October 23, 2013 - Shutdown Hurt Virginia, But Not Republican In Gov Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Don't Like The Campaign Or The Candidates
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While 47 percent of Virginia likely voters say the government shutdown hurt the Old Dominion "a great deal," it apparently has no impact on the governor's race, where Democrat Terry McAuliffe leads Republican Ken Cuccinelli 46 - 39 percent, with 10 percent for Libertarian Party candidate Robert Sarvis, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to the results of an October 10 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, showing McAuliffe up 47 - 39 percent, with Sarvis at 8 percent.

In today's survey, McAuliffe leads 92 - 3 percent among Democrats, with 2 percent for Sarvis, while Cuccinelli leads 81 - 6 among Republicans, with 11 percent for Sarvis. Independent voters are divided 39 - 39 percent, with 14 percent for Sarvis.

Women back the Democrat 49 - 35 percent, with 10 percent for Sarvis. Men are divided with 44 percent for Cuccinelli, 42 percent for McAuliffe and 10 percent for Sarvis.

Only 4 percent of Virginia likely voters are undecided and 7 percent say there's a "good chance" they will change their mind by Nov. 5.

The federal government shutdown hurt Virginia "a great deal," 47 percent of voters say, while 30 percent say it hurt "somewhat." The shutdown helped, 3 percent say, while 17 percent say it had "no real effect."

Voters say 45 - 35 percent that McAuliffe's position on the shutdown is closer to their own position than Cuccinelli's.

"Democrat Terry McAuliffe leads in the race to be Virginia's next governor, but the double-digit presence of Libertarian Robert Sarvis on the ballot creates a major uncertainty," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling institute.

"The big question about Sarvis is whether his voters will stick with him to the end, or wind up voting for McAuliffe or Republican State Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli," Brown added.

"Generally over the past decades, especially in southern states like Virginia, Republicans win when they have strong party allegiance among their base. One reason McAuliffe is ahead is that he wins 92 percent of Democrats while Cuccinelli has only 81 percent of Republicans. If Cuccinelli can't bring more Republicans home, he is likely to be toast."

By a 58 - 36 percent margin, voters have an unfavorable opinion of this year's race for governor, with 34 percent saying "strongly unfavorable."

Voters don't think much of the candidates, either, giving McAuliffe a negative 39 - 43 percent favorability while Cuccinelli gets a negative 38 - 52 percent score. For Sarvis, 78 percent don't know enough to form an opinion.

A total of 92 percent of Virginia likely voters say honesty is "extremely important" or "very important," but they don't think either of the two leading candidates is a pillar of honesty: McAuliffe is honest and trustworthy, 40 percent of voters say, while 43 percent say he is not. Cuccinelli does no better as 43 percent say he is honest and 46 percent say he is not.

Voters split 42 - 41 percent on who would do a better job handling ethics in government.

Cuccinelli does not understand their problems, voters say 53 - 39 percent, compared to 46 percent who say McAuliffe understands while 43 percent say he does not.

Cuccinelli has the right experience to be governor, voters say 64 - 30 percent, compared to McAuliffe's 49 - 40 percent experience rating.

"In general voters think McAuliffe is better able to understand their problems and Cuccinelli has the right experience to be governor," said Brown. "They overwhelmingly cite honesty and trustworthiness as the characteristics they most want in a governor, and on that scale, the two are virtually even."

From October 15 - 21, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,085 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, Iowa and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Terry McAuliffe the Democrat, Ken Cuccinelli the Republican, and Robert Sarvis the Libertarian, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward McAuliffe, Cuccinelli, or Sarvis? (Table includes leaners)
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
McAuliffe            46%     6%    92%    39%    42%    49%    38%    78%
Cuccinelli           39     81      3     39     44     35     46     14
Sarvis               10     11      2     14     10     10     12      2
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      1      -      1      1      -
DK/NA                 4      3      2      6      3      5      3      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
McAuliffe            56%    39%    49%    42%    52%    42%    46%    49%
Cuccinelli           31     45     37     44     33     40     38     38
Sarvis                9     11      7     12     12     11     12      9
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      -      2      -      2      -      -
DK/NA                 4      4      6      1      3      5      4      4
 
                     EXTREMELY IMPORTANT TO VOTE Q13, 14, 15
                     Experience    Understanding Honesty
 
McAuliffe            40%           47%           38%
Cuccinelli           52            38            46
Sarvis                4             9            11
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -             1             -
DK/NA                 4             5             5
 
TREND: If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Terry McAuliffe the Democrat, Ken Cuccinelli the Republican, and Robert Sarvis the Libertarian, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward McAuliffe, Cuccinelli, or Sarvis? (Table includes leaners)
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........
                     Oct 23  Oct 10  Sep 18
                     2013    2013    2013
 
McAuliffe            46      47      44
Cuccinelli           39      39      41
Sarvis               10       8       7
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       -       1
DK/NA                 4       5       6
 
 
1a. (If candidate chosen q1) Will you definitely vote for (Candidate of choice), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for another of the candidates? IF CHANGE MIND: Would you say there's a good chance you'll change your mind, or would you say it's pretty unlikely?
                     LIKELY VOTERS............................
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1......................
                            CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1............
                     Tot    McAuliffe     Cuccinelli    Sarvis
 
Def vote for cand    82%    88%           82%           56%
Unlikely to change    9      9             8            18
Good chance change    7      3             9            26
DK/NA                 1      1             1             1
 
TREND: (If candidate chosen) Will you definitely vote for (Candidate of choice), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for another of the candidates? IF CHANGE MIND: Would you say there's a good chance you'll change your mind, or would you say it's pretty unlikely?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN......
                     Oct 23  Oct 10  Sep 18
                     2013    2013    2013
 
Def vote for cand    82      79      77
Unlikely to change    9       9       8
Good chance change    7      11      12
DK/NA                 1       1       2
 
 
1b. (If candidate chosen q1) Would you describe your support for (Candidate of choice) as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike the other candidates?
                     LIKELY VOTERS............................
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1......................
                            CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1............
                     Tot    McAuliffe     Cuccinelli    Sarvis
 
Strongly favor       39%    38%           45%           17%
Like/Reservations    28     28            30            18
Dislike other cands  30     32            20            63
DK/NA                 3      1             4             1
 
TREND: (If candidate chosen q1) Would you describe your support for (Candidate of choice) as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike the other candidates?
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Oct 23  Oct 10
                     2013    2013
 
Strongly favor       39      40
Like/Reservations    28      27
Dislike other cands  30      31
DK/NA                 3       3
 
 
1c. (If voting for Sarvis q1) Who is your second choice? (* q1 Recalculated gubernatorial vote without Sarvis using second choice question)
                     LIKELY VOTERS WITHOUT SARVIS........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
McAuliffe            50%     8%    93%    46%    46%    53%    42%    80%
Cuccinelli           42     86      3     43     46     38     50     14
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      3      1      2      2      -
DK/NA                 7      6      3      9      6      7      6      7
 
TREND: (If voting for Sarvis) Who is your second choice? (* Recalculated gubernatorial vote without Sarvis using second choice question)
                     LIKELY VOTERS WITHOUT SARVIS
                     Oct 23  Oct 10
                     2013    2013
 
McAuliffe            50      49
Cuccinelli           42      42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       1
DK/NA                 7       7
 
 
2. Is your opinion of Terry McAuliffe favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            39%     5%    78%    33%    36%    42%    33%    66%
Unfavorable          43     76      6     48     47     39     52     10
Hvn't hrd enough     16     18     14     17     16     16     14     22
REFUSED               2      1      2      2      1      3      2      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Terry McAuliffe favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................
                     Oct 23  Oct 10  Sep 18  Aug 21
                     2013    2013    2013    2013
 
Favorable            39      41      38      34
Unfavorable          43      40      38      33
Hvn't hrd enough     16      16      22      31
REFUSED               2       3       2       1
 
 
3. Is your opinion of Ken Cuccinelli favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            38%    76%     8%    35%    41%    35%    44%    18%
Unfavorable          52     17     83     53     50     55     49     65
Hvn't hrd enough      9      7      8     10      8      9      6     16
REFUSED               1      1      1      2      1      1      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Ken Cuccinelli favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................
                     Oct 23  Oct 10  Sep 18  Aug 21
                     2013    2013    2013    2013
 
Favorable            38      39      34      35
Unfavorable          52      49      51      41
Hvn't hrd enough      9      10      13      22
REFUSED               1       2       1       2
 
 
4. Is your opinion of Robert Sarvis favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            13%    12%     6%    18%    16%    10%    14%     5%
Unfavorable           8      5     11      7      9      7      9      4
Hvn't hrd enough     78     81     83     75     74     82     76     90
REFUSED               1      1      -      1      -      1      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Robert Sarvis favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........
                     Oct 23  Oct 10  Sep 18
                     2013    2013    2013
 
Favorable            13      10       8
Unfavorable           8       7       6
Hvn't hrd enough     78      80      85
REFUSED               1       2       1
 
 
5. Is your opinion of Bob McDonnell favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            41%    68%    16%    44%    48%    35%    46%    23%
Unfavorable          36     11     59     34     33     39     34     48
Hvn't hrd enough     20     19     22     20     16     24     17     27
REFUSED               2      3      3      1      3      2      3      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Bob McDonnell favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Oct 23  Oct 10
                     2013    2013
 
Favorable            41      35
Unfavorable          36      40
Hvn't hrd enough     20      21
REFUSED               2       3
 
 
6. Is your opinion of E.W. Jackson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            12%    19%     5%    11%    15%     9%    13%     9%
Unfavorable          20      7     33     19     20     19     20     25
Hvn't hrd enough     68     73     62     70     64     72     67     65
REFUSED               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of E.W. Jackson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................
                     Oct 23  Oct 10  Sep 18  Aug 21
                     2013    2013    2013    2013
 
Favorable            12      10      10       8
Unfavorable          20      20      18      16
Hvn't hrd enough     68      69      72      75
REFUSED               -       1       -       1
 
 
7. Is your opinion of Ralph Northam favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable             9%     4%    16%     8%    10%     9%     9%    11%
Unfavorable           5      6      3      5      6      4      5      2
Hvn't hrd enough     85     90     80     86     84     87     85     85
REFUSED               1      -      1      -      -      1      -      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Ralph Northam favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................
                     Oct 23  Oct 10  Sep 18  Aug 21
                     2013    2013    2013    2013
 
Favorable             9       9       9       8
Unfavorable           5       4       4       4
Hvn't hrd enough     85      86      87      87
REFUSED               1       1       1       1
 
 
8. Is your opinion of Mark Herring favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            12%     3%    23%     9%    12%    11%    10%    17%
Unfavorable           7      9      2      9      8      7      8      3
Hvn't hrd enough     81     87     73     82     79     82     81     78
REFUSED               1      -      1      -      1      -      -      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Mark Herring favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................
                     Oct 23  Oct 10  Sep 18  Aug 21
                     2013    2013    2013    2013
 
Favorable            12       8       8       8
Unfavorable           7       6       4       3
Hvn't hrd enough     81      85      88      88
REFUSED               1       1       -       1
 
 
9. Is your opinion of Mark Obenshain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            24%    34%    10%    28%    24%    24%    27%    15%
Unfavorable          17      4     31     17     17     18     17     18
Hvn't hrd enough     57     62     56     54     58     56     55     66
REFUSED               1      1      3      1      1      2      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Mark Obenshain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................
                     Oct 23  Oct 10  Sep 18  Aug 21
                     2013    2013    2013    2013
 
Favorable            24      18      12      12
Unfavorable          17       9       9       6
Hvn't hrd enough     57      71      79      82
REFUSED               1       2       1       1
 
 
10. Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            45%     4%    95%    35%    42%    48%    38%    80%
Unfavorable          50     92      2     58     54     46     58     11
Hvn't hrd enough      3      3      1      4      3      3      2      4
REFUSED               2      1      2      4      1      3      2      5
 
 
11. Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            34%    82%     2%    29%    36%    32%    40%    15%
Unfavorable          61     14     96     64     61     61     55     78
Hvn't hrd enough      3      3      2      3      2      3      2      6
REFUSED               2      -      1      5      1      4      3      -
 
 
12. Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            31%    61%     3%    32%    33%    28%    36%    10%
Unfavorable          58     22     89     58     56     60     55     72
Hvn't hrd enough     10     16      6     10     10     10      9     17
REFUSED               1      1      2      1      1      1      1      1
 
 
13. (INTRO Q13-15: Thinking about this year's election for governor, for each personal quality I name, please tell me how important it is in your decision of who to support in the election for governor). How about the candidate's - experience, would you say this is extremely important in your choice for governor, very important, somewhat important, not so important or not important at all?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Extremely important  22%    26%    21%    18%    20%    24%    19%    28%
Very important       42     44     43     39     39     44     44     38
Somewhat important   32     28     30     36     35     28     32     29
Not so important      3      1      3      4      2      3      2      3
Not important at all  2      -      1      3      4      -      2      1
DK/NA                 -      -      1      -      -      1      -      1
 
TREND: (INTRO...) How about the candidate's experience, would you say this is extremely important in your choice for governor, very important, somewhat important, not so important or not important at all?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................
                     Oct 23  Oct 10  Sep 18  Aug 21
                     2013    2013    2013    2013
 
Extremely important  22      22      18      19
Very important       42      41      42      42
Somewhat important   32      31      33      32
Not so important      3       5       4       4
Not important at all  2       1       2       2
DK/NA                 -       1       -       -
 
 
14. How about the candidate's - understanding of the problems of people like you, would you say this is extremely important in your choice for governor, very important, somewhat important, not so important or not important at all?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Extremely important  45%    43%    51%    42%    40%    50%    42%    58%
Very important       37     44     34     38     39     35     40     29
Somewhat important   14     11     12     14     14     13     14      9
Not so important      2      1      -      4      3      1      3      2
Not important at all  1      1      2      -      2      -      1      -
DK/NA                 1      -      1      -      1      -      -      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Extremely important  39%    49%    48%    45%    40%    50%    43%    44%
Very important       40     36     38     40     37     26     39     40
Somewhat important   19     10     10     13     19     18     14     12
Not so important      1      3      1      1      3      3      2      1
Not important at all  1      1      2      1      1      3      1      -
DK/NA                 -      1      2      -      -      -      -      2
 
TREND: (INTRO...) How about the candidate's understanding of the problems of people like you, would you say this is extremely important in your choice for governor, very important, somewhat important, not so important or not important at all?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................
                     Oct 23  Oct 10  Sep 18  Aug 21
                     2013    2013    2013    2013
 
Extremely important  45      48      36      44
Very important       37      36      45      38
Somewhat important   14      13      17      16
Not so important      2       1       1       2
Not important at all  1       1       1       1
DK/NA                 1       1       -       1
 
 
15. How about the candidate's - honesty and trustworthiness, would you say this is extremely important in your choice for governor, very important, somewhat important, not so important or not important at all?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Extremely important  60%    73%    52%    61%    61%    60%    61%    62%
Very important       32     25     37     31     30     34     33     26
Somewhat important    6      2      8      8      7      5      6      6
Not so important      -      -      1      -      -      -      -      1
Not important at all  -      -      1      -      -      -      -      1
DK/NA                 1      -      2      -      1      -      -      4
 
TREND: (INTRO...) How about the candidate's honesty and trustworthiness, would you say this is extremely important in your choice for governor, very important, somewhat important, not so important or not important at all?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................
                     Oct 23  Oct 10  Sep 18  Aug 21
                     2013    2013    2013    2013
 
Extremely important  60      58      59      58
Very important       32      34      35      35
Somewhat important    6       6       5       6
Not so important      -       1       -       -
Not important at all  -       -       -       1
DK/NA                 1       1       -       -
 
 
16. (INTRO Q16-21: Now, I'd like to ask whether you think each of these qualities describes each candidate in the election for governor.) Do you think Ken Cuccinelli - has the right kind of experience to be Governor of Virginia or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  64%    88%    39%    69%    68%    60%    67%    49%
No                   30      9     56     23     27     34     28     46
DK/NA                 6      4      5      8      5      6      5      5
 
TREND: (INTRO...) Do you think Ken Cuccinelli has the right kind of experience to be Governor of Virginia or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................
                     Oct 23  Oct 10  Sep 18  Aug 21
                     2013    2013    2013    2013
 
Yes                  64      63      58      56
No                   30      28      34      31
DK/NA                 6       9       8      13
 
 
17. Would you say that Ken Cuccinelli - understands the problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  39%    74%     9%    38%    42%    36%    44%    14%
No                   53     17     85     52     49     57     48     77
DK/NA                 8      9      5     10      9      8      8      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  35%    41%    35%    43%    35%    36%    40%    36%
No                   60     49     56     49     59     53     53     56
DK/NA                 6     10      9      8      6     12      6      9
 
TREND: (INTRO...) Would you say that Ken Cuccinelli understands the problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................
                     Oct 23  Oct 10  Sep 18  Aug 21
                     2013    2013    2013    2013
 
Yes                  39      39      35      37
No                   53      53      56      51
DK/NA                 8       8      10      11
 
 
18. Would you say that Ken Cuccinelli - is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  43%    77%    12%    43%    45%    41%    48%    18%
No                   46     14     75     44     44     48     43     60
DK/NA                11      9     13     13     11     11      9     22
 
TREND: (INTRO...) Would you say that Ken Cuccinelli is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................
                     Oct 23  Oct 10  Sep 18  Aug 21
                     2013    2013    2013    2013
 
Yes                  43      41      39      42
No                   46      46      49      43
DK/NA                11      14      12      15
 
 
19. Do you think Terry McAuliffe - has the right kind of experience to be Governor of Virginia or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  49%    25%    81%    43%    44%    55%    44%    69%
No                   40     63     12     44     46     35     46     23
DK/NA                10     12      7     13     10     11     11      8
 
TREND: (INTRO...) Do you think Terry McAuliffe has the right kind of experience to be Governor of Virginia or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................
                     Oct 23  Oct 10  Sep 18  Aug 21
                     2013    2013    2013    2013
 
Yes                  49      52      47      46
No                   40      35      36      34
DK/NA                10      12      17      21
 
 
20. Would you say that Terry McAuliffe - understands the problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  46%    20%    82%    38%    43%    50%    41%    71%
No                   43     66     11     49     47     38     48     19
DK/NA                11     14      6     13     10     12     11      9
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  55%    40%    49%    47%    50%    51%    46%    47%
No                   35     48     41     40     42     33     45     42
DK/NA                10     12     10     13      8     16      9     11
 
TREND: (INTRO...) Would you say that Terry McAuliffe understands the problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................
                     Oct 23  Oct 10  Sep 18  Aug 21
                     2013    2013    2013    2013
 
Yes                  46      45      40      38
No                   43      41      44      42
DK/NA                11      13      16      20
 
 
21. Would you say that Terry McAuliffe - is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  40%    19%    73%    31%    38%    42%    34%    63%
No                   43     66     12     49     45     41     50     11
DK/NA                17     16     16     20     17     17     15     26
 
TREND: (INTRO...) Would you say that Terry McAuliffe is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................
                     Oct 23  Oct 10  Sep 18  Aug 21
                     2013    2013    2013    2013
 
Yes                  40      42      39      39
No                   43      37      42      36
DK/NA                17      21      19      25
 
 
22. Do you think Terry McAuliffe is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Liberal              40%    74%     4%    45%    45%    36%    47%     9%
Conservative          3      2      4      3      4      3      4      1
About right          46     11     87     39     42     50     39     77
DK/NA                11     13      4     13      9     12     11     12
 
TREND: Do you think Terry McAuliffe is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Oct 23  Oct 10
                     2013    2013
 
Liberal              40      38
Conservative          3       2
About right          46      48
DK/NA                11      12
 
 
23. Do you think Ken Cuccinelli is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Liberal               5%     6%     6%     3%     5%     5%     5%     6%
Conservative         51     18     78     52     47     54     48     64
About right          36     72      7     35     38     34     40     17
DK/NA                 8      4      9      9      9      8      7     14
 
TREND: Do you think Ken Cuccinelli is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Oct 23  Oct 10
                     2013    2013
 
Liberal               5       7
Conservative         51      46
About right          36      37
DK/NA                 8      11
 
 
24. Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of this year's election for Governor?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            36%    42%    42%    25%    38%    33%    34%    43%
Unfavorable          58     52     52     68     57     59     60     48
DK/NA                 6      6      6      7      5      8      6      9
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            28%    41%    47%    34%    27%    42%    33%    37%
Unfavorable          66     52     47     60     68     53     62     56
DK/NA                 5      7      6      6      5      5      5      7
 
TREND: Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of this year's election for Governor?
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Oct 23  Oct 10
                     2013    2013
 
Favorable            36      41
Unfavorable          58      52
DK/NA                 6       7
 
 
24a. Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of this year's election for Governor? Combined with: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Strongly favorable   15%    14%    23%     9%    14%    15%    12%    24%
Somewhat favorable   21     29     20     17     24     18     22     19
Somewhat unfavorable 24     23     27     22     21     27     24     25
Strongly unfavorable 34     29     25     46     36     32     35     23
REFUSED/DK/NA         6      6      6      7      5      8      6      9
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Strongly favorable   10%    18%    20%    14%    10%    15%    13%    16%
Somewhat favorable   19     23     27     20     17     27     20     21
Somewhat unfavorable 32     19     19     25     31     26     28     19
Strongly unfavorable 35     33     29     34     37     27     34     36
REFUSED/DK/NA         5      7      6      7      5      5      5      8
 
TREND: Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of this year's election for Governor? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Oct 23  Oct 10
                     2013    2013
 
Strongly favorable   15      20
Somewhat favorable   21      21
Somewhat unfavorable 24      24
Strongly unfavorable 34      29
REFUSED/DK/NA         6       7
 
 
Q25-31. Summary table - Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job handling ... McAuliffe or Cuccinelli?
                                   LIKELY VOTERS...........
                                   McAuliffe     Cuccinelli
 
Same-sex marriage                  56            25
Issues concerning women            56            32
Healthcare                         50            38
Protecting middle class            48            40
Business development in VA         46            44
Economy and jobs                   46            44
Ethics in government               42            41
 
 
25. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job handling - the economy and jobs, McAuliffe or Cuccinelli?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
McAuliffe            46%    10%    85%    38%    43%    48%    39%    76%
Cuccinelli           44     82      7     46     48     39     51     11
DK/NA                11      8      8     16     10     12     10     13
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
McAuliffe            56%    38%    46%    43%    52%    39%    46%    49%
Cuccinelli           37     48     41     46     41     48     45     39
DK/NA                 7     14     13     11      7     13      8     13
 
TREND: Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job handling - the economy and jobs, McAuliffe or Cuccinelli?
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Oct 23  Oct 10
                     2013    2013
 
McAuliffe            46      44
Cuccinelli           44      43
DK/NA                11      13
 
 
26. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job handling - issues of special concern to women, McAuliffe or Cuccinelli?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
McAuliffe            56%    20%    90%    55%    54%    59%    51%    78%
Cuccinelli           32     67      6     28     33     31     37     10
DK/NA                12     13      4     17     13     10     12     11
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
McAuliffe            67%    48%    56%    55%    65%    61%    58%    56%
Cuccinelli           24     38     32     35     24     29     31     31
DK/NA                 8     14     13     10     11     10     11     13
 
TREND: Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job handling - issues of special concern to women, McAuliffe or Cuccinelli?
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Oct 23  Oct 10
                     2013    2013
 
McAuliffe            56      55
Cuccinelli           32      30
DK/NA                12      15
 
 
27. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job handling - business development in Virginia, McAuliffe or Cuccinelli?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
McAuliffe            46%    14%    83%    38%    46%    46%    40%    71%
Cuccinelli           44     77      8     49     47     41     49     17
DK/NA                10      9      9     13      7     13     10     12
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
McAuliffe            54%    40%    47%    44%    53%    43%    44%    51%
Cuccinelli           38     48     43     46     38     46     45     38
DK/NA                 8     12     10     10      8     10     11     11
 
 
28. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job - on protecting the middle class, McAuliffe or Cuccinelli?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
McAuliffe            48%    11%    87%    43%    44%    52%    41%    79%
Cuccinelli           40     81      6     41     44     37     47     15
DK/NA                12      8      6     16     11     12     12      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
McAuliffe            58%    41%    51%    46%    54%    48%    49%    50%
Cuccinelli           34     45     38     45     33     40     40     38
DK/NA                 8     14     11      9     13     12     11     12
 
 
29. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job handling - health care, McAuliffe or Cuccinelli?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
McAuliffe            50%    12%    89%    46%    47%    53%    44%    78%
Cuccinelli           38     79      4     38     42     35     45     11
DK/NA                11      9      7     16     11     12     11     11
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
McAuliffe            62%    42%    50%    48%    59%    50%    51%    51%
Cuccinelli           31     44     38     44     32     38     39     35
DK/NA                 8     14     12      9     10     12     10     13
 
TREND: Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job handling - health care, McAuliffe or Cuccinelli?
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Oct 23  Oct 10
                     2013    2013
 
McAuliffe            50      47
Cuccinelli           38      38
DK/NA                11      15
 
 
30. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job handling - same-sex marriage, McAuliffe or Cuccinelli?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
McAuliffe            56%    27%    81%    58%    52%    60%    52%    65%
Cuccinelli           25     57      2     23     29     21     29     11
DK/NA                19     16     16     19     19     19     19     24
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
McAuliffe            69%    46%    53%    56%    66%    58%    60%    53%
Cuccinelli           20     29     23     29     19     23     23     26
DK/NA                11     25     24     15     15     19     17     22
 
 
31. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job handling - ethics in government, McAuliffe or Cuccinelli?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
McAuliffe            42%     7%    83%    34%    38%    46%    34%    76%
Cuccinelli           41     79      6     41     45     37     48     12
DK/NA                17     14     11     25     17     17     18     12
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
McAuliffe            50%    37%    46%    41%    46%    47%    40%    44%
Cuccinelli           35     45     39     43     38     40     42     39
DK/NA                15     18     16     17     16     13     18     17
 
TREND: Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job handling - ethics in government, McAuliffe or Cuccinelli?
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Oct 23  Oct 10
                     2013    2013
 
McAuliffe            42      43
Cuccinelli           41      39
DK/NA                17      18
 
 
32. Generally speaking, would you say things in Virginia are heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Right direction      52%    59%    46%    53%    57%    47%    53%    53%
Wrong track          40     37     42     42     39     42     39     39
DK/NA                 8      5     12      5      4     11      7      9
 
 
33. Do you think the federal government shutdown helped Virginia, hurt Virginia or had no real effect? IF HURT: Would you say the shutdown hurt Virginia a great deal or somewhat?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Helped                3%     5%     4%     1%     4%     2%     2%     4%
No real effect       17     26      4     22     19     16     19     11
Hurt/Somewhat        30     35     26     31     30     30     30     31
Hurt/Great deal      47     31     63     46     46     48     47     51
DK/NA                 3      4      3      1      1      4      2      3
 
 
34. As far as you know, whose position on the federal government shutdown comes closest to your own, Cuccinelli's or McAuliffe's?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
McAuliffe            45%     8%    82%    41%    42%    48%    39%    72%
Cuccinelli           35     73      6     31     40     30     41     15
DK/NA                20     18     12     28     18     22     20     14
 
 
35. Now thinking of - Ken Cuccinelli, how often would you say you've been seeing his campaign advertisements on television recently, very often, somewhat often, just occasionally or rarely?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Very often           43%    32%    53%    42%    38%    47%    41%    51%
Somewhat often       25     32     20     24     25     26     27     20
Just occasionally    16     17     15     17     19     13     16     15
Rarely                9     13      8      8     11      8      9     10
NEVER(VOL)            3      1      1      5      2      3      2      2
DON'T WATCH TV(VOL)   3      4      2      5      4      3      4      1
DK/NA                 1      1      1      -      -      1      -      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Very often           44%    42%    48%    38%    43%    34%    43%    46%
Somewhat often       26     26     20     33     25     26     29     23
Just occasionally    16     16     17     12     19     16     12     19
Rarely                8     10      8     12      8     13     11      7
NEVER(VOL)            2      3      2      2      2      3      2      2
DON'T WATCH TV(VOL)   4      3      4      4      3      8      3      2
DK/NA                 1      1      -      -      -      -      -      1
 
 
36. Now thinking of - Terry McAuliffe, how often would you say you've been seeing his campaign advertisements on television recently, very often, somewhat often, just occasionally or rarely?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Very often           49%    49%    45%    52%    49%    48%    49%    47%
Somewhat often       23     21     28     21     20     26     23     29
Just occasionally    13     11     17     11     15     11     12     12
Rarely                8     14      5      7     10      7      8      9
NEVER(VOL)            3      2      2      4      2      3      2      2
DON'T WATCH TV(VOL)   3      3      2      5      3      3      4      1
DK/NA                 1      1      1      -      -      1      1      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Very often           48%    49%    49%    50%    48%    41%    48%    50%
Somewhat often       26     21     21     25     26     22     24     25
Just occasionally    12     15     16     11     13     15     12     15
Rarely                8      9      8      9      8     12     11      5
NEVER(VOL)            2      3      3      1      2      3      2      2
DON'T WATCH TV(VOL)   4      3      3      4      3      6      3      2
DK/NA                 1      1      1      -      -      -      -      1
 
 
37. From what you've seen, would you say - Cuccinelli's ads are very effective at making their point, somewhat effective, not so effective or not effective at all?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Very effective       14%    25%     9%    11%    15%    14%    17%     8%
Somewhat effective   39     50     33     38     40     39     39     45
Not so effective     16      7     19     20     16     15     16      8
Not effective at all 21      9     32     20     21     21     19     32
DK/NA                 9      9      7     12      8     10      9      7
 
 
38. From what you've seen, would you say - McAuliffe's ads are very effective at making their point, somewhat effective, not so effective or not effective at all?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Very effective       18%    13%    30%    11%    15%    20%    15%    29%
Somewhat effective   41     35     48     40     44     38     39     53
Not so effective     13     19      6     15     12     14     15      2
Not effective at all 19     24      9     22     20     18     21      9
DK/NA                 9      9      7     11      9     10     10      7
 
 

Demographic Summary