April 19, 2013 - Ohio's Portman Loses Some GOP Support, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Favor Same-Sex Marriage, Background Checks

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Ohio Sen. Rob Portman's job approval rating among voters slips to 40 - 31 percent, fueled mainly by a dip in Republican support, since he came out in favor of gay marriage, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to Sen. Portman's 44 - 24 percent approval rating in a February 28 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ac) University. Republican approval drops from 63 - 8 percent to 57 - 21 percent, 41 percent of Republicans saying they think less favorably of Portman because of his support of same-sex marriage. Democratic approval goes from a negative 26 - 36 percent to a negative 29 - 34 percent. Support among independent voters goes from 47 - 23 percent to 43 - 35 percent.

With a substantial gender gap, Ohio voters lean toward same-sex marriage by a narrow 48 - 44 percent, compared to a split in a December 12 Quinnipiac University poll when 45 percent of voters supported it, with 47 percent opposed. Women support same-sex marriage 52 - 40 percent, while men are opposed 49 - 43 percent.

Because of Portman's shift on same-sex marriage, 20 percent think more favorably of him, while 25 percent think less favorably and 53 percent say it makes no difference.

"Sen. Rob Portman's reversal on same-sex marriage has cost him a little support in his Republican base, but has little impact among Democrats and independent voters," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "The movement in his numbers has not been massive and the overall movement towards acceptance of same-sex marriage, which we see in Ohio and elsewhere, could help him in the long run, especially if he seeks reelection four years from now."

President Barack Obama's job approval rating in Ohio has dipped to a negative 45 - 51 percent, compared to 48 - 47 percent in March and 54 - 42 percent last December.

On gun-control 84 percent of Ohio voters, including 80 percent of voters in households with guns, support universal background checks for gun buyers. Voters believe 50 - 40 percent that the government will use the information gained through such checks to confiscate firearms from legal owners. A 52 - 15 percent majority, however, say they are more likely to back a congressman who votes for a background checks.

By a narrow 51 - 43 percent majority, Ohio voters say all employers should be required to offer birth control as part of their benefit plans, regardless of religious or moral beliefs.

Again the gender gap is significant as women support the requirement 59 - 35 percent while men say 51 - 42 percent employers should be allowed to refuse birth control coverage based on religious or moral beliefs.

Voters also say 48 - 43 percent that increasing the number of people eligible for Medicaid is a good idea.

By a substantial 63 - 30 percent majority, Ohio voters believe the economic benefits of drilling for natural gas and oil in the state outweigh environmental concerns.

From April 10 - 15, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,138 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              41%    62%    24%    44%    48%    36%    43%    24%
Disapprove           41     22     57     42     38     44     40     57
DK/NA                17     16     18     14     14     20     17     19
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              41%    41%    39%    45%    50%    56%    43%    34%
Disapprove           45     40     42     44     35     27     44     47
DK/NA                13     19     19     11     15     17     13     19
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 19  Feb 28  Dec 12  May 09  Feb 14  Dec 10  Dec 12
                     2013    2013    2012    2012    2012    2008    2006
 
Approve              41      39      39      33      35      46      25
Disapprove           41      42      38      47      48      35      55
DK/NA                17      19      23      20      18      19      20
 
 
8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way - Rob Portman is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              40%    57%    29%    43%    43%    38%    42%    36%
Disapprove           31     21     34     35     35     27     31     27
DK/NA                29     22     37     22     22     35     27     37
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              45%    39%    38%    42%    48%    44%    40%    40%
Disapprove           34     30     29     33     34     29     27     35
DK/NA                21     32     32     26     19     27     33     25
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rob Portman is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                             APPROVE......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 19  Feb 28  Dec 12  May 10  Feb 14  Feb 28  Mar 24
                     2013    2013    2012    2012    2012    2013    2011
 
Approve              40      44      42      38      42      44      30
Disapprove           31      24      27      23      25      24      25
DK/NA                29      33      31      39      34      33      45
 
 
9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way - Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              47%    25%    73%    42%    41%    51%    43%    70%
Disapprove           38     57     13     46     46     31     42     11
DK/NA                15     18     13     12     13     17     15     19
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              48%    46%    50%    47%    41%    47%    48%    46%
Disapprove           43     36     31     44     48     38     36     39
DK/NA                 9     18     19      9     11     15     16     15
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator? (* High also 52% May 2009, Sep 2011)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 19  Feb 28  Dec 12  May 10  Feb 15  Dec 12  Jul 07
                     2013    2013    2012    2012    2012    2012*   2009
 
Approve              47      51      52      46      47      52      41
Disapprove           38      33      35      33      34      35      29
DK/NA                15      16      13      21      19      13      30
 
 
10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              45%    11%    86%    36%    41%    49%    40%    91%
Disapprove           51     87     13     59     56     46     57      7
DK/NA                 4      2      2      5      3      5      3      2
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom
 
Approve              42%    39%    32%    39%    36%    43%
Disapprove           54     59     64     59     62     53
DK/NA                 4      3      4      2      2      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              46%    45%    50%    42%    41%    50%    43%    44%
Disapprove           50     51     46     54     58     47     52     52
DK/NA                 4      3      4      4      1      2      5      3
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 19  Mar 01  Dec 11  Jun 27  May 10  Feb 06  Dec 08
                     2013    2013    2012    2012    2012    2009    2011
 
Approve              45      48      54      48      49      67      41
Disapprove           51      47      42      46      48      16      55
DK/NA                 4       4       4       5       2      17       4
 
 
21. Some people say there should be drilling for natural gas and oil in Ohio because of the potential economic benefits. Others say there should not be drilling for natural gas and oil in Ohio because of the potential environmental impact. Which comes closer to your point of view?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Drilling             63%    84%    43%    66%    72%    56%    67%    39%
No drilling          30     10     49     27     24     36     28     48
DK/NA                 7      6      7      6      4      9      6     13
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Drilling             62%    64%    59%    68%    73%    64%    64%    63%
No drilling          33     29     33     28     24     32     31     28
DK/NA                 5      7      8      4      3      4      5      9
 
TREND: Some people say there should be drilling for natural gas and oil in Ohio because of the potential economic benefits, others say there should not be drilling for natural gas and oil in Ohio because of the potential environmental impact. Which comes closer to your point of view?
                     Apr 19  May 09  Jan 19
                     2013    2012    2012
 
Drilling             63      64      64
No drilling          30      29      29
DK/NA                 7       8       7
 
 
22. In general do you think that gun control laws in Ohio should be more strict, less strict, or are they about right?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More strict          43%    24%    72%    32%    31%    53%    38%    76%
Less strict          13     15      7     16     19      8     14      7
About right          41     57     19     49     49     34     44     16
DK/NA                 3      3      2      3      2      4      4      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
More strict          47%    41%    46%    37%    43%    31%    40%    50%
Less strict          10     14     13     15     12     17     17      8
About right          41     41     38     47     44     51     41     36
DK/NA                 2      4      4      2      1      1      2      6
 
                     DENSITY............  GUN HSHOLD
                     Urban  Subrbn Rural  Yes    No
 
More strict          48%    48%    29%    28%    57%
Less strict          12     10     17     17      8
About right          35     38     52     53     30
DK/NA                 4      3      2      2      4
 
TREND: In general do you think that gun control laws in Ohio should be more strict, less strict, or are they about right?
                     Apr 19  Mar 01  Dec 12
                     2013    2013    2006
 
More strict          43      41      35
Less strict          13      11      12
About right          41      44      46
DK/NA                 3       4       6
 
 
23. Do you support or oppose a nationwide ban on the sale of assault weapons?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Support              51%    36%    71%    47%    39%    62%    50%    63%
Oppose               46     61     27     49     59     33     47     34
DK/NA                 3      3      2      4      2      4      3      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Support              58%    49%    56%    48%    48%    37%    50%    58%
Oppose               39     48     41     50     49     61     47     37
DK/NA                 3      3      3      2      2      2      3      4
 
                     DENSITY............  GUN HSHOLD
                     Urban  Subrbn Rural  Yes    No
 
Support              52%    56%    45%    37%    65%
Oppose               43     42     52     60     32
DK/NA                 5      2      3      3      3
 
TREND: Do you support or oppose a nationwide ban on the sale of assault weapons?
                     Apr 19  Mar 01
                     2013    2013
 
Support              51      53
Oppose               46      44
DK/NA                 3       3
 
 
24. Do you support or oppose a nationwide ban on the sale of high-capacity ammunition magazines that hold more than 10 bullets?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Support              52%    35%    72%    50%    39%    63%    51%    60%
Oppose               45     63     26     46     59     32     46     34
DK/NA                 3      3      2      4      2      5      3      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Support              56%    50%    55%    51%    48%    44%    48%    58%
Oppose               42     46     42     46     51     53     50     37
DK/NA                 2      4      4      3      1      3      2      5
 
                     DENSITY............  GUN HSHOLD
                     Urban  Subrbn Rural  Yes    No
 
Support              55%    53%    44%    38%    65%
Oppose               39     45     53     59     31
DK/NA                 5      2      3      3      3
 
TREND: Do you support or oppose a nationwide ban on the sale of high-capacity ammunition magazines that hold more than 10 bullets?
                     Apr 19  Mar 01
                     2013    2013
 
Support              52      54
Oppose               45      42
DK/NA                 3       5
 
 
25. Do you support or oppose requiring background checks for all gun buyers?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Support              84%    75%    94%    82%    76%    91%    83%    87%
Oppose               15     23      6     17     22      8     15     13
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      1      1      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Support              84%    84%    86%    83%    80%    85%    84%    83%
Oppose               15     15     13     16     20     15     15     15
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      1      -      1      2
 
                     DENSITY............  GUN HSHOLD
                     Urban  Subrbn Rural  Yes    No
 
Support              83%    88%    80%    80%    89%
Oppose               15     11     19     18     10
DK/NA                 2      -      2      1      1
 
TREND: Do you support or oppose requiring background checks for all gun buyers?
                     Apr 19  Mar 01
                     2013    2013
 
Support              84      90
Oppose               15       8
DK/NA                 1       1
 
 
26. If a member of Congress who represents your district were to vote for requiring background checks for all gun buyers, would you be more likely to vote for that person, less likely to vote for that person, or wouldn't it make a difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More likely          52%    44%    70%    46%    40%    63%    51%    63%
Less likely          15     25      4     15     23      7     15      8
No difference        31     30     24     37     36     27     32     26
DK/NA                 2      1      2      2      1      3      2      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
More likely          55%    51%    55%    52%    48%    53%    51%    53%
Less likely          15     14     11     15     22     15     16     13
No difference        28     32     32     31     29     32     32     30
DK/NA                 2      2      2      1      1      -      1      4
 
                     DENSITY............  GUN HSHOLD
                     Urban  Subrbn Rural  Yes    No
 
More likely          54%    59%    43%    42%    63%
Less likely          13     14     17     20      8
No difference        30     26     38     36     27
DK/NA                 3      1      2      2      2
 
 
27. Do you believe that if there are background checks for all gun purchases the government will or will not use that information in the future to confiscate legally-owned guns?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Confiscate           50%    64%    37%    48%    57%    44%    50%    46%
Will not             40     27     54     41     36     44     41     42
DK/NA                10      9     10     11      7     12      9     12
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Confiscate           38%    54%    52%    45%    43%    54%    49%    48%
Will not             52     36     36     49     52     39     40     42
DK/NA                10     10     12      6      6      7     11     10
 
                     DENSITY............  GUN HSHOLD
                     Urban  Subrbn Rural  Yes    No
 
Confiscate           50%    44%    57%    56%    43%
Will not             37     47     36     34     48
DK/NA                12      9      8      9     10
 
 
28. In general, do you support or oppose same-sex marriage?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Support              48%    25%    67%    47%    43%    52%    48%    45%
Oppose               44     69     23     44     49     40     45     39
DK/NA                 9      6     10      9      9      9      8     16
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom
 
Support              55%    45%    37%    49%    42%    53%
Oppose               37     48     55     43     50     40
DK/NA                 8      7      8      8      8      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Support              55%    45%    47%    49%    53%    68%    46%    38%
Oppose               37     46     44     42     39     27     45     51
DK/NA                 8      9      9      9      8      5      9     11
 
TREND: In general, do you support or oppose same-sex marriage?
                     Apr 19  Dec 12
                     2013    2012
 
Support              48      45
Oppose               44      47
DK/NA                 9       9
 
 
29. Does Rob Portman's support of same-sex marriage make you think more favorably of him, less favorably of him, or doesn't it make a difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More favorably       20%     6%    30%    20%    19%    21%    20%    13%
Less favorably       25     41     13     24     31     20     26     17
No difference        53     51     53     55     49     56     52     66
DK/NA                 2      2      3      1      1      3      2      4
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom
 
More favorably       33%    16%    13%    23%    19%    22%
Less favorably       21     28     33     24     32     21
No difference        45     54     52     52     48     55
DK/NA                 1      2      2      1      1      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
More favorably       32%    15%    19%    19%    30%    35%    18%    14%
Less favorably       21     27     22     27     28     15     27     28
No difference        45     56     57     53     40     48     53     56
DK/NA                 1      3      2      -      2      2      2      3
 
 
30. As you may know Medicaid is a government program that pays for health care for low-income people and others with certain disabilities. Do you think that increasing the number of people eligible for Medicaid coverage in Ohio is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Good idea            48%    23%    72%    45%    42%    52%    44%    76%
Bad idea             43     68     20     43     50     37     46     15
DK/NA                 9      8      8     12      7     11     10      9
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom
 
Good idea            44%    44%    43%    34%    40%    47%
Bad idea             48     46     44     60     52     41
DK/NA                 8     10     13      6      8     12
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Good idea            44%    49%    56%    38%    39%    46%    47%    48%
Bad idea             47     42     34     53     55     48     45     40
DK/NA                 9     10     10      9      5      6      7     12
 
TREND: As you may know Medicaid is a government program that pays for health care for low-income people and others with certain disabilities. Do you think that increasing the number of people eligible for Medicaid coverage in Ohio is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Apr 19  Mar 01
                     2013    2013
 
Good idea            48      48
Bad idea             43      42
DK/NA                 9      10
 
 
31. Which comes closer to your opinion about health insurance plans offered by employers; employers should be required to offer birth control coverage in the health plans they offer employees, or employers should be able to refuse to offer birth control coverage on moral or religious grounds?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Required to offer    51%    33%    74%    47%    42%    59%    50%    61%
Able to refuse       43     63     20     49     51     35     45     28
DK/NA                 6      4      7      4      6      6      5     11
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom
 
Required to offer    46%    52%    45%    44%    41%    59%
Able to refuse       51     42     49     53     54     36
DK/NA                 2      6      6      3      5      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K  50-100 >100K   18-34  35-54  55+
 
Required to offer    49%    52%    55%    49%    43%    57%    55%    46%
Able to refuse       49     40     37     50     54     38     42     45
DK/NA                 2      7      8      1      3      5      3      9
 
 

Demographic Summary