July 10, 2013 - New Jersey Gov Has Long Lead, But Short Coattails, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Christie Holds 2-1 Approval, 2-1 Reelection Lead
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New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie has a 2-1 job approval rating and a 2-1 lead over State Sen. Barbara Buono, his Democratic challenger, but his coattails seem to have very little impact on voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Gov. Christie tops Sen. Buono 61 - 29 percent, virtually unchanged from the results of a June 10 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

In today's survey, Christie leads 59 - 30 percent among women, 64 - 28 percent among men, 93 - 2 percent among Republicans and 67 - 24 percent among independent voters. Buono takes Democrats 55 - 35 percent.

New Jersey voters give Christie a 68 - 26 percent job approval rating, keeping him number one in job approval among the governors in the nine states surveyed by Quinnipiac University.

Only 20 percent of voters say they are more likely to vote for a state legislative candidate endorsed by Christie, with 15 percent less likely and 63 percent who say the governor's endorsement won't influence their vote.

Buono's coattails are even shorter as 8 percent say they are more likely to vote for her picks, with 18 percent less likely and 70 percent who say her endorsement won't affect their vote.

"Coattails looks like the only question in the one-sided New Jersey race for governor and incumbent Christopher Christie doesn't seem to have them," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"The governor continues to thrash Sen. Buono, but voters say they're not inclined to support legislative candidates because Christie supports them, or, as a matter of fact, because Buono supports them," Carroll added.

"It could change when the real campaign starts after Labor Day, if Christie decides to emulate his mentor, former Gov. Tom Kean, and work for the rest of the ticket.

"But at this stage, Christie is good only for Christie."

If Christie wins, New Jersey voters say 51 - 36 percent they would like the Democrats rather than Republicans to control the State Legislature. If Buono wins, 43 percent of voters want Democratic control and 41 percent want Republican control of the legislature.

Christie gets a 66 - 27 percent favorability rating and voters say 66 - 26 percent, including 46 - 44 percent among Democrats, that he deserves to be reelected.

Buono gets a 25 percent favorability rating, with 29 percent unfavorable and 45 percent who don't know enough about her to form an opinion.

New Jersey voters support a state law allowing same-sex marriage 60 - 31 percent, with almost no gender gap. Support is 69 - 23 percent among Democrats and 64 - 28 percent among independent voters, with Republicans opposed 49 - 39 percent.

"Christie-Buono looks like a walk-away. The governor's job approval is stratospheric and even his veto of same-sex marriage, an issue which continues to draw 2-1 support, hasn't hurt him," Carroll said.

From July 2 - 7, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,068 New Jersey voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

13. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Barbara Buono the Democrat and Christopher Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Buono                29%     2%    55%    24%    28%    30%    23%    54%
Christie             61     93     35     67     64     59     68     30
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      1      2      -      1      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      -      2      2      2      2      -
DK/NA                 7      3     10      5      4      9      6     12
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Buono                33%    27%    31%    32%    27%    36%    31%    26%
Christie             57     63     60     59     64     57     61     64
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      -      2      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      2      4      2      -      -      1      3
DK/NA                 8      7      4      7      8      5      6      7
 
TREND: If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Barbara Buono the Democrat and Christopher Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                             CHRISTIE......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 10  Jun 10  Apr 24  Mar 26  Feb 20  Jan 23  Oct 17
                     2013    2013    2013    2013    2013    2013    2012
 
Buono                29      29      26      25      25      22      33
Christie             61      59      58      60      62      63      49
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       1       1       1       1       -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       1       1       1       1       1       1
DK/NA                 7       9      13      13      12      13      17
 
 
14. Is your opinion of Christopher Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            66%    89%    48%    70%    65%    67%    71%    44%
Unfavorable          27      6     41     27     29     25     25     35
Hvn't hrd enough      3      1      7      2      2      4      1     14
REFUSED               4      4      4      1      4      4      2      7
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Christopher Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (*High also 69% Jan 2013, Feb 2013)
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 10  Jun 10  Apr 24  Mar 26  Feb 20  Mar 26  Aug 12
                     2013    2013    2013    2013    2013    2013*   2008
 
Favorable            66      63      66      69      69      69      21
Unfavorable          27      27      24      22      22      22       7
Hvn't hrd enough      3       4       5       6       6       6      69
REFUSED               4       6       4       4       3       4       2
 
 
15. Is your opinion of Barbara Buono favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            25%     5%    46%    19%    28%    23%    22%    34%
Unfavorable          29     62      4     32     32     26     35      1
Hvn't hrd enough     45     33     48     49     39     50     42     62
REFUSED               1      1      1      -      1      1      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Barbara Buono favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Jul 10  Jun 10  Apr 24  Mar 26  Feb 20  Jan 23  Nov 28
                     2013    2013    2013    2013    2013    2013    2012
 
Favorable            25      18      12      10       8       8       8
Unfavorable          29      23       9      10       8       9       7
Hvn't hrd enough     45      56      78      79      83      82      84
REFUSED               1       3       1       1       1       -       1
 
 
16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christopher Christie is handling his job as Governor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              68%    90%    51%    70%    67%    69%    71%    48%
Disapprove           26      6     43     24     28     25     24     39
DK/NA                 6      4      7      5      5      6      5     12
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              62%    71%    67%    65%    68%    57%    70%    70%
Disapprove           32     22     26     31     27     40     26     21
DK/NA                 6      6      7      5      5      2      4      8
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christopher Christie is handling his job as Governor? (*High also 74% Jan 2013, **Low also 44% Jun 2010)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 10  Jun 10  Apr 24  Mar 26  Feb 20  Feb 20  Jun 21
                     2013    2013    2013    2013    2013    2013*   2011**
 
Approve              68      69      67      70      74      74      44
Disapprove           26      27      24      23      22      22      47
DK/NA                 6       5       9       7       4       4      10
 
 
18. Do you feel that Christopher Christie deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes/Deserves         66%    89%    46%    73%    65%    67%    71%    44%
No/Does not          26      5     44     23     27     24     23     44
DK/NA                 8      6     10      4      7      8      6     12
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes/Deserves         63%    68%    66%    65%    70%    59%    68%    69%
No/Does not          31     23     27     30     25     36     27     21
DK/NA                 6      9      7      5      5      4      6      9
 
TREND: Do you feel that Christopher Christie deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                                                             YES/DESERVES..
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 10  Jun 10  Apr 24  Mar 26  Feb 20  Feb 20  Oct 17
                     2013    2013    2013    2013    2013    2013    2012
 
Yes/Deserves         66      65      66      66      71      71      52
No/Does not          26      28      26      25      23      23      40
DK/NA                 8       7       7       9       6       6       8
 
 
19. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New Jersey today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Very satisfied        9%    20%     4%     5%     9%     8%    10%     1%
Smwht satisfied      52     55     45     56     54     50     54     49
Smwht dissatisfied   28     20     38     25     24     31     27     34
Very dissatisfied    11      5     13     14     12     10     10     16
DK/NA                 -      -      1      -      -      -      -      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Very satisfied        7%    10%     5%    13%     9%     5%     8%    10%
Smwht satisfied      51     53     50     49     53     54     52     52
Smwht dissatisfied   30     26     32     27     27     31     29     26
Very dissatisfied    11     11     12     12     11      9     12     11
DK/NA                 1      -      1      -      -      -      -      1
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New Jersey today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? (*High also 71% Feb 1999)
                                                             VERY+SMWHT SAT
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 10  Apr 24  Mar 26  Feb 20  Jan 23  Dec 26  Jun 17
                     2013    2013    2013    2013    2013    2000*   2010
 
Very satisfied        9       7       7       8       6      10       2
Smwht satisfied      52      52      53      53      52      61      22
Smwht dissatisfied   28      27      28      28      30      21      36
Very dissatisfied    11      13      10      10      11       7      39
DK/NA                 -       1       1       -       1       1       1
 
 
20. If Christopher Christie is reelected Governor, would you like to see the Democrats or the Republicans control the New Jersey state legislature?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Democrats            51%     9%    91%    44%    50%    52%    42%    81%
Republicans          36     86      3     38     39     34     45      4
DK/NA                13      5      5     18     11     15     12     15
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Democrats            58%    46%    48%    54%    55%    59%    53%    46%
Republicans          34     38     34     36     37     27     38     40
DK/NA                 8     16     17     11      7     14      9     14
 
 
21. If Barbara Buono is elected Governor, would you like to see the Democrats or the Republicans control the New Jersey state legislature?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Democrats            43%     1%    87%    35%    42%    45%    36%    77%
Republicans          41     93      6     45     45     38     50      3
DK/NA                15      6      7     20     13     17     14     20
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Democrats            49%    40%    45%    46%    45%    54%    44%    40%
Republicans          41     42     36     40     46     30     41     46
DK/NA                11     18     20     15      8     15     14     14
 
 
22. If Christopher Christie supports a state legislative candidate, would that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, less likely to vote for that candidate, or wouldn't it make a difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More likely          20%    43%     7%    17%    21%    18%    23%    11%
Less likely          15      1     31     11     16     14     13     23
No difference        63     53     60     69     61     64     61     62
DK/NA                 3      2      2      3      2      4      3      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
More likely          17%    21%    16%    22%    20%    19%    17%    23%
Less likely          21     11     11     17     16     19     13     14
No difference        62     63     67     59     63     60     69     58
DK/NA                 1      4      5      1      1      2      1      5
 
 
23. If Barbara Buono supports a state legislative candidate, would that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, less likely to vote for that candidate, or wouldn't it make a difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More likely           8%     -     19%     4%     9%     8%     7%    12%
Less likely          18     42      4     16     20     16     23      1
No difference        70     54     75     77     69     71     67     83
DK/NA                 3      4      2      3      1      5      3      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
More likely           9%     8%     7%    10%     8%     7%    10%     8%
Less likely          18     18     16     21     18     11     16     23
No difference        71     70     71     68     73     83     71     64
DK/NA                 2      4      6      1      1      -      3      5
 
 
24. Would you describe the state of New Jersey's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Excellent             1%     1%     1%     1%     1%     1%     1%     3%
Good                 38     49     32     36     41     35     40     28
Not so good          44     40     49     42     41     47     43     55
Poor                 15      8     16     20     16     14     14     12
DK/NA                 2      2      2      1      1      2      1      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Excellent             1%     2%     2%     -      1%     2%     2%     1%
Good                 42     35     24     42     46     45     39     35
Not so good          43     45     52     40     40     41     44     46
Poor                 14     16     19     17     12     11     16     16
DK/NA                 1      2      2      -      1      1      -      2
 
TREND: Would you describe the state of New Jersey's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor? (*Low also 7% on Feb 2009)
                                                             EXCLNT+GOOD...
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 10  Aug 12  Apr 22  Mar 11  Feb 5   Oct 18  Aug 12
                     2013    2009    2009    2009    2009    2001    2009*
 
Excellent             1       -       -       -       -       3       -
Good                 38       7      10       8       7      54       7
Not so good          44      46      48      43      43      37      46
Poor                 15      45      40      48      50       5      45
DK/NA                 2       1       1       1       -       2       1
 
 
25. Do you think New Jersey's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Better               33%    44%    27%    33%    36%    31%    36%    19%
Worse                14     10     16     15     11     16     11     19
The same             51     46     54     52     52     51     52     56
DK/NA                 2      -      3      -      1      3      1      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Better               37%    31%    23%    35%    41%    41%    33%    31%
Worse                12     14     15     16      9     14     13     14
The same             50     52     61     49     50     45     55     53
DK/NA                 1      2      2      -      1      -      -      3
 
TREND: Do you think New Jersey's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? (* Would you say that New Jersey's economy ...)
                     Jul 10  Apr 22  Mar 11  Jun 22
                     2013    2009    2009    2004*
 
Better               33       8       3      21
Worse                14      42      61      18
Same                 51      47      35      58
DK/NA                 2       3       2       2
 
 
26. Compared to most other states, would you say New Jersey's economy is better, worse, or about the same?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Better               26%    25%    28%    24%    30%    23%    25%    21%
Worse                25     19     28     27     26     25     25     26
About the same       43     48     39     45     41     45     44     46
DK/NA                 6      9      6      4      3      8      5      7
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Better               27%    25%    20%    20%    34%    39%    28%    18%
Worse                27     24     28     25     22     27     27     23
About the same       41     44     48     45     39     33     40     51
DK/NA                 5      7      4      9      5      -      6      8
 
TREND: Compared to most other states, would you say New Jersey's economy is better, worse, or about the same?
                     Jul 10  Jun 22
                     2013    2004
 
Better               26      32
Worse                25      18
About the same       43      44
DK/NA                 6       6
 
 
27. Do you think Governor Christie's decision to hold the senate election to replace Frank Lautenberg in October was based more on politics or more on principle?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More on politics     59%    42%    69%    58%    61%    56%    57%    62%
More on principle    30     46     24     28     30     30     31     28
DK/NA                11     12      7     14      8     14     12     10
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
More on politics     67%    53%    54%    63%    64%    54%    62%    58%
More on principle    26     33     34     27     29     35     28     31
DK/NA                 7     14     13      9      8     11     10     12
 
TREND: Do you think Governor Christie's decision to hold the senate election to replace Frank Lautenberg in October was based more on politics or more on principle? (* senate election in October)
                     Jul 10  Jun 10
                     2013    2013*
 
More on politics     59      62
More on principle    30      29
DK/NA                11       9
 
 
28. Would you support or oppose a law that would allow same-sex couples to get married?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Support              60%    39%    69%    64%    60%    60%    63%    42%
Oppose               31     49     23     28     29     32     30     46
DK/NA                 9     12      8      9     10      8      7     11
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Support              69%    55%    54%    61%    69%    83%    63%    50%
Oppose               24     35     38     32     24     15     27     41
DK/NA                 8     10      8      7      7      3     10     10
 
TREND: Would you support or oppose a law that would allow same-sex couples to get married?
                                                             SUPPORT......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 10  Mar 26  May 17  Mar 01  Jan 19  Mar 26  Nov 8
                     2013    2013    2012    2012    2012    2013    2006
 
Support              60      64      53      57      52      64      41
Oppose               31      30      42      37      42      30      50
DK/NA                 9       6       5       6       6       6       9
 
 
 

Demographic Summary