April 27, 2011 - Big Jump In Disapproval For Pennsylvania Governor, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Gov's Budget Unfair, Voters - Especially Women - Say

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While 39 percent of Pennsylvania voters approve of the job Gov. Tom Corbett is doing, 37 percent disapprove, a statistical tie, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. This is a big jump in his negative ratings from a 39 - 11 percent job approval rating in a February 16 survey.

Pennsylvania voters say 50 - 39 percent that Gov. Corbett's budget-cutting proposals are unfair to people like them, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University survey finds. There is a large gender gap as men say the cuts are fair 45 - 43 percent, a tie, while women say unfair 55 - 34 percent. Republicans say 59 - 27 percent the cuts are fair, but Democrats say unfair 69 - 22 percent and independent voters say unfair 47 - 41 percent.

Still, voters say 55 - 39 percent that balancing the state budget should be done by spending cuts only and not by a combination of tax hikes and spending cuts.

Although 97 percent say Pennsylvania's budget problems are "very serious" or "somewhat serious," and a majority want only cuts to meet the budget gap, 35 percent say Corbett's budget cuts go too far, while 20 percent say not far enough and 31 percent say they are about right.

"Although Gov. Tom Corbett's numbers are not impressive by traditional standards, they are a good deal better than many of the new Republican governors around the country who are offering a similar approach of no new taxes and large spending cuts," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Voters express some conflicting views about Gov. Corbett and his program, saying they agree on the need not to raise taxes, yet they are not happy with some of the spending reductions that he has proposed."

Corbett gets a thumbs up on job approval from Republicans 64 - 18 percent and independents 40 - 31 percent, but gets a 55 - 20 percent negative rating from Democrats. Like many of his fellow Republican governors around the country, he has a gender gap. Men approve 43 - 30 percent while women disapprove 43 - 36 percent.

"Gov. Corbett has a problem with women: He has a gender gap on his job approval and a gender gap on his proposed budget cuts," Brown said. "Women find the cuts unfair while men are divided on whether they are fair."

Pennsylvania voters disapprove 52 - 35 percent of the way Corbett is handling the state budget, but by 55 - 40 percent voters agree with his position that a tax hike is not necessary to balance the budget.

Despite this view, by 57 - 33 percent they don't think Corbett will be able keep his campaign promise to balance the budget without raising taxes.

On a variety of budget-cutting steps, Pennsylvania voters:
  • Oppose 50 - 43 percent state worker layoffs;
  • Oppose 53 - 36 percent selling or leasing the Pennsylvania Turnpike;
  • Support 64 - 28 percent selling state liquor stores;
  • Oppose 64 - 32 percent cutting state funding for state and state-related universities;
  • Support 68 - 27 percent freezing the wages of state employees;
  • Support 69 - 22 percent instituting a new tax on companies drilling for natural gas in the state's Marcellus Shale region.
From April 19 - 25, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,366 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling his job as Governor?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHlds
 
Approve              39%    64%    20%    40%    43%    36%    35%
Disapprove           37     18     55     31     30     43     42
DK/NA                24     19     25     29     27     21     23
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Approve              41%    26%    39%    43%    31%    47%    42%
Disapprove           44     41     41     33     36     37     33
DK/NA                15     33     20     24     33     16     24
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling his job as Governor?
                     Apr 27  Feb 16
                     2011    2011
 
Approve              39      39
Disapprove           37      11
DK/NA                24      50
 
11. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Pennsylvania today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHlds
 
Very satisfied        2%     1%     3%     3%     3%     2%     1%
Smwht satisfied      37     48     34     32     41     34     37
Smwht dissatisfied   33     33     34     35     33     33     34
Very dissatisfied    26     17     29     28     22     30     28
DK/NA                 1      1      1      2      1      1      -
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Very satisfied        2%     5%     2%     3%     1%     1%     3%
Smwht satisfied      39     41     34     45     34     31     35
Smwht dissatisfied   30     24     37     36     26     38     35
Very dissatisfied    29     31     26     16     36     29     26
DK/NA                 -      -      -      1      3      -      2
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Pennsylvania today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                             VERY+SMWHT SAT.
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 27  Feb 16  Dec 15  Jul 13  Apr 08  Jun 05  Dec 15
                     2011    2011    2010    2010    2010    2002    2010
 
Very satisfied        2       4       2       3       4       8       2
Smwht satisfied      37      43      35      37      42      60      35
Smwht dissatisfied   33      36      37      38      34      22      37
Very dissatisfied    26      15      25      21      19       8      25
DK/NA                 1       2       1       1       1       3       1
 
 
 
 
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling the state budget?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHlds
 
Approve              35%    58%    16%    37%    45%    27%    35%
Disapprove           52     31     72     47     42     60     55
DK/NA                13     11     11     16     13     13      9
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Approve              39%    23%    36%    39%    29%    36%    39%
Disapprove           48     63     50     51     56     54     47
DK/NA                13     14     14     10     16      9     14
 
13. Do you think Governor Corbett's proposals to balance the state budget are fair or unfair to people like you?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHlds
 
Fair                 39%    59%    22%    41%    45%    34%    35%
Unfair               50     27     69     47     43     55     56
DK/NA                11     14      9     12     12     11      9
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Fair                 44%    30%    42%    38%    35%    42%    40%
Unfair               52     61     48     51     48     46     45
DK/NA                 5      9     11     11     17     12     14
 
14. How serious do you think Pennsylvania's budget problems are - very serious, somewhat serious, not too serious, or not at all serious?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHlds
 
Very serious         65%    66%    65%    59%    63%    67%    66%
Smwht serious        32     29     31     38     34     30     30
Not too serious       2      2      3      1      2      1      3
Not at all serious    1      1      -      1      -      1      1
DK/NA                 1      2      1      1      1      1      -
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Very serious         65%    77%    59%    58%    69%    65%    66%
Smwht serious        32     20     40     39     25     31     31
Not too serious       4      -      1      2      4      2      1
Not at all serious    -      2      -      -      -      -      1
DK/NA                 -      1      -      1      1      3      1
 
TREND: How serious do you think Pennsylvania's budget problems are - very serious, somewhat serious, not too serious, or not at all serious?
                     Apr 27  Feb 16  Dec 15  Feb 20
                     2011    2011    2010    2003
 
Very serious         65      61      60      32
Smwht serious        32      34      33      55
Not too serious       2       2       4       7
Not at all serious    1       -       1       1
DK/NA                 1       2       1       5
 
15. To balance the state budget, if you had to choose, would you prefer - raising taxes or cutting government programs and services?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHlds
 
Raise taxes          36%    16%    58%    30%    29%    41%    39%
Cut services         54     75     30     61     63     46     52
DK/NA                10      9     11      9      8     12      9
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Raise taxes          37%    54%    32%    37%    30%    32%    30%
Cut services         60     33     55     57     51     57     59
DK/NA                 3     13     12      6     19     11     11
 
TREND: To balance the state budget, if you had to choose, would you prefer raising taxes or cutting government programs and services?
                     Apr 27  Feb 16  Dec 15  Feb 20
                     2011    2011    2010    2003
 
Raising taxes        36      30      30      29
Cutting services     54      56      56      57
DK/NA                10      14      14      14
 
 
16. Do you think an increase in taxes is necessary to balance the budget or not?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHlds
 
Yes                  40%    27%    54%    38%    40%    40%    42%
No                   55     68     41     58     57     53     53
DK/NA                 5      5      5      4      3      7      5
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Yes                  29%    49%    39%    43%    33%    37%    41%
No                   64     48     59     51     63     56     53
DK/NA                 7      3      1      5      3      7      6
 
 
17. In order to balance the state budget, Governor Corbett has proposed cuts in state spending. Do you think Corbett's cuts in state spending go too far, not far enough or are they about right?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHlds
 
Too far              35%    17%    57%    27%    28%    41%    42%
Not far enough       20     26     13     22     24     17     19
About right          31     46     17     37     36     26     25
DK/NA                14     11     13     14     12     15     15
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Too far              42%    39%    33%    35%    30%    33%    33%
Not far enough       20     19     18     20     16     18     25
About right          24     23     35     33     35     38     29
DK/NA                13     19     13     11     18     11     12
 
 
18. To help balance the state budget do you support or oppose - layoffs for state employees?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHlds
 
Support              43%    62%    29%    46%    47%    40%    38%
Oppose               50     33     64     46     48     52     57
DK/NA                 6      5      7      8      5      7      4
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Support              44%    24%    42%    45%    44%    55%    48%
Oppose               50     71     54     51     48     37     43
DK/NA                 6      5      4      4      8      8      9
 
TREND: To help balance the state budget do you support or oppose layoffs for state employees?
                     Apr 27  Feb 16  Dec 15
                     2011    2011    2010
 
Support              43      52      51
Oppose               50      40      41
DK/NA                 6       8       9
 
 
19. To help balance the state budget do you support or oppose - leasing the Pennslyvania turnpike to a private company?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHlds
 
Support              36%    42%    31%    39%    38%    34%    34%
Oppose               53     49     58     51     54     52     60
DK/NA                11     10     12     10      7     14      6
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Support              44%    40%    27%    41%    23%    36%    35%
Oppose               43     49     61     51     62     54     54
DK/NA                12     10     12      8     15     10     11
 
TREND: To help balance the state budget do you support or oppose leasing the Pennsylvania turnpike to a private company?
                     Apr 27  Feb 16  Dec 15
                     2011    2011    2010
 
Support              36      36      36
Oppose               53      51      52
DK/NA                11      13      12
 
 
20. To help balance the state budget do you support or oppose - selling off the state liquor stores?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHlds
 
Support              64%    72%    54%    73%    72%    58%    64%
Oppose               28     19     39     21     22     32     28
DK/NA                 8      8      7      6      6     10      8
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Support              67%    56%    69%    70%    52%    63%    65%
Oppose               23     36     25     24     39     28     26
DK/NA                10      8      6      6      8      9     10
 
TREND: To help balance the state budget do you support or oppose selling off the state liquor stores?
                     Apr 27  Feb 16  Dec 15
                     2011    2011    2010
 
Support              64      65      66
Oppose               28      26      26
DK/NA                 8       9       8
 
 
21. To help balance the state budget, do you support or oppose - a wage freeze for state employees?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHlds
 
Support              68%    77%    60%    67%    67%    69%    58%
Oppose               27     18     35     29     27     27     37
DK/NA                 5      4      4      4      6      4      5
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Support              65%    56%    64%    65%    67%    75%    75%
Oppose               29     38     27     32     23     20     22
DK/NA                 5      6      9      3     10      4      3
 
 
22. To help balance the state budget do you support or oppose - cutting funding for state and state-related universities?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHlds
 
Support              32%    51%    17%    34%    40%    26%    29%
Oppose               64     43     81     63     55     71     67
DK/NA                 4      6      3      3      5      4      4
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Support              29%    28%    24%    30%    35%    35%    40%
Oppose               70     70     72     66     60     57     56
DK/NA                 1      2      4      4      5      8      4
 
 
 
23. To help balance the state budget do you support or oppose - a new tax on companies drilling for natural gas in the state's Marcellus Shale?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHlds
 
Support              69%    59%    77%    76%    71%    68%    80%
Oppose               22     33     15     16     23     21     14
DK/NA                 9      8      8      8      6     11      6
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Support              64%    69%    60%    71%    69%    76%    72%
Oppose               25     21     25     22     22     19     21
DK/NA                10     10     15      7      9      4      7
 
 
24. Governor Tom Corbett has pledged that in trying to balance the state's budget deficit that he will not raise taxes or fees. Do you think Tom Corbett should have made this pledge or not?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHlds
 
Yes                  41%    57%    23%    43%    41%    40%    32%
No                   53     36     72     51     53     53     63
DK/NA                 6      7      5      6      5      7      5
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Yes                  39%    38%    42%    44%    34%    39%    42%
No                   51     59     54     51     55     57     51
DK/NA                10      4      4      5     11      4      7
 
TREND: Governor Tom Corbett has pledged that in trying to balance the state's budget deficit that he will not raise taxes or fees. Do you think Tom Corbett should have made this pledge or not? (*Governor-elect Tom Corbett)
                     Apr 27  Feb 16  Dec 15
                     2011    2011    2010*
 
Yes                  41      49      47
No                   53      43      44
DK/NA                 6       8       9
 
 
25. Do you think Tom Corbett will be able to keep his campaign pledge or not?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHlds
 
Yes                  33%    42%    23%    35%    36%    30%    30%
No                   57     46     69     57     55     59     59
DK/NA                10     12      8      8      9     11     11
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Yes                  35%    43%    37%    29%    21%    34%    30%
No                   56     47     53     60     68     57     59
DK/NA                10     10     10     11     11      9     11
 
 
 
TREND: Do you think Tom Corbett will be able to keep his campaign pledge or not?
                     Apr 27  Feb 16  Dec 15
                     2011    2011    2010
 
Yes                  33      33      33
No                   57      53      53
DK/NA                10      14      14
 
 
26. Which comes closer to your view regarding Governor Corbett's budget proposal - A)Taxes should not be raised, there should only be spending cuts, or B)Taxes should be raised so that there will be fewer spending cuts.
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHlds
 
Only cuts            55%    72%    38%    57%    60%    52%    50%
Taxes/Fewer cuts     39     24     57     37     36     42     44
DK/NA                 5      4      5      6      5      6      7
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Only cuts            58%    49%    60%    49%    62%    57%    57%
Taxes/Fewer cuts     39     45     35     45     34     35     38
DK/NA                 3      6      5      6      5      8      6