July 19, 2012 - Romney Catches Obama In Virginia, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; U.S. Senate Race Remains Too Close To Call

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Republican challenger Mitt Romney wipes out President Barack Obama's lead in Virginia and the two candidates are deadlocked 44 - 44 percent in the race for the Old Dominion's 13 electoral votes, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to a 50 - 42 percent lead for President Obama in a March 20 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University and a 47 - 42 percent Obama lead June 7.

In the state's hotly-contested U.S. Senate race Republican George Allen has 46 percent to 44 percent for Democrat Tim Kaine.

By a narrow 47 - 44 percent, voters say Romney would do a better job on the economy. But voters support 59 - 36 percent Obama's call to raise income taxes on households making more than $250,000 per year. Support is strong among all income groups - except voters in households making more than $250,000 per year, where 48 percent support the idea and 51 percent oppose it.

In the presidential race, Romney takes Republicans 91 - 4 percent while Obama takes Democrats 92 - 4 percent. Independent voters are divided with 40 percent for Obama and 38 percent for Romney. The president leads 46 - 41 percent among women while Romney wins with men 46 - 42 percent. White voters go to Romney 55 - 33 percent while black voters back Obama 88 - 1 percent.

"Virginia voters are sharply split along gender and political lines about the presidential race. The two candidates equally hold their own political bases and are splitting the key independent vote down the middle," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"One small edge that President Barack Obama has is likability. Voters have a slightly more favorable opinion of the president than they do Gov. Mitt Romney."

"But neither man is exactly Mr. Popularity: Romney has a negative 39 - 42 percent favorability, compared to Obama's divided 46 - 48 percent. One of them is going to win the White House, but neither would get elected Prom King," Brown added.

Virginia voters disapprove 51 - 45 percent of the job Obama is doing and say 50 - 47 percent he does not deserves a second term in office.

In the U.S. Senate race, neither former governor has managed a lead outside the margin of error since Quinnipiac University began polling the race last year.

Today, Republicans back Allen 92 - 4 percent while Democrats back Kaine 87 - 5 percent. Independent voters go 44 percent for Kaine and 42 percent for Allen, a tie. Men back Allen 50 - 43 percent, while women are split with 45 percent for Kaine and 42 percent for Allen.

"The Senate race remains a dog fight and every indication is it will remain that way until November 6," said Brown. "Interestingly the vast majority of voters say their votes in the Senate race will be about the candidates themselves and have no relation to their feelings about the president."

Obama is not a factor in how they will vote for Senator, 61 percent of Virginia voters say, while 15 percent say their Senate choice is a vote for the president and 19 percent say they are voting against the president.

Allen has a 43 - 28 percent favorability rating while Kaine has a 43 - 34 percent favorability.

Virginia voters are split 47 - 47 percent on whether they agree with the Supreme Court's decision upholding the president's health care plan. But by 50 - 43 percent they want Congress to repeal the law.

The court's health care decision will not affect their vote for president, 63 percent of voters say. Another 25 percent say it will make them less likely to back the president's re- election, while 10 percent say more likely.

From July 10 - 16, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,673 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                44%     4%    92%    40%    42%    46%    33%    88%
Romney               44     91      4     38     46     41     55      1
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      -      3      2      2      2      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      1      1      3      2      2      2      1
DK/NA                 8      4      3     15      8      9      7      9
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Obama                41%    29%    24%    32%    33%    34%    15%    38%    46%
Romney               51     57     62     57     57     53     69     53     45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      2      2      2      2      2      3      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      3      2      4      2      2      2      2      2
DK/NA                 4      9      9      4      6      9     10      6      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                47%    42%    50%    46%    39%    44%    54%    40%    42%
Romney               43     44     35     41     49     49     34     47     46
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      2      2      2      2      1      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      2      2      1      2      1      1      3      1
DK/NA                 6     10     12     10      8      4      9      8      8
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election")
                     Jul 19  Jun 07  Mar 20  Feb 08  Dec 21  Oct 11  Sep 15
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2011    2011
 
Obama                44      47      50      47      42      44      42
Romney               44      42      42      43      44      45      44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       3       1       1       3       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       2       4       3       3       3       2
DK/NA                 8       6       3       5       7       7       9
 
 
2. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            39%    78%     7%    33%    42%    36%    48%     4%
Unfavorable          42      9     77     42     41     44     34     73
Hvn't hrd enough     16     11     14     20     14     19     15     20
REFUSED               3      1      2      4      4      2      2      3
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Favorable            50%    46%    54%    52%    51%    45%    55%    48%    39%
Unfavorable          39     31     28     38     34     35     22     37     46
Hvn't hrd enough      9     19     15     10     12     19     21     12     12
REFUSED               1      3      3      -      4      1      2      3      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            42%    37%    28%    37%    42%    46%    28%    43%    41%
Unfavorable          45     40     43     41     41     43     46     42     39
Hvn't hrd enough     11     20     27     20     13      9     23     14     15
REFUSED               2      3      2      3      4      2      3      1      4
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 19  Jun 07  Mar 20  Feb 08  Dec 21  Oct 11
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2011
 
Favorable            39      39      36      43      37      38
Unfavorable          42      37      43      39      27      29
Hvn't hrd enough     16      21      18      15      33      31
REFUSED               3       3       3       3       3       2
 
 
3. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            46%     7%    93%    42%    43%    48%    34%    92%
Unfavorable          48     88      4     48     50     46     59      5
Hvn't hrd enough      3      3      1      5      3      4      4      1
REFUSED               3      1      2      5      4      2      3      3
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Favorable            42%    29%    26%    34%    32%    37%    18%    38%    46%
Unfavorable          53     63     66     62     61     56     74     56     49
Hvn't hrd enough      2      5      4      3      4      4      6      2      3
REFUSED               3      3      3      1      4      2      2      4      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            49%    44%    51%    49%    38%    47%    53%    43%    44%
Unfavorable          46     49     41     48     55     49     40     52     49
Hvn't hrd enough      3      4      4      3      4      2      3      3      4
REFUSED               3      3      5      -      3      2      4      2      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 19  Jun 07  Mar 20  Feb 08  Dec 21  Oct 11
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2011
 
Favorable            46      50      51      50      45      45
Unfavorable          48      44      44      47      47      49
Hvn't hrd enough      3       4       3       1       3       2
REFUSED               3       2       2       2       4       3
 
 
4. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More                 38%    46%    38%    35%    41%    36%    36%    46%
Less                 24     20     18     30     21     27     27     15
About the same       37     33     43     35     37     36     36     39
DK/NA                 1      1      -      1      1      1      1      -
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
More                 37%    36%    36%    39%    39%    33%    35%    36%    44%
Less                 24     29     27     24     24     30     31     24     23
About the same       39     34     37     34     36     36     34     38     33
DK/NA                 1      1      1      2      -      1      1      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
More                 37%    39%    32%    35%    37%    45%    30%    43%    39%
Less                 23     25     29     28     25     19     30     22     23
About the same       39     35     38     36     37     36     40     34     38
DK/NA                 1      1      2      1      1      -      1      1      -
 
TREND: Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election")
                     Jul 19  Jun 07  Mar 20  Feb 08  Dec 21  Oct 11
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2011
 
More                 38      31      33      31      30      35
Less                 24      25      25      23      23      20
About the same       37      44      41      46      46      44
DK/NA                 1       -       1       1       1       1
 
 
5. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were George Allen the Republican and Tim Kaine the Democrat, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Allen                46%    92%     5%    42%    50%    42%    57%     3%
Kaine                44      4     87     44     43     45     33     86
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      1      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -      -      2      1      1      1      1
DK/NA                 9      4      8     11      6     12      8      9
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Allen                44%    47%    33%    41%    51%    51%    33%    47%    52%
Kaine                50     40     53     47     38     45     53     41     42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      -      1      1      1      -      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      -      -      2      -      2      1      1
DK/NA                 6     11     14     10      8      3     13     10      5
 
TREND: If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were George Allen the Republican and Tim Kaine the Democrat, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election")
                                                             ALLEN.........
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 19  Jun 06  Mar 20  Feb 08  Dec 21  Jul 19  Jun 30
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2012    2011
 
Allen                46      43      44      44      44      46      42
Kaine                44      44      47      45      42      44      43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       2       1       1       1       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1       2       1       2       2       1       2
DK/NA(VOL)            9      10       8       9      12       9      11
 
 
6. Do you think of your vote for United States Senator as a vote for Barack Obama, or as a vote against Barack Obama, or isn't Barack Obama much of a factor in your vote for United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
For Obama            15%     1%    37%    11%    13%    17%     8%    48%
Against Obama        19     40      1     15     20     17     23      1
Obama not a factor   61     54     57     68     62     60     65     44
DK/NA                 5      4      5      6      5      6      4      7
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
For Obama             7%     8%     4%     8%     6%    10%     5%     6%    11%
Against Obama        17     27     27     21     24     22     31     21     18
Obama not a factor   74     59     64     65     66     63     60     69     65
DK/NA                 2      6      5      6      3      6      5      4      7
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
For Obama            10%    18%    25%    19%    12%     9%    23%    11%    14%
Against Obama        14     21     15     19     23     17     14     17     23
Obama not a factor   73     53     52     57     62     72     59     67     57
DK/NA                 2      7      9      5      3      1      4      4      7
 
 
7. Is your opinion of George Allen favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            43%    81%    10%    39%    47%    39%    52%     9%
Unfavorable          28      3     53     28     30     27     23     50
Hvn't hrd enough     27     15     35     30     21     33     23     39
REFUSED               2      1      2      2      2      1      1      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            41%    44%    32%    38%    49%    48%    32%    45%    48%
Unfavorable          38     22     25     29     24     35     18     29     32
Hvn't hrd enough     20     32     42     32     26     16     48     25     17
REFUSED               1      2      2      1      2      1      2      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of George Allen favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 19  Jun 06  Mar 20  Feb 08  Dec 21  Oct 11
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2011
 
Favorable            43      41      41      42      41      45
Unfavorable          28      27      26      29      27      28
Hvn't hrd enough     27      31      32      27      30      26
REFUSED               2       1       1       1       2       1
 
 
8. Is your opinion of Tim Kaine favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            43%    14%    75%    42%    43%    44%    36%    76%
Unfavorable          34     63      5     34     38     30     40      6
Hvn't hrd enough     21     22     19     22     17     25     23     17
REFUSED               2      1      1      2      2      1      2      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            51%    39%    48%    41%    38%    47%    46%    43%    43%
Unfavorable          31     36     27     38     35     35     27     34     38
Hvn't hrd enough     17     24     24     20     26     15     26     22     17
REFUSED               1      2      1      1      1      2      1      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Tim Kaine favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Jul 19  Jun 06  Mar 20  Feb 08  Dec 21  Oct 11
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2011
 
Favorable            43      44      48      46      42      47
Unfavorable          34      28      29      29      27      29
Hvn't hrd enough     21      26      23      25      28      23
REFUSED               2       2       1       1       2       1
 
 
13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              45%     6%    90%    42%    43%    46%    33%    93%
Disapprove           51     92      7     53     54     49     62      4
DK/NA                 4      2      3      5      3      4      4      2
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Approve              40%    29%    25%    32%    33%    34%    16%    36%    46%
Disapprove           57     66     71     67     64     61     77     60     52
DK/NA                 3      5      5      2      3      5      6      4      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              47%    44%    50%    51%    40%    43%    57%    40%    42%
Disapprove           50     52     44     48     57     54     42     55     53
DK/NA                 3      4      6      1      3      3      1      4      4
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 19  Jun 07  Mar 20  Feb 08  Dec 21  Mar 20  Sep 15
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2012    2011
 
Approve              45      48      49      46      42      49      40
Disapprove           51      47      47      49      51      47      54
DK/NA                 4       5       4       5       7       4       6
 
 
16. Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes/Deserves         47%     5%    94%    45%    45%    49%    35%    96%
No/Does not          50     93      5     49     52     47     62      2
DK/NA                 3      2      1      6      3      4      4      2
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Yes/Deserves         42%    31%    25%    32%    34%    35%    17%    38%    47%
No/Does not          57     65     71     67     63     61     77     60     51
DK/NA                 2      5      4      1      3      4      6      2      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes/Deserves         50%    45%    52%    50%    41%    48%    57%    44%    44%
No/Does not          48     51     44     47     55     51     40     53     52
DK/NA                 3      4      4      4      4      2      3      3      4
 
TREND: Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? (*High also 49% Mar 2012, **Low also 41% Sep 2011)
                                                             YES/DESERVES..
                                                             High    Low
                     Jul 19  Jun 07  Mar 20  Feb 08  Dec 21  Jun 07  Dec 21
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2012*   2011**
 
Yes/Deserves         47      49      49      46      41      49      41
No/Does not          50      47      47      48      53      47      53
DK/NA                 3       5       4       5       6       5       6
 
 
17. Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  54%    19%    94%    54%    53%    55%    45%    95%
No                   43     79      5     42     44     42     52      4
DK/NA                 3      2      1      4      3      3      3      1
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Yes                  54%    39%    37%    42%    46%    44%    27%    49%    55%
No                   44     58     60     58     52     52     69     49     41
DK/NA                 2      4      3      -      2      3      4      2      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  61%    51%    54%    57%    53%    55%    65%    53%    49%
No                   37     46     43     40     45     43     33     44     47
DK/NA                 2      3      3      3      2      2      2      3      4
 
 
18. Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  42%    79%    13%    36%    43%    40%    50%     8%
No                   50     15     80     55     50     51     42     83
DK/NA                 8      6      7      9      8      9      8      8
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Yes                  53%    48%    56%    48%    52%    49%    57%    49%    41%
No                   40     43     37     45     42     42     31     45     51
DK/NA                 7      9      8      7      6     10     11      7      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  46%    39%    33%    39%    42%    48%    34%    46%    42%
No                   47     52     57     54     48     48     58     48     47
DK/NA                 7      9     10      7     10      4      7      6     11
 
 
19. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                44%     4%    89%    41%    42%    46%    33%    91%
Romney               47     92      5     45     50     45     59      3
DK/NA                 9      4      5     14      8      9      9      6
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Obama                39%    29%    24%    31%    32%    33%    16%    36%    46%
Romney               56     60     66     65     61     57     72     57     48
DK/NA                 6     11      9      4      7     10     11      7      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                46%    43%    52%    48%    38%    44%    55%    39%    42%
Romney               48     47     36     43     54     52     37     52     49
DK/NA                 6     10     12     10      8      4      8      9      9
 
TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     Jul 19  Jun 07  Mar 20  Feb 08  Dec 21
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011
 
Obama                44      44      47      44      41
Romney               47      46      45      47      46
DK/NA                 9      11       8       9      13
 
 
20. In order to reduce the federal budget deficit, do you support or oppose raising income taxes on households making more than $250,000 per year?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Support              59%    33%    85%    60%    54%    65%    55%    80%
Oppose               36     62     13     34     42     31     41     16
DK/NA                 4      5      2      6      5      4      4      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME.........
                     Yes    No     <30K  30-50  50-100 100-250 >250
 
Support              61%    58%    67%    66%    55%    62%    48%
Oppose               37     36     28     26     42     36     51
DK/NA                 2      6      5      7      2      2      1
 
 
21. Do you think Congress should try to repeal the health care law, or should they let it stand?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Repeal it            50%    87%    11%    51%    54%    47%    61%     8%
Let it stand         43      9     81     42     42     45     33     85
DK/NA                 6      4      8      6      4      8      6      8
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Repeal it            54%    65%    69%    58%    63%    58%    76%    58%    52%
Let it stand         42     27     24     39     34     33     16     36     43
DK/NA                 3      8      7      3      3      9      7      6      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Repeal it            46%    53%    47%    45%    57%    51%    48%    53%    49%
Let it stand         51     39     42     46     39     46     46     42     43
DK/NA                 3      8     11      9      4      3      6      5      8
 
TREND: Do you think Congress should try to repeal the health care law, or should they let it stand? (2011 wording referenced "new health care law")
                     Jul 19  Oct 11  Sep 15  Jun 30
                     2012    2011    2011    2011
 
Repeal it            50      50      51      49
Let it stand         43      41      38      42
DK/NA                 6       9      11       9
 
 
22. The Supreme Court has heard a challenge to the health care law and voted to uphold it. Do you agree or disagree with the Supreme Court decision to uphold the health care law?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Agree                47%    11%    82%    50%    47%    47%    38%    84%
Disagree             47     83     11     46     47     47     57      8
DK/NA                 6      6      7      4      6      6      5      8
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Agree                49%    31%    30%    40%    40%    37%    21%    41%    49%
Disagree             47     63     64     57     56     57     72     55     47
DK/NA                 4      6      6      3      4      6      6      4      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Agree                57%    41%    42%    47%    44%    54%    51%    44%    47%
Disagree             40     52     48     45     52     43     43     51     47
DK/NA                 4      7     10      7      5      3      7      6      6
 
 
23. Does this Supreme Court decision make you more likely to vote for Barack Obama for President, less likely to vote for Barack Obama for President, or doesn't it make a difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More likely          10%     1%    20%     9%     9%    11%     7%    24%
Less likely          25     48      3     22     23     27     31      -
No difference        63     49     74     66     67     59     60     75
DK/NA                 2      2      3      2      2      3      2      1
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
More likely           5%     8%     4%     7%     6%     8%     5%     7%     8%
Less likely          25     35     35     33     27     35     42     27     25
No difference        69     53     58     59     65     54     49     66     65
DK/NA                 -      4      3      1      1      3      4      1      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
More likely           7%    12%    15%    12%     6%     9%    17%     8%     8%
Less likely          21     27     22     28     26     24     19     25     28
No difference        72     58     59     57     67     66     64     65     61
DK/NA                 -      3      4      3      1      1      -      2      3
 

Demographic Summary