June 24, 2004 - Bush, Kerry In Dead Heat In Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Nader Holds The Key To Keystone State
President George W. Bush has inched up on Democratic challenger John Kerry among Pennsylvania voters and now has 43 percent to Sen. Kerry's 44 percent, with 7 percent for independent candidate Ralph Nader, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to a 44 - 41 percent lead for Kerry, with 6 percent for Nader, in a May 27 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN uh-pe-ack) University.

Bush's job approval also has moved up from an all-time Pennsylvania low of negative 41 - 55 percent May 27 to negative 45 - 53 percent today.

Voters say 50 - 43 percent that going to war in Iraq was the wrong thing to do, similar to the May 27 findings.

"Pennsylvania is living up to expectations as having one of the closest presidential battles in the nation. Ralph Nader clearly is cutting into Sen. Kerry's vote, leaving him in a dead heat with President Bush," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"The Kerry number remains unchanged since May, but the President is inching up slightly despite the fact a majority of Pennsylvania voters now say the Iraq war was the wrong thing to do."

The economy is the most important issue in deciding how they will vote, 43 percent of voters say, with 28 percent who list Iraq and 25 percent who list terrorism. Kerry would do a better job on the economy, voters say 50 - 43 percent. Bush is best on Iraq, voters say 47 - 44 percent, and on terrorism, voters say 53 - 38 percent. Senate Race

In the Senate race, incumbent Republican Sen. Arlen Specter is holding on to a 50 - 35 percent lead over U.S. Rep. Joseph Hoeffel, the Democratic challenger, compared to a 49 - 37 percent lead May 27.

Pennsylvania voters give Specter a 36 - 21 percent favorability rating, with 30 percent mixed and 12 percent who haven't heard enough to form an opinion. Hoeffel has not improved his recognition among voters and gets a 10 - 7 percent favorability rating, with 9 percent mixed and 73 percent who haven't heard enough to form an opinion.

"Sen. Specter has increased his lead slightly over Rep. Hoeffel who remains an unknown to 73 percent of Pennsylvania voters. About a third of Republicans say Specter is too liberal for Pennsylvania, but about the same number of GOP voters say the same of Hoeffel, so the issue is probably a wash," Richards said. Governor's Approval

Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell has stepped over the magic 50 percent mark, with a 51 - 31 percent approval rating. "Gov. Rendell has climbed back almost to his previous high in job approval despite the looming budget deadline and the deadlock with the legislature over placing slot machines at racetracks and elsewhere in the state," Richards said.

From June 21 - 22, Quinnipiac University surveyed 839 Pennsylvania registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and the nation as a public service and for research. For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu and quicklinks

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling his job as Governor?

                      App     Dis     DK/NA


Jun 24, 2004 51 31 18 May 27, 2004 49 31 19 Apr 22, 2004 46 33 22 Mar 18, 2004 46 35 19 Feb 19,2004 48 36 16 Dec 16, 2003 46 34 19 Oct 16, 2003 50 28 22 Aug 6, 2003 51 29 21 May 23, 2003 49 27 24 Apr 10, 2003 51 19 30 Feb 20, 2003 54 12 33



TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?

                      App     Dis     DK/NA  


Jun 24, 2004 43 38 20 May 27, 2004 40 39 21 Apr 22, 2004 37 38 25 Mar 18, 2004 40 40 20 Feb 19,2004 40 39 21 Dec 16, 2003 38 44 18 Oct 16, 2003 43 37 19 Aug 6, 2003 41 39 20 May 23, 2003 45 33 22 Apr 10, 2003 49 24 27



TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Arlen Specter is handling his job as United States Senator?

                      App     Dis     DK/NA


Jun 24, 2004 51 38 10 May 27, 2004 48 41 11 Apr 22, 2004 47 36 17 Mar 18, 2004 49 36 15 Feb 18, 2004 53 32 15 Dec 17, 2003 57 31 12 Oct 15, 2003 54 31 16 Aug 7, 2003 57 27 16 May 22, 2003 60 25 15 Apr 10, 2003 59 22 19 Feb 21, 2003 60 21 19 Sept. 18, 2002 58 24 18 Jul 24, 2002 56 24 20 Jun 5, 2002 56 23 21



TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rick Santorum is handling his job as United States Senator?

                      App     Dis     DK/NA


Jun 24, 2004 52 29 18 May 27, 2004 53 28 19 Apr 22, 2004 47 30 22 Mar 18, 2004 51 28 21 Feb 18, 2004 53 27 20 Dec 17, 2003 56 29 15 Oct 15, 2003 54 28 18 Aug 7, 2003 56 28 17 May 22, 2003 55 33 12 Apr 10, 2003 55 20 24 Feb 21, 2003 56 21 24 Sept. 18, 2002 54 21 25 Jul 24, 2002 54 22 24 Jun 5, 2002 52 22 26



TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Pennsylvania today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

                      Very    Smwht   Smwht   Very
                      sat     sat     dis     dis     DK/NA


Jun 24, 2004 4 52 33 11 1 May 27, 2004 4 52 31 11 2 Apr 22, 2004 5 56 26 11 1 Mar 18, 2004 4 46 33 15 2 Feb 19,2004 4 45 33 17 1 Dec 16, 2003 4 50 28 17 1 Oct 16, 2003 5 51 30 13 1 Aug 6, 2003 4 53 30 12 1 May 23, 2003 5 53 28 13 2 Apr 10, 2003 7 59 25 8 2 Feb 20, 2003 7 56 25 9 2 Jun 5, 2002 8 60 22 8 3



TREND: Would you describe the state of Pennsylvania's economy these days as: Excellent, good, not so good, or poor?

                                      Nt So
                      Exlnt  Good     Good    Poor    DK/NA


Jun 24, 2004 1 42 42 13 2 May 27, 2004 1 38 43 16 2 Apr 22, 2004 1 36 46 15 2 Mar 18, 2004 - 30 47 19 3 Feb 18, 2004 1 31 45 22 1 Dec 16, 2003 1 33 43 21 2 Apr 10, 2003 2 38 44 14 2 Feb 20, 2003 1 33 46 19 1



TREND: Is your opinion of (United States Senator) Arlen Specter favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                              Haven't
                      Fav     Unfav   Mixed   heard   Ref


Jun 24, 2004 36 21 30 12 1 May 27, 2004 32 24 35 9 - Mar 18, 2004 35 24 30 9 1 Feb 18, 2004 41 22 28 9 - Dec 17, 2003 43 21 26 10 1 Oct 15, 2003 43 22 24 10 1 Aug 7, 2003 47 19 27 7 1 May 22, 2003 47 16 24 12 1 Apr 10, 2003 41 18 22 18 1 Feb 21, 2003 42 15 27 15 1



TREND: Is your opinion of (Pennsylvania Congressman) Joseph Hoeffel favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                              Haven't
                      Fav     Unfav   Mixed   heard   Ref


Jun 24, 2004 10 7 9 73 1 May 27, 2004 13 7 11 68 1 Mar 18, 2004 10 6 14 70 1 Feb 18, 2004 12 3 9 76 1 Dec 17, 2003 13 4 11 72 1 Oct 15, 2003 11 4 10 74 - Aug 7, 2003 12 4 10 72 2



TREND: Suppose/If the election for senator were being held today, and the candidates were Joseph Hoeffel the Democrat and Arlen Specter the Republican for whom would you vote?

                      JH      AS      Smone   Wldn't         
                      Dem     Rep     Else    Vote    DK/NA  


Jun 24, 2004 35 50 1 2 13 May 27, 2004 37 49 1 2 11 Mar 18, 2004 29 45 3 3 20 Dec 17, 2003 32 50 1 2 14 Oct 15, 2003 33 50 2 2 13 Aug 7, 2003 29 53 2 2 15



TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?

                      App     Dis     DK/NA


Jun 24, 2004 45 53 2 May 27, 2004 41 55 5 Apr 21, 2004 47 49 4 Mar 17, 2004 48 48 4 Feb 18, 2004 47 49 3 Dec 17, 2003 53 43 4 Oct 15, 2003 51 44 6 Aug 7, 2003 60 35 5 May 22, 2003 64 31 5 Apr 8, 2003 67 28 5 Feb 21, 2003 53 41 6 Sept. 18, 2002 69 26 6 Jul 24, 2002 68 25 7 Jun 5, 2002 73 21 6



TREND: If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were John Kerry the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                      Smone   Wldn't         
                      JK      GWB     Else    Vote    DK/NA  


Jun 24, 2004 49 43 2 1 5 May 27, 2004 45 42 2 2 9 Apr 21, 2004 42 46 2 2 7 Mar 17, 2004 45 44 3 - 7 Feb 18, 2004 50 45 1 1 3



TREND: If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were John Kerry the Democrat, George W. Bush the Republican, and Ralph Nader the Independent for whom would you vote?

                                              Smone   Wldn't         
                      JK      GWB     RN      Else    Vote    DK/NA  


Jun 24, 2004 44 43 7 1 1 4 May 27, 2004 44 41 6 - 2 7 Apr 21, 2004 39 45 8 1 1 7 Mar 17, 2004 40 44 7 1 - 8



TREND: Is your opinion of George W. Bush favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                              Hvn't
                      Fav     UnFav   Mixed   Hrd     Refused  


Jun 24, 2004 39 42 17 2 1 May 27, 2004 34 42 22 1 1 Apr 21, 2004 39 37 22 1 - Mar 17, 2004 41 36 21 1 1



TREND: Is your opinion of John Kerry favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                              Hvn't
                      Fav     UnFav   Mixed   Hrd     Refused 


Jun 24, 2004 33 30 29 8 1 May 27, 2004 32 27 31 10 1 Apr 21, 2004 24 31 27 17 - Mar 17, 2004 28 27 26 18 1



TREND: Is your opinion of Ralph Nader favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                              Hvn't
                      Fav     UnFav   Mixed   Hrd     Refused 


Jun 24, 2004 16 26 23 34 1 May 27, 2004 14 31 25 29 1 Apr 21, 2004 13 29 20 37 2 Mar 17, 2004 15 29 21 33 2



TREND: Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?

                      Right   Wrong   DK/NA


Jun 24, 2004 43 50 7 May 27, 2004 42 51 7 Apr 21, 2004 49 45 6 Mar 17, 2004 52 39 9



1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling his job as Governor?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Approve 51% 36% 65% 53% 54% 49% 53% Disapprove 31 40 22 31 31 30 30 DK/NA 18 24 13 16 15 21 17

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Approve 51% 65% 56% 65% 39% 39% 40% Disapprove 37 16 25 19 39 46 37 DK/NA 11 19 19 16 22 15 22



2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Approve 43% 46% 42% 41% 46% 40% 42% Disapprove 38 34 38 42 38 37 43 DK/NA 20 20 20 17 16 23 15

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Approve 32% 40% 49% 41% 34% 41% 51% Disapprove 51 39 30 36 50 40 30 DK/NA 16 21 22 22 15 18 19



3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Arlen Specter is handling his job as United States Senator?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Approve 51% 51% 56% 46% 54% 49% 67% Disapprove 38 38 35 43 38 39 26 DK/NA 10 11 9 12 8 13 7

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Approve 49% 47% 58% 58% 46% 41% 53% Disapprove 44 41 31 31 42 51 37 DK/NA 6 12 11 11 12 8 10



4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rick Santorum is handling his job as United States Senator?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Approve 52% 72% 39% 42% 52% 52% 50% Disapprove 29 13 39 39 31 28 34 DK/NA 18 15 22 18 17 20 16

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Approve 54% 36% 57% 48% 43% 57% 62% Disapprove 37 38 27 34 35 33 16 DK/NA 9 26 16 17 22 9 22



5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Approve 45% 84% 14% 34% 48% 42% 40% Disapprove 53 14 85 64 49 56 59 DK/NA 2 2 1 2 2 2 2

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Approve 42% 27% 38% 41% 44% 53% 59% Disapprove 55 69 60 59 52 47 38 DK/NA 3 4 2 - 3 - 3



6. How much attention have you been paying to the election campaign for President -- a lot, some, only a little, or none at all?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


A lot 46% 52% 40% 46% 50% 42% 47% Some 37 36 41 34 36 37 34 Only a little 13 9 15 16 10 15 16 None at all 4 4 4 4 3 5 3 DK/NA - - - - - - -

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

A lot 56% 37% 52% 50% 48% 41% 43% Some 30 40 37 34 31 42 41 Only a little 9 15 10 15 17 13 12 None at all 5 8 2 1 4 4 4 DK/NA - - - - - - -



7. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were John Kerry the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Kerry 49% 12% 81% 55% 47% 50% 53% Bush 43 81 11 36 47 40 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 2 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 3 1 1 2 1 DK/NA 5 5 3 6 3 6 5

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Kerry 49% 68% 51% 54% 50% 38% 36% Bush 42 25 36 40 41 52 57 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 1 3 1 - 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 - 1 6 1 DK/NA 5 4 10 3 6 4 5



8. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were John Kerry the Democrat, George W. Bush the Republican, and Ralph Nader the Independent for whom would you vote?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Kerry 44% 10% 77% 46% 44% 45% 49% Bush 43 81 12 35 47 39 40 Nader 7 4 5 14 5 9 7 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 3 1 1 2 - DK/NA 4 4 3 4 3 4 3

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Kerry 51% 64% 45% 50% 42% 34% 31% Bush 42 26 35 36 43 52 56 Nader 3 9 7 11 8 4 8 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 - - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - 2 - 1 6 1 DK/NA 1 1 10 3 6 4 3



9. How much attention have you been paying to the election campaign for United States Senator from Pennsylvania - a lot, some, only a little, or none at all?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


A lot 16% 20% 12% 15% 17% 15% 16% Some 25 27 23 27 27 24 26 Only a little 36 32 41 34 32 40 41 None at all 22 20 24 23 23 22 18 DK/NA - - - 1 - - -

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

A lot 22% 16% 19% 19% 14% 14% 10% Some 25 18 25 29 26 36 23 Only a little 31 37 31 33 39 30 44 None at all 22 29 25 19 20 19 23 DK/NA - - - - 2 1 -



10. If the election for senator were being held today, and the candidates were Joseph Hoeffel the Democrat and Arlen Specter the Republican for whom would you vote?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Hoeffel 35% 11% 57% 38% 30% 39% 29% Specter 50 72 32 47 56 45 57 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 1 2 3 2 - DK/NA 13 14 10 13 11 14 14

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Hoeffel 29% 60% 27% 41% 34% 31% 24% Specter 55 23 56 47 45 53 62 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 1 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 - - 1 2 3 3 DK/NA 11 17 17 10 18 11 10



11. Is your opinion of George W. Bush favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Favorable 39% 74% 12% 29% 42% 37% 34% Unfavorable 42 9 68 49 41 42 43 Mixed 17 15 16 21 16 18 20 Hvn't hrd enough 2 1 2 1 - 3 2 REFUSED 1 - 1 - 1 - 1

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Favorable 39% 16% 38% 33% 40% 51% 51% Unfavorable 45 59 46 49 45 26 29 Mixed 14 19 15 18 16 20 17 Hvn't hrd enough 3 5 - - - - 2 REFUSED - 1 1 - - 3 1



12. Is your opinion of John Kerry favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Favorable 33% 10% 58% 28% 31% 34% 32% Unfavorable 30 58 7 25 34 26 32 Mixed 29 24 27 39 27 31 29 Hvn't hrd enough 8 8 7 8 7 8 6 REFUSED 1 - 1 - 1 - 1

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Favorable 42% 39% 33% 36% 35% 30% 24% Unfavorable 27 13 27 31 26 35 39 Mixed 27 37 30 27 29 22 31 Hvn't hrd enough 5 10 9 7 10 11 6 REFUSED - - 1 - - 3 -



13. Is your opinion of Ralph Nader favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Favorable 16% 10% 16% 27% 18% 14% 19% Unfavorable 26 31 22 26 33 20 22 Mixed 23 27 19 23 22 24 17 Hvn't hrd enough 34 32 42 24 26 41 41 REFUSED 1 1 1 - 1 1 -

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Favorable 21% 18% 15% 22% 16% 7% 13% Unfavorable 34 14 20 27 37 30 25 Mixed 23 19 30 24 22 15 25 Hvn't hrd enough 23 49 33 26 23 47 36 REFUSED - - 2 - 1 1 1



14. Is your opinion of Joseph Hoeffel favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Favorable 10% 4% 16% 10% 10% 10% 8% Unfavorable 7 14 1 6 9 5 6 Mixed 9 9 10 7 7 10 10 Hvn't hrd enough 73 72 72 76 73 74 75 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 -

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Favorable 5% 18% 11% 22% 2% 2% 5% Unfavorable 6 9 12 12 2 4 4 Mixed 6 10 4 15 5 15 6 Hvn't hrd enough 83 64 73 51 88 78 83 REFUSED 1 - 1 - 4 1 1



15. Is your opinion of Arlen Specter favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Favorable 36% 39% 35% 35% 40% 33% 47% Unfavorable 21 19 24 18 21 21 16 Mixed 30 31 27 32 28 32 26 Hvn't hrd enough 12 10 12 14 10 13 11 REFUSED 1 - 1 1 1 1 1

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Favorable 35% 33% 36% 33% 39% 30% 42% Unfavorable 16 23 18 22 25 24 20 Mixed 36 25 36 35 24 31 27 Hvn't hrd enough 13 19 10 10 10 12 10 REFUSED - - 1 - 2 3 1



16. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Pennsylvania today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Very satisfied 4% 5% 4% 2% 5% 3% 3% Smwht satisfied 52 52 53 50 54 50 44 Smwht dissatisfied 33 36 29 34 31 35 41 Very dissatisfied 11 7 14 14 11 11 11 DK/NA 1 - 1 - - 1 1

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Very satisfied - 3% 9% 5% 2% 3% 4% Smwht satisfied 41 57 50 63 34 48 54 Smwht dissatisfied 45 31 28 24 49 31 33 Very dissatisfied 14 9 12 7 15 18 9 DK/NA - - 1 - 1 - 1



17. If you had to choose, which of the following issues will be most important to your vote for president -- the situation in Iraq, the economy, or terrorism?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Iraq 28% 23% 31% 28% 24% 31% 24% Economy 43 36 47 47 47 39 52 Terrorism 25 37 14 22 25 24 18 DK/NA 5 3 8 3 4 6 6

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Iraq 29% 33% 27% 31% 27% 26% 23% Economy 44 44 39 34 44 43 49 Terrorism 24 18 27 31 23 26 23 DK/NA 3 5 7 4 6 5 5



18. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, -- George W. Bush or John Kerry?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Bush 43% 77% 15% 38% 47% 40% 35% Kerry 50 17 80 54 47 53 59 DK/NA 6 6 5 7 6 6 6

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Bush 40% 26% 38% 42% 42% 53% 54% Kerry 56 69 55 52 49 41 39 DK/NA 4 5 7 7 8 6 7



19. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the situation in Iraq, -- George W. Bush or John Kerry?



                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Bush 47% 83% 18% 38% 50% 44% 38% Kerry 44 11 72 53 42 46 54 DK/NA 9 6 11 9 8 10 8

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Bush 47% 27% 50% 41% 47% 46% 60% Kerry 42 63 37 53 44 39 33 DK/NA 11 10 13 6 9 15 7



20. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on terrorism, -- George W. Bush or John Kerry?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Bush 53% 87% 25% 45% 58% 48% 52% Kerry 38 9 62 42 33 42 39 DK/NA 10 4 13 12 9 10 9

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Bush 57% 31% 52% 47% 51% 54% 67% Kerry 33 59 36 45 37 33 25 DK/NA 10 10 12 8 11 13 7



21. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Right thing 43% 73% 19% 36% 48% 38% 37% Wrong thing 50 20 76 55 46 53 55 DK/NA 7 8 5 9 6 8 9

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Right thing 44% 29% 45% 40% 35% 47% 53% Wrong thing 50 66 42 56 56 45 39 DK/NA 6 5 13 4 9 9 8



22. Would you describe the state of Pennsylvania's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good or poor?
                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Excellent 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% - Good 42 54 33 37 47 38 39 Not so good 42 36 45 47 41 43 45 Poor 13 6 19 13 9 16 15 DK/NA 2 1 2 2 2 2 1

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Excellent - - - 1% - 5% 1% Good 25 41 43 59 23 31 49 Not so good 50 46 45 27 55 53 37 Poor 22 11 11 9 21 10 10 DK/NA 3 1 - 3 1 1 3



23. Do you think Arlen Specter is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Too liberal 22% 35% 14% 13% 23% 21% 15% Too conservative 17 6 26 20 15 19 14 About right 45 43 47 47 47 43 54 DK/NA 16 16 13 19 16 17 17

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Too liberal 27% 18% 24% 20% 21% 26% 21% Too conservative 17 21 14 19 18 12 15 About right 42 41 46 47 43 41 49 DK/NA 14 20 16 14 18 21 15



24. Do you think Joseph Hoeffel is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Too liberal 13% 23% 5% 10% 18% 8% 14% Too conservative 3 2 3 5 2 4 5 About right 24 13 35 25 22 26 17 DK/NA 60 62 58 61 57 62 63

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Too liberal 8% 15% 14% 19% 9% 8% 11% Too conservative 3 1 2 3 2 8 2 About right 15 40 20 40 21 12 17 DK/NA 74 44 63 38 68 72 70