April 2, 2008 - Clinton Leads 50 - 41 Among Pennsylvania Democrats; Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Whites Give Clinton Lead In Key November Matchups: --- PENNSYLVANIA Democrats: Clinton 50 - Obama 41; FLORIDA: Clinton 44 - McCain 42; McCain 46 - Obama 37; OHIO: Clinton 48 - McCain 39; Obama 43 - McCain 42

Word format

New York Sen. Hillary Clinton holds a 50 - 41 percent lead over Illinois Sen. Barack Obama among likely Pennsylvania Democratic primary voters and runs better against Arizona Sen. John McCain, the likely Republican nominee in Pennsylvania, Florida and Ohio, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to a 53 - 41 percent lead in a March 18 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University. In general election match ups of the three largest and most important swing states in the Electoral College, the survey finds.
  • Florida: Clinton 44 percent - McCain 42 percent; McCain beats Obama 46 - 37 percent;
  • Ohio: Clinton beats McCain 48 - 39 percent; Obama gets 43 percent to McCain's 42 percent;
  • Pennsylvania: Clinton tops McCain 48 - 40 percent; Obama leads McCain 43 - 39 percent.
The primary vote between Obama and Clinton splits sharply along racial lines, with her advantage coming from stronger support in every contest from white voters. For example, Clinton leads 59 - 34 percent among white Pennsylvania likely primary voters, while Obama leads 73 - 11 percent among black Democrats.

"When it comes to November, Sen. Hillary Clinton's strength is a big edge over Sen. Barack Obama among white voters, who have not given a majority of their votes to a Democratic presidential nominee since Lyndon Johnson in 1964," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute."

More than a third of voters in the three states think Obama's race is an advantage, more than twice the number who think it is a disadvantage. By contrast, roughly a quarter of voters say Clinton's gender is an advantage, and about the same number think it is a disadvantage.

"Former Democratic vice presidential nominee Geraldine Ferraro's assertion that Obama's race has helped his candidacy finds some support among the electorate," said Brown.

"At least for now, Sen. Clinton's argument that she is the better general election candidate in these key battleground states appears to have some validity," said Brown. "In this survey, her strength among white voters is why she runs better against Sen. McCain than does Sen. Obama.

"Roughly one in five Democrats in the three states say they will vote for McCain against Obama, but less than 10 percent say they would vote for McCain over Clinton. Among white Democrats, 23 percent defect to McCain in a matchup with Obama, but only 11 percent defect when Clinton is the Democratic candidate." Pennsylvania

Among Pennsylvania Democrats, Clinton leads 54 - 37 percent with women, and ties Obama 46 - 46 percent with men. Obama leads 51 - 42 percent among voters under 45 years old, while Clinton leads 54 - 37 percent among voters over 45.

By a 48 - 42 percent margin, Pennsylvania registered voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton. Obama gets a 49 - 31 percent favorability and McCain gets 47 - 31 percent.

"Sen. Clinton's imaginary snipers, Rev. Wright, Geraldine Ferraro, these events have taken only a small toll on Sen. Clinton's lead in the Pennsylvania Democratic primary," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Her strength is her clear advantage among white voters - blue collar whites, less educated whites, economically hurting whites, that group known famously as Reagan Democrats in the Keystone State. Obama is marshalling all his forces, but despite his eloquent dialogue on the race issue, Pennsylvania Democrats are unmoved. So Far."

The economy is the most important issue in their vote, 46 percent of voters say, followed by 23 percent who list the war in Iraq and 14 percent who cite health care.

Looking at the most important quality in a candidate, 30 percent want a strong leader and 26 percent want someone who is trustworthy.

Being black is an advantage for Obama, 32 percent say, while 15 percent say it's a disadvantage and 47 percent say it makes no difference.

Being a woman is an advantage for Clinton, 26 percent say, with 25 percent saying it's a disadvantage and 45 percent saying it makes no difference.
Florida

In a general election match-up, McCain trails Clinton 44 - 42, too close to call, but handily defeats Obama 46 - 37 percent.

"The difference between Clinton and Obama in Florida is the white vote," said Brown. "She gets 38 percent to 50 percent for McCain, but Obama loses to the Arizona senator 54 - 27 among white voters. If Obama does get the nomination, how he fares with whites will be crucial to his chances."

The economy is the most important issue to Florida voters, 44 percent of voters say, followed by 19 percent who list the war in Iraq and 14 percent who cite health care.

Twenty-nine percent say a strong leader is the most important characteristic they seek in a president, while 27 percent say trustworthiness.

Being black is an advantage for Obama, 35 percent say, while 15 percent say it's a disadvantage and 44 percent say it makes no difference.

Being a woman is an advantage for Clinton, 24 percent say, with 25 percent saying it's a disadvantage and 47 percent saying it makes no difference. Ohio

Clinton's 48 - 39 percent lead over McCain puts her clearly out in front after several months of see-saw, too-close-to-call results.

Men split with 43 percent for McCain and 42 percent for Clinton, but women go with her 53 - 35 percent.

In an Obama-McCain matchup in Ohio, women back Obama 44 - 40 percent as men split, with 44 percent for McCain and 42 percent for Obama.

Despite Clinton's edge in the match-ups, she is not as well thought of overall as her two competitors. Ohio voters split 47 - 45 percent in their opinion of Clinton. By a 45 - 37 percent margin, voters have a favorable opinion of Obama. McCain gets a 42 - 33 percent favorability.

"The favorability data indicate that her lead may be in part due to higher name recognition. This is not a good omen as the other candidates become better known," said Brown.

The economy is the most important issue in their vote, 44 percent of voters say, followed by 22 percent who list the war in Iraq and 17 percent who cite health care.

"The economic concerns of voters make Ohio a tougher challenge for McCain than has traditionally been the case for Republicans, who have never won the White House without carrying Ohio," Brown said. "But Obama's weakness among white men is an indication that he has not yet closed the sale among the lunch bucket brigade."

Ohio voters split in the most important quality they want in a candidate, with 28 percent looking for someone trustworthy and 27 percent looking for a strong leader.

Being black is an advantage for Obama, 36 percent say, while 14 percent say it's a disadvantage and 45 percent say it makes no difference.

Being a woman is an advantage for Clinton, 24 percent say, with 27 percent saying it's a disadvantage and 46 percent saying it makes no difference.

From March 24 - 31, Quinnipiac University surveyed:
  • 1,136 Florida voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent;
  • 1,238 Ohio voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percent;
  • 3,484 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of +/- 1.7 percent, including 1,549 Democratic likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percent.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.

1a. If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton or Obama? *This table includes Leaners.
                   PA LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS.............................
                                                           Wht     Wht
                   Tot     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Men     Wom
 
Clinton            50%     46%     54%     59%     11%     52%     63%
Obama              41      46      37      34      73      40      29
SMONE ELSE(VOL)     1       1       1       1       -       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)    -       -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA               8       7       9       7      15       7       7
 
                   Age     Age     No col  Col     WhtBrn
                   18-44   45+     degree  degree  Evangel
 
Clinton            42%     54%     55%     40%     56%
Obama              51      37      36      53      29
SMONE ELSE(VOL)     1       1       1       -       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)    -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA               7       9       9       7      15
 
                   Alghny  Philly  NthEst  SthEst  NthWst  SthWst  Cntrl
 
Clinton            51%     38%     63%     44%     59%     62%     50%
Obama              37      51      28      49      34      33      41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)     -       -       3       -       -       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)    -       -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA              12      11       7       8       6       4       8
 
                   IMPORTANT ISSUE TO VOTE......   IMPORTANT QUALITY IN CANDIDATE..
                   War     Econ    HlthCr  Trust   ShrVals Leader  Comptnt Inspires
 
Clinton            45%     53%     56%     43%     47%     55%     60%     11%
Obama              48      39      34      47      44      33      36      80
SMONE ELSE(VOL)     1       1       1       1       1       -       1       -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA               7       8       9       9       7      11       3       9
 
 
TREND: If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton or Obama? *This table includes Leaners.
                   PA LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS
                   Apr 02  Mar 18  Feb 27  Feb 14
                   2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Clinton            50      53      49      52
Obama              41      41      43      36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)     1       1       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)    -       -       -       -
DK/NA               8       6       7      11
 
 
1. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WHITE......
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Clinton                 44%      7%     78%     36%     35%     52%     30%     46%
McCain                  42      85       9      45      52      33      60      41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       1       1       2       3       1       3       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         4       1       5       5       4       5       2       2
DK/NA                    8       5       6      11       6      10       6       9
 
                                                                        WHITE......
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Clinton                 48%      6%     81%     42%     42%     53%     41%     50%
McCain                  39      88       8      39      43      35      45      39
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       1       2       2       2       2       3       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       2       4       4       4       3       2       3
DK/NA                    8       2       5      13       8       7       9       6
 
                                                                        WHITE......
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Clinton                 48%      8%     80%     42%     42%     53%     40%     50%
McCain                  40      83      11      42      46      34      50      39
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       1       3       2       1       2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       2       3       3       3       3       3       2
DK/NA                    8       6       5      10       6       9       6       8
 
 
2. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WHITE......
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Obama                   37%      7%     61%     35%     33%     40%     27%     28%
McCain                  46      84      20      45      50      42      57      52
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          3       1       3       3       4       3       4       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         6       1       9       5       5       6       5       6
DK/NA                    9       7       7      11       8       9       8      11
 
                                                                        WHITE......
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Obama                   43%     10%     66%     42%     42%     44%     38%     37%
McCain                  42      83      19      39      44      40      47      46
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       2       2       2       3       2       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         5       1       7       5       4       5       4       5
DK/NA                    8       4       7      11       7       9       8      10
 
                                                                        WHITE......
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Obama                   43%     11%     67%     44%     41%     46%     38%     40%
McCain                  39      77      17      35      43      36      47      40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          2       1       2       4       2       2       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         4       1       6       4       4       4       4       5
DK/NA                   11      10       9      14       9      13       9      14
 
 
3. Is your opinion of -- Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                                        WHITE......
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Favorable               44%     19%     68%     38%     34%     52%     36%     51%
Unfavorable             45      71      21      50      57      35      58      37
Hvn't hrd enough         8       8       7       7       6       9       5       7
REFUSED                  4       2       4       5       4       4       1       4
 
                                                                        WHITE......
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Favorable               47%     11%     74%     40%     41%     51%     39%     50%
Unfavorable             45      82      20      47      52      39      54      40
Hvn't hrd enough         6       5       3      10       4       7       4       8
REFUSED                  3       2       3       3       3       2       3       2
 
                                                                        WHITE......
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Favorable               48%     17%     73%     44%     42%     54%     40%     53%
Unfavorable             42      73      20      45      49      37      50      38
Hvn't hrd enough         7       8       4       9       8       6       8       6
REFUSED                  2       2       2       2       2       3       2       3
 
 
4. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                                        WHITE......
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Favorable               42%     20%     60%     45%     41%     43%     38%     33%
Unfavorable             38      62      24      34      41      36      46      46
Hvn't hrd enough        16      16      13      17      14      17      13      18
REFUSED                  4       3       3       4       4       4       3       4
 
                                                                        WHITE......
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Favorable               45%     24%     61%     43%     43%     46%     40%     40%
Unfavorable             37      60      24      34      40      34      43      39
Hvn't hrd enough        15      13      12      20      14      15      15      17
REFUSED                  3       4       3       3       3       4       3       4
 
                                                                        WHITE......
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Favorable               49%     29%     61%     53%     47%     50%     44%     46%
Unfavorable             31      49      22      24      33      29      35      32
Hvn't hrd enough        18      20      15      20      18      18      19      18
REFUSED                  3       3       2       3       2       3       2       3
 
 
5. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                                        WHITE......
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Favorable               50%     82%     25%     55%     59%     42%     66%     52%
Unfavorable             32       8      52      27      27      35      22      30
Hvn't hrd enough        15       9      20      13       8      20       6      16
REFUSED                  4       2       3       6       5       2       5       2
 
                                                                        WHITE......
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Favorable               42%     78%     22%     42%     48%     38%     50%     42%
Unfavorable             33      10      50      28      34      32      31      31
Hvn't hrd enough        21      10      25      25      16      26      15      23
REFUSED                  4       2       4       4       3       4       4       3
 
                                                                        WHITE......
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Favorable               47%     74%     30%     48%     53%     41%     55%     46%
Unfavorable             31      10      46      28      29      32      28      29
Hvn't hrd enough        19      15      20      21      14      23      14      22
REFUSED                  3       2       3       2       3       3       3       3
 
 
6. Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the election for President this year? (Read options)
                                                                        WHITE......
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Terrorism                9%     19%      2%      8%     12%      6%     14%      7%
The war in Iraq         19      13      21      20      19      19      19      21
The economy             44      39      47      46      43      44      39      45
Illegal immigration      7      11       2       8       9       6      11       8
Health care             14       7      22      11      10      17       9      13
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)      3       4       2       2       4       1       5       1
DK/NA                    5       7       3       4       3       6       3       5
 
                                                                        WHITE......
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Terrorism                7%     18%      1%      4%      9%      5%     10%      5%
The war in Iraq         22      15      24      24      22      21      22      22
The economy             44      44      47      42      46      43      48      44
Illegal immigration      5       6       2       7       6       3       5       4
Health care             17      10      21      18      10      23       8      21
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)      2       3       2       3       4       1       4       1
DK/NA                    3       4       3       2       3       3       3       3
 
                                                                        WHITE......
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Terrorism                8%     18%      2%      6%      9%      7%      9%      7%
The war in Iraq         23      18      27      20      22      23      21      23
The economy             46      43      47      50      48      44      49      44
Illegal immigration      5       8       2       7       6       4       7       4
Health care             14       9      20      13      11      17      11      16
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)      2       2       1       2       2       2       2       2
DK/NA                    2       2       2       2       2       3       2       3
 
 
7. When you decide how to vote for president, which of the following is the single most important quality you look for in a candidate? (Read options)
                                                                        WHITE......
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Trustworthy             27%     24%     26%     31%     29%     25%     27%     26%
Shares your values      18      24      16      13      17      19      19      21
A strong leader         29      32      29      25      29      29      28      27
Competent               21      18      23      24      20      22      22      21
Inspiring                2       1       3       2       3       2       2       1
DK/NA                    3       2       3       4       3       4       3       3
 
                                                                        WHITE......
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Trustworthy             28%     29%     25%     32%     28%     29%     27%     28%
Shares your values      19      29      16      17      18      21      18      22
A strong leader         27      25      32      21      26      27      27      27
Competent               20      16      21      24      22      18      22      19
Inspiring                3       1       4       4       4       3       4       2
DK/NA                    2       1       2       1       2       2       2       2
 
                                                                        WHITE......
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Trustworthy             26%     28%     22%     30%     25%     27%     25%     27%
Shares your values      18      23      16      19      17      19      17      20
A strong leader         30      30      33      23      29      31      28      29
Competent               20      17      23      21      21      19      22      19
Inspiring                3       1       4       5       5       2       5       2
DK/NA                    2       1       2       3       3       2       3       2
 
 
8. What should the United States do in Iraq? Withdraw all troops as soon as possible, or set a timetable to withdraw troops gradually or keep troops in Iraq as long as needed?
                                                                        WHITE......
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Withdraw all troops     29%     10%     46%     26%     25%     33%     22%     25%
Set a timetable         37      31      39      41      32      42      28      44
Keep troops as needed   29      53      12      29      41      20      48      26
DK/NA                    4       6       4       4       3       6       2       6
 
                                                                        WHITE......
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Withdraw all troops     25%      5%     36%     25%     21%     28%     20%     25%
Set a timetable         44      30      54      45      41      47      40      49
Keep troops as needed   28      61       8      26      36      21      37      23
DK/NA                    3       4       2       3       3       3       3       4
 
                                                                        WHITE......
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Withdraw all troops     24%     10%     35%     21%     18%     30%     17%     25%
Set a timetable         45      31      54      49      44      47      42      49
Keep troops as needed   27      55       8      27      35      20      37      22
DK/NA                    4       4       3       4       4       3       4       3
 
 
9. Do you think it's the government's responsibility to make sure that everyone in the United States has adequate health-care, or don't you think so?
                                                                        WHITE......
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Yes                     64%     40%     85%     61%     56%     71%     50%     65%
No                      32      57      13      34      40      25      46      31
DK/NA                    4       3       3       6       4       4       4       4
 
                                                                        WHITE......
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Yes                     62%     33%     83%     60%     54%     69%     52%     66%
No                      34      62      14      36      42      27      45      29
DK/NA                    4       6       3       4       4       4       3       5
 
                                                                        WHITE......
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Yes                     65%     41%     82%     66%     58%     72%     56%     69%
No                      31      55      14      30      38      24      40      27
DK/NA                    4       5       3       4       4       4       4       5
 
 
10. Which best describes your family's financial situation - Getting ahead, falling behind or holding steady?
                                                                        WHITE......
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Getting ahead           17%     20%     17%     14%     19%     15%     15%     12%
Falling behind          17      12      23      15      16      19      16      19
Holding steady          65      68      60      70      64      66      68      68
DK/NA                    1       -       1       2       1       1       1       1
 
                                                                        WHITE......
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Getting ahead           13%     17%     11%     12%     15%     11%     15%      9%
Falling behind          21      13      23      24      20      21      20      19
Holding steady          66      69      66      63      65      68      64      71
DK/NA                    -       1       -       1       -       1       -       1
 
                                                                        WHITE......
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Getting ahead           16%     20%     15%     15%     19%     14%     20%     13%
Falling behind          17       9      20      20      16      17      17      17
Holding steady          66      69      65      65      64      68      63      69
DK/NA                    1       1       1       -       1       1       1       1
 
 
11. Is the fact that Barack Obama would be the nation's first black president one of the reasons you would consider voting for him or one of the reasons you would consider voting against him, or doesn't it affect your vote?
                                                                        WHITE......
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Reason to vote For       5%      1%     10%      2%      3%      6%      2%      2%
Reason to vote Against   4       5       2       5       5       2       6       2
Doesn't affect vote     90      93      86      92      90      89      92      95
DK/NA                    1       1       1       1       1       2       1       1
 
                                                                        WHITE......
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Reason to vote For       3%      1%      5%      3%      3%      4%      2%      3%
Reason to vote Against   4       4       4       3       4       3       4       4
Doesn't affect vote     93      95      91      94      93      92      94      93
DK/NA                    1       -       -       1       -       1       -       1
 
                                                                        WHITE......
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Reason to vote For       4%      1%      6%      3%      3%      4%      2%      2%
Reason to vote Against   3       4       3       2       4       3       4       3
Doesn't affect vote     92      94      90      94      92      92      93      93
DK/NA                    1       1       1       1       1       1       1       1
 
 
12. Is the fact that Hillary Clinton would be the nation's first woman president one of the reasons you would consider voting for her or one of the reasons you would consider voting against her, or doesn't it affect your vote?
                                                                        WHITE......
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Reason to vote For       9%      2%     17%      5%      6%     12%      5%      8%
Reason to vote Against   4       6       1       6       6       2       6       3
Doesn't affect vote     85      90      80      87      87      84      87      88
DK/NA                    1       2       1       2       2       1       2       1
 
                                                                        WHITE......
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Reason to vote For       7%      1%     12%      5%      3%     10%      2%      9%
Reason to vote Against   5       9       3       5       5       5       5       5
Doesn't affect vote     88      89      84      90      91      85      92      86
DK/NA                    1       -       1       -       1       -       1       -
 
                                                                        WHITE......
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Reason to vote For       8%      3%     13%      5%      5%     11%      5%      8%
Reason to vote
 Against                 5       9       2       4       5       4       5       5
Doesn't affect
 vote                   86      86      85      90      89      83      89      86
DK/NA                    1       2       1       1       1       1       1       1
 
 
13. Do you think the fact that Barack Obama is black has been an advantage to him in his presidential campaign, a disadvantage, or hasn't it made a difference?
                                                                        WHITE......
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Advantage               35%     42%     34%     32%     36%     34%     38%     40%
Disadvantage            15       8      20      15      17      12      15       8
No difference           44      45      40      47      40      47      42      44
DK/NA                    6       5       6       6       6       7       6       8
 
                                                                        WHITE......
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Advantage               36%     38%     32%     37%     38%     34%     39%     35%
Disadvantage            14       8      16      16      15      12      13      11
No difference           45      47      47      41      41      49      41      49
DK/NA                    6       7       5       5       6       5       7       5
 
                                                                        WHITE......
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Advantage               32%     37%     30%     33%     34%     31%     36%     33%
Disadvantage            15      11      17      16      15      14      14      12
No difference           47      46      48      46      45      50      45      49
DK/NA                    6       6       5       6       5       6       5       6
 
 
14. Do you think the fact that Hillary Clinton is a woman has been an advantage to her in her presidential campaign, a disadvantage, or hasn't it made a difference?
                                                                        WHITE......
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Advantage               24%     27%     24%     23%     24%     25%     23%     24%
Disadvantage            25      20      30      23      21      28      18      31
No difference           47      49      42      51      50      44      55      42
DK/NA                    4       4       3       3       5       4       4       3
 
                                                                        WHITE......
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Advantage               24%     25%     27%     19%     23%     25%     22%     24%
Disadvantage            27      23      27      32      21      32      20      32
No difference           46      49      43      45      52      40      53      40
DK/NA                    3       3       3       4       4       3       4       3
 
                                                                        WHITE......
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Advantage               26%     29%     22%     28%     29%     23%     29%     22%
Disadvantage            25      19      30      23      20      29      19      31
No difference           45      47      45      45      47      44      48      44
DK/NA                    4       5       3       3       4       3       4       4
 
 
15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling issues involving race in the Presidential campaign?
                                                                        WHITE......
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Approve                 50%     36%     61%     51%     52%     48%     46%     44%
Disapprove              31      42      23      32      31      31      36      37
DK/NA                   19      22      16      17      17      22      18      19
 
                                                                        WHITE......
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Approve                 50%     41%     58%     50%     51%     50%     51%     46%
Disapprove              31      37      30      28      34      29      35      32
DK/NA                   19      22      13      22      15      21      14      22
 
                                                                        WHITE......
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Approve                 56%     45%     63%     60%     56%     56%     54%     53%
Disapprove              27      36      24      23      28      26      29      28
DK/NA                   17      20      13      17      16      18      17      19
 
 
16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hillary Clinton is handling issues involving race in the Presidential campaign?
                                                                        WHITE......
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Approve                 41%     30%     53%     39%     36%     45%     36%     44%
Disapprove              39      46      32      41      46      33      43      34
DK/NA                   20      24      14      20      18      22      21      22
 
                                                                        WHITE......
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Approve                 47%     39%     55%     43%     49%     45%     49%     44%
Disapprove              33      34      29      38      35      31      35      30
DK/NA                   20      27      16      19      16      24      16      26
 
                                                                        WHITE......
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Approve                 46%     34%     56%     46%     45%     48%     45%     48%
Disapprove              34      43      28      34      37      32      36      30
DK/NA                   20      23      16      20      19      21      19      22
 
 
17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
                                                                        WHITE......
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Approve                 29%     58%     12%     23%     31%     27%     36%     30%
Disapprove              67      37      87      69      65      68      60      65
DK/NA                    5       5       1       8       4       5       4       5
 
                                                                        WHITE......
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Approve                 27%     67%      6%     22%     31%     24%     32%     27%
Disapprove              68      27      92      72      67      70      65      67
DK/NA                    5       6       2       7       2       6       3       6
 
                                                                        WHITE......
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Approve                 26%     61%      6%     19%     28%     24%     30%     27%
Disapprove              69      32      92      75      68      71      66      68
DK/NA                    5       7       2       6       4       5       5       5
 
 
18. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?
                                                                        WHITE......
FL......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Right thing             33%     65%     15%     26%     36%     31%     40%     37%
Wrong thing             60      27      79      68      58      62      53      56
DK/NA                    6       8       5       6       6       6       7       7
 
                                                                        WHITE......
OH......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Right thing             33%     68%     12%     33%     39%     29%     39%     32%
Wrong thing             59      20      84      59      55      63      54      59
DK/NA                    7      11       4       8       6       8       6      10
 
                                                                        WHITE......
PA......................Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Men     Wom
 
Right thing             33%     66%     12%     30%     37%     29%     40%     33%
Wrong thing             62      28      85      64      59      64      57      60
DK/NA                    6       6       4       6       4       7       4       7