November 15, 2012 - Women, Young Voters Like Virginia's Republican Gov, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Year-Round School Is A Bad Idea, Voters Say

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Virginia voters, including women and young voters, give Republican Gov. Bob McDonnell, a 53 - 26 percent job approval rating, one of the highest scores in any of the seven states surveyed by Quinnipiac University, according to a poll released today.

Women approve of Gov. McDonnell 48 - 26 percent, while men approve 59 - 27 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University survey finds. White voters approve 58 - 25 percent while black voters approve 41 - 32 percent.

Voters 18 to 34 years old approve 48 - 24 percent.

The only group that disapproves is Democrats, by a fairly narrow 43 - 34 percent.

"As Gov. Bob McDonnell enters his final year in office, he remains one of the nation's more popular chief state executives," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "He is the only Republican office-holder in the seven states surveyed by Quinnipiac University who get positive ratings from women, almost 2-1 in this case, and a plus score from black voters. A 2-1 approval rating among young voters doesn't hurt."

"Are national GOP leaders paying attention here?"

Every group except Democrats also has a favorable opinion of McDonnell.

Virginia voters are divided on lifting the ban on uranium mining in the state, as 42 percent support mining because of economic benefits, while 40 percent oppose mining because of environmental concerns.

Republicans support mining, 69 - 19 percent. Among independent voters, 41 percent support mining, with 38 percent opposed. Democrats are opposed, 60 - 22 percent. There is a large gender gap as men support mining 52 - 34 percent, while women oppose it 46 - 33 percent.

Virginia voters say 51 - 43 percent that requiring year-round public schools is a bad idea. There is little partisan or gender difference on this issue, but independent voters support the idea by a narrow 48 - 44 percent. Voters with children in public schools are divided, with 50 percent in favor of more school and 47 percent opposed. Voters with college degrees support year-round school 50 - 44 percent;

By a 49 - 42 percent margin, voters say it should be easier to fire public school teachers. Support is 63 - 31 percent among Republicans and 54 - 37 percent among independent voters. Democrats are opposed 60 - 31 percent. Men want firing made easier, 55 - 38 percent, while women are divided, with 43 percent in favor of easier firing and 46 percent opposed.

A total of 92 percent of Virginia voters say it is "very important" or "somewhat important" to improve roads and highways. But there are mixed opinions on where to find the money to make the improvements.

Voters oppose 57 - 38 percent putting tolls on parts of Interstate 95 in the Commonwealth to pay for road repairs.

Given a choice, however, between tolls or a higher gas tax, voters prefer tolls 56 - 32 percent. Support for tolls over a gas tax hike is strong among all groups, except voters in the southeast part of the Commonwealth, where 46 percent prefer tolls and 42 percent prefer higher gas taxes.

"There is broad public support for the idea of state action to improve the state's roads and highways, but not on how such projects should be funded," said Brown.

Privatizing operations at Virginia's ports is a bad idea, voters say 40 - 34 percent.

From November 8 - 12, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,469 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

9. Is your opinion of Bob McDonnell favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            42%    66%    19%    45%    48%    36%    48%    29%
Unfavorable          22      7     37     21     24     20     22     23
Hvn't hrd enough     34     25     42     31     26     40     29     42
REFUSED               2      2      2      3      2      3      2      6
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Bob McDonnell favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Nov 15  Jun 07
                     2012    2012
 
Favorable            42      39
Unfavorable          22      25
Hvn't hrd enough     34      35
REFUSED               2       2
 
 
10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob McDonnell is handling his job as Governor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              53%    74%    34%    58%    59%    48%    58%    41%
Disapprove           26     10     43     23     27     26     25     32
DK/NA                20     16     23     19     14     26     17     27
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   POL PHIL.........    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     Lib    Mod    Con    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              50%    55%    32%    48%    72%    48%    55%    56%
Disapprove           38     20     48     30     11     24     27     28
DK/NA                13     25     20     21     17     27     18     16
 
                     AREA........................
                                   East/  West/
                     North  SthEst Rchmnd Shndoah
 
Approve              49%    49%    56%    57%
Disapprove           31     25     25     25
DK/NA                20     26     19     17
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob McDonnell is handling his job as Governor? (*Low also 53% Mar 2012, Jun 2012)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Nov 15  Jul 18  Jun 06  Mar 21  Feb 09  Oct 12  Nov 15
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2012*
 
Approve              53      55      53      53      58      62      53
Disapprove           26      29      30      32      24      22      26
DK/NA                20      17      17      14      18      16      20
 
 
11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              44%    59%    35%    43%    46%    42%    46%    38%
Disapprove           35     23     45     35     36     34     35     39
DK/NA                21     18     20     22     18     23     19     23
 
                     AREA........................
                                   East/  West/
                     North  SthEst Rchmnd Shndoah
 
Approve              42%    46%    46%    42%
Disapprove           34     37     33     38
DK/NA                24     17     21     19
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? (*High also 48% Jun 2011)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Nov 15  Jul 18  Jun 06  Mar 21  Feb 09  Sep 14  Mar 21
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2011*   2012
 
Approve              44      41      41      38      47      48      38
Disapprove           35      41      44      47      37      34      47
DK/NA                21      18      16      15      17      18      15
 
 
17. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Virginia today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Very satisfied       10%    12%     6%    10%    11%     8%    10%     7%
Smwht satisfied      57     54     64     55     57     58     56     60
Smwht dissatisfied   22     17     22     22     20     23     23     20
Very dissatisfied    11     15      7     11     11     10     10     12
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      1      1      1      -
 
                     AREA........................
                                   East/  West/
                     North  SthEst Rchmnd Shndoah
 
Very satisfied        9%    10%    11%     6%
Smwht satisfied      61     55     57     54
Smwht dissatisfied   21     26     19     23
Very dissatisfied     8      9     12     15
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Virginia today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     Nov 15  Feb 09  Dec 22  Oct 12  Sep 14  Jun 29
                     2012    2012    2011    2011    2011    2011
 
Very satisfied       10      11      11      10      13      11
Smwht satisfied      57      55      53      56      55      57
Smwht dissatisfied   22      25      23      24      24      23
Very dissatisfied    11       9      11       9       7       8
DK/NA                 1       1       2       1       1       1
 
 
22. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob McDonnell is handling the state budget?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              51%    71%    32%    54%    58%    45%    56%    38%
Disapprove           27     13     39     27     26     27     25     38
DK/NA                22     17     28     19     16     28     19     25
 
                     AREA........................
                                   East/  West/
                     North  SthEst Rchmnd Shndoah
 
Approve              48%    48%    55%    52%
Disapprove           24     32     23     32
DK/NA                27     20     22     17
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob McDonnell is handling the state budget?
                     Nov 15  Feb 09  Dec 22  Oct 12  Sep 14  Jun 29
                     2012    2012    2011    2011    2011    2011
 
Approve              51      53      53      54      53      50
Disapprove           27      31      29      27      29      34
DK/NA                22      16      18      18      18      16
 
 
24. As you may know, there is a ban on mining uranium in Virginia. Some people say there should be mining for uranium because of the economic benefits. Others say there should not be mining for uranium because of the environmental impact. Which comes closer to your point of view?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Should be mining     42%    69%    22%    41%    52%    33%    48%    29%
Should not be mining 40     19     60     38     34     46     36     49
DK/NA                18     12     18     21     14     21     17     21
 
                     AREA........................
                                   East/  West/
                     North  SthEst Rchmnd Shndoah
 
Should be mining     36%    43%    45%    46%
Should not be mining 45     37     40     36
DK/NA                19     20     15     18
 
TREND: As you may know, there is a ban on mining uranium in Virginia. Some people say there should be mining for uranium because of the economic benefits. Others say there should not be mining for uranium because of the environmental impact. Which comes closer to your point of view?
                     Nov 15  Dec 22  Jun 29
                     2012    2011    2011
 
Should be mining     42      43      41
Should not be mining 40      41      41
DK/NA                18      16      18
 
 
25. The state is considering putting tolls on parts of Interstate 95 to help pay for road repairs. Do you think putting tolls on Interstate 95 to help pay for road repairs is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Good idea            38%    33%    41%    39%    38%    38%    39%    37%
Bad idea             57     62     55     55     59     56     55     60
DK/NA                 5      6      4      6      3      6      6      3
 
                     AREA........................
                                   East/  West/
                     North  SthEst Rchmnd Shndoah
 
Good idea            35%    30%    37%    53%
Bad idea             61     66     58     40
DK/NA                 4      4      5      7
 
TREND: The state is considering putting tolls on parts of Interstate 95 to help pay for road repairs. Do you think putting tolls on Interstate 95 to help pay for road repairs is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Nov 15  Oct 12
                     2012    2011
 
Good idea            38      42
Bad idea             57      52
DK/NA                 5       6
 
 
26. If you had to choose, would you rather have highway tolls or a higher gas tax to raise money for road improvement?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Highway tolls        56%    59%    54%    57%    51%    61%    56%    58%
A higher gas tax     32     26     37     33     38     27     34     28
DK/NA                12     15      8     10     11     12     10     14
 
                     AREA........................
                                   East/  West/
                     North  SthEst Rchmnd Shndoah
 
Highway tolls        52%    46%    59%    69%
A higher gas tax     38     42     28     21
DK/NA                10     12     13      9
 
TREND: If you had to choose, would you rather have highway tolls or a higher gas tax to raise money for road improvement?
                     Nov 15  Oct 12
                     2012    2011
 
Highway tolls        56      60
A higher gas tax     32      28
DK/NA                12      13
 
 
27. How important do you think it is to improve the roads and highways in Virginia; very important, somewhat important, not so important, or not important at all?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Very important       52%    42%    60%    51%    49%    54%    47%    70%
Somewhat important   40     47     33     41     43     37     44     25
Not so important      6      9      5      4      5      7      7      3
Not important at all  2      1      1      2      3      1      1      2
DK/NA                 1      1      -      1      -      1      1      -
 
                     AREA........................
                                   East/  West/
                     North  SthEst Rchmnd Shndoah
 
Very important       49%    64%    49%    49%
Somewhat important   40     32     43     43
Not so important      9      3      6      6
Not important at all  2      -      2      2
DK/NA                 1      1      1      -
 
 
28. Do you think privatizing operations of Virginia's ports is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Good idea            34%    50%    25%    29%    41%    29%    37%    22%
Bad idea             40     25     53     42     42     38     37     53
DK/NA                26     25     22     29     17     34     27     25
 
                     AREA........................
                                   East/  West/
                     North  SthEst Rchmnd Shndoah
 
Good idea            35%    39%    35%    29%
Bad idea             44     39     38     38
DK/NA                21     22     27     33
 
 
29. Some have suggested having public school kids go to school year round in Virginia. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Good idea            43%    37%    45%    48%    44%    43%    41%    46%
Bad idea             51     59     51     44     50     51     53     48
DK/NA                 6      4      5      7      6      5      6      7
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   POL PHIL.........    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     Lib    Mod    Con    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Good idea            50%    40%    45%    47%    39%    41%    47%    42%
Bad idea             44     55     49     46     56     55     48     51
DK/NA                 7      5      6      6      5      4      5      7
 
                                          AREA........................
                     Union  HAVE KIDS....               East/  West/
                     HsHlds <18    PubSch North  SthEst Rchmnd Shndoah
 
Good idea            48%    47%    50%    52%    47%    40%    34%
Bad idea             47     49     47     44     46     53     63
DK/NA                 6      4      3      4      7      8      3
 
 
30. Some people have suggested that firing public school teachers should be made easier. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Good idea            49%    63%    31%    54%    55%    43%    55%    29%
Bad idea             42     31     60     37     38     46     36     63
DK/NA                 9      6      9      9      6     11      9      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   POL PHIL.........    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     Lib    Mod    Con    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Good idea            51%    48%    30%    47%    63%    47%    54%    48%
Bad idea             39     44     59     46     29     48     41     41
DK/NA                10      8     10      7      8      4      5     11
 
                                          AREA........................
                     Union  HAVE KIDS....               East/  West/
                     HsHlds <18    PubSch North  SthEst Rchmnd Shndoah
 
Good idea            35%    56%    56%    54%    42%    47%    52%
Bad idea             55     37     37     34     52     44     41
DK/NA                10      7      7     11      6      9      7
 
TREND: Some people have suggested that firing public school teachers should be made easier. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Nov 15  Feb 09
                     2012    2012
 
Good idea            49      49
Bad idea             42      41
DK/NA                 9      10
 
 

Demographic Summary