LIKELY VOTERS Tot Economy Total 44% Economy general 32 Unemployment/jobs 5 Cost of living 5 Business leaving/ Outsourcing 1 Economy other 1 War (Iraq) 12% Energy crisis/ Gas prices Total 10% Energy costs/ Crisis general 4 Gas prices 3 Oil prices/Crisis 3 Healthcare/ Costs/ Ins/HMO's 4% Terrorism Total 4% Terrorism general 2 Security/Safety 2 Politicians Total 2% Politicians/ Campaigns general 1 Political corruption 1 Budget Total 2% Budget general 1 Budget deficits 1 Education general 2% Immigration 2% Lack of ethics/ Morality 2% Crime/Violence General 1 Environment/Pollution 1 Family breakdown/ Family values 1 Foreign affairs/ policy general 1 Taxes general 1 Other 4% DK/NA 3%
LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Very satisfied 2% 3% 0% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% Smwht satisfied 19 29 10 21 22 16 21 8 Smwht dissatisfied 41 46 39 37 37 44 41 38 Very dissatisfied 38 23 50 40 39 37 36 52 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 1
LIKELY VOTERS. Aug 20 Jul 15 2008 2008 Very satisfied 2 2 Smwht satisfied 19 15 Smwht dissatisfied 41 40 Very dissatisfied 38 42 DK/NA 1 1
LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Right thing 35% 63% 9% 36% 38% 32% 39% 8% Wrong thing 59 30 87 56 57 60 54 86 DK/NA 6 6 4 8 5 7 6 6
LIKELY VOTERS. Aug 20 Jul 15 2008 2008 Right thing 35 34 Wrong thing 59 59 DK/NA 6 7
LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Imm withdrawal/ fixed date 43% 22% 64% 42% 40% 46% 38% 74% Keep troops/without fixed date 51 75 30 53 56 48 57 20 DK/NA 6 3 6 6 4 6 5 6
LIKELY VOTERS. Aug 20 Jul 15 2008 2008 Imm withdrawal/ fixed date 43 43 Keep troops/without fixed date 51 51 DK/NA 6 5
LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Excellent 1% 1% - 1% 1% - 1% - Good 12 23 3 12 15 9 14 4 Not so good 44 49 44 40 42 46 45 35 Poor 42 26 53 45 41 44 40 60 DK/NA 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1
LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Getting ahead 11% 13% 8% 11% 14% 8% 10% 12% Falling behind 26 19 31 27 25 27 25 34 Holding steady 62 67 61 61 60 64 63 54 DK/NA 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 -
LIKELY VOTERS. Aug 20 Jul 15 2008 2008 Getting ahead 11 12 Falling behind 26 22 Holding steady 62 65 DK/NA 1 1
LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk A) Retirement funds 11% 11% 11% 13% 9% 13% 12% 8% B) Real estate vals 11 11 10 12 13 9 11 13 C) Health care cost 21 16 25 21 19 22 22 18 D) Gasoline prices 34 39 31 32 34 33 34 34 E) Food prices 18 18 17 16 18 17 16 23 DK/NA 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 4
LIKELY VOTERS. Aug 20 Jul 15 2008 2008 A) Retirement funds 11 10 B) Real estate vals 11 6 C) Health care cost 21 16 D) Gasoline prices 34 50 E) Food prices 18 12 DK/NA 6 6
LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Get better 38% 13% 63% 35% 35% 42% 34% 69% Get worse 22 42 7 21 26 19 24 5 Stay the same 29 33 23 31 31 27 31 23 DK/NA 11 12 6 13 8 13 11 3
LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Get better 20% 37% 9% 18% 23% 18% 21% 8% Get worse 21 5 34 21 21 21 19 37 Stay the same 49 48 50 48 48 49 50 49 DK/NA 10 10 6 12 8 12 10 6
LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Support 56% 68% 42% 59% 72% 42% 57% 42% Oppose 35 24 48 30 25 43 33 45 DK/NA 9 8 9 11 3 15 9 12
LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Support 62% 82% 50% 60% 67% 58% 65% 54% Oppose 32 12 43 36 31 32 30 41 DK/NA 6 6 7 4 2 9 5 5
LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Support 51% 75% 37% 45% 59% 44% 54% 33% Oppose 42 20 55 49 37 46 40 53 DK/NA 7 4 8 7 3 10 5 14
LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Support 87% 84% 92% 86% 84% 89% 87% 86% Oppose 10 13 5 12 14 6 10 7 DK/NA 3 3 3 3 2 4 3 7
LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Support 45% 46% 51% 39% 37% 52% 43% 61% Oppose 47 47 39 56 60 37 49 33 DK/NA 8 8 10 5 4 11 7 6
LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Support 78% 74% 81% 80% 80% 77% 81% 71% Oppose 18 23 15 15 17 18 16 25 DK/NA 4 3 4 4 3 4 3 4
LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 37% 11% 66% 31% 34% 40% 32% 75% McCain 32 63 10 32 38 28 37 6 DK/NA 30 26 25 37 28 32 31 20
LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Very serious problem 26% 23% 31% 22% 22% 29% 23% 38% Smwht serious 41 42 42 40 40 42 43 34 Not too serious 25 27 20 31 29 22 26 19 Not a problem at all 7 8 7 7 9 6 7 8 DK/NA - - 1 - 1 - - -
LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 49% 42% 55% 47% 47% 51% 46% 57% No 50 57 44 52 52 48 53 43 DK/NA 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 -