Connecticut (CT) Poll * August 3, 2006 * Lamont Leads Lieberman 54 - 41 - Quinnipiac University

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August 3, 2006 - Lamont Leads Lieberman 54 - 41 In Dem Primary, Quinnipiac University Connecticut Poll Finds; Malloy Gains Some Ground In Governor's Primary

Momentum for Ned Lamont, the anti-war Connecticut U.S. Senate candidate, increases as he rolls to a 54 - 41 percent lead over incumbent Sen. Joseph Lieberman among likely Democratic primary voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
This compares to a 51 - 47 percent Lamont lead among likely Democratic primary voters in a July 20 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.
In this latest survey, 5 percent of likely Democratic primary voters remain undecided, but 85 percent of voters say their mind is made up.
Among Lamont supporters, 65 percent say their vote is mainly against Lieberman.
Lieberman's support for the war in Iraq is the main reason they are voting for the challenger, 44 percent of Lamont voters say, with 50 percent who say the war is one of the reasons.
"Sen. Lieberman's campaign bus seems to be stuck in reverse. Despite visits from former President Bill Clinton and other big name Democrats, Lieberman has not been able to stem the tide to Lamont," said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D.
"The incumbent has just five days to turn this race around, but never count out a veteran with his experience."
"Three months ago, Lamont was virtually unheard of, except perhaps on the blogs. As Democrats get to know Lamont better, they like what they see. Lamont has established himself as a credible alternative to Lieberman," Dr. Schwartz added.
Connecticut likely Democratic primary voters give Lamont a 46 - 14 percent favorability rating, with 20 percent mixed and 19 percent who say they don't know enough to form an opinion.
Sen. Lieberman gets a split 37 - 34 percent favorability among Democrats, with 26 percent mixed.
Governor's Race
In the Democratic primary for Governor, New Haven Mayor John DeStefano leads Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy 48 - 38 percent among likely voters, with 13 percent undecided. This compares to a 52 - 32 percent DeStefano lead July 20.
In this latest survey, 36 percent of likely Democratic primary voters who chose a candidate say they still might change their mind.
DeStefano gets a 47 - 8 percent favorability rating among Democrats, with 17 percent mixed and 26 percent who don't know enough to form an opinion.
Malloy's favorability is 38 - 5 percent, with 15 percent mixed and 41 percent who don't know enough to form an opinion.
From July 25 - 31, Quinnipiac University surveyed 890 Connecticut likely Democratic primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida and the nation as a public service and for research.
For additional data-www.quinnipiac.edu and quicklinks
1. If the 2006 Democratic primary for governor were being held today and the candidates were John DeStefano and Dan Malloy for whom would you vote? (If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward DeStefano or Malloy? This table includes Leaners.
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS....... Tot Men Wom Lib Mod/Con DeStefano 48% 53% 44% 49% 47% Malloy 38 37 40 40 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - DK/NA 13 10 16 10 15 No col College Annual household income....... degree degree <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K DeStefano 52% 43% 46% 57% 53% 41% Malloy 33 45 33 36 33 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - DK/NA 14 12 21 7 12 12
TREND: If the 2006 Democratic primary for governor were being held today and the candidates were John DeStefano and Dan Malloy, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more to DeStefano or Malloy? This table includes Leaners.
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS....... Aug 3 Jul 20 Jun 8 2006 2006 2006 DeStefano 48 52 46 Malloy 38 32 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - DK/NA 13 14 18
1c. (If candidate choice given q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS JD DM Tot Voters Voters Made up 63% 61% 65% Might change 36 37 35 DK/NA 1 1 -
2. Is your opinion of John DeStefano favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS....... Tot Men Wom Lib Mod/Con Favorable 47% 52% 43% 49% 45% Unfavorable 8 8 8 6 10 Mixed 17 16 18 18 17 Hvn't hrd enough 26 23 30 26 26 REFUSED 1 2 1 1 2 No col College Annual household income....... degree degree <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 53% 40% 50% 54% 48% 42% Unfavorable 8 8 14 7 7 8 Mixed 14 22 12 17 16 21 Hvn't hrd enough 25 29 23 22 29 28 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1
TREND: Is your opinion of John DeStefano favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS Aug 3 Jul 20 2006 2006 Favorable 47 28 Unfavorable 8 12 Mixed 17 17 Hvn't heard enough 26 42 REFUSED 1 1
3. Is your opinion of Dan Malloy favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS....... Tot Men Wom Lib Mod/Con Favorable 38% 37% 38% 40% 37% Unfavorable 5 5 4 3 5 Mixed 15 16 15 16 15 Hvn't hrd enough 41 40 43 41 40 REFUSED 1 1 1 - 1 No col College Annual household income....... degree degree <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 32% 45% 29% 33% 33% 49% Unfavorable 4 6 2 3 5 5 Mixed 17 13 21 14 16 12 Hvn't hrd enough 45 36 48 49 45 34 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 -
TREND: Is your opinion of Dan Malloy favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS Aug 3 Jul 20 2006 2006 Favorable 38 18 Unfavorable 5 7 Mixed 15 11 Hvn't heard enough 41 64 REFUSED 1 -
4. If the 2006 Democratic primary for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Joseph Lieberman and Ned Lamont for whom would you vote? (If undecided q4) As of today, do you lean more toward Lieberman or Lamont? This table includes Leaners.
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS....... Tot Men Wom Lib Mod/Con Lieberman 41% 40% 43% 31% 49% Lamont 54 55 53 66 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - DK/NA 5 5 5 3 6 No col College Annual household income....... degree degree <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Lieberman 43% 39% 49% 46% 41% 36% Lamont 51 57 46 51 56 58 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - DK/NA 5 4 5 4 3 5
TREND: If the 2006 Democratic primary for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Joseph Lieberman and Ned Lamont, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Lieberman or Lamont? This table includes Leaners.
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS....... Aug 3 Jul 20 Jun 8 2006 2006 2006 Lieberman 41 47 55 Lamont 54 51 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - DK/NA 5 2 4
4c. (If candidate choice q4) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS JL NL Tot Voters Voters Made up 85% 83% 88% Might change 14 16 12 DK/NA 1 1 -
5. (If Lamont voter q4) Is your vote more for Lamont or more against Lieberman?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS NL Voters For Lamont 30% Against Lieberman 65 DK/NA 5
TREND: (If Lamont voter) Is your vote more for Lamont or more against Lieberman?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS NL Voters............ Aug 3 Jul 20 Jun 8 2006 2006 2006 For Lamont 30 33 19 Against Lieberman 65 63 78 DK/NA 5 4 3
6. (If Lieberman voter q4) Is your vote more for Lieberman or more against Lamont?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS JL Voters For Lieberman 86% Against Lamont 12 DK/NA 2
TREND: (If Lieberman voter) Is your vote more for Lieberman or more against Lamont?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS JL Voters............ Aug 3 Jul 20 Jun 8 2006 2006 2006 For Lieberman 86 86 90 Against Lamont 12 11 5 DK/NA 2 3 6
7. Is your opinion of Joseph Lieberman favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS....... Tot Men Wom Lib Mod/Con Favorable 37% 37% 37% 28% 44% Unfavorable 34 37 31 43 27 Mixed 26 25 27 28 26 Hvn't hrd enough 1 - 3 1 1 REFUSED 1 1 2 - 2 No col College Annual household income....... degree degree <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 40% 33% 37% 45% 35% 33% Unfavorable 34 34 30 33 34 39 Mixed 23 31 23 21 29 26 Hvn't hrd enough 2 - 6 - 1 1 REFUSED 1 1 3 1 1 1
TREND: Is your opinion of United States Senator Joseph Lieberman favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS Aug 3 Jul 20 2006 2006 Favorable 37 35 Unfavorable 34 39 Mixed 26 25 Haven't heard enough 1 1 DK/NA 1 -
8. Is your opinion of Ned Lamont favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS....... Tot Men Wom Lib Mod/Con Favorable 46% 50% 42% 54% 39% Unfavorable 14 13 16 8 19 Mixed 20 18 23 22 20 Hvn't hrd enough 19 19 19 16 20 REFUSED 1 1 1 - 2 No col College Annual household income....... degree degree <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 46% 46% 39% 50% 47% 47% Unfavorable 15 14 10 12 17 14 Mixed 18 23 16 13 20 25 Hvn't hrd enough 20 17 31 24 15 14 REFUSED 2 - 3 1 1 -
TREND: Is your opinion of businessman Ned Lamont favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS Aug 3 Jul 20 2006 2006 Favorable 46 36 Unfavorable 14 13 Mixed 20 16 Hvn't hrd enough 19 35 REFUSED 1 -
9. (If Lieberman voter q4) How much does Bill Clinton's endorsement of Lieberman influence your decision to vote for Lieberman - Is it the main reason you are voting for Lieberman, is it only one of the reasons, or is it not a reason at all?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS JL Voters Main reason 2% Only one reason 19 Not a reason at all 78 DK/NA 1
10. (If Lamont voter q4) How much does Lieberman's decision to run as an independent if he loses the primary influence your decision to vote for Lamont - Is it the main reason you are voting for Lamont, is it only one of the reasons,
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS NL Voters Main reason 7% Only one reason 31 Not a reason at all 59 DK/NA 2
11. (If Lamont voter q4) How much does Lieberman's support of the war in Iraq influence your decision to vote for Lamont - Is it the main reason you are voting for Lamont, is it only one of the reasons, or is it not a reason at all?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS NL Voters Main reason 44% Only one reason 50 Not a reason at all 6 DK/NA -