January 29, 2013 - Pennsylvania Gov In The Hole At Half-Time, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; NCAA Penn State Sanctions Too Harsh, Voters Say

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With a big thumbs down from women and a lackluster rating from Republicans, Pennsylvania voters disapprove 42 - 36 percent of the job Gov. Tom Corbett is doing, putting him in the hole half-way through his first term, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This is down from a 40 - 38 percent approval rating in a November 15 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

There is a large gender gap in today's results, as women disapprove 45 - 31 percent while men approve 41 - 37 percent. Republicans approve by a lukewarm 52 - 25 percent. Disapproval is 57 - 24 percent among Democrats and 39 - 36 percent among independent voters.

There is no strong base of support for Gov. Corbett among any income or age group or in any region of the state.

The governor does not deserve to be reelected, Pennsylvania voters say 51 - 31 percent, including 54 - 24 percent among women and 48 - 38 percent among men. Only 49 percent of Republicans say Corbett deserves to be reelected.

"It's halftime in Gov. Tom Corbett's first term and if he were running a football team instead of a state, he'd fire his offensive coordinator," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Gov. Corbett has hit the 50 percent approval rating only once so far, mainly because of his bad grades from women."

Pennsylvania voters disapprove 50 - 26 percent of the way Corbett has handled the Penn State situation over the last few years Voters in households where someone attends or has graduated from Penn State disapprove 59 - 23 percent. There is no measurable gender gap on this question as no group approves of Corbett's handling of this issue.

Voters do approve 43 - 37 percent of Corbett's lawsuit challenging the NCAA sanctions against Penn State. Men approve 51 - 35 percent while women are divided with 37 percent approving and 39 percent disapproving.

By a 43 - 29 percent margin, Pennsylvania voters have a favorable opinion of the late Joe Paterno, with a 47 - 28 percent favorability among men and a 40 - 30 percent favorability among women. Paterno's favorability is 54 - 27 percent among voters in Penn State households.

The NCAA sanctions imposed on Penn State for its handling of the Sandusky scandal are too severe, 53 percent of Pennsylvania voters say, while 13 percent say they are not severe enough and 28 percent say they are appropriate. Calling the sanctions too severe are 58 percent of men, 48 percent of women and 64 percent of voters in Penn State households.

In an August 2 survey by Quinnipiac University, 46 percent called the sanctions too severe, with 12 percent saying not severe enough and 36 percent saying they are appropriate.

"Voters disapprove of the way Gov. Corbett has handled the Jerry Sandusky scandal at Penn State over the last few years, but support Corbett's lawsuit targeting the NCAA for what they believe are too-harsh sanctions of the University," Malloy said.

Pennsylvania's U.S. Senators get only modest approval ratings, 44 - 36 percent for Sen. Robert Casey Jr. and 43 - 25 percent for Sen. Pat Toomey.

A total of 55 percent of voters are "somewhat dissatisfied" or "very dissatisfied" with life in the Keystone State, while 45 percent are "very satisfied" or "somewhat satisfied."

From January 22 - 27, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,221 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information or RSS feed, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling his job as Governor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              36%    52%    24%    36%    41%    31%    36%    29%
Disapprove           42     25     57     39     37     45     40     56
DK/NA                23     23     19     25     22     23     24     15
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              33%    37%    33%    36%    40%    33%    40%    35%
Disapprove           48     39     41     47     38     33     40     47
DK/NA                19     24     26     17     22     34     19     18
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Approve              27%    37%    36%    40%    34%    36%    36%
Disapprove           48     43     45     39     36     47     38
DK/NA                25     20     19     21     30     16     26
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling his job as Governor?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jan 29  Nov 15  Jun 27  Jun 12  Mar 28  Sep 29  Jun 27
                     2013    2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2012
 
Approve              36      40      35      36      41      50      35
Disapprove           42      38      50      47      38      32      50
DK/NA                23      23      15      17      22      18      15
 
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              33%    46%    27%    30%    37%    30%    33%    42%
Disapprove           46     32     55     52     47     46     47     48
DK/NA                20     22     19     18     16     24     21     10
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              31%    35%    33%    34%    37%    34%    39%    31%
Disapprove           51     44     46     51     43     40     43     52
DK/NA                19     21     21     15     20     27     18     17
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Approve              27%    39%    40%    37%    28%    33%    30%
Disapprove           50     47     44     39     47     55     48
DK/NA                23     15     16     24     25     12     21
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? (*Low also 25% Dec 2009)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jan 29  Nov 15  Jun 12  Mar 15  Sep 29  Apr 10  May 13
                     2013    2012    2012    2012    2011    2003    2010*
 
Approve              33      36      27      29      31      49      25
Disapprove           46      43      51      54      54      24      59
DK/NA                20      21      21      17      16      27      16
 
 
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              44%    27%    63%    37%    41%    46%    42%    62%
Disapprove           36     52     19     42     41     31     37     26
DK/NA                21     21     19     21     18     23     21     12
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              45%    43%    43%    47%    46%    39%    41%    49%
Disapprove           35     36     35     33     39     31     40     35
DK/NA                20     21     23     20     15     30     19     16
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Approve              45%    50%    41%    44%    43%    48%    40%
Disapprove           30     29     42     37     37     41     36
DK/NA                25     22     17     20     20     11     24
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jan 29  Nov 15  Jun 12  Mar 14  Sep 28  May 28  Dec 16
                     2013    2012    2012    2012    2011    2009    2010
 
Approve              44      49      51      46      46      56      39
Disapprove           36      37      29      27      30      21      29
DK/NA                21      14      20      26      24      23      32
 
 
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Pat Toomey is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              43%    61%    31%    39%    49%    36%    43%    44%
Disapprove           25     11     35     28     26     25     24     27
DK/NA                32     28     34     33     24     39     33     29
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              39%    44%    40%    47%    46%    39%    45%    44%
Disapprove           30     23     24     24     30     26     23     27
DK/NA                30     33     36     29     24     35     32     29
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Approve              32%    35%    48%    44%    52%    45%    43%
Disapprove           28     38     20     30     18     29     19
DK/NA                40     28     32     27     30     26     37
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Pat Toomey is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jan 29  Nov 15  Jun 12  Mar 14  Sep 28  Jun 15  Jun 12
                     2013    2012    2012    2012    2011    2011    2012
 
Approve              43      43      40      42      43      45      40
Disapprove           25      28      27      28      32      28      27
DK/NA                32      29      32      31      26      27      32
 
 
6. Do you feel that Tom Corbett deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes/Deserves         31%    49%    17%    31%    38%    24%    30%    28%
No/Does not          51     29     68     51     48     54     50     57
DK/NA                18     21     15     18     14     22     20     14
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes/Deserves         28%    32%    29%    33%    36%    34%    32%    30%
No/Does not          55     49     53     54     45     47     49     55
DK/NA                18     18     18     14     18     19     20     15
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Yes/Deserves         21%    37%    29%    38%    30%    25%    30%
No/Does not          59     53     53     46     45     58     49
DK/NA                20     10     18     17     26     16     21
 
 
7. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Pennsylvania today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Very satisfied        3%     3%     2%     5%     2%     3%     2%     4%
Smwht satisfied      42     51     36     40     47     36     44     34
Smwht dissatisfied   37     33     41     36     34     40     37     43
Very dissatisfied    18     13     20     19     16     19     17     15
DK/NA                 1      -      1      -      1      1      -      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Very satisfied        2%     3%     3%     3%     3%     1%     2%     5%
Smwht satisfied      43     41     40     43     49     53     45     35
Smwht dissatisfied   40     36     36     37     39     30     38     40
Very dissatisfied    14     19     20     17      9     16     14     19
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      -      -      1      1
 
                     Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl
 
Very satisfied        -      7%     1%     4%     1%     2%     3%
Smwht satisfied      49     33     36     47     43     39     41
Smwht dissatisfied   37     31     39     37     39     40     37
Very dissatisfied    13     25     22     10     17     18     19
DK/NA                 1      3      1      1      -      1      -
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Pennsylvania today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                             VERY+SMWHT SAT
                                                             High    Low
                     Jan 29  Nov 15  Jun 12  Mar 15  Sep 29  Jun 05  Dec 15
                     2013    2012    2012    2012    2011    2002    2010
 
Very satisfied        3       5       3       3       2       8       2
Smwht satisfied      42      46      40      40      41      60      35
Smwht dissatisfied   37      31      39      38      37      22      37
Very dissatisfied    18      17      17      19      19       8      25
DK/NA                 1       2       2       -       1       3       1
 
 
25. Is your opinion of Joe Paterno favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               PennState
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds Q29/Q30
 
Favorable            43%    48%    39%    44%    47%    40%    54%
Unfavorable          29     26     32     32     28     30     27
Hvn't hrd enough     21     19     24     17     19     23     14
REFUSED               6      7      4      8      6      7      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            47%    42%    40%    48%    50%    42%    41%    46%
Unfavorable          32     28     26     32     37     34     29     27
Hvn't hrd enough     14     24     29     13      8     21     23     20
REFUSED               6      6      6      6      5      3      6      7
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Joe Paterno favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jan 29  Dec 09
                     2013    2011
 
Favorable            43      44
Unfavorable          29      36
Hvn't hrd enough     21      17
REFUSED               6       4
 
 
26. Do you think the penalties imposed by the NCAA on Penn State for its handling of the Sandusky scandal were appropriate, too severe, or not severe enough?
                                                               PennState
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds Q29/Q30
 
Appropriate          28%    20%    38%    21%    26%    30%    22%
Too severe           53     61     45     58     58     48     64
Not severe enough    13     13     12     15     10     15     11
DK/NA                 6      6      5      7      6      7      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Appropriate          32%    27%    26%    31%    35%    35%    27%    26%
Too severe           57     51     51     55     54     49     53     55
Not severe enough     6     16     15     10      8     11     14     12
DK/NA                 5      7      7      3      3      5      6      7
 
TREND: Do you think the penalties imposed by the NCAA on Penn State for its handling of the Sandusky scandal were appropriate, too severe, or not severe enough?
                     Jan 29  Aug 02
                     2013    2012
 
Appropriate          28      36
Too severe           53      46
Not severe enough    13      12
DK/NA                 6       6
 
 
27. In general, do you approve or disapprove of how Tom Corbett has handled the Penn State situation over the last few years?
                                                               PennState
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds Q29/Q30
 
Approve              26%    36%    19%    27%    29%    24%    23%
Disapprove           50     39     61     50     51     49     59
DK/NA                24     26     20     23     21     27     19
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              27%    26%    25%    31%    28%    30%    29%    23%
Disapprove           49     50     52     50     46     40     48     56
DK/NA                25     24     23     18     26     30     23     20
 
 
28. Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Corbett's lawsuit against the NCAA over its sanctions against Penn State?
                                                               PennState
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    HsHolds Q29/Q30
 
Approve              43%    51%    33%    49%    51%    37%    48%
Disapprove           37     28     49     33     35     39     35
DK/NA                19     20     18     17     14     24     17
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              42%    44%    46%    44%    44%    44%    45%    43%
Disapprove           40     36     34     42     36     38     37     38
DK/NA                18     20     20     14     20     18     19     19
 
 
29. Have you or has anyone in your family graduated from Penn State?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  29%    34%    28%    27%    26%    32%
No                   71     66     72     73     73     68
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  35%    27%    26%    29%    35%    22%    30%    32%
No                   64     73     74     71     65     78     70     68
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
TREND: Have you or has anyone in your family graduated from Penn State?
                     Jan 29  Aug 02
                     2013    2012
 
Yes                  29      27
No                   71      73
DK/NA                 -       -
 
 
30. Are you or is anyone in your family currently attending Penn State?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                   7%     6%     7%     8%     7%     8%
No                   92     93     92     92     93     92
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                   8%     6%     8%     6%     7%    13%     6%     5%
No                   92     93     91     94     93     87     93     94
DK/NA                 -      -      1      -      -      -      1      -
 
TREND: Are you or is anyone in your family currently attending Penn State?
                     Jan 29  Aug 02
                     2013    2012
 
Yes                   7       7
No                   92      93
DK/NA                 -       -
 

Demographic Summary