New York City (NYC) Poll * June 22, 2005 * Stadium Switch Lifts Bloomberg - Quinnipiac University

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June 22, 2005 - Stadium Switch Lifts Bloomberg To New Highs, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Hispanic Voters Approve Of Mayor, But Back Ferrer

Mayor Michael Bloomberg is widening his lead over any Democratic challenger and is brushing up against the 50 percent mark among New York City voters in each of four possible matchups, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
New York City voters approve 55 - 36 percent of the job the Mayor is doing, his highest approval rating in three years:
Among all New York City voters:
Bloomberg tops Fernando Ferrer 50 - 37 percent, compared to 47 - 38 percent in a May 11 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University; Bloomberg 49 - 34 percent over Manhattan Borough President C. Virginia Fields, compared to 43 - 38 percent May 11; Bloomberg tops City Council Speaker Gifford Miller 49 - 33 percent, compared to 42 - 35 percent May 11; Bloomberg over U.S. Rep. Anthony Weiner 51 - 30 percent, compared to 44 - 32 percent May 11.
Among Hispanic voters, Ferrer leads Bloomberg, 51 - 40 percent, but the Mayor tops the other Democratic challengers. Hispanic voters approve 51 - 39 percent of the job the Mayor is doing.
"Summertime and the voting looks easy. Fifty percent makes you a winner and Mayor Bloomberg's almost there. Quinnipiac took a particularly close look at the city's growing Latino community and, even there, Mayor Mike's job approval came out positive," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
New York City voters approve 61 - 29 percent of plans to build a new stadium for the Mets, and possibly the 2012 Olympics, in Queens.
"Subtract one Manhattan stadium and the political equation alters. A troublesome issue - maybe the only troublesome issue - vanished when Bloomberg shifted attention from the Manhattan stadium to Queens," Carroll added.
Among all Democratic primary voters, Ferrer leads the pack with 31 percent, followed by 19 percent for Fields. This compares to a 27 - 23 percent Ferrer lead May 11.
Weiner and Miller remained tied at 12 percent each.
Among Hispanic Democrats, Ferrer gets 59 percent, with 11 percent for Fields and 7 percent each for Miller and Weiner.
If Ferrer loses the Democratic primary, 57 percent of his backers say they still vote for the Democratic candidate over Bloomberg. Among Fields backers, 49 percent would back another Democrat in November.
"Ferrer seems to be recovering from the Amadou Diallo flap, but there could still be a Democratic runoff with Virginia Fields," Carroll said.
Mayor Bloomberg favors Manhattan over the other boroughs, voters say 62 - 30 percent. Even Manhattan voters say 55 - 32 percent that the Mayor favors them.
Voters split 46 - 46 percent on whether Bloomberg cares about their needs and problems.
Ferrer cares, voters say 51 - 26 percent; Fields gets a 43 - 20 percent score for caring, with 35 - 24 percent for Miller and 32 - 23 percent for Weiner.
From June 12 - 19, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,780 New York City registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.3 percentage points. The survey includes 1,140 Democrats, with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points.
The survey includes an oversample of 672 Hispanics, with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points. This includes 432 Hispanic Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.7 percentage points. In the overall sample, Hispanics were weighted to reflect their representation in the population.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida and nationwide as a public service and for research. For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or call (203) 582-5201
1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp Approve 55% 66% 50% 57% 59% 48% 51% Disapprove 36 25 39 34 32 41 39 DK/NA 10 9 11 9 9 11 9 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Approve 49% 51% 57% 57% 64% 59% 51% Disapprove 39 39 34 32 30 34 37 DK/NA 12 10 9 11 6 7 12
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor?
Highest Lowest Approve Approve Jun 22 May 11 Mar 30 Mar 2 Feb 6 Jul 2 2005 2005 2005 2005 2002 2003 Approve 55 47 46 48 65 31 Disapprove 36 41 41 40 6 60 DK/NA 10 12 12 12 29 8
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp Approve 27% 81% 12% 29% 32% 15% 29% Disapprove 70 16 86 65 66 82 65 DK/NA 3 3 2 6 2 3 5 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Approve 27% 30% 17% 27% 44% 30% 24% Disapprove 69 67 80 68 55 67 72 DK/NA 3 4 3 5 1 3 4
4. If the election for mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Gifford Miller the Democrat, and Michael Bloomberg the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp Miller 33% 11% 44% 23% 28% 41% 38% Bloomberg 49 75 38 56 54 43 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 2 4 2 3 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 2 3 2 2 2 DK/NA 13 9 14 14 13 12 10 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Miller 39% 35% 30% 32% 22% 32% 34% Bloomberg 43 46 49 51 62 53 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 3 2 5 4 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 1 2 2 2 DK/NA 12 13 15 14 9 9 17
TREND: If the election for mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Gifford Miller the Democrat, and Michael Bloomberg the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Jun 22 May 11 Mar 30 Mar 2 Jan 19 Nov 10 Jul 20 2005 2005 2005 2005 2005 2004 2004 Miller 33 35 40 38 38 36 37 Bloomberg 49 42 40 40 43 42 39 SMONE ELSE 3 2 2 2 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE 2 3 3 2 1 2 2 DK/NA 13 18 16 17 16 19 20
5. If the election for mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Fernando Ferrer the Democrat, and Michael Bloomberg the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp Ferrer 37% 17% 48% 28% 26% 47% 51% Bloomberg 50 75 40 57 60 40 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 1 2 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 3 2 2 2 DK/NA 10 4 10 11 10 10 5 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Ferrer 49% 36% 34% 37% 20% 35% 38% Bloomberg 38 50 51 50 67 54 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 4 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 1 2 2 1 3 DK/NA 8 10 12 9 7 7 11
TREND: If the election for mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Fernando Ferrer the Democrat, and Michael Bloomberg the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Jun 22 May 11 Mar 30 Mar 2 Jan 19 Nov 10 Jul 20 2005 2005 2005 2005 2005 2004 2004 Ferrer 37 38 46 47 43 45 46 Bloomberg 50 47 40 39 43 40 39 SMONE ELSE 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 DK/NA 10 11 10 12 12 13 11
6. If the election for mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Anthony Weiner the Democrat, and Michael Bloomberg the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp Weiner 30% 13% 38% 23% 26% 33% 35% Bloomberg 51 70 42 59 56 46 49 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 4 2 3 2 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 2 2 2 3 2 DK/NA 15 11 16 13 14 16 10 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Weiner 31% 32% 27% 31% 18% 28% 31% Bloomberg 46 47 53 51 66 55 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 3 2 4 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 2 2 1 2 3 DK/NA 17 14 16 14 11 12 17
TREND: If the election for mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Anthony Weiner the Democrat, and Michael Bloomberg the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Jun 22 May 11 Mar 30 Mar 2 Jan 19 Nov 10 Jul 20 2005 2005 2005 2005 2005 2004 2004 Weiner 30 32 35 36 36 35 34 Bloomberg 51 44 43 41 43 40 40 SMONE ELSE 3 2 2 2 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE 2 3 3 3 2 3 2 DK/NA 15 19 17 19 19 21 21
7. If the election for mayor were being held today, and the candidates were C. Virginia Fields the Democrat, and Michael Bloomberg the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp Fields 34% 12% 45% 25% 24% 50% 39% Bloomberg 49 72 38 59 58 37 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 1 2 2 0 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 DK/NA 13 11 14 11 13 12 11 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Fields 38% 36% 37% 31% 17% 30% 37% Bloomberg 42 44 49 53 63 54 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 1 7 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 DK/NA 15 15 11 13 11 11 15
TREND: If the election for mayor were being held today, and the candidates were C. Virginia Fields the Democrat, and Michael Bloomberg the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Jun 22 May 11 Mar 30 Mar 2 Jan 19 Nov 10 Jul 20 2005 2005 2005 2005 2005 2004 2004 Fields 34 38 41 38 39 38 38 Bloomberg 49 43 42 41 44 42 42 SMONE ELSE 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 DK/NA 13 15 13 18 15 18 17
8. (If registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for mayor were being held today and the candidates were Gifford Miller, Fernando Ferrer, C. Virginia Fields, and Anthony Weiner for whom would you vote?
REGISTERED DEMOCRATS.................................. TotDem Wht Blk Hisp Miller 12% 18% 7% 7% Ferrer 31 22 26 59 Fields 19 11 39 11 Weiner 12 19 5 7 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 9 2 3 DK/NA 18 20 20 10 Brnx Kngs Man Qns Men Wom Miller 9% 11% 16% 11% 13% 12% Ferrer 50 25 24 35 34 29 Fields 19 20 23 18 17 21 Weiner 5 18 8 12 15 10 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 3 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 5 6 4 6 4 DK/NA 14 20 20 19 14 21
TREND: (If registered Democrat)If the Democratic primary for mayor were being held today and the candidates were Gifford Miller, Fernando Ferrer, C. Virginia Fields, and Anthony Weiner, for whom would you vote? (na = not asked)
REGISTERED DEMOCRATS................... Jun 22 May 11 Mar 30 Mar 2 Jan 19 Nov 10 2005 2005 2005 2005 2005 2004 Miller 12 11 10 12 12 8 Ferrer 31 27 36 40 31 28 Fields 19 23 21 14 15 14 Barron na na na na 5 3 Weiner 12 13 11 12 10 8 Thompson na na na na na 9 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 3 2 2 2 DK/NA 18 21 19 20 24 27
9. (If registered Democrat) If the candidate you support loses in the Democratic primary for Mayor, who would you vote for in the general election for Mayor in November -- Michael Bloomberg or the Democratic primary winner?
REGISTERED DEMOCRATS...... Candidate choice q8. Tot GM FF CVF AW Bloomberg 42% 46% 35% 38% 55% Dem Prime winner 43 39 57 49 26 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 2 1 2 DK/NA 13 14 6 11 17
12. Would you say that Michael Bloomberg cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp Yes 46% 62% 42% 48% 56% 37% 36% No 46 34 49 45 37 55 56 DK/NA 8 4 9 7 7 8 7 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Yes 38% 42% 54% 45% 54% 51% 42% No 54 49 37 48 40 43 49 DK/NA 9 9 8 7 6 6 9
13. Would you say that Gifford Miller cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp Yes 35% 27% 38% 33% 37% 31% 30% No 24 35 19 28 23 22 30 DK/NA 42 38 43 39 40 47 40 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Yes 31% 31% 46% 32% 29% 40% 30% No 23 26 20 23 34 26 22 DK/NA 45 44 35 45 36 34 48
14. Would you say that Fernando Ferrer cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp Yes 51% 33% 59% 46% 45% 56% 63% No 26 42 19 31 32 20 25 DK/NA 22 26 22 22 24 24 12 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Yes 63% 47% 53% 50% 42% 52% 51% No 23 25 26 26 39 29 24 DK/NA 14 27 21 24 19 19 25
15. Would you say that C. Virginia Fields cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp Yes 43% 22% 51% 38% 35% 64% 40% No 20 35 15 24 24 13 24 DK/NA 37 43 34 38 41 23 35 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Yes 44% 42% 52% 39% 29% 45% 41% No 17 19 21 19 33 22 19 DK/NA 38 39 27 41 38 33 40
16. Would you say that Anthony Weiner cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp Yes 32% 31% 35% 27% 37% 27% 30% No 23 34 17 28 21 22 27 DK/NA 45 35 48 45 43 50 43 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Yes 25% 37% 29% 33% 34% 36% 29% No 26 20 22 24 29 25 21 DK/NA 49 44 49 43 37 38 50
17. Do you think Mayor Bloomberg favors Manhattan over the outer boroughs or gives all areas of the city equal attention?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp Favors Manhattan 62% 44% 67% 61% 54% 69% 70% Equal attention 30 44 25 32 35 26 24 DK/NA 8 12 8 6 11 6 6 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Favors Manhattan 67% 64% 55% 65% 54% 61% 63% Equal attention 27 27 32 30 40 33 28 DK/NA 6 9 13 4 7 6 10
31. There is a proposal to build a new stadium for the New York Mets baseball team and the 2012 Olympics in Queens. In general, do you support or oppose this proposal?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp Support 61% 63% 61% 60% 64% 57% 60% Oppose 29 27 29 30 26 31 30 DK/NA 11 9 10 10 10 12 10 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Support 51% 55% 64% 67% 69% 67% 56% Oppose 37 31 27 25 21 24 32 DK/NA 12 14 9 7 10 9 11