New York State (NY) Poll * April 5, 2007 * Clinton, Giuliani Hold Big Lea - Quinnipiac University

Home> Institutes and Centers> Quinnipiac University Polling Institute> New York State (NY)> Release Detail

April 5, 2007 - Clinton, Giuliani Hold Big Leads In New York State, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Gore Catches Obama In Democratic Primary Race

Sen. Hillary Clinton and former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani are the pick of their parties in New York State where Sen. Clinton leads Mayor Giuliani 50 - 42 percent in the 2008 presidential campaign, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Sen. Clinton tops Arizona Sen. John McCain 55 - 34 percent.
In other possible presidential matchups, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe- ack) University poll finds:
Giuliani ties Illinois Sen. Barack Obama 44 - 44 percent 2004 vice presidential candidate John Edwards tops Giuliani 47 - 43 percent; Clinton over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney 61 - 26 percent; Obama beats McCain 47 - 36 percent; Edwards over McCain 52 - 34 percent; Obama beats Romney 53 - 23 percent; Edwards tops Romney 59 - 21 percent.
Clinton leads the Democratic primary pack with 44 percent, followed by Obama and former Vice President Al Gore with 14 percent each and Edwards with 9 percent.
"Sorry, Mayor Giuliani. New York is still a blue state. In other states polled by Quinnipiac University, Giuliani runs strong. But Sen. Clinton holds an 8-point lead over the former mayor among the home folks," said Maurice Carroll, Director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
"Giuliani makes a race of it against the other Democrats. Clinton swamps the other Republicans," Carroll added.
Giuliani gets 52 percent of Republicans, followed by McCain with 13 percent, former Gov. George Pataki with 6 percent, Romney at 4 percent and 3 percent each for former Senator and actor Fred Thompson and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich.
"Even if New York moves its presidential primary to February 5, will any of the candidates even bother to campaign here against Giuliani and Clinton?" Carroll asked.
"Two guys who have yet to throw their hats into the ring are creating a stir: Former Vice President Al Gore is tied with Sen. Obama among New York Democrats and Sen. Fred Thompson, who plays a Manhattan district attorney on Law & Order, is doing almost as well as multi-millionaire Mitt Romney."
Clinton gets a 58 - 35 percent favorability rating and a 68 - 26 percent approval of the job she's doing as Senator. Favorability ratings for other contenders are:
55 - 35 percent for Giuliani; 47 - 23 percent for McCain; 48 - 12 percent for Obama; 58 - 14 percent for Edwards, up from 44 - 21 percent February 14; For Romney, 69 percent haven't heard enough to form an opinion; For Thompson, 78 percent haven't heard enough to form an opinion.
President Bush's Approval
New York State voters disapprove 72 - 26 percent of the job President George W. Bush is doing.
Congress should set a timetable to bring all U.S. troops home from Iraq by the end of next year, voters say 61 - 35 percent, with support from 32 percent of Republicans.
From March 28 - April 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,548 New York State voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percent. The survey includes 476 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percent, and 680 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percent.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.
1. (If registered Democrat) If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Wesley Clark, Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, John Edwards, Al Gore, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama and Bill Richardson for whom would you vote?
REGISTERED DEMOCRATS Tot Men Wom Biden 1% 2% 1% Clark - - - Clinton 44 38 49 Dodd - - - Edwards 9 10 8 Gore 14 19 11 Gravel - - - Kucinich 1 2 1 Obama 14 14 13 Richardson 1 3 - SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 DK/NA 13 9 15
TREND: (If registered Democrat) If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Wesley Clark, Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, John Edwards, Al Gore, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama and Bill Richardson, for whom would you vote? na = not asked
REGISTERED DEMOCRATS..... Apr 5 Feb 14 2007 2007 Biden 1 1 Clark - 1 Clinton 44 47 Dodd - 1 Edwards 9 7 Gore 14 11 Gravel - na Kucinich 1 1 Obama 14 16 Richardson 1 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 DK/NA 13 12
2. (If registered Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Sam Brownback, Jim Gilmore, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Chuck Hagel, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, George Pataki, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, Fred Thompson and Tommy Thompson for whom would you vote?
REGISTERED REPUBLICANS Tot Men Wom Brownback 1% - 1% Gilmore - - - Gingrich 3 5 2 Giuliani 52 53 51 Hagel 1 2 - Huckabee - - - Hunter - - - McCain 13 16 10 Pataki 6 5 7 Paul - - - Romney 4 6 1 Tancredo - - - Thompson, F. 3 3 4 Thompson, T. - - - SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 3 DK/NA 12 8 17
TREND: (If registered Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Sam Brownback, Jim Gilmore, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Chuck Hagel, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, George Pataki, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, Fred Thompson, and Tommy Thompson, for whom would you vote? na = not asked
REGISTERED REPUBLICANS... Apr 5 Feb 14 2007 2007 Brownback 1 - Gilmore - - Gingrich 3 6 Giuliani 52 51 Hagel 1 1 Huckabee - 2 Hunter - 1 McCain 13 17 Pataki 6 7 Paul - na Romney 4 1 Tancredo - 1 Thompson, F. 3 na Thompson, T. - - SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 DK/NA 12 9
3. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 50% 6% 80% 44% 44% 55% Giuliani 42 89 16 46 48 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 2 2 1 DK/NA 5 4 3 6 4 6 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Clinton 57% 38% 41% 66% 41% Giuliani 37 52 50 27 53 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 2 1 2 DK/NA 4 6 6 6 3
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote? * - Hillary Rodham Clinton and Rudolph Giuliani
Apr 5 Feb 14 Dec 8 Sep 14 2007 2007 2004* 2004* Clinton 50 50 46 43 Giuliani 42 40 45 50 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 3 1 DK/NA 5 6 5 5
4. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Obama 44% 6% 68% 40% 41% 46% Giuliani 44 84 21 48 48 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 2 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 2 2 2 DK/NA 9 8 8 9 8 10 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Obama 47% 32% 34% 60% 36% Giuliani 41 51 49 31 54 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 2 1 3 DK/NA 9 14 13 6 7
5. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Edwards 47% 8% 74% 42% 43% 51% Giuliani 43 86 18 46 49 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 - 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 2 2 DK/NA 7 5 6 9 6 9 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Edwards 57% 37% 40% 61% 38% Giuliani 34 50 48 31 53 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 0 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 1 3 DK/NA 7 10 10 6 6
6. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 55% 11% 86% 45% 46% 62% McCain 34 78 7 39 42 28 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 4 1 3 2 2 DK/NA 8 7 5 11 8 7 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Clinton 67% 42% 46% 71% 43% McCain 28 45 42 20 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 3 3 1 3 DK/NA 5 8 7 7 9
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Apr 5 Feb 14 2007 2007 Clinton 55 56 McCain 34 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 DK/NA 8 6
7. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Obama 47% 6% 74% 41% 42% 51% McCain 36 78 12 39 43 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 5 1 4 3 3 DK/NA 12 9 10 15 11 13 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Obama 54% 35% 38% 61% 41% McCain 34 45 43 22 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 3 3 4 DK/NA 10 15 14 12 9
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Apr 5 Feb 14 2007 2007 Obama 47 46 McCain 36 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 DK/NA 12 14
8. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Edwards 52% 12% 81% 44% 46% 56% McCain 34 75 8 38 42 27 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 2 5 3 4 DK/NA 10 8 7 12 8 12 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Edwards 61% 41% 44% 63% 47% McCain 28 43 41 22 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 2 0 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 4 3 3 5 DK/NA 7 11 11 10 9
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Apr 5 Feb 14 2007 2007 Edwards 52 48 McCain 34 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 DK/NA 10 12
9. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 61% 16% 90% 57% 53% 67% Romney 26 70 4 24 33 21 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 4 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 1 3 4 2 DK/NA 8 9 4 13 8 8 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Clinton 70% 49% 53% 77% 51% Romney 23 36 34 14 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 2 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 3 2 3 DK/NA 6 9 9 5 12
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Apr 5 Feb 14 2007 2007 Clinton 61 61 Romney 26 25 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 DK/NA 8 9
10. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Obama 53% 16% 78% 49% 51% 55% Romney 23 59 4 24 28 20 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 3 3 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 2 6 4 4 DK/NA 17 18 12 19 14 19 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Obama 62% 42% 45% 66% 48% Romney 18 30 28 15 29 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 3 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 4 3 5 DK/NA 13 21 19 14 17
11. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Edwards 59% 21% 85% 57% 56% 62% Romney 21 60 2 20 26 17 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 3 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 6 3 4 3 5 DK/NA 13 13 8 16 12 14 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Edwards 64% 50% 53% 70% 55% Romney 16 28 26 12 26 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 5 2 2 3 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 7 3 4 4 5 DK/NA 8 17 15 11 14
TREND:. Is your opinion of -- favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him/her? na = not asked Score = Favorable (Haven't Heard Enough)
Apr 5 Feb 14 2007 2007 Clinton, Hillary 58( 4) 59( 4) Edwards, John 58(25) 44(33) Giuliani, Rudy 55( 8) 56(11) McCain, John 47(27) 48(26) Obama, Barack 48(38) 44(46) Romney, Mitt 14(69) 13(72) Thompson, Fred 12(78) na
12. Is your opinion of -- Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 58% 20% 84% 52% 50% 65% Unfavorable 35 75 11 39 43 29 Hvn't hrd enough 4 3 3 7 4 4 REFUSED 3 2 2 3 2 3
TREND: Is your opinion of -- Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
Apr 5 Feb 14 2007 2007 Favorable 58 59 Unfavorable 35 35 Hvn't hrd enough 4 4 REFUSED 3 2
13. Is your opinion of -- John Edwards favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 58% 41% 73% 53% 57% 58% Unfavorable 14 35 3 15 19 11 Hvn't hrd enough 25 20 22 29 22 28 REFUSED 3 4 1 3 2 3
TREND: Is your opinion of -- John Edwards favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Apr 5 Feb 14 2007 2007 Favorable 58 44 Unfavorable 14 21 Hvn't hrd enough 25 33 REFUSED 3 1
14. Is your opinion of -- Rudy Giuliani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 55% 85% 37% 59% 61% 50% Unfavorable 35 7 53 31 32 37 Hvn't hrd enough 8 7 8 8 4 11 REFUSED 2 2 2 2 2 2
TREND: Is your opinion of -- Rudy Giuliani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Apr 5 Feb 14 2007 2007 Favorable 55 56 Unfavorable 35 30 Hvn't hrd enough 8 11 REFUSED 2 3
15. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 47% 71% 31% 52% 55% 41% Unfavorable 23 9 34 20 24 23 Hvn't hrd enough 27 17 33 26 20 34 REFUSED 2 3 2 2 1 3
TREND: Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Apr 5 Feb 14 2007 2007 Favorable 47 48 Unfavorable 23 24 Hvn't hrd enough 27 26 REFUSED 2 2
16. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 48% 29% 61% 45% 45% 50% Unfavorable 12 27 5 12 15 11 Hvn't hrd enough 38 41 33 43 39 38 REFUSED 1 3 1 1 1 1
TREND: Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Apr 5 Feb 14 2007 2007 Favorable 48 44 Unfavorable 12 9 Hvn't hrd enough 38 46 REFUSED 1 1
17. Is your opinion of -- Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 14% 27% 5% 17% 18% 10% Unfavorable 16 10 23 13 18 15 Hvn't hrd enough 69 62 71 69 63 74 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1
TREND: Is your opinion of -- Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Apr 5 Feb 14 2007 2007 Favorable 14 13 Unfavorable 16 14 Hvn't hrd enough 69 72 REFUSED 1 1
18. Is your opinion of -- Fred Thompson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 12% 20% 7% 11% 17% 8% Unfavorable 10 7 13 9 12 8 Hvn't hrd enough 78 72 79 79 70 84 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 -
19. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, do you think you would vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Democratic 53% 6% 89% 44% 49% 57% Republican 27 77 2 25 32 23 DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 13 12 7 19 13 12 DK/NA 7 5 2 12 6 7 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Democratic 56% 41% 44% 71% 45% Republican 24 33 32 18 33 DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 12 16 15 8 15 DK/NA 8 10 9 3 8
20. What do you think is the most important issue for the next president to deal with?
Tot War (Iraq) 53% Healthcare Total 11% Healthcare/Costs/ Ins/HMO's 10 Medicare 1 Terrorism Total 6% Terrorism general 3 Security/Safety 3 Economy Total 5% Economy general 3 Unemployment/jobs 1 Cost of living 1 Education general 2% Environment/Pollution 2% Taxes general 2% Foreign affairs/ policy general 2% Immigration 2% Energy general 1 World Peace 1 Budget general 1 Politicians general 1 Other 1 DK/NA 2
22. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hillary Rodham Clinton is handling her job as United States Senator?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 68% 33% 90% 67% 62% 73% Disapprove 26 61 6 27 32 21 DK/NA 6 6 4 6 6 6 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Approve 74% 59% 61% 80% 62% Disapprove 22 35 33 14 31 DK/NA 5 6 5 6 7
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hillary Rodham Clinton is handling her job as United States Senator?
Highest Lowest Approve Approve Apr 5 Feb 13 Dec 14 Oct 5 Aug 24 Dec 14 Feb 14 2007 2007 2006 2006 2006 2006 2001 Approve 68 69 72 65 58 72 38 Disapprove 26 26 23 30 34 23 30 DK/NA 6 5 5 5 8 5 33
30. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 26% 64% 8% 21% 27% 25% Disapprove 72 32 90 76 71 73 DK/NA 3 4 1 3 3 3 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Approve 15% 33% 30% 19% 28% Disapprove 82 65 68 78 70 DK/NA 3 2 2 3 2
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President? (* also 82% on 10/2/01)
Highest Lowest Approve Approve Apr 5 Feb 14 Dec 14 Oct 5 Aug 24 Nov 14 May 18 2007 2007 2006 2006 2006 2001 * 2006 Approve 26 24 26 28 27 82 22 Disapprove 72 72 71 67 69 15 75 DK/NA 3 4 3 4 4 3 3
31. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 21% 54% 5% 18% 25% 18% Disapprove 76 40 94 78 72 79 DK/NA 3 6 1 4 2 4
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq?
Highest Lowest Approve Approve Apr 5 Feb 14 Oct 5 May 18 Mar 30 Jan 20 Feb 14 2007 2007 2006 2006 2006 2006 2007 Approve 21 20 26 22 27 32 20 Disapprove 76 75 70 74 69 63 75 DK/NA 3 5 4 4 3 5 5
32. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Right thing 31% 70% 12% 30% 35% 28% Wrong thing 64 24 86 63 60 67 DK/NA 5 7 2 6 5 5
TREND: Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?
Apr 5 Feb 14 Oct 5 May 18 Mar 30 Jan 20 Dec 14 2007 2007 2006 2006 2006 2006 2005 Right thing 31 30 30 27 34 34 34 Wrong thing 64 66 63 67 61 57 61 DK/NA 5 5 7 6 6 9 6
33. Do you support or oppose Congress setting a time-table for withdrawing all United States troops from Iraq by the end of next year?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Support 61% 32% 81% 54% 51% 68% Oppose 35 66 14 40 45 26 DK/NA 5 3 5 7 3 6