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Apr 8   Mar 2   Dec 18  Oct 1   Jul 22  May 28
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009
Favorable            20      18      20      21      23      18
Unfavorable          11       6       9       8       7       5
Hvn't hrd enough     68      74      70      70      69      76
REFUSED               1       1       1       2       1       -
 
 
12. Is your opinion of - Dan Onorato favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Favorable            21%    13%    35%    17%    20%    23%    23%
Unfavorable          11     16      6     12     15      7     13
Hvn't hrd enough     66     70     58     68     62     69     63
REFUSED               2      1      1      3      2      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Dan Onorato favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Apr 8   Mar 3   Dec 17  Sep 30  Jul 21
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009
Favorable            21      20      18      17      16
Unfavorable          11       8       9      11       6
Hvn't hrd enough     66      71      72      71      78
REFUSED               2       1       1       2       1
 
 
13. Is your opinion of - Jack Wagner favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Favorable            18%     9%    30%    16%    16%    20%    23%
Unfavorable           8     11      4     12     12      6      6
Hvn't hrd enough     72     79     65     69     71     73     70
REFUSED               2      1      2      3      2      2      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Jack Wagner favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Apr 8   Mar 3   Dec 17  Sep 30  Jul 21
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009
Favorable            18      20      22      22      18
Unfavorable           8       7       5       6       4
Hvn't hrd enough     72      71      72      71      76
REFUSED               2       2       1       1       1
 
 
14. Is your opinion of - Joe Hoeffel favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Favorable            14%     8%    19%    15%    14%    13%    13%
Unfavorable          10     14      5     11     13      8      7
Hvn't hrd enough     75     78     75     73     71     78     79
REFUSED               1      1      1      2      1      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Joe Hoeffel favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Apr 8   Mar 3   Dec 17  Sep 30
                     2010    2010    2009    2009
Favorable            14      15      13      13
Unfavorable          10       7       7       7
Hvn't hrd enough     75      77      79      80
REFUSED               1       1       1       1
 
 
15. Is your opinion of - Tony Williams favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Favorable             3%     1%     6%     1%     2%     3%     5%
Unfavorable           3      4      3      2      3      3      4
Hvn't hrd enough     94     95     90     96     94     94     91
REFUSED               1      -      1      1      1      1      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Tony Williams favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Apr 8   Mar 3
                     2010    2010
Favorable             3       3
Unfavorable           3       2
Hvn't hrd enough     94      95
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
16. Is your opinion of - Tom Corbett favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Favorable            47%    71%    28%    45%    53%    42%    45%
Unfavorable          13      3     21     13     13     12     16
Hvn't hrd enough     38     26     49     36     30     44     36
REFUSED               2      1      1      5      4      1      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Tom Corbett favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Apr 8   Mar 3   Dec 17  Sep 30  Jul 21
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009
Favorable            47      43      43      43      38
Unfavorable          13       7       6       7       6
Hvn't hrd enough     38      48      50      49      55
REFUSED               2       2       1       1       1
 
 
17. Is your opinion of - Sam Rohrer favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Favorable             7%    13%     4%     4%     8%     7%     8%
Unfavorable           4      3      4      3      4      4      3
Hvn't hrd enough     88     83     92     92     87     89     88
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      -      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of - Sam Rohrer favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Apr 8   Mar 3
                     2010    2010
Favorable             7       5
Unfavorable           4       3
Hvn't hrd enough     88      91
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
18. Is your opinion of - the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Favorable            41%    80%    12%    33%    44%    39%    35%
Unfavorable          41      9     70     45     42     40     48
Hvn't hrd enough     13      9     14     16      9     17     11
REFUSED               5      2      3      6      5      4      5
 
 
19. Is your opinion of - the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Favorable            41%     8%    83%    33%    33%    47%    44%
Unfavorable          46     82      6     50     58     36     41
Hvn't hrd enough      9      8      8     10      6     13     12
REFUSED               4      2      2      6      4      4      4
 
 
20. Is your opinion of - the Tea Party movement favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Favorable            33%    56%     7%    35%    39%    27%    31%
Unfavorable          30     11     52     29     30     30     38
Hvn't hrd enough     35     33     40     34     28     41     30
REFUSED               2      1      1      2      2      2      1
 
 
21. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling his job as Governor?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Approve              45%    21%    72%    43%    43%    47%    47%
Disapprove           45     70     21     45     50     42     48
DK/NA                10     10      7     12      8     11      5
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
Approve              32%    73%    53%    61%    25%    46%    27%
Disapprove           59     16     39     33     55     47     63
DK/NA                 9     11      8      7     19      6     10
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling his job as Governor?
                                                     APPROVE.......  DIS...
                                                     High    Low     High
                     Apr 8   Mar 3   Dec 17  Sep 30  Feb 7   Jul 21  Jul 21
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2007    2009    2009
Approve              45      43      43      42      61      39      39
Disapprove           45      49      49      51      30      53      53
DK/NA                10       8       7       6       9       8       8
 
 
22. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Approve              31%    25%    41%    29%    30%    33%    35%
Disapprove           54     60     43     59     59     50     53
DK/NA                14     16     16     12     12     17     12
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
Approve              20%    44%    39%    41%    21%    28%    23%
Disapprove           65     39     49     46     57     58     64
DK/NA                15     17     12     13     22     14     12
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                                                             APPROVE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 8   Mar 3   Dec 17  Sep 30  Jul 21  Apr 10  Dec 17
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2003    2009
Approve              31      29      25      27      27      49      25
Disapprove           54      59      64      64      57      24      64
DK/NA                14      12      11       9      15      27      11
 
 
23. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Arlen Specter is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Approve              44%    18%    77%    40%    40%    48%    51%
Disapprove           47     74     16     49     55     40     43
DK/NA                 9      8      7     10      4     12      6
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Arlen Specter is handling his job as United States Senator? (*Low also 44% Oct 2009)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 8   Mar 2   Dec 18  Oct 1   Jul 22  Nov 26  Apr 8
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2008    2010
Approve              44      48      47      44      47      62      44
Disapprove           47      45      45      48      46      25      47
DK/NA                 9       6       8       9       7      13       9
 
 
24. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Approve              48%    34%    68%    42%    45%    50%    57%
Disapprove           30     42     14     34     39     22     31
DK/NA                22     24     18     24     15     28     12
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 8   Mar 2   Dec 18  Oct 1   Jul 22  May 28  Mar 28
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009    2007
Approve              48      53      53      53      53      56      46
Disapprove           30      29      29      29      25      21      18
DK/NA                22      18      18      18      21      23      35
 
 
25. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Approve              45%    12%    82%    43%    39%    51%    49%
Disapprove           49     84     14     49     56     43     47
DK/NA                 6      5      4      9      5      6      4
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 8   Mar 2   Dec 18  Oct 1   Jul 22  May 4   Apr 8
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009    2010
Approve              45      49      49      49      56      66      45
Disapprove           49      46      45      42      37      29      49
DK/NA                 6       4       6       9       7       5       6
 
 
26. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Pennsylvania today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Very satisfied        4%     1%     8%     4%     4%     4%     3%
Smwht satisfied      42     28     58     41     39     44     46
Smwht dissatisfied   34     43     27     34     36     33     29
Very dissatisfied    19     27      8     21     20     18     20
DK/NA                 1      2      -      1      1      1      1
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
Very satisfied        3%    10%     5%     3%     1%     5%     2%
Smwht satisfied      38     55     37     54     36     38     32
Smwht dissatisfied   34     27     40     30     28     38     41
Very dissatisfied    24      8     16     12     35     18     24
DK/NA                 -      -      1      1      -      1      2
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Pennsylvania today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? (*Low also 39% Sep 2009)
                                                             VERY+SMWHT....
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 8   Mar 3   Dec 17  Sep 30  Jul 21  Jun 5   Mar 3
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2002    2010*
Very satisfied        4       2       4       2       3       8       2
Smwht satisfied      42      37      38      37      38      60      37
Smwht dissatisfied   34      37      38      36      35      22      37
Very dissatisfied    19      23      19      23      22       8      23
DK/NA                 1       1       2       1       1       3       1
 
 
27. Looking ahead to the 2010 election for United States Senator, do you feel that Arlen Specter deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Yes/deserves         36%    14%    62%    35%    35%    38%    43%
No/does not          52     77     25     53     58     47     49
DK/NA                11      9     12     11      7     15      9
 
TREND: Looking ahead to the 2010 election for United States Senator, do you feel that Arlen Specter deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                                                             DESERVES......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 8   Mar 2   Dec 18  Oct 1   Jul 22  May 4   Apr 8
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009    2010
Yes/deserves         36      38      38      37      40      49      36
No/does not          52      52      50      52      49      41      52
DK/NA                11      10      12      11      11      10      11
 
 
28. Does President Obama's support of Arlen Specter for United States Senator make you more likely to vote for Specter, less likely to vote for Specter, or doesn't it make a difference?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
More likely           9%     2%    21%     5%     9%     9%    13%
Less likely          22     41      5     20     26     18     18
Doesn't make diff    68     57     73     75     65     71     68
DK/NA                 1      1      2      -      -      1      1
 
TREND: Does President Obama's support of Arlen Specter for United States Senator make you more likely to vote for Specter, less likely to vote for Specter, or doesn't it make a difference?
                     Apr 8   Mar 2   Dec 18  Oct 1
                     2010    2010    2009    2009
More likely           9      12      11      12
Less likely          22      18      17      18
Doesn't make diff    68      69      71      68
DK/NA                 1       1       1       2
 
 
29. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling - the economy?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Approve              37%    15%    61%    36%    38%    36%    47%
Disapprove           53     75     30     52     54     51     49
DK/NA                11     10      9     12      8     13      4
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
Approve              23%    59%    43%    48%    19%    38%    26%
Disapprove           64     32     49     41     62     54     65
DK/NA                13      9      9     12     19      8      8
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling the economy?
                     Apr 8   Mar 3   Dec 17  Sep 30  Jul 21  Mar 25  Feb 12
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009    2009
Approve              37      36      38      34      33      44      42
Disapprove           53      53      54      60      60      43      47
DK/NA                11      11       8       7       7      14      11
 
 
30. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the economy?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Approve              40%    11%    75%    35%    36%    44%    50%
Disapprove           55     86     19     59     59     51     48
DK/NA                 5      3      6      6      6      5      2
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
Approve              39%    69%    48%    37%    29%    40%    30%
Disapprove           50     25     50     59     64     56     66
DK/NA                11      5      2      4      7      4      4
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy?
                     Apr 8   Mar 2   Dec 18  Oct 1   Jul 22  Mar 25  Feb 12
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009    2009
Approve              40      44      45      46      50      56      59
Disapprove           55      51      50      47      43      36      26
DK/NA                 5       5       5       7       7       8      16
 
 
31. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - health care?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Approve              37%     6%    72%    35%    34%    39%    45%
Disapprove           55     89     20     56     58     52     50
DK/NA                 8      6      8      9      7      8      5
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling health care?
                     Apr 8   Mar 2   Dec 18  Oct 1
                     2010    2010    2009    2009
Approve              37      35      37      39
Disapprove           55      58      56      53
DK/NA                 8       7       7       8
 
 
32. Who do you trust to do a better job handling health care - President Obama or the Republicans in Congress?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Pres Obama           40%     4%    80%    35%    37%    43%    44%
Reps in Congress     38     77      8     30     42     35     37
DK/NA                22     19     11     35     21     23     18
 
 
33. Do you support or oppose President Obama's health care reform plan?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Support              39%     7%    74%    37%    37%    41%    43%
Oppose               53     88     18     50     56     49     51
DK/NA                 9      5      8     13      7     10      6
 
TREND: Do you support or oppose President Obama's health care reform plan?
                     Apr 8   Mar 2   Oct 1
                     2010    2010    2009
Support              39      37      41
Oppose               53      52      47
DK/NA                 9      11      12
 
 
34. If your member of the U.S. House of Representatives voted for the health care overhaul plan, would that make you more likely to vote for him or her in November, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
More likely          20%     3%    40%    17%    19%    21%    22%
Less likely          39     65     10     41     47     31     39
No difference        39     30     48     39     32     45     37
DK/NA                 3      2      2      3      2      3      2
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
More likely          23%    33%    22%    20%    12%    18%    14%
Less likely          40     20     31     38     51     42     47
No difference        34     44     46     40     34     38     36
DK/NA                 3      4      2      2      3      2      3
 
 
35. Attorneys general from several states have said they will sue to block the health care overhaul plan. Do you think filing a lawsuit to stop the plan from taking effect is a good idea or a bad idea?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Good idea            39%    64%    13%    39%    46%    33%    37%
Bad idea             52     25     83     51     49     56     56
DK/NA                 9     11      5     10      6     12      7
 
 
36. Do you consider yourself part of the Tea party movement or not?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds
Yes                  14%    23%     5%    14%    17%    11%    16%
No                   80     72     90     79     80     80     80
DK/NA                 6      6      6      7      3      9      5