November 3, 2008 - Obama Ends Campaign Ahead In Ohio And Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll Finds; With Small Dem Lead, Florida Is Too Close To Call ---

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FLORIDA: Obama 47 - McCain 45; OHIO: Obama 50 - McCain 43; PENNSYLVANIA: Obama 52 - McCain 42 Democratic Sen. Barack Obama ends his historic bid for the White House with a seven-point lead over Republican Sen. John McCain among likely voters in Ohio and 10 points in Pennsylvania, but with just a two-point, too-close-to-call lead in Florida, according to simultaneous Quinnipiac University Swing State polls released today.

No one has been elected President since 1960 without taking two of these three largest swing states in the Electoral College. Results from the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University polls show:
  • Florida: Obama at 47 percent to McCain's 45 percent, unchanged from October 29;
  • Ohio: Obama up 50 - 43 percent, compared to 51 - 42 percent last week;
  • Pennsylvania: Obama ahead 52 - 42 percent, compared to 53 - 41 percent last week.
Criticism of Sen. McCain for being too closely associated with President George W. Bush is twice as harmful to him as criticism of his selection of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his vice presidential running mate, voters in each state say.

By much narrower margins, criticism of Sen. Obama for being "too liberal" is more harmful than criticism that he is "too inexperienced."

"Sen. Obama appears headed for the best showing of any Democratic candidate among white voters in a generation, going back at least to Jimmy Carter in 1976 and perhaps even to Lyndon Johnson in 1964," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Race has been an issue, but green, not black or white, appears to be the color that matters most. Voters overwhelmingly say the economy is the major issue that leads to their vote and they see Sen. Obama as better able to handle the nation's money problems," Brown added.

"Although Gov. Palin's ratings with voters are not good, and in Pennsylvania and Florida more voters view her unfavorably than favorably, she is nowhere near Sen. McCain's biggest problem. Clearly, President Bush is a much heavier anchor around John McCain's neck in these three key states, and almost certainly the country as well."

Obama would be a "great" or "good" President, according to 50 percent of Florida voters, 53 percent of Ohio voters and 53 percent of Pennsylvania voters.

McCain would be a "great" or "good" President, say 50 percent of Florida voters, 44 percent of Ohio voters and 44 percent of Pennsylvania voters.

President George W. Bush's approval ratings are:
  • 28 - 67 percent in Florida;
  • 25 - 69 percent in Ohio;
  • 26 - 69 percent in Pennsylvania.
Florida

Obama leads 51 - 38 percent among Florida voters who already have cast their ballot.

Among all Florida likely voters, men go to McCain 49 - 45 percent and women back Obama 49 - 43 percent. White voters go Republican 52 - 40 percent, as do evangelical Christians 71 - 23 percent, and Catholics 55 - 38 percent. Jews back Obama 69 - 26 percent.

Independent voters back Obama 49 - 39 percent.

By a 52 - 41 percent margin, Florida voters have a favorable opinion of Obama, compared to 56 - 38 percent for McCain.

Gov. Palin gets a 47 - 42 percent favorability.

Sen. Joe Biden, the Democratic running mate, gets a 50 - 35 percent favorability.

The economy is the most important election issue, 54 percent of Florida voters say. Obama would be more effective than McCain working with Congress on the economic crisis, voters say 49 - 43 percent.

Criticism that McCain is too closely tied to President Bush is more harmful than criticism of his selection of Palin, voters say 58 - 27 percent, with 11 percent who say neither is harmful.

Criticism of Obama as too liberal is more harmful than criticism that he is too inexperienced, voters say 40 - 36 percent, with 18 percent saying neither is harmful.

"The gender gap is what is keeping Sen. Obama slightly ahead in Florida. He is winning women by barely more than Sen. McCain is winning men. One potentially favorable omen for Sen. McCain's potential to pull ahead is that Florida voters view him a tad more favorably and a little bit less unfavorably than they do Sen. Obama," Brown said.

Ohio

Among early voters in Ohio, Obama leads 64 - 26 percent.

Among all likely voters, women back the Democrat 57 - 34 percent, as men back McCain 51 - 43 percent. McCain leads among white voters 48 - 45 percent and among evangelical Christians 59 - 34 percent. Obama leads among black voters 96 - 1 percent.

Independent voters go 48 - 44 percent for the Democrat.

Obama gets a 55 - 38 percent favorability in Ohio, with 51 - 42 percent for McCain.

Palin's favorability is a negative 41 - 45 percent, while Biden gets 48 - 33 percent.

For 58 percent of Ohio voters, the economy is the biggest issue and voters say 53 - 40 percent that Obama will be more effective than McCain working with Congress on this issue.

Criticism of McCain's ties to Bush is more harmful than criticism of his selection of Palin, voters say 62 - 24 percent, with 10 percent saying neither.

Criticism of Obama as too liberal is more harmful than criticism that he is too inexperienced, voters say 43 - 39 percent, with 14 percent saying neither.

"Sen. Obama's Ohio lead is based on his ability to be competitive among whites, even those without college degrees. He also is keeping Sen. McCain almost 15 points below the level of support among white evangelical Christians that President Bush received four years ago," Brown said. "Who would have thought that would be the case last March when Obama lost the Ohio Democratic primary decisively to Sen. Hillary Clinton, mostly because of his weakness among white working class voters?"

Pennsylvania

Obama leads 55 - 39 percent with women, and 49 - 45 percent with men. White voters split 47 - 47 percent, while black voters back Obama 95 - 1 percent. McCain leads 67 - 27 percent among evangelical Christians while Obama leads 51 - 46 percent among Catholics.

Independent voters back the Democrat 49 - 42 percent. Obama gets a 58 - 35 percent favorability, compared to McCain's 53 - 42 percent. Palin's favorability is a split 43 - 44 percent, while Biden gets 52 - 32 percent.

The economy is the most important issue, 55 percent of Pennsylvania voters say, and Obama will be more effective than McCain working with Congress, voters say 53 - 40 percent.

Criticism of McCain's ties to Bush is more harmful than criticism of his selection of Palin, voters say 58 - 27 percent, with 10 percent who say neither is harmful.

Voters split 39 - 40 percent on whether the "too liberal" tag hurts Obama more than the "too inexperienced" line, with 15 percent who say neither.

"In the end, Sen. John McCain's troops in Central Pennsylvania, led by veterans, disaffected Sen. Hillary Clinton supporters and God and gun clingers, will be swept over by a wave of young black and urban new voters, giving Sen. Barack Obama the Keystone State," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Gov. Ed Rendell will bring out all the king's horses and all the king's men and women to insure a huge turnout that will provide not only an Obama victory, but maybe a job for the term- limited Governor in Washington next year."

From October 27 - November 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed:
  • 1,773 Florida likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.3 percent;
  • 1,574 Ohio likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percent;
  • 1,493 Pennsylvania likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percent.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data and RSS feed - http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.

1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
FLORIDA              Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                47%     7%    85%    49%    45%    49%    57%    46%    44%
McCain               45     88     10     39     49     43     40     47     47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      -      3      2      1      2      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 6      3      5      9      5      7      1      6      7
 
                     Alrdy  IMPQ6  North/
                     Voted  Econ   PnHnd  Bay    Cntrl  SthW   SthE
 
Obama                51%    57%    41%    45%    44%    41%    58%
McCain               38     36     54     44     48     52     36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      2      2      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                10      5      4      9      6      6      6
 
                     WHITE.........................................
                            NoColl College              BrnAgn
                     Tot    Degree Degree Men    Wom    Evngl  Cath   His    Jew
 
Obama                40%    38%    45%    37%    43%    23%    38%    46%    69%
McCain               52     54     49     57     48     71     55     48     26
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      1      2      1      2      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 6      7      5      4      8      5      6      5      5
 
                     PresVt2004..  DemPrim2008.. BushJobAppQ10 
                     Bush   Kerry  Clintn Obama  App    Dis    
 
Obama                10%    90%    75%    95%     5%    67%    
McCain               84      6     16      3     89     25     
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      -      -      2     
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -     
DK/NA                 5      4      7      2      5      6     
 
                     Nov 3   Oct 29  Oct 23  Oct 1   Oct 1   Sep 11  Aug 26  Jul 31
TREND:               2008    2008    2008    2008**  2008*   2008    2008    2008
 
Obama                47      47      49      51      49      43      43      46
McCain               45      45      44      43      43      50      47      44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       1       1       1       1       1       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                 6       6       7       5       7       6       8       7
 
1a. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........
                     CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN
                            CAND CHOICE Q1
FL                   Tot    Obama  McCain
 
Made up              97%    97%    97%
Might change          2      3      2
DK/NA                 1      1      1
 
 
1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
OHIO                 Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                50%     7%    91%    48%    43%    57%    60%    44%    52%
McCain               43     87      5     44     51     34     38     51     39
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      1      1      1      -      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 6      6      3      7      4      8      3      4      8
 
                     Alrdy  IMPQ6
                     Voted  Econ   Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt
 
Obama                64%    59%    55%    54%    54%    54%    38%    45%
McCain               26     35     38     38     39     33     57     50
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      -      1      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                10      6      7      7      6     13      5      5
 
                     WHITE.........................................
                            NoColl College              BrnAgn
                     Tot    Degree Degree Men    Wom    Evngl  Cath   Blk
 
Obama                45%    45%    43%    38%    51%    34%    46%    96%
McCain               48     47     51     57     40     59     49      1
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      1      1      1      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 6      7      4      4      8      7      4      3
 
                     PresVt2004..  DemPrim2008.. BushJobAppQ10 
                     Bush   Kerry  Clintn Obama  App    Dis    
 
Obama                11%    90%    77%    94%     5%    69%    
McCain               83      6     19      3     90     24     
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      -      -      1     
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -     
DK/NA                 5      4      3      3      4      6     
 
                     Nov 3   Oct 29  Oct 23  Oct 1   Oct 1   Sep 11  Aug 26  Jul 31
TREND:               2008    2008    2008    2008**  2008*   2008    2008    2008
 
Obama                50      51      52      50      49      49      44      46
McCain               43      42      38      42      42      44      43      44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       1       1       1       1       2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                 6       7       8       7       8       5      11       8
 
1a. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........
                     CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN
                            CAND CHOICE Q1
OH                   Tot    Obama  McCain
 
Made up              97%    96%    98%
Might change          3      4      2
DK/NA                 1      1      -
 
 
1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners".
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
PENNSYLVANIA         Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                52%    12%    90%    49%    49%    55%    63%    53%    49%
McCain               42     83      8     42     45     39     32     43     45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      3      2      -      4      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 4      4      2      5      3      5      1      3      6
 
                     IMPQ6
                     Econ   Algny  Phily  NEast  SEast  NWest  SWest  Cntrl
 
Obama                63%    53%    78%    57%    52%    43%    47%    45%
McCain               33     44     17     37     40     53     47     50
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      2      1      3      -      2      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 3      4      2      5      6      3      4      5
 
                     WHITE.........................................
                            NoColl College              BrnAgn
                     Tot    Degree Degree Men    Wom    Evngl  Cath   Blk
 
Obama                47%    46%    50%    46%    48%    27%    51%    95%
McCain               47     48     46     49     46     67     46      1
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      2      -      -      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 4      4      3      3      5      6      3      4
 
                     PresVt2004..  DemPrim2008.. BushJobAppQ10 
                     Bush   Kerry  Clintn Obama  App    Dis    
 
Obama                14%    90%    80%    97%     6%    73%    
McCain               81      7     17      3     92     21     
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      1      -      -      2     
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -      -      -      -     
DK/NA                 4      2      3      1      3      4     
 
                     Nov 3   Oct 29  Oct 23  Oct 1   Oct 1   Sep 11  Aug 26  Jul 31
TREND:               2008    2008    2008    2008**  2008*   2008    2008    2008
 
Obama                52      53      53      54      49      48      49      49
McCain               42      41      40      39      43      45      42      42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       2       1       1       1       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -
DK/NA                 4       5       5       6       7       6       9       8
 
1a. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........
                     CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN
                            CAND CHOICE Q1
PA                   Tot    Obama  McCain
 
Made up              95%    95%    95%
Might change          4      4      5
DK/NA                 -      -      1
 
 
2. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
FL                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            52%    14%    88%    55%    50%    54%
Unfavorable          41     80      8     34     43     38
Hvn't hrd enough      4      4      2      5      3      4
REFUSED               4      2      2      6      3      4
 
OH                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            55%    15%    92%    55%    49%    61%
Unfavorable          38     79      4     35     46     30
Hvn't hrd enough      4      4      2      7      4      5
REFUSED               3      3      1      3      1      4
 
PA                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            58%    25%    91%    52%    55%    61%
Unfavorable          35     69      6     38     39     32
Hvn't hrd enough      4      4      3      6      4      4
REFUSED               3      2      -      4      3      3
 
 
3. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
FL                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            56%    90%    26%    54%    60%    53%
Unfavorable          38      7     68     38     35     40
Hvn't hrd enough      2      1      4      2      2      3
REFUSED               4      2      3      6      3      5
 
OH                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            51%    91%    15%    56%    58%    45%
Unfavorable          42      5     80     37     35     49
Hvn't hrd enough      3      3      4      2      5      2
REFUSED               3      2      2      5      2      4
 
PA                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            53%    89%    21%    56%    54%    51%
Unfavorable          42      8     73     38     41     43
Hvn't hrd enough      2      1      4      2      2      3
REFUSED               3      2      2      5      3      3
 
 
4. Is your opinion of -- Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
FL                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            50%    17%    81%    54%    48%    52%
Unfavorable          35     66      6     31     39     31
Hvn't hrd enough     12     13     12     12      9     15
REFUSED               3      3      1      3      3      2
 
OH                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            48%    16%    81%    44%    41%    54%
Unfavorable          33     66      5     34     43     25
Hvn't hrd enough     16     16     14     19     14     18
REFUSED               2      2      1      3      2      3
 
PA                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            52%    22%    83%    47%    50%    55%
Unfavorable          32     63      5     33     36     28
Hvn't hrd enough     13     12     11     17     11     14
REFUSED               2      2      1      4      3      2
 
 
5. Is your opinion of -- Sarah Palin favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
FL                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            47%    82%    15%    44%    50%    44%
Unfavorable          42     10     72     43     39     44
Hvn't hrd enough     10      7     12     11     11      9
REFUSED               2      1      1      2      1      3
 
OH                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            41%    85%     8%    39%    48%    35%
Unfavorable          45      8     78     41     38     51
Hvn't hrd enough     12      6     12     17     13     11
REFUSED               2      1      1      3      2      2
 
PA                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            43%    79%    12%    43%    45%    40%
Unfavorable          44      9     74     43     41     47
Hvn't hrd enough     11     11     12     11     12     10
REFUSED               2      1      2      3      2      2
 
 
6. Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the election for President this year? (READ OPTIONS)
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
FL                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Terrorism            10%    19%     2%    11%     8%    12%
The war in Iraq       9     10      8      9      8     10
The economy          54     45     62     56     54     54
Illegal immigration   4      7      1      2      4      3
Energy policy         5      7      3      6      8      3
Health care          10      4     18      7      8     12
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)   6      6      3      6      7      4
DK/NA                 2      2      2      3      2      2
 
OH                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Terrorism             9%    17%     2%     9%    11%     8%
The war in Iraq       9      9      9      8     10      8
The economy          58     50     66     59     56     61
Illegal immigration   2      2      1      3      2      2
Energy policy         4      6      4      3      7      2
Health care           9      5     14      9      7     11
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)   5      9      1      5      5      5
DK/NA                 3      2      3      2      3      3
 
PA                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Terrorism             9%    18%     2%    10%    10%     8%
The war in Iraq       9      8     13      5      9     10
The economy          55     43     62     62     54     56
Illegal immigration   2      3      1      3      2      2
Energy policy         5      6      3      6      8      2
Health care          10      7     14      6      8     12
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)   6      9      3      4      7      5
DK/NA                 4      6      2      4      3      5
 
 
7. If Barack Obama is elected President, do you think he would be a great President, a good President, a so so President, or a bad President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
FL                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Great                23%     2%    47%    20%    20%    26%
Good                 27     11     39     32     27     28
So so                17     28      6     17     19     15
Bad                  28     55      5     24     30     25
DK/NA                 5      4      4      7      5      6
 
OH                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Great                23%     2%    45%    19%    17%    28%
Good                 30     11     43     32     26     32
So so                19     34      7     21     23     15
Bad                  23     50      2     21     28     19
DK/NA                 5      4      3      7      5      6
 
PA                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Great                24%     6%    43%    20%    20%    28%
Good                 29     13     45     26     28     30
So so                18     28      7     25     19     17
Bad                  23     47      4     22     26     20
DK/NA                 5      6      2      7      6      4
 
 
8. If John McCain is elected President, do you think he would be a great President, a good President, a so so President, or a bad President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
FL                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Great                12%    23%     3%     9%     9%    14%
Good                 38     63     17     37     42     35
So so                28     11     38     35     27     28
Bad                  19      2     38     16     18     20
DK/NA                 3      1      4      4      3      4
 
OH                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Great                 7%    16%     2%     5%     7%     7%
Good                 37     69     10     37     42     31
So so                32     13     43     37     30     34
Bad                  20      1     42     16     17     23
DK/NA                 4      2      3      5      3      5
 
PA                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Great                 8%    18%     1%     6%     7%     8%
Good                 36     62     14     37     37     35
So so                31     15     43     36     33     30
Bad                  20      3     38     16     19     22
DK/NA                 4      3      4      4      3      5
 
 
9. Regardless of whom you support for President, who do you think would be more effective in working with Congress and solving the nation's economic crisis - Barack Obama or John McCain?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
FL                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Obama                49%    12%    84%    51%    48%    50%
McCain               43     81     11     40     45     42
DK/NA                 7      7      5      9      7      8
 
OH                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Obama                53%    14%    91%    50%    47%    59%
McCain               40     79      7     42     47     34
DK/NA                 7      7      3      8      6      7
 
PA                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Obama                53%    18%    88%    48%    50%    56%
McCain               40     74      9     40     42     37
DK/NA                 7      7      3     12      8      7
 
 
10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
FL                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve              28%    58%     7%    20%    27%    28%
Disapprove           67     35     91     75     68     66
DK/NA                 6      7      2      5      5      6
 
OH                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve              25%    59%     4%    20%    30%    20%
Disapprove           69     32     94     75     63     75
DK/NA                 6      9      2      6      6      5
 
PA                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve              26%    53%     4%    23%    28%    24%
Disapprove           69     39     96     71     68     71
DK/NA                 5      8      -      6      5      5
 
 
11. Some people have criticized John McCain for his selection of Sarah Palin as a running mate or his association with President Bush and Bush administration policies. Which do you think has been more damaging to the McCain campaign?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
FL                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Palin                27%    11%    41%    29%    23%    31%
Bush                 58     64     50     61     61     55
NEITHER(VOL)         11     21      3      8     12     10
DK/NA                 4      3      6      2      4      4
 
OH                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Palin                24%     9%    36%    26%    20%    28%
Bush                 62     67     58     61     64     60
NEITHER(VOL)         10     20      2      9     12      9
DK/NA                 4      4      3      4      4      3
 
PA                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Palin                27%    14%    36%    30%    26%    28%
Bush                 58     63     57     53     62     55
NEITHER(VOL)         10     19      2     11     10     11
DK/NA                 4      4      4      6      3      6
 
 
12. Some people have criticized Barack Obama for being too inexperienced or too liberal. Which do you think has been more damaging to the Obama campaign?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
FL                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Inexperienced        36%    32%    41%    36%    33%    39%
Liberal              40     59     22     42     44     37
NEITHER(VOL)         18      5     30     17     18     18
DK/NA                 5      4      6      5      5      6
 
OH                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Inexperienced        39%    32%    44%    40%    33%    44%
Liberal              43     63     24     42     51     35
NEITHER(VOL)         14      2     27     12     12     16
DK/NA                 5      3      4      6      5      4
 
PA                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Inexperienced        39%    34%    43%    43%    35%    45%
Liberal              40     58     28     38     47     34
NEITHER(VOL)         15      5     22     15     15     15
DK/NA                 5      3      6      4      3      7