July 13, 2004 - Pennsylvania Voters Back Gambling Bill 2 -1, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Gov. Rendell's Approval Back To 'Honeymoon' High
By a 62 - 32 percent margin, Pennsylvania voters support the state's new law to create 61,000 slot machines, hoping to raise $1 billion for property tax relief, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

The success of his gambling/tax relief proposal has pushed Gov. Ed. Rendell's approval rating to 54 - 30 percent, his highest score since a 54 - 12 percent approval in a Feb. 20, 2003, poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN uh-pe-ack) University, taken in the first weeks of the new administration.

By a 51 - 38 percent margin, voters believe claims by the gambling bill's supporters that it will raise $1 billion. And voters disagree 62 - 35 percent with claims by opponents that it is morally wrong to depend on gambling for so much state revenue.

Only 34 percent of Pennsylvania voters say they will gamble on the new slot machines, while 62 percent say they will not.

"More than 6 in 10 Pennsylvania voters back the new law that will bring 61,000 slot machines to the state to provide revenue for property tax relief, and they don't believe it's morally wrong for Pennsylvania to depend on gambling for $1 billion a year in state revenues," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

A total of 40 percent of Pennsylvania voters are "very concerned" or "somewhat concerned" that the new gambling program will increase organized crime in the state, with 59 percent who are "not too concerned" or "not concerned at all."

A total of 49 percent are "very concerned" or "somewhat concerned" that the new gambling program will increase gambling addiction in the state, with 50 percent who are "not too concerned" or "not concerned at all."

"A bare majority are betting that the slots can raise the $1 billion target, and only 40 percent are concerned it will lead to an increase in organized crime activity. Voters are evenly divided on whether the slots will lead to increased gambling addiction. In any case, almost two-thirds say they don't plan to gamble on the machines - leaving it to the other third and outsiders to ante up the money," Richards added.

Voters approve 45 - 38 percent of the way Rendell is handling the state budget, but the Governor gets a 41 - 43 percent split approval on his handling of property taxes.

Rendell should be reelected in 2006, 46 percent of voters say, while 41 percent say they want a new governor.

"One of the big winners in the slots sweepstakes is Gov. Rendell. Not only has his approval rating tied his all-time high, he is getting significantly higher marks for his handling of the state's budget and property taxes," Richards said.

From July 6 - 11, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,577 Pennsylvania registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida and the nation as a public service and for research. For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu and quicklinks

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling his job as Governor?

                      App     Dis     DK/NA


Jul 13, 2004 54 30 15 Jun 24, 2004 51 31 18 May 27, 2004 49 31 19 Apr 22, 2004 46 33 22 Mar 18, 2004 46 35 19 Feb 19,2004 48 36 16 Dec 16, 2003 46 34 19 Oct 16, 2003 50 28 22 Aug 6, 2003 51 29 21 May 23, 2003 49 27 24 Apr 10, 2003 51 19 30 Feb 20, 2003 54 12 33



TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?

                      App     Dis     DK/NA  


Jul 13, 2004 45 37 18 Jun 24, 2004 43 38 20 May 27, 2004 40 39 21 Apr 22, 2004 37 38 25 Mar 18, 2004 40 40 20 Feb 19,2004 40 39 21 Dec 16, 2003 38 44 18 Oct 16, 2003 43 37 19 Aug 6, 2003 41 39 20 May 23, 2003 45 33 22 Apr 10, 2003 49 24 27



TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Pennsylvania today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

                      Very    Smwht   Smwht   Very
                      sat     sat     dis     dis     DK/NA


Jul 13, 2004 5 51 29 14 1 Jun 24, 2004 4 52 33 11 1 May 27, 2004 4 52 31 11 2 Apr 22, 2004 5 56 26 11 1 Mar 18, 2004 4 46 33 15 2 Feb 19,2004 4 45 33 17 1 Dec 16, 2003 4 50 28 17 1 Oct 16, 2003 5 51 30 13 1 Aug 6, 2003 4 53 30 12 1 May 23, 2003 5 53 28 13 2 Apr 10, 2003 7 59 25 8 2 Feb 20, 2003 7 56 25 9 2 Jun 5, 2002 8 60 22 8 3



TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling -- property taxes?

                      App     Dis     DK/NA


Jul 13, 2004 41 43 16 Apr 22, 2004 29 50 21 Feb 20, 2003 33 33 34



TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling -- the state budget?

                      App     Dis     DK/NA


Jul 13, 2004 45 38 17 Apr 22, 2004 31 43 26 Oct 16, 2003 39 41 20 Aug 6, 2003 42 40 18 May 23, 2003 38 44 18 Apr 10, 2003 37 37 25 Feb 20, 2003 39 21 39



TREND: Would you describe the state of Pennsylvania's economy these days as: Excellent, good, not so good, or poor?

                                      Nt So
                      Exlnt   Good    Good    Poor    DK/NA


Jul 13, 2004 1 41 43 12 3 Jun 24, 2004 1 42 42 13 2 May 27, 2004 1 38 43 16 2 Apr 22, 2004 1 36 46 15 2 Mar 18, 2004 - 30 47 19 3 Feb 18, 2004 1 31 45 22 1 Dec 16, 2003 1 33 43 21 2 Apr 10, 2003 2 38 44 14 2 Feb 20, 2003 1 33 46 19 1



TREND: During the next 12 months, do you think the economic conditions in Pennsylvania will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?

                                      Stay 
                      Better  Worse   Same    DK/NA


Jul 13, 2004 35 11 49 4 Apr 22, 2004 29 14 53 5 Mar 18, 2004 28 12 55 5 Feb 18, 2004 30 15 51 4 Dec 16, 2003 35 15 47 3 Apr 10, 2003 30 17 50 3 Feb 20, 2003 28 23 44 4



TREND: Would you say that you are better off or worse off financially than you were a year ago?
                      Better  Worse   SAME    DK/NA


Jul 13, 2004 39 35 24 1 Apr 22, 2004 38 38 24 1 Mar 17, 2004 38 36 24 2 Feb 18, 2004 36 39 23 1 Dec 16, 2003 38 35 27 1 Apr 10, 2003 37 36 26 1 Feb 20, 2003 35 42 23 1



1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling his job as Governor?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Approve 54% 41% 68% 56% 55% 54% 58% Disapprove 30 45 20 24 32 29 28 DK/NA 15 14 13 19 13 17 14

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Approve 49% 76% 51% 64% 51% 47% 46% Disapprove 31 13 34 21 35 39 39 DK/NA 20 10 15 15 15 15 16



2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Approve 45% 45% 46% 42% 45% 44% 46% Disapprove 37 37 34 42 41 33 38 DK/NA 18 18 20 16 14 22 16

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Approve 32% 47% 52% 49% 44% 40% 45% Disapprove 49 33 27 30 39 44 39 DK/NA 19 20 22 21 17 16 16



37. Ed Rendell will be up for re-election in 2006. Would you like to see Ed Rendell re-elected Governor, or would you rather see someone else elected Governor?
                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Yes/Re-elected 46% 31% 60% 50% 46% 46% 44% No/Someone else 41 56 28 37 42 41 43 DK/NA 13 13 12 14 13 14 14

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Yes/Re-elected 42% 72% 45% 62% 30% 36% 33% No/Someone else 41 18 39 28 56 50 53 DK/NA 17 10 16 9 14 14 14



38. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Pennsylvania today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Very satisfied 5% 4% 5% 6% 5% 5% 4% Smwht satisfied 51 51 57 44 52 50 52 Smwht dissatisfied 29 32 25 29 28 30 29 Very dissatisfied 14 12 11 20 14 14 15 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 1 -

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Very satisfied 3% 7% 5% 8% 6% 2% 4% Smwht satisfied 41 52 55 60 44 48 50 Smwht dissatisfied 33 29 26 22 31 32 33 Very dissatisfied 24 9 13 9 19 17 13 DK/NA - 3 - 1 - - 1



39. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling -- the state budget?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Approve 45% 34% 58% 47% 46% 45% 49% Disapprove 38 49 27 35 39 37 41 DK/NA 17 17 15 18 14 19 10

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Approve 41% 64% 50% 55% 41% 40% 34% Disapprove 40 24 34 25 46 45 48 DK/NA 19 12 16 20 13 15 18



40. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling -- property taxes?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Approve 41% 31% 53% 40% 42% 40% 46% Disapprove 43 55 33 42 44 43 45 DK/NA 16 14 14 18 14 17 10

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Approve 35% 56% 44% 48% 41% 37% 33% Disapprove 50 31 39 35 45 45 52 DK/NA 15 13 17 18 14 18 15



41. Would you describe the state of Pennsylvania's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good or poor?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Excellent 1% 1% 2% - 1% 1% 1% Good 41 49 36 37 42 39 41 Not so good 43 40 47 44 44 43 45 Poor 12 8 12 15 10 13 11 DK/NA 3 2 3 3 2 3 2

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Excellent - 1% 3% 2% 3% 1% 1% Good 23 41 43 56 28 32 44 Not so good 54 45 40 35 46 45 44 Poor 20 10 10 3 22 20 9 DK/NA 3 3 4 4 2 2 3



42. During the next 12 months, do you think the economic conditions in Pennsylvania will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Get better 35% 35% 39% 28% 35% 36% 36% Get worse 11 10 10 14 9 13 13 Stay the same 49 51 49 52 52 47 46 DK/NA 4 4 3 5 4 4 5

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Get better 41% 38% 42% 36% 37% 32% 29% Get worse 14 15 7 9 14 13 9 Stay the same 38 44 47 52 44 51 57 DK/NA 7 2 4 4 5 4 4



43. Would you say that you are better off or worse off financially than you were a year ago?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Better off 39% 47% 34% 35% 39% 39% 40% Worse off 35 27 40 40 34 36 34 SAME(VOL) 24 24 25 23 25 24 25 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Better off 30% 39% 35% 51% 31% 39% 38% Worse off 40 36 38 29 43 32 36 SAME(VOL) 30 25 24 19 25 26 25 DK/NA - - 2 1 1 3 1



44. As you may know, the legislature has passed and Governor Rendell has signed a new law installing more than 60 thousand slot machines in Pennsylvania to raise 1 billion dollars to cut property taxes and the Philadelphia wage tax. Do you approve or disapprove of this new law?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Approve 62% 50% 74% 62% 62% 62% 66% Disapprove 32 44 21 33 33 31 30 DK/NA 6 6 5 5 4 7 4

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Approve 65% 74% 65% 65% 64% 60% 52% Disapprove 31 22 29 28 31 35 41 DK/NA 4 4 6 7 5 5 7



45. Supporters of this legislation say the slot machines will provide 1 billion dollars in new revenue for Pennsylvania. Do you believe that the slot machines will raise that much money or not?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Yes 51% 47% 56% 49% 48% 54% 59% No 38 43 34 38 41 35 34 DK/NA 10 10 10 13 11 10 7

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Yes 51% 52% 52% 55% 57% 53% 46% No 40 35 34 36 33 38 44 DK/NA 9 13 14 10 10 9 10



46. Some people say that it is morally wrong for Pennsylvania to depend on gambling to raise 1 billion dollars a year in state revenues. Do you agree or disagree?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Agree 35% 44% 27% 33% 34% 36% 31% Disagree 62 52 69 65 64 60 66 DK/NA 4 4 4 2 3 4 3

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Agree 27% 29% 30% 30% 40% 40% 42% Disagree 70 66 69 66 56 57 54 DK/NA 3 5 1 4 5 3 4



47. Do you think you will gamble on the new slot machines?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Yes 34% 27% 40% 35% 34% 34% 40% No 62 70 57 61 63 62 56 DK/NA 3 4 3 4 3 4 4

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Yes 33% 45% 37% 33% 43% 37% 25% No 63 50 59 64 55 61 71 DK/NA 4 5 4 3 2 2 4



48. How concerned are you that the new slot machines will increase organized crime in Pennsylvania? Are you very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or not concerned at all?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Very concerned 17% 24% 10% 17% 15% 18% 12% Smwht concerned 23 25 24 16 20 25 23 Not too concerned 31 28 33 33 31 31 32 Not at all 28 23 30 33 34 23 31 DK/NA 2 1 2 2 1 2 1

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Very concerned 16% 15% 17% 12% 20% 18% 20% Smwht concerned 23 20 22 21 20 23 26 Not too concerned 30 29 37 36 29 31 26 Not at all 30 34 24 31 29 27 26 DK/NA 1 2 1 1 2 1 3



49. How concerned are you that the new slot machines will increase gambling addiction in Pennsylvania? Are you very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or not concerned at all?



                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Very concerned 23% 31% 17% 21% 22% 24% 18% Smwht concerned 26 24 27 26 25 27 27 Not too concerned 27 24 30 29 25 28 27 Not at all 23 20 24 23 27 19 28 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 - 1 1

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Very concerned 24% 18% 20% 19% 28% 25% 28% Smwht concerned 23 29 24 27 22 25 28 Not too concerned 27 26 32 31 23 24 25 Not at all 24 27 24 23 26 26 18 DK/NA 1 - 1 - - - 2