New York City (NYC) Poll * November 14, 2006 * New Yorkers Approve Of Mayor M - Quinnipiac University

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November 14, 2006 - New Yorkers Approve Of Mayor More Than 3-1 Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; But Most Won't Vote For Him As President

New York City voters approve 72 - 20 percent of the job Mayor Michael Bloomberg is doing, but most voters don't think the Mayor will run for President; most wouldn't vote for him if he did and most don't think he could win, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
A total of 39 percent of voters say it is "very likely" or "somewhat likely" Bloomberg will run for President, while 58 percent say it is "not too likely" or "not likely at all." This compares to 36 - 62 percent in a July 12 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe- ack) University.
If Bloomberg does run as an independent, 35 percent of New York City voters say they "definitely" or "probably" will vote for him, while 56 percent say they "probably" or "definitely" won't. And 33 percent of voters say it is "very likely" or "somewhat likely" he would win.
"All the talk of a Bloomberg-for-president campaign? Just talk, most New Yorkers think. Mayor Mike gets top-drawer marks for his work in City Hall. But most of the neighbors wouldn't support a move to the White House. Bloomberg doesn't even get a majority of Republicans. And Democrats? Fuhgeddaboutit," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
Bloomberg would make a "great" or "good" President, 44 percent of New York City voters say, with 36 percent who say "so so" and 17 percent who say "bad." Presidential rankings for other New York leaders are:
Gov. George Pataki: 19 percent "great" or "good;" 37 percent "so so," 41 percent "bad;" Sen. Hillary Clinton: 67 percent "great" or "good;" 17 percent "so so," 13 percent "bad;" Mayor Rudolph Giuliani: 41 percent "great" or "good;" 24 percent "so so," 33 percent "bad."
"New Yorkers are a tough crowd. Mayor Bloomberg, Gov. George Pataki and former Mayor Rudy Giuliani all fail to hit the 50 percent mark as potentially "good" presidents, let alone "great," Carroll said. "The one New York star who a lot of politicians think really might run - Sen. Hillary Clinton - scores the highest."
Bloomberg has enjoyed a full year of near-70 percent approval ratings. Black voters approve of the Mayor 63 - 27 percent, while white voters approve 80 - 15 percent and Hispanic voters approve 67 - 24 percent.
Looking at other New York City leaders:
Voters approve 47 - 12 percent of the job Council Speaker Christine Quinn is doing, with 41 percent undecided; Voters approve 45 - 12 percent of the job Comptroller William Thompson is doing, with 43 percent undecided; Voters approve 38 - 18 percent of the job Public Advocate Betsy Gotbaum is doing, with 44 percent undecided.
"Job performance measures when you're one of 'the other guys' can be hard on official egos. An awful lot of New Yorkers don't know enough about Public Advocate Betsy Gotbaum, Comptroller William Thompson or Council Speaker Christine Quinn to make a judgment," Carroll said.
From November 8 - 12, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,314 New York City registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida and nationwide as a public service and for research.
For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or call (203) 582-5201
1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp Approve 72% 83% 70% 74% 80% 63% 67% Disapprove 20 14 21 19 15 27 24 DK/NA 8 4 8 6 5 10 10 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Approve 68% 69% 77% 74% 71% 73% 71% Disapprove 23 23 15 18 27 20 20 DK/NA 9 8 8 8 2 6 9
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor?
Highest Lowest Approve Approve Nov 14 Jul 12 Apr 12 Mar 8 Feb 2 Nov 17 Jul 2 2006 2006 2006 2006 2006 2005 2003 Approve 72 72 69 73 72 75 31 Disapprove 20 19 20 19 19 17 60 DK/NA 8 9 11 8 8 7 8
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Betsy Gotbaum is handling her job as Public Advocate?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp Approve 38% 33% 42% 31% 37% 44% 30% Disapprove 18 19 15 23 16 18 23 DK/NA 44 48 42 47 47 38 47 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Approve 30% 41% 39% 40% 37% 37% 40% Disapprove 20 17 16 17 20 22 14 DK/NA 50 42 45 43 44 41 47
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Betsy Gotbaum is handling her job as Public Advocate?
Nov 14 Nov 25 Jul 2 May 7 Feb 26 2006 2003 2003 2003 2003 Approve 38 41 43 35 34 Disapprove 18 19 22 18 17 DK/NA 44 40 35 47 49
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christine Quinn is handling her job as City Council Speaker?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp Approve 47% 45% 51% 40% 47% 48% 51% Disapprove 12 14 9 17 10 13 13 DK/NA 41 41 39 43 43 39 36 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Approve 54% 45% 49% 44% 47% 45% 49% Disapprove 9 15 9 12 17 16 8 DK/NA 37 39 43 45 36 39 43
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way William Thompson is handling his job as City Comptroller?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp Approve 45% 51% 47% 41% 41% 52% 44% Disapprove 12 9 11 13 9 14 14 DK/NA 43 40 42 47 50 34 42 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Approve 44% 46% 43% 47% 44% 49% 42% Disapprove 13 13 7 12 19 16 8 DK/NA 42 41 49 41 37 35 49
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way William Thompson is handling his job as City Comptroller?
Nov 14 Nov 25 Jul 2 May 7 Feb 26 2006 2003 2003 2003 2003 Approve 45 37 38 37 35 Disapprove 12 14 20 16 13 DK/NA 43 49 42 46 52
5. There has been a lot of talk about the possibility that Mayor Bloomberg might run for President. How likely do you think it is that he will run for President? Very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not likely at all?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp Very likely 10% 7% 12% 6% 4% 15% 20% Smwht likely 29 30 29 25 29 32 28 Not too likely 32 29 31 35 35 30 21 Not likely at all 26 29 25 30 28 21 24 DK/NA 4 5 3 5 3 3 7 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Very likely 10% 10% 8% 12% 9% 9% 10% Smwht likely 29 26 31 28 38 25 32 Not too likely 32 33 29 35 29 32 32 Not likely at all 23 27 28 24 23 29 22 DK/NA 7 4 4 2 1 4 3
TREND: There has been a lot of talk about the possibility that Mayor Bloomberg might run for President. How likely do you think it is that he will run for President? Very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not likely at all?
Nov 14 Jul 12 2006 2006 Very likely 10 11 Smwht likely 29 25 Not too likely 32 35 Not likely at all 26 27 DK/NA 4 2
6. If Mayor Bloomberg ran for President as an independent, how likely is it that you would vote for him? Would you definitely vote for him, probably vote for him, probably not vote for him, or definitely not vote for him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp Definitely 10% 14% 8% 11% 8% 8% 15% Probably 25 31 23 30 27 28 22 Probably not 25 25 26 22 27 22 21 Definitely not 31 21 35 28 28 36 35 DK/NA 8 9 8 10 10 7 7 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Definitely 8% 11% 9% 9% 10% 12% 7% Probably 26 26 29 20 27 25 26 Probably not 22 25 25 28 22 24 27 Definitely not 33 33 26 34 33 33 30 DK/NA 11 4 12 9 7 6 10
7. How likely do you think it is that Michael Bloomberg would win if he decided to run for President? Is it very likely he would win, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not likely at all?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp Very likely 5% 6% 4% 5% 3% 8% 8% Smwht likely 28 34 28 25 27 32 31 Not too likely 34 30 33 39 34 29 37 Not likely at all 28 27 30 26 32 26 20 DK/NA 5 3 4 6 5 5 4 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Very likely 5% 5% 4% 4% 5% 5% 4% Smwht likely 32 31 25 26 29 24 32 Not too likely 35 30 34 38 34 33 35 Not likely at all 21 30 31 28 29 34 23 DK/NA 6 5 5 4 3 4 5
8. What kind of President do you think Governor George Pataki would make? Do you think he would make a great President, a good President, a so so President, or a bad President?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp Great 3% 4% 2% 3% 2% 2% 4% Good 16 30 15 12 15 14 26 So so 37 47 35 39 39 42 27 Bad 41 17 45 44 42 39 37 DK/NA 3 2 3 2 2 3 6 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Great 1% 5% 1% 2% 3% 4% 1% Good 20 17 11 17 18 16 17 So so 39 36 33 43 33 32 41 Bad 37 40 51 36 44 45 38 DK/NA 3 3 4 2 2 3 3
9. What kind of President do you think United States Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton would make? Do you think she would make a great President, a good President, a so so President, or a bad President?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp Great 28% 9% 36% 17% 15% 41% 46% Good 39 15 47 34 38 45 38 So so 17 23 12 25 21 10 6 Bad 13 48 3 21 23 2 6 DK/NA 2 5 2 3 2 1 5 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Great 36% 28% 24% 26% 25% 20% 34% Good 37 40 44 36 38 38 40 So so 17 14 18 20 19 21 14 Bad 5 17 12 15 18 19 9 DK/NA 5 1 2 3 1 2 3
10. What kind of President do you think New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg would make? Do you think he would make a great President, a good President, a so so President, or a bad President?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp Great 7% 10% 6% 9% 8% 6% 7% Good 37 51 34 38 43 31 28 So so 36 26 40 35 33 41 40 Bad 17 11 18 15 14 19 20 DK/NA 3 1 2 2 2 3 6 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Great 6% 6% 9% 9% 6% 9% 6% Good 32 37 44 33 38 37 37 So so 44 34 32 40 31 32 40 Bad 15 20 11 16 25 19 15 DK/NA 3 3 4 3 - 2 3
11. What kind of President do you think Former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani would make? Do you think he would make a great President, a good President, a so so President, or a bad President?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp Great 14% 39% 8% 13% 17% 6% 16% Good 27 43 21 31 32 14 34 So so 24 15 27 23 22 32 23 Bad 33 3 41 32 28 47 22 DK/NA 2 1 2 1 1 1 6 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Great 10% 15% 10% 17% 26% 15% 13% Good 26 26 23 29 32 26 27 So so 25 25 26 24 16 24 25 Bad 35 33 40 28 25 34 33 DK/NA 4 1 2 2 1 1 2