July 18, 2012 - More Virginia Voters Back Out-And-In UVA President, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Want Arizona-Type Immigration Law Almost 2-1

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While most Virginia voters don't seem to be following the dispute, University of Virginia President Theresa Sullivan, PhD, emerged from her firing and rehiring as the public relations winner, as Board of Visitors Rector Helen Dragas, who led the effort to dump her, comes up short in the court of public opinion, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Virginia voters approve 47 - 7 percent of the decision to reinstate Dr. Sullivan as UVA president, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. By 27 - 3 percent, with 68 percent who haven't heard enough about her, Virginia voters have a favorable opinion of Sullivan while by 21 - 5 percent, with 72 percent who haven't heard enough, they have an unfavorable view of Ms. Dragas.

Gov. Bob McDonnell gets a 37 - 16 percent approval rating for his handling of the UVA situation. Only 26 percent approve of his decision to reappoint Ms. Dragas as head of the school's Board of Visitors, while 23 percent disapprove, with 51 percent undecided.

The public's view of the Charlottesville school has remained largely unaffected by the controversy, with 70 percent of registered votes saying it has not affected their view of the state's flagship university.

"The UVA leadership soap opera played out with little impact on Virginia voters. Among the voters who followed the drama, there was a public relations winner, Dr. Theresa Sullivan, and a loser, Helen Dragas," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling institute. "But for the most part the public's view of UVA remains unchanged. Gov. Bob McDonnell also emerged from the whole thing as a public relations winner for his handling of the controversy."

The UVA controversy, however, had little impact on Gov. McDonnell's overall standing with voters: His 55 - 29 percent overall job approval rating is virtually unchanged from the 53 - 30 percent rating June 6, before the UVA controversy erupted.

On another matter, Virginia voters say 62 - 34 percent they would favor a law similar to the one in Arizona that would require police to verify the legal status of someone they have already stopped or arrested if they suspect that the person is in the country illegally. The partisan split on this issue is mammoth with 91 percent of Republicans, 59 percent of independent voters and 35 percent of Democrats favoring such a law.

By 53 - 40 percent, however, voters support President Barack Obama's policy in which young illegal immigrants who came to the country as children will be able to obtain work permits and not face deportation. That issue, too, has a partisan split, with 80 percent of Democrats, 54 percent of independent voters and 28 percent of Republicans backing the policy.

"Virginians, like voters nationally, have mixed feelings about immigration policy. They like President Barack Obama's decision to exempt some younger illegal immigrants from deportation. Yet, by almost two-to-one they would like the Virginia legislature to pass a law similar to the one in Arizona that the Supreme Court recently upheld," said Brown.

Job approval ratings for other statewide elected officials are:
  • U.S. Sen. Mark Warner, 57 - 24 percent;
  • U.S. Sen. Jim Webb, 43 - 30 percent;
  • Lt. Gov. Gov. Bill Bolling, 36 - 19 percent;
  • Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli, 44 - 31 percent,
  • The State Legislature, split 41 - 41 percent.
From July 10 - 16, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,673 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob McDonnell is handling his job as Governor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              55%    82%    32%    54%    60%    50%    61%    29%
Disapprove           29      6     49     29     28     29     22     52
DK/NA                17     12     20     17     12     21     16     19
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Approve              59%    63%    66%    67%    66%    57%    69%    61%    56%
Disapprove           30     18     18     21     22     22     12     25     29
DK/NA                11     20     16     12     11     21     19     14     15
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              53%    56%    47%    53%    59%    60%    48%    57%    57%
Disapprove           35     25     28     30     26     30     34     28     26
DK/NA                12     20     24     17     15     10     17     15     18
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob McDonnell is handling his job as Governor? (*Low also 53% Mar 2012)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 18  Jun 06  Mar 21  Feb 09  Dec 22  Oct 12  Jun 06
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2011    2012*
 
Approve              55      53      53      58      57      62      53
Disapprove           29      30      32      24      21      22      30
DK/NA                17      17      14      18      22      16      17
 
 
10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              41%    62%    25%    37%    46%    36%    45%    23%
Disapprove           41     18     56     49     39     44     36     61
DK/NA                18     20     19     14     15     21     20     16
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              41%    40%    37%    35%    42%    47%    37%    42%    42%
Disapprove           47     38     41     44     40     43     48     42     36
DK/NA                12     21     21     21     18     11     15     16     22
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? (*High also 48% Jun 2011)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 18  Jun 06  Mar 21  Feb 09  Dec 22  Sep 14  Mar 21
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2011*   2012
 
Approve              41      41      38      47      46      48      38
Disapprove           41      44      47      37      36      34      47
DK/NA                18      16      15      17      18      18      15
 
 
11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Warner is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              57%    50%    70%    55%    55%    59%    57%    64%
Disapprove           24     33     14     24     27     21     24     16
DK/NA                19     18     16     21     18     20     19     20
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              62%    54%    60%    54%    54%    62%    57%    56%    60%
Disapprove           21     25     24     23     23     24     20     26     23
DK/NA                17     21     15     22     23     14     22     18     17
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Warner is handling his job as United States Senator? (*High also 64% Sep 2011, **Low also 57% Jun 2011)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 18  Jun 06  Mar 21  Feb 09  Dec 22  Feb 09  Jul 18  
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2012*   2012**    
                                                                             
Approve              57      60      62      64      62      64      57      
Disapprove           24      21      23      22      23      22      24      
DK/NA                19      19      16      14      16      14      19      
 
 
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jim Webb is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              43%    35%    57%    42%    44%    43%    43%    51%
Disapprove           30     41     19     30     34     27     30     22
DK/NA                26     25     24     28     22     31     27     27
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              51%    39%    42%    39%    42%    47%    38%    43%    46%
Disapprove           29     31     29     28     31     34     30     31     30
DK/NA                20     31     29     33     27     19     32     26     24
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jim Webb is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 18  Jun 06  Mar 21  Feb 09  Dec 22  Feb 09  Jul 18  
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2012    2012    
                                                                             
Approve              43      48      49      52      48      52      43      
Disapprove           30      26      28      26      29      26      30      
DK/NA                26      25      23      22      23      22      26      
 
 
14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Bolling is handling his job as Lieutenant Governor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              36%    50%    22%    36%    41%    30%    39%    26%
Disapprove           19      9     31     19     15     23     17     29
DK/NA                45     41     47     45     43     47     45     45
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              36%    36%    36%    36%    34%    36%    37%    34%    35%
Disapprove           26     15     21     14     18     22     24     18     18
DK/NA                39     49     43     50     48     42     39     48     46
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Bolling is handling his job as Lieutenant Governor? (*High also 39% Jun 2011, **Low also 35% Oct 2011)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 18  Jun 06  Mar 21  Feb 09  Dec 22  Sep 14  Dec 22
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2011*   2011**
 
Approve              36      36      36      38      35      39      35
Disapprove           19      21      21      19      18      15      18
DK/NA                45      44      43      43      46      45      46
 
 
15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ken Cuccinelli is handling his job as Virginia Attorney General?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              44%    69%    23%    40%    49%    39%    46%    32%
Disapprove           31      9     52     33     30     32     28     43
DK/NA                25     22     25     27     21     29     25     25
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              43%    44%    40%    44%    46%    45%    38%    47%    45%
Disapprove           42     25     26     28     30     41     33     30     31
DK/NA                15     31     34     28     24     14     29     23     24
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ken Cuccinelli is handling his job as Virginia Attorney General?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 18  Jun 06  Mar 21  Feb 09  Dec 22  Jun 29  Jul 18  
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2011    2012    
                                                                             
Approve              44      46      45      46      47      49      44      
Disapprove           31      29      32      31      27      31      31      
DK/NA                25      25      23      23      26      20      25      
 
 
24. As you may know, the Obama administration has announced a new policy in which young illegal immigrants who came to the country as children will be able to obtain work permits and will not face deportation. Do you support or oppose this new policy?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Support              53%    28%    80%    54%    51%    56%    46%    82%
Oppose               40     64     15     40     43     37     47     15
DK/NA                 7      9      5      6      6      7      8      3
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Support              56%    40%    40%    48%    44%    48%    33%    49%    55%
Oppose               39     51     52     45     49     44     57     45     39
DK/NA                 5      9      9      7      7      8     10      6      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Support              61%    48%    52%    56%    52%    56%    61%    52%    50%
Oppose               34     44     44     34     42     40     33     43     41
DK/NA                 5      8      4     10      6      5      6      5      8
 
 
25. Does this new policy make you more likely to vote for Barack Obama for President, less likely to vote for Barack Obama for President, or doesn't it make a difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More likely          14%     3%    31%    12%    14%    15%    12%    25%
Less likely          28     56      3     25     29     28     35      3
No difference        56     41     64     61     57     55     52     71
DK/NA                 2      1      2      2      1      2      1      1
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
More likely          16%     9%     7%    13%    12%    12%     6%    12%    12%
Less likely          31     38     38     39     34     36     46     32     29
No difference        53     51     53     48     54     50     47     56     57
DK/NA                 -      2      1      -      1      2      2      -      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
More likely          17%    13%    15%    13%    15%    15%    25%    10%    12%
Less likely          26     30     29     24     33     29     20     28     32
No difference        57     55     55     60     52     55     54     60     54
DK/NA                 1      2      1      4      -      1      1      1      2
 
 
26. As you may know, in 2010 the state of Arizona passed a law that requires police to verify the legal status of someone they have already stopped or arrested if they suspect that the person is in the country illegally. Do you approve or disapprove of Arizona's immigration law?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              64%    92%    36%    63%    63%    65%    72%    39%
Disapprove           31      5     57     33     33     29     24     53
DK/NA                 5      3      7      4      4      5      4      8
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Approve              63%    77%    78%    75%    72%    71%    86%    68%    68%
Disapprove           34     18     18     23     25     24     10     28     28
DK/NA                 3      5      4      2      3      5      4      4      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              59%    68%    62%    64%    68%    62%    56%    68%    65%
Disapprove           38     27     28     30     30     37     40     28     28
DK/NA                 3      6     10      6      2      1      4      4      7
 
 
27. Would you want to see a similar law passed in Virginia, requiring police to verify legal status of someone they have already stopped or arrested if they suspect that the person is in the country illegally?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  62%    91%    35%    59%    60%    64%    70%    36%
No                   34      5     59     38     36     32     26     58
DK/NA                 4      3      6      3      5      4      4      6
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Yes                  58%    78%    76%    72%    70%    70%    86%    65%    65%
No                   39     19     19     26     27     26     10     31     31
DK/NA                 3      4      5      1      3      4      4      4      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  53%    67%    64%    64%    64%    59%    51%    65%    66%
No                   44     28     27     33     34     40     44     33     28
DK/NA                 4      5      9      3      2      2      4      3      6
 
 
28. Is your opinion of University of Virginia President Teresa Sullivan favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            27%    21%    34%    28%    26%    28%    26%    29%
Unfavorable           3      5      1      3      4      2      4      1
Hvn't hrd enough     68     73     64     67     68     68     68     69
REFUSED               1      1      1      2      1      2      2      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            38%    20%    16%    25%    28%    37%    23%    26%    31%
Unfavorable           5      2      3      2      2      4      3      3      4
Hvn't hrd enough     55     76     79     71     68     58     72     71     63
REFUSED               2      1      2      1      1      1      2      1      2
 
 
29. Is your opinion of University of Virginia governing board chairman Helen Dragas favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable             5%     6%     4%     5%     6%     4%     4%     4%
Unfavorable          21     15     25     24     22     20     23     16
Hvn't hrd enough     72     77     70     70     70     75     72     80
REFUSED               1      2      1      1      2      1      2      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable             5%     5%     3%     5%     5%     5%     6%     4%     5%
Unfavorable          36     13     11     15     21     34     20     20     24
Hvn't hrd enough     58     81     85     79     73     59     72     75     70
REFUSED               2      1      1      -      2      2      2      1      2
 
 
30. How closely have you been following news about the situation at the University of Virginia, which recently saw its president forced to resign by the school's governing board, only to be reinstated two weeks later after faculty and student protests? Would you say you have been following it very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not at all?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Very closely         11%     9%    14%    10%    11%    11%    12%     8%
Somewhat closely     28     26     28     30     27     28     29     26
Not too closely      29     31     28     27     29     29     29     30
Not at all           32     33     29     32     32     32     30     36
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      1      1      1      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Very closely         19%     6%     5%     9%    10%    17%     4%     9%    16%
Somewhat closely     35     23     21     32     29     30     28     26     30
Not too closely      24     32     34     28     29     26     31     29     27
Not at all           21     38     38     29     31     26     37     36     25
DK/NA                 1      1      1      2      -      1      -      1      1
 
 
31. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Governor Bob McDonnell has handled this situation at the University of Virginia?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              37%    44%    33%    37%    42%    33%    40%    27%
Disapprove           16      7     24     16     12     19     14     22
DK/NA                47     49     43     47     46     48     46     50
Cont'd
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              42%    34%    38%    37%    36%    41%    29%    34%    45%
Disapprove           18     14     14     17     17     17     20     15     15
DK/NA                39     52     48     47     47     42     51     52     41
 
 
32. Has this situation at the University of Virginia made you think more favorably of the University of Virginia, less favorably of the University of Virginia, or hasn't it affected your opinion of the University of Virginia?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More favorably        6%     5%     6%     7%     7%     4%     5%     8%
Less favorably       14     11     16     14     15     12     15     12
Not affect opinion   70     74     70     69     69     71     70     70
DK/NA                11     11      9     11      9     12     10     11
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
More favorably        6%     6%     6%     8%     6%     5%     6%     4%     8%
Less favorably       19     10     12      9     14     18     16     14     12
Not affect opinion   68     71     68     70     72     71     71     71     68
DK/NA                 7     13     14     13      9      6      8     11     12
 
 
33. Do you approve or disapprove of the decision by the University of Virginia governing board to reinstate Teresa Sullivan as president?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              47%    38%    57%    47%    49%    46%    49%    47%
Disapprove            7      8      8      7      9      6      7      8
DK/NA                45     53     35     46     43     48     44     45
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              58%    41%    42%    51%    49%    54%    44%    45%    53%
Disapprove            7      8     10      9      5      7     11      7      6
DK/NA                35     52     48     40     46     39     45     49     42
 
 
34. Do you approve or disapprove of the decision by Governor Bob McDonnell to reappoint Helen Dragas to the University of Virginia's governing board?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              26%    31%    24%    26%    31%    22%    27%    25%
Disapprove           23     15     29     24     23     23     23     24
DK/NA                51     54     47     50     46     55     51     51
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              26%    27%    32%    28%    29%    24%    31%    24%    28%
Disapprove           33     17     16     22     22     31     22     23     23
DK/NA                42     56     52     50     49     45     47     53     49
 

Demographic Summary