February 8, 2012 - Obama Inches Past Romney In Virginia Presidential Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Senate Race Still Tied

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For the first time in this election cycle, President Barack Obama inches ahead of former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, the leading Republican candidate, 47 - 43 percent in Virginia, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Romney has a commanding lead among likely Republican primary voters in the state's no-Newt Gingrich presidential primary.

Today's results contrast to results of a December 21 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, showing Romney with 44 percent and President Obama with 42 percent.

Virginia voters still give the president a slightly negative 46 - 49 percent job approval rating. They split 46 - 48 percent on whether Obama deserves a second term in the Oval Office, but that represents a serious improvement from December when voters said 53 - 41 percent he did not deserve four more years.

In the state's hotly contested U.S. Senate race Democrat Tim Kaine has 45 percent to Republican George Allen's 44 percent.

In the Obama-Romney matchup, independent voters favor the president 45 - 41 percent, compared to a 41 - 41 percent tie in December. A gender gap is opening up as women shift to the president, backing him 52 - 40 percent, compared to a 43 - 45 percent split in December. Men back Romney 47 - 43 percent, compared to 43 - 42 percent in December.

"For the first time since Quinnipiac University began polling Virginia voters on the race, President Barack Obama holds a razor-thin lead over Gov. Mitt Romney," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "The keys are the president's improved standing among independent voters and women in the Old Dominion."

"The Obama bump could be driven by the perception that the economy is improving. And, the nasty GOP primary fight is not helping Romney, exposing swing voters to lots of negative attacks on him from within his own party," Brown added.

The president also leads former House Speaker Newt Gingrich 51 - 37 percent, as he tops former Pennsylvania U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum 49 - 41 percent and Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul 47 - 40 percent.

In the GOP primary, Romney is the heavy favorite to win Virginia's delegates. That's because Santorum and Gingrich failed to qualify for the ballot. Romney leads Ron Paul among GOP likely primary voters 68 - 19 percent.

"Leading up to Super Tuesday, when the GOP candidates will be fighting over almost a dozen states, Virginia voters likely will be spared the negative television commercials and direct mail attacks since the outcome of its primary is pretty much pre-ordained," said Brown.

The Senate race has been tight as a tick all year, with neither man ahead by more than two points among all voters. In this survey, Kaine leads 44 - 40 percent among independent voters.

"Kaine's standing in the Senate race will almost certainly be tied to Virginia's view of the president. Politics is a team game and when the captain of the blue team improves his standing, the rest of the team also benefits," said Brown.

From February 1 - 6, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,544 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Republican primary includes 546 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 4.2 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. There will be two candidates on the ballot, Mitt Romney and Ron Paul. If the Republican primary for President were being held today, would you vote for Mitt Romney or Ron Paul? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Romney or Paul? (Table includes leaners and early voters)
                     LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS..........................
                                                        WhtBrnAgnEv   TEA PARTY
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No     Yes    No
 
Romney               68%    68%    68%    74%    59%    73%    74%    68%    69%
Paul                 19     23     15     17     24     12     18     16     20
DK/NA                13      9     17     10     17     15      8     16     11
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50 50-100 >100
 
Romney               73%    65%    65%    65%    80%    72%    57%    65%    70%
Paul                 18     20     23     20     12     14     24     26     18
DK/NA                 9     15     13     16      8     14     19     10     12
 
                     CANDIDATE CHOICE Q1b
                     NG     RS
 
Romney               70%    65%
Paul                 10     23
DK/NA                20     12
 
 
1a. (Candidate choice given q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS
                            CANDIDATE CHOICE Q1
                     Tot    MR     RP
 
Mind made up         63%    66%    53%
Might change         35     33     45
DK/NA                 1      1      2
 
 
1b. Suppose Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum were also on the ballot. If the Republican primary for President were being held today, would you vote for: Mitt Romney, Ron Paul, Rick Santorum, or Newt Gingrich? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Romney, Paul, Santorum, or Gingrich? (Table includes leaners)
                     LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS..........................
                                                        WhtBrnAgnEv   TEA PARTY
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No     Yes    No
 
Romney               37%    35%    40%    33%    40%    32%    45%    22%    43%
Paul                 12     15     10      9     19      5      9      5     15
Santorum             18     18     18     23     12     22     17     23     17
Gingrich             27     28     25     31     21     36     24     43     20
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      1      -      2      -      -      -      2
DK/NA                 5      3      7      4      6      5      5      7      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS.....    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                     Yes    No     18-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50 50-100 >100
 
Romney               44%    33%    42%    26%    44%    37%    35%    30%    40%
Paul                 11     13     16     11      7     11     19     13     12
Santorum             22     15     18     18     17     14     14     25     18
Gingrich             18     32     19     35     30     28     22     31     23
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      -      3      -      1      2      -      2
DK/NA                 4      5      5      7      1      8      9      2      5
 
 
2. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                47%     6%    93%    45%    43%    52%    36%    91%
Romney               43     86      5     41     47     40     54      4
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      2      2      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      4      -      4      4      3      4      -
DK/NA                 5      4      2      8      5      5      5      4
 
                     WHITE..................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                 WhtBrnAgnEv   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                47%    29%    27%    37%    19%    40%    52%    49%    44%
Romney               46     59     63     57     69     53     36     43     47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      1      1      1      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      5      4      1      5      2      6      3      2
DK/NA                 4      6      5      4      5      4      5      5      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Obama                52%    45%    57%    41%    49%    45%
Romney               40     44     36     44     42     48
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      2      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      4      3      4      4      3
DK/NA                 4      6      4     10      4      3
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election")
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS.........
                     Feb 08  Dec 21  Oct 11  Sep 15
                     2012    2011    2011    2011
 
Obama                47      42      44      42
Romney               43      44      45      44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       3       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       3       3       2
DK/NA                 5       7       7       9
 
 
3. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Newt Gingrich the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                51%    12%    94%    50%    46%    55%    40%    89%
Gingrich             37     78      3     32     42     33     47      5
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      -      3      2      2      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      5      5      -      7      5      4      5      -
DK/NA                 5      4      2      7      4      6      5      5
 
                     WHITE..................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                 WhtBrnAgnEv   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                52%    32%    31%    39%    24%    43%    56%    52%    48%
Gingrich             38     53     55     52     63     44     29     37     42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      3      1      3      1      3      2      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      7      6      3      7      4      8      4      3
DK/NA                 5      5      6      4      4      6      5      5      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Obama                57%    47%    59%    46%    51%    49%
Gingrich             33     39     28     38     40     40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      1      2      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      6      6      5      3      4
DK/NA                 5      6      5      9      3      5
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Newt Gingrich the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election")
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS
                     Feb 08  Dec 21
                     2012    2011
 
Obama                51      46%
Gingrich             37      41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      5       4
DK/NA                 5       6
 
 
4. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Rick Santorum the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                49%     6%    95%    49%    45%    52%    38%    87%
Santorum             41     83      3     38     46     37     52      6
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      2      2      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      6      -      5      5      4      5      -
DK/NA                 5      3      2      7      3      6      4      6
 
                     WHITE..................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                 WhtBrnAgnEv   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                49%    31%    28%    35%    20%    41%    53%    50%    46%
Santorum             44     57     60     57     71     49     33     41     46
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      1      -      1      1      1      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      6      5      2      4      5      9      3      2
DK/NA                 4      4      5      5      4      5      3      5      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Obama                55%    46%    57%    48%    48%    47%
Santorum             39     42     33     39     46     44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      2      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      5      4      4      3      5
DK/NA                 3      5      5      7      2      3
 
 
5. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Ron Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                47%     8%    93%    43%    43%    51%    37%    84%
Paul                 40     74      3     44     44     36     49     10
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      1      1      -      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      6     11      -      6      7      5      8      -
DK/NA                 6      6      3      7      5      7      6      6
 
                     WHITE..................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                 WhtBrnAgnEv   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                47%    30%    29%    38%    19%    41%    47%    49%    46%
Paul                 43     53     55     51     61     47     39     41     40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      1      1      -      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3     10      9      4     12      6     10      4      6
DK/NA                 6      6      6      7      7      6      4      5      7
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Obama                52%    44%    55%    46%    44%    46%
Paul                 38     41     29     40     46     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      8      7      5      6      5
DK/NA                 6      6      7      7      4      5
 
 
6. Is your opinion of - Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS..........................
                                                        WhtBrnAgnEv   TEA PARTY
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No     Yes    No
 
Favorable            66%    66%    65%    70%    59%    67%    77%    72%    65%
Unfavorable          20     21     19     18     24     19     15     22     19
Hvn't hrd enough     12     11     14     11     13     13      7      4     14
REFUSED               2      2      1      1      3      2      1      1      2
 
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...............................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            43%    68%    23%    41%    46%    40%    52%    20%
Unfavorable          39     18     58     40     40     38     34     51
Hvn't hrd enough     15     12     17     14     11     19     12     27
REFUSED               3      2      2      4      3      3      3      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS
                     Feb 08  Dec 21  Oct 11
                     2012    2011    2011
 
Favorable            43      37      38
Unfavorable          39      27      29
Hvn't hrd enough     15      33      31
REFUSED               3       3       2
 
 
7. Is your opinion of - Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS..........................
                                                        WhtBrnAgnEv   TEA PARTY
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No     Yes    No
 
Favorable            46%    51%    40%    56%    34%    54%    52%    71%    36%
Unfavorable          40     36     44     32     51     34     37     22     48
Hvn't hrd enough     13     11     15     12     11     10     10      6     14
REFUSED               2      2      1      -      4      1      1      -      2
 
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...............................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            28%    51%     7%    27%    35%    22%    33%    12%
Unfavorable          56     35     78     58     54     57     54     61
Hvn't hrd enough     15     12     14     13      9     19     11     26
REFUSED               2      2      -      2      2      1      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS
                     Feb 08  Dec 21
                     2012    2011
 
Favorable            28      29%
Unfavorable          56      45
Hvn't hrd enough     15      23
REFUSED               2       3
 
 
8. Is your opinion of - Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS..........................
                                                        WhtBrnAgnEv   TEA PARTY
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No     Yes    No
 
Favorable            52%    55%    48%    65%    40%    63%    58%    69%    47%
Unfavorable          15     20     10      8     24      9     11      9     18
Hvn't hrd enough     33     24     42     27     36     28     31     23     35
REFUSED               -      -      -      -      -      -      1      -      -
 
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...............................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            32%    56%    12%    31%    38%    28%    39%    15%
Unfavorable          28      8     50     30     32     25     25     36
Hvn't hrd enough     38     35     38     38     30     46     35     50
REFUSED               1      1      -      1      1      1      1      -
 
 
9. Is your opinion of - Ron Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS..........................
                                                        WhtBrnAgnEv   TEA PARTY
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No     Yes    No
 
Favorable            38%    45%    31%    37%    40%    29%    43%    45%    36%
Unfavorable          35     36     35     40     27     39     39     38     36
Hvn't hrd enough     25     18     31     20     30     28     17     17     26
REFUSED               2      1      3      2      3      4      1      1      2
 
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...............................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            34%    35%    26%    42%    42%    27%    36%    25%
Unfavorable          33     35     43     26     34     33     34     32
Hvn't hrd enough     30     26     30     30     21     38     27     41
REFUSED               2      3      1      2      2      2      2      2
 
 
10. Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            50%     7%    94%    51%    45%    55%    40%    93%
Unfavorable          47     90      5     46     52     42     58      6
Hvn't hrd enough      1      2      1      1      1      1      1      1
REFUSED               2      1      -      3      1      2      2      -
 
                     WHITE..................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                 WhtBrnAgnEv   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            49%    33%    31%    36%    24%    41%    54%    50%    48%
Unfavorable          49     64     67     63     74     57     42     47     49
Hvn't hrd enough      1      1      1      -      1      1      1      1      2
REFUSED               1      2      1      -      2      1      3      1      1
 
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Favorable            54%    48%    59%    49%    49%    47%
Unfavorable          44     49     39     47     49     51
Hvn't hrd enough      1      2      1      1      1      1
REFUSED               2      1      1      3      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS
                     Feb 08  Dec 21  Oct 11
                     2012    2011    2011
 
Favorable            50      45      45
Unfavorable          47      47      49
Hvn't hrd enough      1       3       2
REFUSED               2       4       3
 
 
11. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More                 31%    43%    32%    23%    34%    29%    30%    40%
Less                 23     15     15     34     20     25     24     10
About the same       46     42     53     42     46     46     46     49
DK/NA                 1      1      -      1      1      1      1      1
 
                     WHITE..................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                 WhtBrnAgnEv   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+
 
More                 28%    31%    32%    35%    33%    30%    26%    31%    35%
Less                 23     25     25     20     25     22     24     25     19
About the same       49     43     42     45     41     47     50     44     45
DK/NA                 -      1      1      -      1      1      1      -      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
More                 29%    32%    24%    35%    31%    32%
Less                 23     22     21     21     26     23
About the same       47     45     55     42     43     44
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      -      1
 
TREND: Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election")
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS
                     Feb 08  Dec 21  Oct 11
                     2012    2011    2011
 
More                 31      30      35
Less                 23      23      20
About the same       46      46      44
DK/NA                 1       1       1
 
 
12. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were George Allen the Republican and Tim Kaine the Democrat, for whom would you vote?
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Allen                44%    89%     4%    40%    49%    39%    53%    10%
Kaine                45      5     90     44     42     47     36     80
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      1      1      -      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      1      1      4      3      1      2      2
DK/NA(VOL)            9      5      5     12      6     11      8      8
 
                     WHITE..................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                 WhtBrnAgnEv   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+
 
Allen                45%    59%    62%    55%    71%    51%    38%    43%    49%
Kaine                47     29     28     36     20     40     48     47     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      1      -      -      1      -      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      2      2      -      2      1      5      2      -
DK/NA(VOL)            7      9      8      8      7      8      9      8      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Allen                38%    47%    38%    38%    48%    46%
Kaine                53     40     49     47     43     44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      -      1      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      3      3      4      1      1
DK/NA(VOL)            7     10     10      9      7      8
 
TREND: If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were George Allen the Republican and Tim Kaine the Democrat, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election")
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS.................
                     Feb 08  Dec 21  Oct 11  Sep 15  Jun 30
                     2012    2011    2011    2011    2011
 
Allen                44      44      44      45      42
Kaine                45      42      45      44      43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       1       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       2       1       1       2
DK/NA(VOL)            9      12       9       9      11
 
 
13. Is your opinion of - George Allen favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...............................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            42%    78%     9%    42%    47%    38%    51%    18%
Unfavorable          29      4     59     27     30     28     26     43
Hvn't hrd enough     27     18     31     29     21     33     23     38
REFUSED               1      -      1      2      1      1      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of George Allen favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS
                     Feb 08  Dec 21  Oct 11
                     2012    2011    2011
 
Favorable            42      41      45
Unfavorable          29      27      28
Hvn't hrd enough     27      30      26
REFUSED               1       2       1
 
 
14. Is your opinion of - Tim Kaine favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...............................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            46%    15%    78%    45%    44%    47%    40%    73%
Unfavorable          29     58      4     24     33     25     35      6
Hvn't hrd enough     25     26     17     28     22     27     24     20
REFUSED               1      1      -      3      2      1      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Tim Kaine favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS
                     Feb 08  Dec 21  Oct 11
                     2012    2011    2011
 
Favorable            46      42      47
Unfavorable          29      27      29
Hvn't hrd enough     25      28      23
REFUSED               1       2       1
 
 
19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              46%     7%    91%    43%    41%    51%    36%    87%
Disapprove           49     89      5     50     55     44     60      5
DK/NA                 5      3      4      6      4      6      4      7
 
                     WHITE..................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                 WhtBrnAgnEv   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              46%    30%    28%    34%    20%    39%    50%    47%    45%
Disapprove           50     67     68     64     76     59     44     48     52
DK/NA                 4      4      4      2      4      2      6      4      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Approve              51%    44%    56%    45%    45%    44%
Disapprove           45     51     40     50     49     53
DK/NA                 4      5      3      5      6      3
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS.................
                     Feb 08  Dec 21  Oct 11  Sep 15  Jun 30
                     2012    2011    2011    2011    2011
 
Approve              46      42      45      40      48
Disapprove           49      51      52      54      48
DK/NA                 5       7       3       6       4
 
 
22. Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes/Deserves         46%     6%    94%    43%    40%    51%    34%    89%
No/Does not          48     92      5     48     54     44     60      6
DK/NA                 5      2      2      9      6      5      5      5
 
                     WHITE..................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                 WhtBrnAgnEv   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes/Deserves         45%    28%    27%    31%    19%    37%    51%    46%    44%
No/Does not          51     66     69     66     77     59     43     48     51
DK/NA                 4      6      5      2      4      5      6      6      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes/Deserves         50%    44%    58%    46%    44%    41%
No/Does not          46     50     40     47     52     54
DK/NA                 4      6      2      7      5      5
 
TREND: Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS.................
                     Feb 08  Dec 21  Oct 11  Sep 15  Jun 30
                     2012    2011    2011    2011    2011
 
Yes/Deserves         46      41      44      41      47
No/Does not          48      53      51      51      47
DK/NA                 5       6       5       8       6
 
 
23. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or - Mitt Romney?
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...............................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                44%     7%    89%    39%    39%    48%    32%    86%
Romney               47     87      8     48     52     42     58      7
DK/NA                 9      6      4     13      8     11     10      7
 
                     WHITE..................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                 WhtBrnAgnEv   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                42%    26%    23%    28%    16%    34%    47%    45%    41%
Romney               50     63     67     65     76     57     43     46     50
DK/NA                 7     11     10      7      8      9      9      9      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Obama                48%    41%    53%    44%    42%    41%
Romney               44     48     41     45     48     51
DK/NA                 8     10      6     11     10      8
 
TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS
                     Feb 08  Dec 21
                     2012    2011
 
Obama                44      41%
Romney               47      46
DK/NA                 9      13
 
 
24. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or - Newt Gingrich?
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                49%     9%    94%    47%    45%    53%    38%    89%
Gingrich             41     81      3     39     46     36     51      4
DK/NA                10     10      3     14      9     12     11      7
 
                     WHITE..................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                 WhtBrnAgnEv   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                49%    31%    29%    32%    21%    40%    50%    50%    47%
Gingrich             43     56     61     57     68     50     36     40     44
DK/NA                 8     13     11     11     11     11     14      9      9
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Obama                54%    46%    57%    49%    48%    45%
Gingrich             38     42     32     40     43     47
DK/NA                 7     12     11     11      9      8
 
TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Newt Gingrich?
                     ALL REGISTERED VOTERS
                     Feb 08  Dec 21
                     2012    2011
 
Obama                49      43%
Gingrich             41      45
DK/NA                10      12
 
 

Demographic Summary