November 15, 2012 - Pennsylvania Voters Mixed On Global Warming, Sandy, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Obama Gets Better Grades Than Gov

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There are big partisan and gender divides as Pennsylvania voters consider climate change: A total of 63 percent of voters are "very concerned" or "somewhat concerned" about global warming, with 82 percent of Democrats very or somewhat concerned, 36 percent of Republicans concerned and 65 percent of independent voters concerned, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

These same voters say 51 - 43 percent, however, that Hurricane Sandy and the snowstorm one week later were not caused by climate change, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. .

Women say 50 - 44 percent that these storms were caused by climate change, while men say 58 - 35 percent that they were not. Democrats believe climate change caused the storms 59 - 34 percent, while Republicans say no 74 - 21 percent and independent voters say climate change is not to blame 51 - 43 percent.

President Barack Obama outscores Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Corbett on overall job approval and on the response to Hurricane Sandy. The president's job approval rating is 52 - 45 percent, compared to Gov. Corbett who gets a 40 percent approval and a 38 percent disapproval.

A total 74 percent of Pennsylvania voters say Obama's response to Hurricane Sandy was "excellent" or "good," compared to 61 percent for Corbett.

"Did climate change make Hurricane Sandy the monster it was? Pennsylvania voters say no. There are differences between Democrats and Republicans and between men and women, but voters do seem concerned about global warming," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"But voters just don't connect the dots from global warming to Sandy," Malloy added.

"With positive marks for his handling of Hurricane Sandy, Gov. Tom Corbett moves from a negative job approval to a break-even.

"They give President Barack Obama even better scores."

Men are divided on Obama 48 - 49 percent, while women approve 56 - 41 percent. Approval is 87 - 12 percent among Democrats, while Republicans disapprove 88 - 8 percent. Independent voters approve by a slim 50 - 46 percent margin.

Corbett's approval is 42 - 38 percent among men, while women split 37 - 37 percent. Republicans approve 61 - 16 percent, while independent voters split 37 - 37 percent and Democrats disapprove 54 - 26 percent.

U.S. Sen. Robert Casey Jr. gets a 49 - 37 percent job approval rating, with 43 - 28 percent for Sen. Pat Toomey.

By a 55 - 41 percent margin, Pennsylvania voters are "generally optimistic...about the next four years with Barack Obama as president."

The economy will get better in the next four years, 47 percent say, while 31 percent say it will get worse and 20 percent say it will stay the same.

Obama and Democrats in Congress will make a good faith effort to work with Republicans on important issues, voters say 57 - 37 percent. Republicans will not make a good faith effort, voters say 50 - 43 percent.

"Pennsylvanians give President Obama a hearty vote of confidence, voicing optimism about the course he'll chart for next four years and the future of the economy under his guidance," Malloy said.

From November 9 - 13, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,489 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling his job as Governor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Approve              40%    61%    26%    37%    42%    37%    20%    36%    61%
Disapprove           38     16     54     37     38     37     61     43     16
DK/NA                23     23     20     26     20     25     19     22     23
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Approve              33%    33%    29%    46%    47%    38%    43%
Disapprove           48     41     50     31     30     32     36
DK/NA                19     26     21     23     23     30     21
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling his job as Governor?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Nov 15  Jun 27  Jun 12  Mar 28  Mar 15  Sep 29  Jun 27
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2012
 
Approve              40      35      36      41      41      50      35
Disapprove           38      50      47      38      41      32      50
DK/NA                23      15      17      22      18      18      15
 
 
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Approve              36%    47%    32%    30%    35%    37%    24%    36%    47%
Disapprove           43     31     50     47     48     39     58     47     31
DK/NA                21     23     17     23     17     24     18     17     23
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Approve              28%    41%    33%    41%    35%    35%    36%
Disapprove           50     44     49     36     43     47     42
DK/NA                22     16     19     22     22     18     22
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? (*Low also 25% Dec 2009)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Nov 15  Jun 12  Mar 15  Sep 29  Aug 03  Apr 10  May 13
                     2012    2012    2012    2011    2011    2003    2010*
 
Approve              36      27      29      31      34      49      25
Disapprove           43      51      54      54      50      24      59
DK/NA                21      21      17      16      16      27      16
 
 
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Approve              49%    21%    71%    50%    47%    52%    70%    61%    22%
Disapprove           37     65     16     37     42     32     17     28     66
DK/NA                14     14     13     13     11     16     13     11     12
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Approve              54%    68%    53%    49%    45%    37%    45%
Disapprove           35     19     32     38     40     48     40
DK/NA                11     13     15     13     15     14     15
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Nov 15  Jun 12  Mar 14  Sep 28  Aug 02  May 28  Dec 16
                     2012    2012    2012    2011    2011    2009    2010
 
Approve              49      51      46      46      48      56      39
Disapprove           37      29      27      30      29      21      29
DK/NA                14      20      26      24      23      23      32
 
 
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Pat Toomey is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Approve              43%    61%    29%    44%    47%    40%    26%    43%    59%
Disapprove           28     14     38     30     29     27     44     28     18
DK/NA                29     25     33     26     23     34     30     28     23
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Approve              42%    42%    39%    45%    45%    40%    45%
Disapprove           30     35     32     29     19     29     24
DK/NA                28     23     30     26     35     31     31
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Pat Toomey is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Nov 15  Jun 12  Mar 14  Sep 28  Aug 02  Jun 15  Jun 12
                     2012    2012    2012    2011    2011    2011    2012
 
Approve              43      40      42      43      44      45      40
Disapprove           28      27      28      32      31      28      27
DK/NA                29      32      31      26      25      27      32
 
 
5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Approve              52%     8%    87%    50%    48%    56%    87%    59%    18%
Disapprove           45     88     12     46     49     41     11     38     79
DK/NA                 3      4      2      4      3      3      1      4      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              53%    51%    64%    46%    54%    46%    64%    49%    50%
Disapprove           44     45     33     49     43     52     32     48     47
DK/NA                 2      4      2      6      2      2      4      3      3
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Nov 15  Jun 27  Jun 12  May 03  Mar 28  May 04  Apr 28
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2009    2011
 
Approve              52      45      46      50      45      66      42
Disapprove           45      49      49      46      50      29      53
DK/NA                 3       6       4       4       5       5       5
 
 
6. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Pennsylvania today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Very satisfied        5%     4%     7%     3%     4%     5%     4%     6%     3%
Smwht satisfied      46     45     49     42     45     46     43     48     43
Smwht dissatisfied   31     30     29     37     31     31     35     31     30
Very dissatisfied    17     21     14     17     18     16     16     14     22
DK/NA                 2      1      2      1      1      2      1      1      2
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Very satisfied        4%     7%     5%     6%     5%     3%     4%
Smwht satisfied      45     51     38     48     41     38     49
Smwht dissatisfied   34     27     32     30     30     37     31
Very dissatisfied    17     13     22     13     24     20     16
DK/NA                 -      2      3      3      1      2      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Very satisfied        3%     6%     8%     4%     3%     3%     2%     6%     5%
Smwht satisfied      46     45     44     42     50     48     57     42     43
Smwht dissatisfied   38     28     29     34     32     32     33     31     31
Very dissatisfied    12     19     18     18     13     17      7     19     19
DK/NA                 1      2      1      2      2      1      -      2      2
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Pennsylvania today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                             VERY+SMWHT SAT
                                                             High    Low
                     Nov 15  Jun 12  Mar 15  Sep 29  Aug 03  Jun 05  Dec 15
                     2012    2012    2012    2011    2011    2002    2010
 
Very satisfied        5       3       3       2       3       8       2
Smwht satisfied      46      40      40      41      38      60      35
Smwht dissatisfied   31      39      38      37      36      22      37
Very dissatisfied    17      17      19      19      22       8      25
DK/NA                 2       2       -       1       1       3       1
 
 
7. Which one of the following is your main source of political news and information; television, Internet, newspaper, radio, talking with others, or social media like Facebook and Twitter?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Television           53%    55%    59%    42%    47%    59%    48%    57%    51%
Internet             19     17     15     29     25     15     22     17     21
Newspaper            13     12     15     13     15     12     14     16     10
Radio                 7     10      4      9      8      6      7      5     11
Talking with others   3      2      3      2      2      3      4      2      3
Social media          2      3      2      3      1      4      3      2      2
DK/NA                 2      1      1      3      3      1      1      2      2
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Television           48%    59%    61%    39%    51%    55%    58%
Internet             21     14     15     30     19     16     17
Newspaper            13     14     18     13     16     12     11
Radio                13      5      4      9      3      7      7
Talking with others   3      2      -      3      7      2      3
Social media          2      4      1      2      -      6      3
DK/NA                 -      2      1      4      3      3      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Television           39%    59%    62%    60%    49%    41%    42%    50%    60%
Internet             29     15     12     12     25     28     30     25     11
Newspaper            16     12     12     15     12     17      5     11     19
Radio                10      6      4      5     10      9      6     10      5
Talking with others   2      3      5      3      2      2      5      1      3
Social media          2      3      6      1      1      2      9      1      1
DK/NA                 1      2      -      4      1      2      3      2      2
 
 
8. Are you generally optimistic or pessimistic about the next four years with Barack Obama as president?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Optimistic           55%    15%    86%    55%    53%    57%    87%    63%    21%
Pessimistic          41     84     10     40     44     39      9     33     76
DK/NA                 4      2      4      5      3      4      4      4      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Optimistic           58%    54%    65%    51%    57%    51%    65%    54%    52%
Pessimistic          40     41     30     45     41     47     29     44     44
DK/NA                 2      5      5      4      2      2      6      3      4
 
 
9. By the end of Barack Obama's second term in office, do you expect the economy to be better than it is today, worse than it is today, or about the same?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Better               47%    11%    76%    44%    45%    50%    76%    53%    18%
Worse                31     63      6     33     32     29      7     20     63
About the same       20     24     17     21     22     19     15     25     17
DK/NA                 2      2      1      2      2      2      2      2      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Better               51%    45%    58%    42%    48%    44%    53%    46%    46%
Worse                29     31     24     31     31     31     20     33     33
About the same       19     21     17     23     20     24     27     20     19
DK/NA                 1      2      1      4      1      1      1      2      2
 
 
10. Do you think the Republicans in Congress will or will not make a good faith effort to cooperate with President Obama and the Democrats on issues that are important to you?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Will make effort     43%    55%    35%    43%    40%    46%    30%    43%    53%
Will not make effort 50     38     58     51     55     46     66     50     39
DK/NA                 7      7      7      6      5      8      3      7      7
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Will make effort     47%    42%    44%    46%    42%    43%    37%    38%    49%
Will not make effort 49     50     48     48     51     54     58     56     43
DK/NA                 4      8      8      6      7      3      5      6      9
 
 
11. Do you think President Obama and the Democrats in Congress will or will not, make a good faith effort to cooperate with the Republicans on issues that are important to you?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Will make effort     57%    23%    86%    54%    52%    62%    84%    65%    28%
Will not make effort 37     72     10     41     44     32     13     30     68
DK/NA                 5      5      3      5      4      6      2      5      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Will make effort     61%    56%    66%    56%    57%    54%    65%    55%    57%
Will not make effort 36     38     29     37     39     42     29     42     38
DK/NA                 3      6      5      6      3      3      6      4      5
 
 
12. Would you say that Barack Obama has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Yes                  58%    20%    88%    55%    55%    61%    89%    66%    26%
No                   39     77     10     43     44     36      9     32     72
DK/NA                 2      3      2      2      2      3      2      2      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  60%    57%    67%    53%    61%    52%    78%    57%    52%
No                   38     40     31     43     38     47     22     41     45
DK/NA                 2      3      2      5      1      1      -      2      3
 
TREND: Would you say that Barack Obama has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     Nov 15  May 01
                     2012    2008
 
Yes                  58      63
No                   39      27
DK/NA                 2      10
 
 
13. Would you say that Tom Corbett has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Yes                  47%    61%    38%    45%    48%    46%    35%    45%    60%
No                   35     21     45     39     37     34     49     40     22
DK/NA                18     18     18     17     15     20     16     16     18
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  46%    47%    40%    45%    51%    50%    47%    47%    46%
No                   40     34     41     34     35     39     29     35     39
DK/NA                14     20     20     21     15     11     24     18     15
 
 
14. How would you rate President Obama's overall response to Hurricane Sandy, excellent, good, not so good or poor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Excellent            34%    11%    55%    31%    30%    38%    56%    38%    14%
Good                 40     41     38     41     44     37     38     45     36
Not so good          11     20      3     14     11     11      3      9     20
Poor                 12     25      2     12     13     11      3      6     26
DK/NA                 2      3      1      3      2      2      -      1      3
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Excellent            34%    63%    35%    42%    19%    21%    26%
Good                 43     36     39     35     45     40     44
Not so good           9      1     13      9     11     20     14
Poor                 12      1     11     12     22     17     12
DK/NA                 1      -      1      2      4      2      4
 
                     City   Suburb Rural
 
Excellent            51%    34%    22%
Good                 37     41     42
Not so good           6      9     18
Poor                  6     13     14
DK/NA                 1      2      4
 
 
15. How would you rate Governor Corbett's overall response to Hurricane Sandy, excellent, good, not so good or poor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Excellent            11%    13%    11%     8%    10%    12%    10%    12%    11%
Good                 50     52     47     54     51     50     51     49     54
Not so good          15     12     18     13     16     14     18     15     13
Poor                  5      4      6      6      6      5      8      4      5
DK/NA                18     19     17     18     17     19     14     19     18
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Excellent             8%    17%    11%    12%     6%    12%    10%
Good                 45     52     43     51     48     51     55
Not so good          17     20     18     12     13     12     15
Poor                  8      3     10      5      8      5      3
DK/NA                22      8     17     19     25     20     17
 
                     City   Suburb Rural
 
Excellent            14%    11%     9%
Good                 45     53     52
Not so good          20     14     13
Poor                  7      4      7
DK/NA                14     18     20
 
 
16. How concerned are you about global warming or climate change; very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or not concerned at all?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Very concerned       29%    10%    43%    29%    27%    30%    53%    28%    13%
Smwht concerned      34     26     39     36     32     36     36     42     21
Not too concerned    20     33     13     15     21     19      6     19     29
Not concerned        17     31      4     19     19     15      5      9     36
DK/NA                 -      1      -      -      -      1      -      1      -
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Very concerned       25%    43%    33%    34%    25%    19%    23%
Smwht concerned      30     44     38     35     24     30     35
Not too concerned    26      9     17     17     21     25     23
Not concerned        18      4     12     14     30     26     19
DK/NA                 1      -      -      -      -      1      -
 
                     City   Suburb Rural
 
Very concerned       37%    30%    20%
Smwht concerned      40     34     30
Not too concerned    12     20     25
Not concerned        10     15     25
DK/NA                 -      1      -
 
 
17. Do you think Hurricane Sandy and the recent snow storm that followed are the result of climate change or don't you think so?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Climate change       43%    21%    59%    43%    35%    50%    65%    47%    21%
Don't think so       51     74     34     51     58     44     29     46     74
DK/NA                 6      5      7      6      7      6      6      7      5
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Climate change       40%    58%    44%    44%    31%    41%    40%
Don't think so       56     31     50     49     59     56     55
DK/NA                 4     12      6      7      9      4      5
 
                     City   Suburb Rural
 
Climate change       55%    41%    35%
Don't think so       36     53     61
DK/NA                 9      7      4
 

Demographic Summary