October 16, 2003 - State Budget Gridlock Hurts Schools, Pennsylvania Voters Tell Quinnipiac University Poll; Voters Still Back Rendell Tax Hike Plan
Pennsylvania's budget stalemate, where the State legislature and the Governor have not agreed on a school funding plan, is hurting local schools, voters say 60 - 27 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Voters split 48 - 46 on a new proposal now before the legislature to raise the state sales tax to fund education. Voters support 55 - 36 percent an earlier proposal by Gov. Ed Rendell to raise state income taxes in order to lower property taxes and increase school aid. This compares to 53 - 36 percent support for the proposal in an August 6 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN uh-pe-ack) University.

"Pennsylvania voters are seriously concerned that the budget stalemate in Harrisburg is hurting their local school districts. While they are split over how they think the Governor has handled the budget, only 29 percent approve of the legislature's actions on the budget. Most of them blame the Governor and Legislature equally for being the only state in the nation without a completed budget," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"A majority continue to favor raising the state income tax, probably because it's a tradeoff for TWO things they want - property tax relief and money for education."

"The voters are divided on a state sales tax hike that would go to only ONE area, education funding," Richards added.

Fifty percent of voters say they are more likely to reelect a state legislator who votes for Rendell's income tax hike, while 36 percent say they are less likely. Legislators who vote for a sales tax hike can expect similar 49 - 38 percent support.

Voters approve 50 - 28 percent of the job Rendell is doing as governor, unchanged from his 51 - 29 percent approval Aug. 6.

The Governor and the legislature are equally to blame for the budget stalemate, 64 percent of voters say, while 24 percent blame the legislature more and 7 percent blame Rendell more.

Rendell gets a split 39 - 41 percent approval for his handling of the budget, compared to a negative 29 - 47 percent approval for the way the state legislature is handling this issue. The legislature's overall approval is 43 - 37 percent.

Allowing the recall of elected officials is a "good idea," voters say 52 - 42 percent. But only 24 percent of voters would vote for Arnold Schwarzenegger for governor of Pennsylvania.

"Rendell continues to come through this struggle with respectable marks. Half the voters approve of the job he is doing and only a little over a quarter disapprove. Nearly two-thirds - 65 percent - say he is doing about what they expected of him in his first year, which really means he is pleasing the majority that elected him while not impressing those who voted against him," Richards said.

From October 9 - 13, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,116 Pennsylvania registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and the nation as a public service and for research. For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu and quicklinks

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling his job as Governor of Pennsylvania?

                       App     Dis     DK/NA


Oct 16, 2003 50% 28% 22% Aug 6, 2003 51 29 21 May 23, 2003 49 27 24 Apr 10, 2003 51 19 30 Feb 20, 2003 54 12 33



TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Pennsylvania today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

                       Very    Smwht   Smwht   Very
                       sat     sat     dis     dis     DK/NA


Oct 16, 2003 5% 51% 30% 13% 1% Aug 6, 2003 4 53 30 12 1 May 23, 2003 5 53 28 13 2 Apr 10, 2003 7 59 25 8 2 Feb 20, 2003 7 56 25 9 2 Jun 5, 2002 8 60 22 8 3



TREND: As you may know, Governor Rendell originally proposed raising state income taxes in order to lower property taxes and increase aid to education. Do you support or oppose this proposal? (* the word "originally" did not appear in question)

                     Sup    Opp    DK/NA


Oct 16, 2003 55% 36% 9% Aug 6, 2003 53 36 11 May 23, 2003* 50 42 9 Apr 10, 2003* 53 38 9



1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling his job as Governor?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Approve 50% 38% 60% 53% 49% 51% 45% Disapprove 28 38 21 23 30 26 32 DK/NA 22 23 19 24 21 23 23

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Approve 35% 76% 49% 70% 45% 26% 40% Disapprove 37 12 26 17 30 47 34 DK/NA 28 12 26 14 25 27 26



2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Approve 43% 49% 39% 42% 43% 44% 44% Disapprove 37 30 39 43 41 33 41 DK/NA 19 21 21 15 16 23 15

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Approve 25% 49% 42% 48% 40% 33% 51% Disapprove 55 35 30 32 42 45 33 DK/NA 21 15 28 20 18 22 16



21. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Pennsylvania today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Very satisfied 5% 6% 3% 5% 4% 5% 2% Smwht satisfied 51 58 51 40 51 51 46 Smwht dissatisfied 30 25 30 39 30 30 36 Very dissatisfied 13 10 14 15 13 13 15 DK/NA 1 1 2 2 2 1 1

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Very satisfied 6% 8% 3% 5% 2% 1% 4% Smwht satisfied 34 50 60 62 46 39 53 Smwht dissatisfied 34 28 25 28 34 40 28 Very dissatisfied 26 14 10 4 15 16 13 DK/NA - 1 2 - 3 5 1



22.Would you say Ed Rendell is doing a better job as governor than you expected, a worse job, or about what you expected?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Better 12% 8% 16% 10% 10% 13% 14% Worse 15 18 12 13 13 16 17 As expected 65 65 65 69 67 63 59 DK/NA 9 10 7 8 9 9 10

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Better 6% 25% 13% 10% 7% 12% 9% Worse 19 8 15 12 23 20 13 As expected 62 59 63 74 63 57 67 DK/NA 12 8 9 5 6 11 11



23. Do you approve or disapprove of Ed Rendell's handling of the state budget?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Approve 39% 29% 48% 41% 42% 37% 36% Disapprove 41 49 31 44 41 41 49 DK/NA 20 22 20 15 17 22 15

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Approve 28% 65% 34% 49% 30% 21% 35% Disapprove 54 18 37 26 53 62 48 DK/NA 17 17 29 24 17 17 16



24. Do you approve or disapprove of the state legislature's handling of the state budget?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Approve 29% 37% 24% 25% 32% 27% 26% Disapprove 47 39 50 57 48 47 57 DK/NA 24 24 27 18 21 26 18

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Approve 21% 35% 31% 34% 19% 23% 31% Disapprove 64 43 38 38 61 56 46 DK/NA 16 23 31 28 21 21 23



25. Do you approve or disapprove of Ed Rendell's handling of charges of widespread sexual misconduct by members of the state police?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Approve 35% 34% 37% 36% 40% 31% 39% Disapprove 19 17 18 23 18 20 19 DK/NA 46 49 45 40 43 49 42

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Approve 24% 51% 30% 42% 26% 27% 36% Disapprove 24 21 17 15 13 27 19 DK/NA 52 29 52 43 60 46 45



26. Who do you think is most responsible for the state's failure to pass a budget - Governor Rendell, the State Legislature, or are they both equally to blame?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Rendell 7% 11% 4% 6% 8% 6% 7% State Legislature 24 16 31 27 28 21 27 Equally to blame 64 68 60 62 59 68 62 DK/NA 5 4 5 6 5 5 4

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Rendell 7% 4% 5% 7% 7% 6% 10% State Legislature 24 32 21 28 24 19 21 Equally to blame 65 60 67 59 66 70 64 DK/NA 5 5 6 6 3 5 5



27. (If 'State Leg' or 'Equal to blame' q26) Is it mainly the Republicans in the State Legislature or the Democrats, who are mainly responsible for the failure to pass a budget?
                      
                     STATE LEGISLATURE OR EQUALLY TO BLAME ON Q26..........


Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom hsHlds

Republicans 33% 10% 56% 31% 35% 32% 44% Democrats 15 29 4 13 16 13 13 BOTH(VOL) 27 27 21 35 28 26 24 DK/NA 25 34 20 20 20 29 19

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Republicans 37% 53% 33% 31% 32% 29% 26% Democrats 15 4 19 13 17 14 18 BOTH(VOL) 28 18 24 27 26 31 32 DK/NA 20 24 24 29 25 26 24



28. Do you think the failure of the governor and state legislature to agree on a program for funding state education is hurting your local public schools this year?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Yes/Hurting schls 60% 52% 67% 58% 57% 62% 69% No/Not hurting schls 27 34 19 30 31 23 23 DK/NA 13 14 13 12 12 14 9

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Yes/Hurting schls 58% 63% 57% 57% 71% 65% 56% No/Not hurting schls 24 22 29 34 19 18 30 DK/NA 18 15 14 8 10 17 13



29. As you may know, Governor Rendell originally proposed raising state income taxes in order to lower property taxes and increase aid to education. Do you support or oppose this proposal?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Support 55% 44% 68% 53% 54% 57% 56% Oppose 36 48 25 35 39 33 34 DK/NA 9 7 7 12 8 10 10

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Support 50% 71% 47% 60% 57% 55% 50% Oppose 41 22 38 32 35 36 43 DK/NA 9 7 15 8 8 9 7



30. Since then, there has been a proposal to increase the state sales tax to provide more state funds for education. Do you support or oppose this proposal?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Support 48% 41% 57% 45% 46% 50% 43% Oppose 46 56 36 50 50 43 52 DK/NA 5 4 7 6 4 7 5

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Support 43% 57% 47% 47% 53% 46% 46% Oppose 52 37 48 46 44 45 50 DK/NA 5 7 5 6 3 9 4



31. The governor has proposed legalizing slot machines at race tracks. Do you support or oppose this proposal?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Support 64% 57% 68% 68% 66% 62% 69% Oppose 31 38 27 29 29 34 25 DK/NA 5 5 5 3 5 5 6

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Support 71% 71% 59% 68% 67% 63% 56% Oppose 24 27 34 27 28 32 39 DK/NA 5 2 7 5 5 5 5



32. Suppose slot machines at race tracks are legalized. Would you support or oppose legalizing slot machines at off-track sites in Pittsburgh and Philadelphia?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Support 59% 52% 63% 65% 63% 57% 68% Oppose 36 43 32 31 34 37 27 DK/NA 5 5 4 4 3 6 5

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Support 61% 69% 59% 65% 60% 59% 49% Oppose 33 28 34 32 34 40 44 DK/NA 5 3 7 3 6 1 7



33. Do you support or oppose legalizing riverboat gambling in Pennsylvania to raise more state revenue?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Support 63% 54% 71% 64% 65% 62% 70% Oppose 33 42 25 32 31 35 28 DK/NA 4 4 4 4 4 4 2

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Support 67% 70% 63% 69% 66% 63% 54% Oppose 30 30 33 29 31 27 41 DK/NA 3 1 4 2 4 10 5



34. If your state legislator votes to increase state income taxes in order to lower property taxes and increase state aid to schools are you more likely or less likely to vote for that state legislator for re-election?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


More likely 50% 40% 59% 49% 48% 51% 50% Less likely 36 45 27 40 40 33 40 NO DIFF(VOL) 5 6 4 5 7 4 2 DK/NA 9 9 10 6 6 12 8

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

More likely 49% 58% 51% 52% 48% 42% 46% Less likely 40 27 37 33 39 40 39 NO DIFF(VOL) 1 4 4 6 6 5 7 DK/NA 10 10 8 8 6 13 8



35. If your state legislator votes to increase the state sales tax in order to help fund education programs are you more likely or less likely to vote for that state legislator for re-election?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


More likely 49% 39% 60% 47% 45% 52% 50% Less likely 38 48 29 39 44 33 40 NO DIFF(VOL) 6 5 5 9 7 5 4 DK/NA 7 8 6 5 4 9 5

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

More likely 51% 59% 49% 48% 61% 42% 42% Less likely 40 29 42 38 30 39 43 NO DIFF(VOL) 5 5 3 7 6 8 7 DK/NA 4 7 6 7 3 11 8



36. As you may know, some states, such as California, allow people to vote to remove their elected officials from office before the end of their terms by gathering signatures on a petition for a special recall election. Do you think it is a good idea or bad idea for people to be able to recall governors and other elected state officials?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Good idea 52% 52% 47% 60% 55% 49% 54% Bad idea 42 42 49 33 39 45 42 DK/NA 5 6 5 7 5 5 5

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Good idea 54% 50% 53% 49% 51% 56% 54% Bad idea 43 46 41 47 42 34 41 DK/NA 3 3 6 5 7 10 5



37. If you had the chance, would you vote for Arnold Schwarzenegger to be Governor of Pennsylvania or not?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     hsHlds


Yes 24% 30% 19% 22% 24% 24% 23% No 65 56 73 67 64 66 70 DK/NA 11 14 8 11 11 10 7

Algny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

Yes 23% 22% 26% 17% 32% 24% 27% No 67 73 65 72 60 59 60 DK/NA 10 5 9 11 7 17 13