April 8, 2003 - Pennsylvania Voters Support Iraq War 3-1, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; President Bush Gets Big Bounce In Approval
Pennsylvania voters support the war in Iraq 73 - 24 percent and approve 70 - 26 percent of the way President George W. Bush is handling the war, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

President Bush's overall approval is 67 - 28 percent, up from 53 - 41 percent in a February 21 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN uh-pe-ack) University.

Republican support for the war is at 89 percent, while Democratic support is 58 - 38 percent. Independent voters support the war 69 - 28 percent.

The war in Iraq will last "months," 50 percent of voters say, while 13 percent say it will last "about a year," and 11 percent say longer than a year. Only 18 percent say the war will be over in "weeks."

"Pennsylvania's strong support for the war and the state's backing of President Bush mirror almost exactly the feeling of Americans nationwide. Pennsylvanians believe that in the long run the war will decrease the risk of further terrorism in the United States and they are not concerned that there will be a high casualty rate among the American troops," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Men (79 percent) are more likely to support the war than women (67 percent). The strongest opposition to the war is among voters in Philadelphia, where a bare majority of 50 percent are behind the war, while 43 percent say they are opposed. Support is strongest in largely rural southwest Pennsylvania (86 percent) while in Allegheny County, the Pittsburgh area, support is running at 70 percent," Richards added.

The war is going "very well," 42 percent say, as 44 percent say "fairly well;" 7 percent say "not too well," and 4 percent say "not well at all."

There are more American casualties than expected, 20 percent of Pennsylvania voters say, but 40 percent say there are fewer U.S. casualties and 35 percent say the casualty rate is what they expected.

By a 48 - 38 percent margin voters say the short-term risk of terrorism in the U.S. will be increased because of the war.

But Pennsylvania voters say 51 - 37 percent that the long-term risk of terrorism will decrease because of the war.

Only 6 percent of voters are "very worried" about terrorism in their community, with 24 percent "somewhat worried;" 34 percent "not too worried," and 35 percent "not worried at all."

From April 1 - 6, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,179 Pennsylvania registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and the nation as a public service and for research. For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu and quicklinks

5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?

                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    hsHlds


Approve 67% 89% 48% 57% 70% 63% 66% Disapprove 28 8 47 37 25 31 27 DK/NA 5 3 5 6 4 6 7

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Approve 69% 39% 70% 64% 64% 79% 75% Disapprove 30 54 28 29 26 17 21 DK/NA 1 7 3 7 10 4 5



6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq and Saddam Hussein?

                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    hsHlds


Approve 70% 89% 53% 64% 75% 66% 74% Disapprove 26 9 43 31 22 29 22 DK/NA 4 2 4 4 3 5 4

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Approve 67% 44% 77% 65% 72% 82% 79% Disapprove 33 48 20 29 23 17 18 DK/NA - 8 3 6 5 - 4



7. Do you support or oppose the United States having gone to war with Iraq?

                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    hsHlds


Support 73% 89% 58% 69% 79% 67% 76% Oppose 24 9 38 28 19 28 20 DK/NA 3 2 4 2 2 4 4

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Support 70% 50% 77% 70% 75% 86% 79% Oppose 27 43 21 27 20 12 18 DK/NA 3 7 2 3 5 2 3



8. How would you say the war is going for the United States and its allies; very well, fairly well, not too well or not well at all?

                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    hsHlds


Very well 42% 60% 27% 38% 54% 32% 46% Fairly well 44 34 51 48 37 50 43 Not too well 7 2 14 5 4 10 5 Not well at all 4 2 5 5 3 4 4 DK/NA 3 2 3 3 2 4 1

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Very well 39% 26% 42% 45% 37% 52% 48% Fairly well 49 40 46 42 49 40 44 Not too well 8 16 6 8 5 2 5 Not well at all 4 14 2 3 4 1 2 DK/NA 1 4 5 3 4 5 2



9. So far, would you say the war is going better than you expected for the United States, worse than you expected, or is the war going about the way you expected it to?

                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    hsHlds


Better than expected 21% 28% 15% 16% 23% 18% 24% Worse than expected 13 8 17 15 10 15 11 The same as expected 63 61 63 65 63 62 62 DK/NA 4 4 5 4 4 4 3

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Better than expected 19% 14% 29% 18% 22% 27% 20% Worse than expected 20 22 11 15 12 4 7 The same as expected 58 59 57 60 63 64 70 DK/NA 3 5 4 6 4 5 3



10. How long do you think the war with Iraq will last - weeks, months, about a year, or longer than that?
                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    hsHlds


Weeks 18% 26% 13% 14% 23% 14% 21% Months 50 52 47 48 50 50 47 About a year 13 10 15 18 11 15 8 Longer 11 4 16 15 9 12 16 DK/NA 8 8 9 6 6 9 7

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Weeks 19% 7% 22% 19% 13% 26% 21% Months 45 50 47 56 54 48 47 About a year 15 12 13 9 7 12 19 Longer 13 17 8 9 16 7 9 DK/NA 8 13 11 6 11 7 5



11. So far, would you say there have been more US casualties than you expected, less than you expected, or are there about as many US casualties as you expected?

                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    hsHlds


More than expected 20% 13% 26% 20% 16% 23% 23% Less than expected 40 46 33 41 46 35 35 As many as expected 35 37 34 36 34 36 36 DK/NA 5 4 7 3 5 5 6

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

More than expected 22% 23% 19% 19% 30% 16% 16% Less than expected 44 36 40 39 34 45 43 As many as expected 31 31 36 38 31 35 38 DK/NA 3 11 5 4 5 4 4



12. In the short term, do you think going to war with Iraq will increase or decrease the risk of further terrorism in the United States?

                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    hsHlds


Increase 48% 37% 57% 52% 44% 51% 46% Decrease 38 50 28 34 40 35 39 DK/NA 15 13 15 14 15 14 15

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Increase 49% 44% 48% 57% 46% 40% 45% Decrease 43 32 38 29 35 46 42 DK/NA 8 24 14 14 18 14 14



13. In the long term, do you think going to war with Iraq will increase or decrease the risk of further terrorism in the United States?

                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    hsHlds


Increase 37% 22% 50% 41% 34% 39% 34% Decrease 51 67 39 45 54 49 53 DK/NA 12 11 11 14 12 12 13

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Increase 37% 53% 37% 42% 30% 27% 32% Decrease 55 30 53 47 52 62 57 DK/NA 9 18 11 11 18 11 11



14. How worried are you about a terrorist attack in your community -- very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried or not worried at all?

                                                               Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    hsHlds


Very worried 6% 3% 8% 9% 2% 10% 5% Smwht worried 24 21 30 21 15 32 25 Not too worried 34 35 33 34 34 33 40 Not worried at all 35 41 29 37 48 24 30 DK/NA - 1 - - - 1 -

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Very worried 8% 15% 6% 6% 5% 2% 5% Smwht worried 25 25 27 32 20 19 20 Not too worried 32 25 32 34 36 30 39 Not worried at all 36 33 36 28 37 49 36 DK/NA - 1 - - 2 - -