Connecticut (CT) Poll * November 8, 2007 * Giuliani, Clinton Neck And Nec - Quinnipiac University

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November 8, 2007 - Giuliani, Clinton Neck And Neck In Connecticut, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Favorite Son Dodd Should Drop Out, Voters Say 3-1

Word format New York Sen. Hillary Clinton and former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani are locked in a neck and neck presidential race in Connecticut, with 45 percent for Sen. Clinton and 44 percent for Giuliani, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
This compares to 44 percent for Clinton and 42 percent for Giuliani in an October 17 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.
In other possible presidential matchups:
Illinois Sen. Barack Obama ties Giuliani 43 - 43 percent; Giuliani tops former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards 46 - 41 percent; Clinton beats Arizona Sen. John McCain 47 - 41 percent; Clinton tops former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson 53 - 31 percent; Clinton beats former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney 51 - 34 percent.
In a Democratic primary, Clinton leads Obama 45 - 19 percent, followed by Edwards with 7 percent and Sen. Chris Dodd with 5 percent.
Giuliani leads the Republican pack with 41 percent, followed by 13 percent for Romney, 12 percent for McCain and 7 percent for Thompson.
"Sen. Hillary Clinton holds a commanding lead in the Connecticut Democratic primary and Sen. Barack Obama is making no progress closing the gap. But Mayor Giuliani is running even with any of the top Democratic contenders, moving Connecticut from Democratic blue to swing state purple at this point," said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D.
By a 52 - 27 percent margin, Connecticut voters have a favorable opinion of Giuliani. Clinton gets a 48 - 39 percent favorability.
Connecticut voters approve 55 - 31 percent of the job Sen. Christopher Dodd is doing - as a Senator. But voters say 57 - 26 percent that he would not make a good president.
Dodd is spending too much time on the presidential campaign trail and not enough time serving as Senator, voters say 55 - 29 percent. And voters say 70 - 21 percent that he should drop out of the presidential race. Even Democrats say 68 - 26 percent that Dodd should drop out.
"While Sen. Dodd's overall approval rating is down 5 points, it is still a healthy 55 percent. But there is a strong feeling that he that he is spending too much time on the campaign trail and that he should get out of the Presidential race," Dr. Schwartz said.
Sen. Joseph Lieberman's 52 - 38 percent support is little changed in the last six months, even though voters disagree 61 - 31 percent with his support for the war in Iraq.
Voters disapprove 71 - 24 percent of the job President George W. Bush is doing and disapprove 71 - 22 percent of his handling of the war in Iraq. Voters say 66 - 30 percent that going to war in Iraq was the wrong thing to do.
From November 1 - 5, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,029 Connecticut registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points. The survey includes 291 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 5.7 percentage points, and 385 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 5 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research.
For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.
1. (If registered Democrat) If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, John Edwards, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama, and Bill Richardson, for whom would you vote?
REGISTERED DEMOCRATS Tot Men Wom Biden 4% 4% 4% Clinton 45 40 48 Dodd 5 8 4 Edwards 7 6 7 Gravel - - - Kucinich 3 6 2 Obama 19 23 16 Richardson 2 5 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 DK/NA 14 8 17
TREND: (If registered Democrat) If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, John Edwards, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama and Bill Richardson, for whom would you vote? (na = not asked)
REGISTERED DEMOCRATS.......... Nov 8 Oct 17 May 10 Feb 19 2007 2007 2007 2007 Biden 4 3 2 2 Clark na na - 1 Clinton 45 43 28 33 Dodd 5 7 6 8 Edwards 7 8 8 5 Gore na na 13 9 Gravel - - - na Kucinich 3 1 1 1 Obama 19 16 20 21 Richardson 2 2 1 1 Vilsack na na na - SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 DK/NA 14 17 17 16
2. (If registered Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo and Fred Thompson, for whom would you vote?
REGISTERED REPUBLICANS Tot Men Wom Giuliani 41% 37% 46% Huckabee 4 5 2 Hunter 1 - 1 McCain 12 14 10 Paul 3 6 - Romney 13 15 10 Tancredo - - - Thompson, F. 7 11 3 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 3 7 DK/NA 13 7 20
TREND: (If registered Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, and Fred Thompson, for whom would you vote? (na = not asked)
REGISTERED REPUBLICANS........ Nov 8 Oct 17 May 10 Feb 19 2007 2007 2007 2007 Brownback na - - 1% Gilmore na na - - Gingrich na na 5 5 Giuliani 41 42 36 43 Hagel na na - 2 Huckabee 4 2 - 1 Hunter 1 - - 1 McCain 12 14 15 27 Pataki na na 1 - Paul 3 3 2 na Romney 13 9 9 4 Tancredo - - - - Thompson, F. 7 10 7 na Thompson, T. na na 1 - SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 3 - DK/NA 13 15 17 12
3. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 45% 5% 83% 41% 36% 52% Giuliani 44 89 11 43 53 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 - 2 4 4 2 DK/NA 8 4 4 10 5 9
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Nov 8 Oct 17 May 10 Feb 19 2007 2007 2007 2007 Clinton 45 44 42 46 Giuliani 44 42 48 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 2 DK/NA 8 9 7 7
4. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Obama 43% 11% 76% 40% 39% 47% Giuliani 43 83 16 42 49 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 1 6 4 2 DK/NA 9 5 5 11 6 11
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Nov 8 May 10 2007 2007 Obama 43 42 Giuliani 43 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 DK/NA 9 10
5. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Edwards 41% 8% 72% 39% 35% 46% Giuliani 46 86 19 43 52 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 - 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 - 2 6 6 2 DK/NA 9 4 7 10 6 11
6. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 47% 7% 84% 44% 38% 54% McCain 41 86 8 41 51 33 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 4 - 2 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 3 5 5 2 DK/NA 7 2 5 9 3 10
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Nov 8 May 10 Feb 19 2007 2007 2007 Clinton 47 47 48 McCain 41 40 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 DK/NA 7 9 9
7. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 53% 13% 89% 50% 44% 61% Thompson 31 74 4 28 42 23 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 - 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 2 3 7 6 4 DK/NA 10 9 4 13 8 11
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Nov 8 May 10 2007 2007 Clinton 53 49 Thompson 31 33 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 3 DK/NA 10 13
8. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 51% 12% 87% 48% 43% 58% Romney 34 76 4 32 44 25 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 4 - 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 2 3 8 6 3 DK/NA 8 5 5 10 5 11
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Nov 8 Feb 19 2007 2007 Clinton 51 55 Romney 34 27 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 DK/NA 8 12
9. Is your opinion of -- Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 48% 15% 81% 44% 38% 56% Unfavorable 39 72 10 42 48 30 Hvn't hrd enough 10 9 8 11 11 10 REFUSED 4 3 2 3 3 4
TREND: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
Nov 8 May 10 Feb 19 2007 2007 2007 Favorable 48 49 53 Unfavorable 39 42 36 Hvn't hrd enough 10 7 8 REFUSED 4 2 3
10. Is your opinion of -- Rudy Giuliani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 52% 77% 37% 50% 56% 49% Unfavorable 27 11 40 29 27 27 Hvn't hrd enough 17 8 21 18 13 20 REFUSED 4 3 2 4 4 4
TREND: Is your opinion of Rudy Giuliani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Nov 8 May 10 Feb 19 2007 2007 2007 Favorable 52 61 61 Unfavorable 27 25 22 Hvn't hrd enough 17 12 14 REFUSED 4 2 2
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Lieberman is handling his job as United States Senator?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 52% 72% 37% 51% 50% 55% Disapprove 38 20 54 39 43 34 DK/NA 9 8 9 10 7 11
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joseph Lieberman is handling his job as United States Senator?
Highest Lowest Approve Approve Nov 8 May 10 Feb 19 Aug 17 Jul 20 Sep 21 Jul 31 2007 2007 2007 2006 2006 2000 2003 Approve 52 53 52 55 55 80 51 Disapprove 38 39 40 40 35 14 33 DK/NA 9 8 7 6 10 6 17
13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Dodd is handling his job as United States Senator?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 55% 37% 76% 50% 48% 61% Disapprove 31 52 14 32 38 24 DK/NA 15 11 10 18 14 15
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Dodd is handling his job as United States Senator? (* Also 52% on 2/14/2002)
Highest Lowest Approve Approve Nov 8 May 10 Feb 19 Aug 17 Jul 20 Apr 19 May 1 2007 2007 2007 2006 2006 2001 2003 * Approve 55 60 60 57 57 71 52 Disapprove 31 26 25 27 25 16 16 DK/NA 15 14 15 16 19 13 31
14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 24% 58% 3% 19% 28% 20% Disapprove 71 37 94 77 69 74 DK/NA 5 5 3 4 3 6
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President? (* Also 24% 5/10/07, 2/19/07 & 6/8/06)
Highest Lowest Approve Approve Nov 8 May 10 Feb 19 Aug 17 Jul 20 Dec 19 Nov 8 2007 2007 2007 2006 2006 2001 2007* Approve 24 24 24 29 27 87 24 Disapprove 71 72 72 67 68 10 71 DK/NA 5 4 5 4 5 2 5
39. Do you think Chris Dodd would make a good President or not?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 26% 16% 40% 21% 26% 26% No 57 75 41 60 64 52 DK/NA 17 9 19 19 11 22
TREND: Do you think Chris Dodd would make a good President or not?
Nov 8 Feb 19 2007 2007 Yes 26 30 No 57 49 DK/NA 17 22
40. Chris Dodd has never gotten above one percent in the national presidential primary polls. Do you think it is time for him to drop out of the presidential race?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes/drop out 70% 75% 68% 70% 72% 69% No/Should not 21 19 26 19 21 22 DK/NA 9 6 6 11 7 10
41. Do you think Chris Dodd is spending too much time running for President and not enough time being Senator from Connecticut?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 55% 61% 48% 59% 56% 54% No 29 25 33 28 31 27 DK/NA 16 14 19 13 13 20
42. Did you vote for Senator in 2006, did something prevent you from voting, or did you choose not to vote for Senator in 2006?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Voted 76% 80% 76% 75% 77% 74% Didn't vote 17 13 17 18 17 17 COULDN'T/INELIG 3 2 4 2 3 3 DK/NA 4 5 2 5 3 5
43. (If voted in Senate race Q42) Did you vote for Joe Lieberman the independent, Ned Lamont the Democrat, or Alan Schlesinger the Republican?
VOTED FOR SENATOR IN 2006.................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Lieberman 52% 66% 38% 57% 51% 53% Lamont 31 6 54 29 32 31 Schlesinger 9 21 2 6 10 8 DIDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 2 1 1 1 DK/NA 7 6 4 7 7 7
44. (If Lieberman Q43) If you had a chance to vote again today, would you still vote for Joe Lieberman for Senator, or would you vote for someone else?
VOTED FOR LIEBERMAN IN 2006................ Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes/Lieberman 78% 86% 69% 78% 82% 75% No/Someone else 15 10 20 16 14 16 DK/NA 7 4 11 6 5 9
45. (If "No" Q44)Is the reason you are no longer voting for Senator Lieberman because of his stand on the Iraq war or something else? (*Additional caution should be taken when interpreting the findings of group because of the larger margin of error.)
VOTED FOR LIEBERMAN IN 2006 *Tot Iraq war 58% Something else 41 DK/NA 1
46. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 22% 52% 4% 18% 29% 17% Disapprove 71 38 93 75 66 75 DK/NA 7 9 3 7 6 8
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq?
Highest Lowest Approve Approve Nov 8 May 10 Feb 19 Aug 17 Jul 20 Oct 10 May 10 2007 2007 2007 2006 2006 2003 2007 Approve 22 20 22 26 25 41 20 Disapprove 71 77 74 70 70 55 77 DK/NA 7 3 4 4 4 4 3
47. As you may know, Senator Lieberman is a strong supporter of the war in Iraq. Do you agree or disagree with Senator Lieberman's position on the war in Iraq?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Agree 31% 63% 9% 31% 39% 24% Disagree 61 29 84 64 55 66 DK/NA 8 8 7 5 6 9
TREND: As you may know, Senator Lieberman is a strong supporter of the war in Iraq. Do you agree or disagree with Senator Lieberman's position on the war in Iraq?
Nov 8 Aug 17 Jul 20 Jan 11 2007 2006 2006 2006 Agree 31 37 35 41 Disagree 61 57 58 51 DK/NA 8 5 7 8
48. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Right thing 30% 59% 8% 28% 35% 25% Wrong thing 66 33 90 67 62 69 DK/NA 5 9 2 5 3 6
TREND: Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing? (* Also 30% on 5/10/07 & 2/19/07)
Highest Lowest Right Right Nov 8 May 10 Feb 19 Aug 17 Jul 20 Aug 19 Nov 8 2007 2007 2007 2006 2006 2004 2007* Right thing 30 30 30 33 31 43 30 Wrong thing 66 65 65 62 63 49 66 DK/NA 5 4 5 5 5 8 5