Connecticut (CT) Poll * August 7, 2006 * Lamont Leads Lieberman 51 - 45 - Quinnipiac University

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August 7, 2006 - Lamont Leads Lieberman 51 - 45 In Dem Primary, Quinnipiac University Connecticut Poll Finds; DeStefano Tops Malloy 48 - 41 In Governor's Primary

Connecticut likely Democratic primary voters back challenger Ned Lamont 51 - 45 percent over incumbent Sen. Joseph Lieberman in the U.S. Senate race, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
This compares to a 54 - 41 percent Lamont lead among likely Democratic primary voters in an August 3 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.
In this latest survey, 4 percent of likely Democratic primary voters remain undecided, but 90 percent of voters who name a candidate say their mind is made up.
Among Lamont supporters, 54 percent say their vote is mainly against Lieberman. Lieberman's support for the war in Iraq is the main reason they are voting for Lamont, 36 percent of Lamont voters say, while 54 percent say it is one of several reasons.
In the Democratic primary for Governor, likely voters back New Haven Mayor John DeStefano 48 - 41 percent over Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy, with 10 percent undecided. This compares to a 48 - 38 percent DeStefano lead August 3.
In this latest survey, 28 percent of likely Democratic primary voters who choose a candidate say they still might change their mind.
From July 31 - August 6, Quinnipiac University surveyed 784 Connecticut likely Democratic primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida and the nation as a public service and for research.
For additional data-www.quinnipiac.edu and quicklinks
1. If the 2006 Democratic primary for governor were being held today and the candidates were John DeStefano and Dan Malloy for whom would you vote? (If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward DeStefano or Malloy? This table includes Leaners.
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS........ Tot Men Wom Lib Mod/Con DeStefano 48% 49% 47% 46% 51% Malloy 41 39 43 45 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - DK/NA 10 10 10 9 9 No col College Annual household income....... degree degree <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K DeStefano 55% 39% 56% 53% 50% 41% Malloy 35 49 35 37 41 50 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - - 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - DK/NA 9 11 9 10 7 9
1b. (If candidate choice q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS JD DM Tot Voters Voters Made up 72 75% 67% Might change 28 25 32 DK/NA 1 - 1
2. Is your opinion of John DeStefano favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS.............. Tot Men Wom Lib Mod/Con Favorable 47% 48% 46% 48% 46% Unfavorable 10 12 9 9 10 Mixed 22 22 22 21 23 Hvn't hrd enough 19 15 22 20 19 REFUSED 2 3 1 1 1 No col College Annual household income....... degree degree <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 49% 43% 45% 52% 50% 38% Unfavorable 11 10 12 10 9 11 Mixed 17 28 17 16 23 30 Hvn't hrd enough 20 18 22 21 17 21 REFUSED 3 1 4 1 - 1
3. Is your opinion of Dan Malloy favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS.............. Tot Men Wom Lib Mod/Con Favorable 39% 37% 41% 45% 35% Unfavorable 6 6 7 6 6 Mixed 20 21 19 19 21 Hvn't hrd enough 33 32 33 29 36 REFUSED 2 3 1 1 1 No col College Annual household income....... degree degree <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 33% 48% 41% 30% 37% 46% Unfavorable 6 6 9 6 7 4 Mixed 18 22 11 22 24 22 Hvn't hrd enough 39 23 35 40 32 27 REFUSED 3 - 4 1 1 1
4. If the 2006 Democratic primary for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Joseph Lieberman and Ned Lamont for whom would you vote? (If undecided q4) As of today, do you lean more toward Lieberman or Lamont? This table includes Leaners.
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS.............. Tot Men Wom Lib Mod/Con Lieberman 45% 42% 47% 32% 53% Lamont 51 55 47 65 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - DK/NA 4 3 6 2 5 No col College Annual household income....... degree degree <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Lieberman 49% 38% 49% 49% 44% 39% Lamont 46 59 47 45 53 60 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - DK/NA 6 3 4 7 3 2
4b. (If candidate choice q4) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS JL NL Tot Voters Voters Made up 90 89% 91% Might change 10 10 9 DK/NA - - -
5. (If Lamont voter q4) Is your vote more for Lamont or more against Lieberman?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS NL voters For Lamont 41% Against Lieberman 54 DK/NA 6
6. (If Lieberman voter q4) Is your vote more for Lieberman or more agains Lamont?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS JL voters For Lieberman 84% Against Lamont 12 DK/NA 3
7. Is your opinion of Joseph Lieberman favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS....... Tot Men Wom Lib Mod/Con Favorable 40% 39% 40% 27% 47% Unfavorable 34 37 32 43 29 Mixed 24 23 26 29 22 Hvn't hrd enough 1 1 1 1 - REFUSED 1 1 1 - 1 No col College Annual household income....... degree degree <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 45% 31% 46% 38% 38% 34% Unfavorable 32 38 31 34 38 36 Mixed 20 30 21 26 23 29 Hvn't hrd enough 1 1 1 - - 1 REFUSED 1 - 1 2 - -
8. Is your opinion of Ned Lamont favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS....... Tot Men Wom Lib Mod/Con Favorable 42% 43% 41% 53% 36% Unfavorable 18 18 18 11 23 Mixed 22 22 23 22 23 Hvn't hrd enough 16 14 17 14 17 REFUSED 2 2 1 - 2 No col College Annual household income....... degree degree <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 39% 47% 44% 32% 43% 47% Unfavorable 20 15 16 24 18 17 Mixed 22 24 18 23 25 24 Hvn't hrd enough 17 14 19 19 13 11 REFUSED 2 1 4 2 - 1
9. (If Lamont voter q4) How much does Lieberman's decision to run as an independent if he loses the primary influence your decision to vote for Lamont - Is it the main reason you are voting for Lamont, is it only one of the reasons, or is it not a reason at all?
LIKELY DEMPRIME VOTERS NL voters Main reason 6% Only one reason 36 Not a reason at all 56 DK/NA 2
10. How much does Lieberman's support of the war in Iraq influence your decision to vote for Lamont - Is it the main reason you are voting for Lamont, is it only one of the reasons, or is it not a reason at all?
LIKELY DEMPRIME VOTERS NL voters Main reason 36% Only one reason 54 Not a reason at all 9 DK/NA 1