September 11, 2008 - Palin Boosts McCain In Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll Finds; But Obama Leads In Two Of Three Battlegrounds --- FLORIDA: McCain 50 - Obama 43; OHIO: Obama 49 - McCain 44; PENNSYLVANIA: Obama 48 - McCain 45

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Republican Vice Presidential nominee Sarah Palin apparently is attracting white women likely voters to Arizona Sen. John McCain, helping him pull away from Illinois Sen. Barack Obama in Florida and narrow the gap with the Democrat in Pennsylvania, even as he is slipping slightly in Ohio, according to simultaneous Quinnipiac University Swing State polls released today.

No one has been elected President since 1960 without taking two of these three largest swing states in the Electoral College. Results from the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University polls show:
  • Florida: McCain leads 50 - 43 percent, compared to 47 - 43 percent August 26;
  • Ohio: Obama is up 49 - 44 percent, compared to 44 - 43 percent last time;
  • Pennsylvania: Obama leads 48 - 45 percent, compared to 49 - 42 percent.
Voters in all three states say Sen. McCain's selection of Gov. Palin is a good choice: 60 - 26 percent in Florida, 57 - 30 percent in Ohio and 55 - 33 percent in Pennsylvania.

Since August 26, McCain's support among white women is up four percentage points in Ohio and five points in Pennsylvania, and dropped two points in Florida, where it was high to start.

"White women, a key demographic group in any national election, appear to be in play, with some movement towards Sen. McCain in Pennsylvania and Ohio," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Obviously Gov. Sarah Palin is having the impact that Sen. McCain hoped when he selected her."

"The size of Sen. McCain's margin with white voters overall tells the tale. In Florida, where McCain leads among whites by 24 points, that is a large enough cushion for him to survive Obama's almost total control of the black vote, and strong support among Hispanics."

"But in Pennsylvania and Ohio, where McCain leads by just six or seven points among whites, he's behind in the total count."

"Overall, even among many Democrats, Palin gets good grades. By almost a two-to-one margin, voters see McCain's choice of her as a good one, roughly the same who feel that way about Sen. Joe Biden."

President George W. Bush's approval ratings are:
  • 33 - 63 percent in Florida;
  • 30 - 65 percent in Ohio;
  • 26 - 70 percent in Pennsylvania. Florida
Florida men likely voters back McCain 54 - 41 percent, while women go 47 percent for McCain and 45 percent for Obama, the first time he has trailed among women. White voters back McCain 59 - 35 percent. Obama leads 55 - 37 percent with voters 18 to 34 years old; McCain leads 52 - 41 percent among voters 35 to 54, and 54 - 39 percent with voters over 55.

Independent voters back McCain 50 - 43 percent, compared to 47 - 39 percent August 26 and 24 percent of those who backed Sen. Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primary now support McCain, up from 14 percent August 26.

By a 58 - 29 percent margin, Florida voters have a favorable opinion of McCain, compared to 49 - 35 percent for Obama. Palin gets a 47 - 23 percent favorability, with 38 - 28 percent for Biden.

The economy is the most important issue in the election, 49 percent of Florida voters say, as 12 percent cite the war in Iraq; 11 percent list terrorism; 9 percent say health care and 8 percent say energy policy.

Florida likely voters say 58 - 38 percent that the vice presidential candidates picked by McCain and Obama will have little impact on which candidate they will pick on Election Day.

"Sen. McCain has opened up a sizable lead over Sen. Obama in Florida on his ability to capture most demographic groups," said Brown. "He wins voters over age 35 overwhelmingly; takes independents and keeps a larger share of Republicans than Obama captures of Democrats."

Ohio

Obama leads 52 - 42 percent among Ohio women, compared to 51 - 37 percent August 26. Men split 47 - 47 percent. Obama leads 64 - 33 percent among voters 18 to 34, while voters 35 to 54 split with 48 percent for McCain and 46 percent for Obama. Voters over 55 back McCain 48 - 44 percent.

Independent voters back McCain 47 - 43 percent, compared to a 42 - 38 percent Obama lead August 26, and 28 percent of former Clinton supporters now back McCain, compared to 23 percent last time.

McCain gets a 53 - 34 percent favorability in Ohio, identical to Obama's 53 - 33 percent. Palin's favorability is 41 - 22 percent, compared to 36 - 22 percent for Biden.

For 52 percent of Ohio voters, the economy is the biggest issue, while 11 percent cite health care; 10 percent say the war in Iraq; 9 percent list energy policy and 8 percent say terrorism.

The choice of a running mate will have little impact on their vote, 61 percent of Ohio likely voters say.

"Sen. McCain and Sen. Obama are getting the same level of party loyalty and the Republican is even winning slightly among independents. But Obama is ahead because there are so many more people who identify as Democrats - a legacy of the 2006 election and scandals involving former Gov. Robert Taft's administration," Brown said. Pennsylvania

Obama leads 51 - 41 percent with women, compared to 53 - 37 percent August 26. McCain leads 51 - 45 percent among men. Obama leads 58 - 38 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old and gets 49 percent of voters 35 to 54 to McCain's 47 percent. Voters over 55 back McCain 50 - 43 percent.

Independent voters split with 45 percent for the Republican and 44 percent for the Democrat. This compares to a 48 - 38 percent Obama lead August 26. Among former Clinton supporters, 22 percent support McCain, compared to 25 percent August 26.

McCain gets a 54 - 34 percent favorability, compared to Obama's 56 - 29 percent. Palin's favorability is 39 - 26 percent, while Biden gets a 53 - 22 percent score.

The economy is the most important issue, 51 percent of Pennsylvania voters say, while 12 percent list the war in Iraq; 11 percent cite health care; 10 percent list energy policy and 8 percent say terrorism.

The choice of a vice presidential candidate will have little impact on their November vote, 59 percent of Pennsylvania likely voters say.

"Sen. McCain has narrowed the gap in Pennsylvania by wiping out Sen. Obama's lead among independent voters. But Obama still holds a three-point edge by convincing previously uncommitted Hillary Clinton primary voters and Catholics to move into his camp - the Catholics perhaps because of some help from running mate Joe Biden, a Catholic from Scranton," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

From September 5 - 9, Quinnipiac University surveyed:
  • 1,032 Florida likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent;
  • 1,367 Ohio likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percent;
  • 1,001 Pennsylvania likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.

1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
FLORIDA              Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                43%     7%    83%    43%    41%    45%    55%    41%    39%
McCain               50     91     10     50     54     47     37     52     54
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      1      -      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 6      3      7      6      5      7      7      7      6
 
                     IMP ISSUE Q6  North/
                     War    Econ   PnHnd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Obama                59%    52%    34%    36%    43%    43%    56%
McCain               30     43     58     57     50     52     37
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      1      1      1      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                11      4      6      5      6      6      8
 
                     WHITE.........................................
                            NoColl College              BrnAgn
                     Tot    Degree Degree Men    Wom    Evngl  Cath
 
Obama                35%    31%    43%    29%    40%    20%    38%
McCain               59     61     53     65     54     74     56
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      1      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 6      6      4      6      6      5      5
 
                     PresVt2004..  DemPrim2008.. BushJobAppQ12
                     Bush   Kerry  Clintn Obama  App    Dis
 
Obama                10%    85%    69%    96%     5%    66%
McCain               86      8     24      2     93     26
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      1      -      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 4      6      6      2      2      8
 
                     Sep 11  Aug 26  Jul 31  Jun 18
TREND:               2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Obama                43      43      46      47
McCain               50      47      44      43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       2       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -       -       -       -
DK/NA                 6       8       7       8
 
1a. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........
                     CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN
                            CAND CHOICE Q1
                     Tot    Obama  McCain
 
Made up              85%    83%    86%
Might change         14     17     12
DK/NA                 1      -      2
 
 
1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
OHIO                 Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                49%    10%    87%    43%    47%    52%    64%    46%    44%
McCain               44     86     10     47     47     42     33     48     48
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      1      1      1      2      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 5      4      3      8      5      6      2      5      7
 
                     IMP ISSUE Q6
                     War    Econ   Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt
 
Obama                62%    58%    53%    53%    53%    35%    45%    42%
McCain               32     36     44     38     38     59     52     54
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      2      -      1      2      -      -      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 5      5      3      8      6      6      3      2
 
                     WHITE.........................................       
                            NoColl College              BrnAgn            
                     Tot    Degree Degree Men    Wom    Evngl  Cath   BLACK   
                                                                              
Obama                43%    44%    41%    41%    45%    30%    42%    95%     
McCain               50     49     53     52     48     66     50      3      
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      1      -      -      -      
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      
DK/NA                 6      6      5      5      6      4      8      1      
 
                     PresVt2004..  DemPrim2008.. BushJobAppQ12
                     Bush   Kerry  Clintn Obama  App    Dis
 
Obama                15%    84%    65%    90%     6%    72%
McCain               80     11     28      8     90     22
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      1      -      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 4      3      7      2      5      5
 
                     Sep 11  Aug 26  Jul 31  Jun 18
TREND:               2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Obama                49      44      46      48
McCain               44      43      44      42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       2       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -       -       -       -
DK/NA                 5      11       8       7
 
1a. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........
                     CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN
                            CAND CHOICE Q1
                     Tot    Obama  McCain
 
Made up              83%    81%    85%
Might change         15     16     13
DK/NA                 2      3      2
 
 
1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
PENNSYLVANIA         Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                48%     9%    82%    44%    45%    51%    58%    49%    43%
McCain               45     87     15     45     51     41     38     47     50
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      1      -      1      -      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 6      4      3     10      4      7      4      4      6
 
                     IMP ISSUE Q6
                     War    Econ   Algny  Phily  NEast  SEast  NWest  SWest  Cntrl
 
Obama                54%    56%    53%    71%    47%    43%    48%    30%    49%
McCain               36     40     41     24     47     49     46     59     48
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      -      1      -      -      2      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 9      4      6      4      5      8      4     10      3
 
                     WHITE.........................................
                            NoColl College              BrnAgn
                     Tot    Degree Degree Men    Wom    Evngl  Cath
 
Obama                44%    43%    45%    43%    45%    28%    45%
McCain               50     50     50     53     48     64     51
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 5      6      4      4      7      7      4
 
                     PresVt2004..  DemPrim2008.. BushJobAppQ12
                     Bush   Kerry  Clintn Obama  App    Dis
 
Obama                11%    81%    72%    88%     7%    66%
McCain               82     15     22      6     90     27
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      1      -      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 6      4      5      5      3      6
 
                     Sep 11  Aug 26  Jul 31  Jun 18
TREND:               2008    2008    2008    2008
 
Obama                48      49      49      52
McCain               45      42      42      40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -       -       -       -
DK/NA                 6       9       8       7
 
1a. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........
                     CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN
                            CAND CHOICE Q1
                     Tot    Obama  McCain
 
Made up              79%    81%    77%
Might change         20     17     22
DK/NA                 1      2      1
 
 
2. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
FL                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            49%    21%    79%    51%    46%    52%
Unfavorable          35     65      8     31     39     32
Hvn't hrd enough     12     11     12     14     13     12
REFUSED               4      4      2      4      3      4
 
OH                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            53%    24%    80%    49%    49%    56%    49%    90%
Unfavorable          33     65      9     31     35     31     36      4
Hvn't hrd enough     12      8     10     18     14     11     13      5
REFUSED               2      2      1      2      2      2      2      1
 
PA                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            56%    26%    81%    54%    53%    59%
Unfavorable          29     58      8     26     34     24
Hvn't hrd enough     13     14     10     20     12     14
REFUSED               2      3      1      1      1      3
 
 
3. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
FL                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            58%    88%    24%    61%    62%    55%
Unfavorable          29      4     60     29     29     30
Hvn't hrd enough      9      6     12      7      7     10
REFUSED               4      2      4      4      3      5
 
OH                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            53%    87%    22%    58%    57%    49%    58%    17%
Unfavorable          34      9     61     26     31     37     31     58
Hvn't hrd enough     10      3     13     13      9     11      9     19
REFUSED               3      1      4      3      3      3      3      6
 
PA                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            54%    87%    30%    52%    61%    48%
Unfavorable          34      7     58     28     30     36
Hvn't hrd enough     10      5     10     19      7     13
REFUSED               2      1      2      1      2      2
 
 
4. Is your opinion of -- Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
FL                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            38%    14%    63%    40%    38%    39%
Unfavorable          28     53      5     26     32     25
Hvn't hrd enough     32     32     32     32     29     35
REFUSED               1      1      -      2      1      1
 
OH                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            36%    16%    53%    35%    36%    36%    35%    49%
Unfavorable          22     45      4     20     28     16     23      4
Hvn't hrd enough     41     38     42     45     35     47     40     47
REFUSED               1      2      1      1      2      1      1      1
 
PA                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            53%    24%    74%    54%    54%    52%
Unfavorable          22     44      5     21     28     16
Hvn't hrd enough     25     30     21     24     18     31
REFUSED               1      2      -      2      1      1
 
 
5. Is your opinion of -- Sarah Palin favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
FL                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            47%    79%    15%    47%    49%    45%
Unfavorable          23      5     46     18     20     25
Hvn't hrd enough     30     15     39     35     30     29
REFUSED               1      1      1      -      1      1
 
OH                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            41%    77%    12%    41%    44%    38%    45%     9%
Unfavorable          22      5     35     23     22     22     20     31
Hvn't hrd enough     36     18     51     34     33     39     33     60
REFUSED               1      -      1      1      1      1      1      -
 
PA                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            39%    71%    17%    32%    42%    36%
Unfavorable          26      5     40     28     26     25
Hvn't hrd enough     35     24     42     40     32     38
REFUSED               1      -      1      -      1      1
 
 
6. Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the election for President this year? (READ OPTIONS)
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
FL                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Terrorism            11%    21%     2%    11%    13%     9%
The war in Iraq      12      7     19     10     12     11
The economy          49     39     55     57     47     52
Illegal immigration   3      4      -      3      3      2
Energy policy         8     14      4      6      9      6
Health care           9      3     16      8      8     10
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)   4      5      2      3      4      4
DK/NA                 5      8      2      2      4      6
 
OH                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Terrorism             8%    16%     2%     9%     9%     8%     9%     1%
The war in Iraq      10     10     12     10     12      8     11      4
The economy          52     41     61     52     48     55     50     64
Illegal immigration   4      5      1      6      4      3      4      3
Energy policy         9     13      6      9     13      6      9      7
Health care          11      6     17      8      7     14     10     19
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)   3      5      2      3      4      3      3      1
DK/NA                 3      3      1      3      3      2      3      -
 
PA                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Terrorism             8%    16%     1%     8%     9%     6%
The war in Iraq      12     11     14     11     12     12
The economy          51     44     59     48     49     53
Illegal immigration   3      4      2      6      3      3
Energy policy        10     15      5     13     16      5
Health care          11      5     15     10      8     14
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)   2      3      1      2      2      2
DK/NA                 2      2      2      3      1      4
 
 
7. Do you think John McCain's selection of Sarah Palin as his vice presidential running mate was a good choice or a bad choice?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
FL                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Good choice          60%    88%    34%    61%    62%    59%
Bad choice           26      7     47     27     25     27
DK/NA                13      5     19     12     13     13
 
OH                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Good choice          57%    85%    31%    63%    59%    55%    62%    28%
Bad choice           30      9     49     25     29     31     27     44
DK/NA                13      6     20     12     12     14     11     28
 
PA                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Good choice          55%    84%    36%    49%    58%    52%
Bad choice           33      8     50     36     34     32
DK/NA                12      7     14     15      8     15
 
 
8. Do you think Barack Obama's selection of Joe Biden as his vice presidential running mate was a good choice or a bad choice?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
FL                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Good choice          54%    36%    79%    50%    54%    54%
Bad choice           29     44     10     31     31     27
DK/NA                17     20     11     19     15     19
 
OH                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Good choice          53%    39%    68%    50%    52%    54%    51%    68%
Bad choice           27     38     17     30     32     23     29     16
DK/NA                20     23     15     20     16     23     20     15
 
PA                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Good choice          65%    45%    80%    66%    63%    66%
Bad choice           23     37     12     23     29     18
DK/NA                12     19      7     11      8     15
 
 
9. Does John McCain's choice of Sarah Palin for Vice President make you more likely to vote for McCain for President, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
FL                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
More likely          28%    48%    10%    26%    32%    25%
Less likely          19      4     36     19     16     23
Doesn't make diff    50     47     50     51     50     50
DK/NA                 2      -      4      3      2      2
 
OH                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More likely          26%    47%    10%    24%    28%    24%    29%     8%
Less likely          19      4     29     20     18     20     17     32
Doesn't make diff    53     47     58     54     52     54     52     60
DK/NA                 2      2      2      1      1      2      2      1
 
PA                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
More likely          24%    42%    13%    19%    25%    24%
Less likely          23      4     34     30     23     22
Doesn't make diff    52     54     51     49     51     52
DK/NA                 2      -      2      3      -      2
 
 
10. Does Barack Obama's choice of Joe Biden for Vice President make you more likely to vote for Obama for President, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
FL                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
More likely          20%     4%    37%    23%    18%    22%
Less likely          14     23      4     13     16     12
Doesn't make diff    63     71     56     62     64     62
DK/NA                 3      2      4      1      2      4
 
OH                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More likely          18%     6%    26%    18%    18%    18%    15%    36%
Less likely          11     15      6     13     14      8     12      2
Doesn't make diff    69     76     67     68     67     72     71     60
DK/NA                 2      3      1      1      2      2      2      2
 
PA                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
More likely          23%    10%    32%    28%    23%    24%
Less likely          12     20      4     13     14      9
Doesn't make diff    62     67     62     56     62     63
DK/NA                 2      3      2      3      1      3
 
 
11. Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: The vice presidential candidates picked by Barack Obama and John McCain have little to do with which man I will vote for president.
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
FL                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Agree                58%    61%    61%    54%    63%    53%
Disagree             38     36     34     43     32     43
DK/NA                 4      4      5      3      4      4
 
OH                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Agree                61%    56%    64%    62%    61%    61%    60%    69%
Disagree             35     39     31     36     35     34     36     29
DK/NA                 4      5      5      2      4      5      5      2
 
PA                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Agree                59%    63%    57%    56%    64%    54%
Disagree             36     34     36     41     33     40
DK/NA                 5      3      7      3      3      6
 
 
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
FL                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve              33%    67%     5%    24%    37%    28%
Disapprove           63     25     94     71     58     67
DK/NA                 5      9      1      5      5      5
 
OH                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              30%    66%     5%    25%    32%    28%    33%     8%
Disapprove           65     28     92     68     63     67     62     89
DK/NA                 5      5      3      6      6      5      5      4
 
PA                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve              26%    58%     3%    23%    28%    24%
Disapprove           70     37     96     69     69     71
DK/NA                 4      5      1      8      2      5