December 19, 2013 - Clinton, Christie Top Presidential Pack In Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Many Will Spend Less On Gifts This Year
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Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie lead the 2016 presidential pack in Pennsylvania, locked in a tie in this critical swing state, with 44 percent for Secretary Clinton and 43 percent for Gov. Christie, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

There is a big gender gap as Clinton leads 51 - 36 percent among women while Christie leads 51 - 36 percent among men, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Independent voters go to Christie 47 - 31 percent.

Clinton tops other possible Republican contenders:
  • 51 - 38 percent over former U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum, the native son;
  • 52 - 40 percent over U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky;
  • 54 - 36 percent over U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas;
  • 52 - 36 percent over former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush.
The Democrat would make a good president, Pennsylvania voters say 57 - 39 percent, and Christie also would make a good president, voters say 55 - 29 percent. Vice President Joseph Biden and the other Republicans all get negative scores on whether they could do the job, including a negative 33 - 54 percent for Santorum.

"It's all hypothetical, but the 2016 White House race between former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie could leave us waiting for the photo finish shot," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Coming into the first turn, with a long way to go, the Clinton-Christie matchup is close, and leaves the rest of the pack in the dust."

Pennsylvania voters give President Barack Obama a negative 39 - 57 percent job approval rating, compared to his all-time low of 42 - 53 percent in an April 28, 2011, Quinnipiac University poll. The president gets negative scores of 6 - 92 percent from Republicans, 35 - 61 percent from independent voters, 36 - 62 percent from men and 42 - 52 percent from women. Democrats approve 73 - 20 percent.

U.S Sen. Robert Casey gets a 46 - 35 percent approval rating, with 45 - 34 percent for U.S. Sen. Pat Toomey.

Holiday Spending

Looking at the holidays, 39 percent of Pennsylvania voters plan to spend less on gifts this year, while 10 percent plan to spend more and 50 percent plan to spend about as much as last year.

"Pennsylvanians may feel the love, but a lot of them are sharing less love this holiday season," Malloy said.

But 19 percent of voters plan to give more to charity this year, while 14 percent plan to give less, with 66 percent planning to give as much as last year.

From December 11 - 16, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,061 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

8. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Clinton              44%     8%    88%    31%    36%    51%    82%    48%    19%
Christie             43     83      7     47     51     36     11     40     67
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      -      3      2      2      -      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      4      1      5      4      3      2      2      6
DK/NA                 7      4      4     14      7      7      5      9      6
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? (* Christopher Christie)
                     Dec 19  Mar 14
                     2013    2013*
 
Clinton              44      47
Christie             43      42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       2
DK/NA                 7       7
 
 
9. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Clinton              52%    16%    93%    45%    44%    60%    85%    63%    22%
Paul                 40     77      5     43     48     34     10     27     73
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      3      1      1      -      3      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      1      1      1      1      -      1      1
DK/NA                 5      5      1      8      5      5      4      6      4
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Dec 19  Jun 07
                     2013    2013
 
Clinton              52      52
Paul                 40      37
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1       2
DK/NA                 5       8
 
 
10. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Clinton              54%    15%    94%    50%    46%    60%    87%    66%    21%
Cruz                 36     75      2     34     42     29      7     21     70
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      -      4      2      2      -      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      1      2      4      2      2      2      3      1
DK/NA                 7      7      3      9      7      6      4      7      6
 
 
11. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Clinton              52%    12%    93%    48%    43%    60%    88%    62%    22%
Bush                 36     76      3     33     42     30      7     27     63
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      2      1      4      2      3      -      3      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      4      1      6      5      3      2      3      6
DK/NA                 6      6      2      9      7      5      4      5      7
 
 
12. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rick Santorum the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Clinton              51%    10%    93%    46%    44%    57%    86%    62%    20%
Santorum             38     82      4     33     43     33      9     24     71
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      -      5      3      2      -      3      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      3      2      4      4      3      2      4      3
DK/NA                 6      4      1     12      7      5      2      7      5
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rick Santorum the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Dec 19  Jun 07
                     2013    2013
 
Clinton              51      53
Santorum             38      36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       3
DK/NA                 6       6
 
 
13. Do you think - Chris Christie would make a good President or not?
                                                               POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Yes                  55%    69%    40%    65%    60%    51%    45%    62%    56%
No                   29     18     41     22     29     29     42     24     28
DK/NA                15     13     18     12     11     19     13     14     17
 
 
14. Do you think - Hillary Clinton would make a good President or not?
                                                               POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Yes                  57%    24%    91%    54%    50%    63%    89%    67%    27%
No                   39     72      7     40     46     33      9     29     68
DK/NA                 4      4      2      6      4      4      2      4      5
 
 
15. Do you think - Joe Biden would make a good President or not?
                                                               POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Yes                  29%     8%    52%    26%    26%    32%    49%    38%     9%
No                   61     86     37     63     67     56     39     54     82
DK/NA                10      5     11     10      7     12     11      8      8
 
 
16. Do you think - Rand Paul would make a good President or not?
                                                               POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Yes                  34%    59%     7%    38%    41%    29%    12%    23%    60%
No                   48     24     76     39     47     49     78     55     24
DK/NA                18     16     17     22     13     22     10     22     16
 
 
17. Do you think - Ted Cruz would make a good President or not?
                                                               POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Yes                  26%    49%     4%    28%    33%    21%     9%    11%    53%
No                   47     23     71     44     47     46     78     54     22
DK/NA                27     28     25     29     21     33     13     35     25
 
 
18. Do you think - Jeb Bush would make a good President or not?
                                                               POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Yes                  32%    57%    11%    33%    39%    26%    14%    30%    46%
No                   53     27     77     51     49     57     79     55     37
DK/NA                15     16     11     16     12     17      7     16     17
 
 
19. Do you think - Rick Santorum would make a good President or not?
                                                               POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Yes                  33%    63%     9%    34%    35%    32%     9%    27%    56%
No                   54     23     81     54     55     53     82     63     29
DK/NA                12     14      9     12     10     15      9     10     15
 
 
22. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Approve              46%    35%    63%    43%    45%    48%    61%    53%    33%
Disapprove           35     48     19     37     42     30     18     31     52
DK/NA                18     17     17     19     13     22     21     16     16
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Dec 19  Jun 06  Apr 26  Mar 13  Jan 29  May 28  Dec 16
                     2013    2013    2013    2013    2013    2009    2010
 
Approve              46      45      48      48      44      56      39
Disapprove           35      29      34      34      36      21      29
DK/NA                18      26      18      17      21      23      32
 
 
23. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Pat Toomey is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Approve              45%    64%    28%    45%    48%    42%    30%    38%    61%
Disapprove           34     18     49     33     36     32     48     39     22
DK/NA                21     18     23     22     16     26     21     23     17
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Pat Toomey is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Dec 19  Jun 06  Apr 26  Mar 13  Jan 29  Apr 26  Jun 12
                     2013    2013    2013    2013    2013    2013    2012
 
Approve              45      46      48      43      43      48      40
Disapprove           34      29      30      32      25      30      27
DK/NA                21      25      22      26      32      22      32
 
 
24. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                               POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Approve              39%     6%    73%    35%    36%    42%    80%    42%    12%
Disapprove           57     92     20     61     62     52     16     51     86
DK/NA                 4      2      7      4      2      6      4      6      2
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Dec 19  Jun 07  Apr 26  Mar 14  Jan 30  May 04  Dec 19  
                     2013    2013    2013    2013    2013    2009    2013    
                                                                             
Approve              39      48      48      44      51      66      39      
Disapprove           57      48      48      51      46      29      57      
DK/NA                 4       4       4       4       3       5       4      
 
40. Thinking about this holiday season, do you plan to spend more on gifts this year than last year, less on gifts or about the same as last year?
                                                               POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
More                 10%    12%    13%     6%    14%     7%    16%     9%     8%
Less                 39     33     40     42     34     43     31     39     42
About the same       50     53     46     51     51     49     51     52     47
DK/NA                 1      3      1      -      1      2      1      1      2
 
TREND: Thinking about this holiday season, do you plan to spend more on gifts this year than last year, less on gifts or about the same as last year? (* This year are you going to spend)
                     Dec 19  Nov 26
                     2013    2008*
 
More                 10       3
Less                 39      53
About the same       50      43
DK/NA                 1       2
 
 
40a. (If q40 more) Would you say a lot more, somewhat more, or only a little more?
                     SPENDING MORE Q40
                     Tot
 
Lot more             24%
Smwht more           46
Little more          30
DK/NA                 -
 
 
40b. (If q40 less) Would you say a lot less, somewhat less, or only a little less?
                     SPENDING LESS Q40
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Lot less             40%    29%    49%
Smwht less           38     43     35
Little less          20     27     15
DK/NA                 1      1      1
 
TREND: (If less) Would you say a lot less, somewhat less, or only a little less?
                     SPENDING LESS
                     Dec 19  Nov 26
                     2013    2008
 
Lot less             40      44
Smwht less           38      37
Little less          20      19
DK/NA                 1       1
 
 
41. Thinking about this holiday season, do you plan to give more to charity this year than last year, less to charity, or about the same as last year?
                                                               POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
More                 19%    21%    15%    21%    20%    17%    20%    18%    20%
Less                 14     15     14     11     13     14     10     14     15
About the same       66     64     69     66     66     66     69     66     63
DK/NA                 2      -      2      2      1      2      1      1      2
 
 
41a. (If q41 more) Would you say a lot more, somewhat more, or only a little more?
                     GIVING MORE Q41
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Lot more             23%    22%    23%
Smwht more           51     61     41
Little more          26     17     36
DK/NA                 -      -      -
 
 
41b. (If q41 less) Would you say a lot less, somewhat less, or only a little less?
                     GIVING LESS Q41
                     Tot
 
Lot less             53%
Smwht less           21
Little less          26
DK/NA                 -
 
 

Demographic Summary