LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. AGE IN YRS....... FLORIDA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 47% 7% 85% 49% 45% 49% 57% 46% 44% McCain 45 88 10 39 49 43 40 47 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 3 2 1 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - DK/NA 6 3 5 9 5 7 1 6 7 Alrdy IMPQ6 North/ Voted Econ PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE Obama 51% 57% 41% 45% 44% 41% 58% McCain 38 36 54 44 48 52 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - DK/NA 10 5 4 9 6 6 6 WHITE......................................... NoColl College BrnAgn Tot Degree Degree Men Wom Evngl Cath His Jew Obama 40% 38% 45% 37% 43% 23% 38% 46% 69% McCain 52 54 49 57 48 71 55 48 26 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - DK/NA 6 7 5 4 8 5 6 5 5 PresVt2004.. DemPrim2008.. BushJobAppQ10 Bush Kerry Clintn Obama App Dis Obama 10% 90% 75% 95% 5% 67% McCain 84 6 16 3 89 25 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 - - 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - DK/NA 5 4 7 2 5 6 Nov 3 Oct 29 Oct 23 Oct 1 Oct 1 Sep 11 Aug 26 Jul 31 TREND: 2008 2008 2008 2008** 2008* 2008 2008 2008 Obama 47 47 49 51 49 43 43 46 McCain 45 45 44 43 43 50 47 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - DK/NA 6 6 7 5 7 6 8 7
LIKELY VOTERS......... CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN CAND CHOICE Q1 FL Tot Obama McCain Made up 97% 97% 97% Might change 2 3 2 DK/NA 1 1 1
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. AGE IN YRS....... OHIO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 50% 7% 91% 48% 43% 57% 60% 44% 52% McCain 43 87 5 44 51 34 38 51 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 1 - 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - DK/NA 6 6 3 7 4 8 3 4 8 Alrdy IMPQ6 Voted Econ Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt Obama 64% 59% 55% 54% 54% 54% 38% 45% McCain 26 35 38 38 39 33 57 50 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 - 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - DK/NA 10 6 7 7 6 13 5 5 WHITE......................................... NoColl College BrnAgn Tot Degree Degree Men Wom Evngl Cath Blk Obama 45% 45% 43% 38% 51% 34% 46% 96% McCain 48 47 51 57 40 59 49 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - DK/NA 6 7 4 4 8 7 4 3 PresVt2004.. DemPrim2008.. BushJobAppQ10 Bush Kerry Clintn Obama App Dis Obama 11% 90% 77% 94% 5% 69% McCain 83 6 19 3 90 24 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 - - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - DK/NA 5 4 3 3 4 6 Nov 3 Oct 29 Oct 23 Oct 1 Oct 1 Sep 11 Aug 26 Jul 31 TREND: 2008 2008 2008 2008** 2008* 2008 2008 2008 Obama 50 51 52 50 49 49 44 46 McCain 43 42 38 42 42 44 43 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - DK/NA 6 7 8 7 8 5 11 8
LIKELY VOTERS......... CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN CAND CHOICE Q1 OH Tot Obama McCain Made up 97% 96% 98% Might change 3 4 2 DK/NA 1 1 -
LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. AGE IN YRS....... PENNSYLVANIA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 52% 12% 90% 49% 49% 55% 63% 53% 49% McCain 42 83 8 42 45 39 32 43 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 3 2 - 4 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - DK/NA 4 4 2 5 3 5 1 3 6 IMPQ6 Econ Algny Phily NEast SEast NWest SWest Cntrl Obama 63% 53% 78% 57% 52% 43% 47% 45% McCain 33 44 17 37 40 53 47 50 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 2 1 3 - 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - DK/NA 3 4 2 5 6 3 4 5 WHITE......................................... NoColl College BrnAgn Tot Degree Degree Men Wom Evngl Cath Blk Obama 47% 46% 50% 46% 48% 27% 51% 95% McCain 47 48 46 49 46 67 46 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 - - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - DK/NA 4 4 3 3 5 6 3 4 PresVt2004.. DemPrim2008.. BushJobAppQ10 Bush Kerry Clintn Obama App Dis Obama 14% 90% 80% 97% 6% 73% McCain 81 7 17 3 92 21 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 1 - - 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - DK/NA 4 2 3 1 3 4 Nov 3 Oct 29 Oct 23 Oct 1 Oct 1 Sep 11 Aug 26 Jul 31 TREND: 2008 2008 2008 2008** 2008* 2008 2008 2008 Obama 52 53 53 54 49 48 49 49 McCain 42 41 40 39 43 45 42 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - DK/NA 4 5 5 6 7 6 9 8
LIKELY VOTERS......... CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN CAND CHOICE Q1 PA Tot Obama McCain Made up 95% 95% 95% Might change 4 4 5 DK/NA - - 1
LIKELY VOTERS......................... FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 52% 14% 88% 55% 50% 54% Unfavorable 41 80 8 34 43 38 Hvn't hrd enough 4 4 2 5 3 4 REFUSED 4 2 2 6 3 4 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 55% 15% 92% 55% 49% 61% Unfavorable 38 79 4 35 46 30 Hvn't hrd enough 4 4 2 7 4 5 REFUSED 3 3 1 3 1 4 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 58% 25% 91% 52% 55% 61% Unfavorable 35 69 6 38 39 32 Hvn't hrd enough 4 4 3 6 4 4 REFUSED 3 2 - 4 3 3
LIKELY VOTERS......................... FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 56% 90% 26% 54% 60% 53% Unfavorable 38 7 68 38 35 40 Hvn't hrd enough 2 1 4 2 2 3 REFUSED 4 2 3 6 3 5 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 51% 91% 15% 56% 58% 45% Unfavorable 42 5 80 37 35 49 Hvn't hrd enough 3 3 4 2 5 2 REFUSED 3 2 2 5 2 4 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 53% 89% 21% 56% 54% 51% Unfavorable 42 8 73 38 41 43 Hvn't hrd enough 2 1 4 2 2 3 REFUSED 3 2 2 5 3 3
LIKELY VOTERS......................... FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 50% 17% 81% 54% 48% 52% Unfavorable 35 66 6 31 39 31 Hvn't hrd enough 12 13 12 12 9 15 REFUSED 3 3 1 3 3 2 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 48% 16% 81% 44% 41% 54% Unfavorable 33 66 5 34 43 25 Hvn't hrd enough 16 16 14 19 14 18 REFUSED 2 2 1 3 2 3 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 52% 22% 83% 47% 50% 55% Unfavorable 32 63 5 33 36 28 Hvn't hrd enough 13 12 11 17 11 14 REFUSED 2 2 1 4 3 2
LIKELY VOTERS......................... FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 47% 82% 15% 44% 50% 44% Unfavorable 42 10 72 43 39 44 Hvn't hrd enough 10 7 12 11 11 9 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 1 3 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 41% 85% 8% 39% 48% 35% Unfavorable 45 8 78 41 38 51 Hvn't hrd enough 12 6 12 17 13 11 REFUSED 2 1 1 3 2 2 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 43% 79% 12% 43% 45% 40% Unfavorable 44 9 74 43 41 47 Hvn't hrd enough 11 11 12 11 12 10 REFUSED 2 1 2 3 2 2
LIKELY VOTERS......................... FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Terrorism 10% 19% 2% 11% 8% 12% The war in Iraq 9 10 8 9 8 10 The economy 54 45 62 56 54 54 Illegal immigration 4 7 1 2 4 3 Energy policy 5 7 3 6 8 3 Health care 10 4 18 7 8 12 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 6 6 3 6 7 4 DK/NA 2 2 2 3 2 2 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Terrorism 9% 17% 2% 9% 11% 8% The war in Iraq 9 9 9 8 10 8 The economy 58 50 66 59 56 61 Illegal immigration 2 2 1 3 2 2 Energy policy 4 6 4 3 7 2 Health care 9 5 14 9 7 11 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 5 9 1 5 5 5 DK/NA 3 2 3 2 3 3 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Terrorism 9% 18% 2% 10% 10% 8% The war in Iraq 9 8 13 5 9 10 The economy 55 43 62 62 54 56 Illegal immigration 2 3 1 3 2 2 Energy policy 5 6 3 6 8 2 Health care 10 7 14 6 8 12 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 6 9 3 4 7 5 DK/NA 4 6 2 4 3 5
LIKELY VOTERS......................... FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Great 23% 2% 47% 20% 20% 26% Good 27 11 39 32 27 28 So so 17 28 6 17 19 15 Bad 28 55 5 24 30 25 DK/NA 5 4 4 7 5 6 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Great 23% 2% 45% 19% 17% 28% Good 30 11 43 32 26 32 So so 19 34 7 21 23 15 Bad 23 50 2 21 28 19 DK/NA 5 4 3 7 5 6 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Great 24% 6% 43% 20% 20% 28% Good 29 13 45 26 28 30 So so 18 28 7 25 19 17 Bad 23 47 4 22 26 20 DK/NA 5 6 2 7 6 4
LIKELY VOTERS......................... FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Great 12% 23% 3% 9% 9% 14% Good 38 63 17 37 42 35 So so 28 11 38 35 27 28 Bad 19 2 38 16 18 20 DK/NA 3 1 4 4 3 4 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Great 7% 16% 2% 5% 7% 7% Good 37 69 10 37 42 31 So so 32 13 43 37 30 34 Bad 20 1 42 16 17 23 DK/NA 4 2 3 5 3 5 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Great 8% 18% 1% 6% 7% 8% Good 36 62 14 37 37 35 So so 31 15 43 36 33 30 Bad 20 3 38 16 19 22 DK/NA 4 3 4 4 3 5
LIKELY VOTERS......................... FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Obama 49% 12% 84% 51% 48% 50% McCain 43 81 11 40 45 42 DK/NA 7 7 5 9 7 8 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Obama 53% 14% 91% 50% 47% 59% McCain 40 79 7 42 47 34 DK/NA 7 7 3 8 6 7 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Obama 53% 18% 88% 48% 50% 56% McCain 40 74 9 40 42 37 DK/NA 7 7 3 12 8 7
LIKELY VOTERS......................... FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 28% 58% 7% 20% 27% 28% Disapprove 67 35 91 75 68 66 DK/NA 6 7 2 5 5 6 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 25% 59% 4% 20% 30% 20% Disapprove 69 32 94 75 63 75 DK/NA 6 9 2 6 6 5 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 26% 53% 4% 23% 28% 24% Disapprove 69 39 96 71 68 71 DK/NA 5 8 - 6 5 5
LIKELY VOTERS......................... FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Palin 27% 11% 41% 29% 23% 31% Bush 58 64 50 61 61 55 NEITHER(VOL) 11 21 3 8 12 10 DK/NA 4 3 6 2 4 4 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Palin 24% 9% 36% 26% 20% 28% Bush 62 67 58 61 64 60 NEITHER(VOL) 10 20 2 9 12 9 DK/NA 4 4 3 4 4 3 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Palin 27% 14% 36% 30% 26% 28% Bush 58 63 57 53 62 55 NEITHER(VOL) 10 19 2 11 10 11 DK/NA 4 4 4 6 3 6
LIKELY VOTERS......................... FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Inexperienced 36% 32% 41% 36% 33% 39% Liberal 40 59 22 42 44 37 NEITHER(VOL) 18 5 30 17 18 18 DK/NA 5 4 6 5 5 6 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Inexperienced 39% 32% 44% 40% 33% 44% Liberal 43 63 24 42 51 35 NEITHER(VOL) 14 2 27 12 12 16 DK/NA 5 3 4 6 5 4 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Inexperienced 39% 34% 43% 43% 35% 45% Liberal 40 58 28 38 47 34 NEITHER(VOL) 15 5 22 15 15 15 DK/NA 5 3 6 4 3 7