Pennsylvania (PA) Poll * March 29, 2007 * Clinton Bounces Back In Pennsy - Quinnipiac University

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March 29, 2007 - Clinton Bounces Back In Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Show Little Interest In Moving Up Primary

New York Sen. Hillary Clinton has widened her lead over Illinois Sen. Barack Obama among Pennsylvania Democrats and narrowed the gap with former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani in the 2008 presidential race, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
Sen. Clinton gets 36 percent of Democratic primary voters, with 17 percent for Sen. Obama, 13 percent for former Vice President Al Gore, 9 percent for John Edwards and 4 percent for Delaware Sen. Joseph Biden. This compares to a 29 - 1 8 percent Clinton lead over Obama in a March 7 independent Quinnipiac (KWIN uh-pe-ack) University poll.
In general election matchups, former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani still tops all Democrats, 46 - 42 percent over Clinton, 46 - 39 percent over Obama and 48 - 39 percent over Edwards. Giuliani led Clinton 51 - 40 percent March 7.
Giuliani leads the Republican field with 33 percent, with 18 percent for Arizona Sen. John McCain, 7 percent for former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, 6 percent for actor Fred Thompson and 5 percent for former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney.
"Although she still trails former Mayor Rudy Giuliani in Pennsylvania, Sen. Hillary Clinton seems to have strengthened her position somewhat, now leading Sen. John McCain by a point and maintaining a more than 2 - 1 lead over Sen. Barack Obama in a Democratic primary," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
"Giuliani has widened his lead among Pennsylvania Republicans. Even though he is largely unknown in Pennsylvania, former Sen. Fred Thompson in his poll premier, gets 6 percent, presumably largely from his loyal fans from Law & Order," Richards added.
In other possible Pennsylvania presidential matchups:
Clinton gets 44 percent for 43 percent for McCain; Clinton tops Romney 49 - 35 percent; McCain ties Obama 42 - 42 percent; McCain gets 42 percent to Edwards 41 percent Obama beats Romney 48 - 29 percent; Edwards beats Romney 50 - 28 percent.
By a 42 - 28 percent margin, with 30 percent undecided, Pennsylvania voters favor moving the state's presidential primary to February 5. But only 36 percent of voters say the earlier date would make them more likely to vote in the primary.
Pennsylvania voters give Clinton a 47 - 44 percent favorability rating, down from 53 - 39 percent February 8. Favorability ratings for other contenders are:
56 - 25 percent for Giuliani, down from 61 - 18 percent; 49 - 23 percent for McCain, down from 54 - 20 percent; 43 - 16 percent for Obama, up from 39 - 15 percent, with 40 percent who haven't heard enough to form an opinion; 44 - 25 percent for Edwards, compared to 43 - 27 percent; 80 percent haven't heard enough about Thompson to form an opinion; For Romney, 68 percent haven't heard enough to form an opinion.
In an open-ended question, allowing for any answer, 36 percent of voters say the war in Iraq is the issue they would most like the presidential candidates to discuss, followed by healthcare with 12 percent and the economy with 6 percent.
From March 19 - 25, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,187 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points. The survey includes 528 Republicans, with a margin of error of +/- 4.3 percentage points, and 506 Democrats, with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research.
For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.
1. (If registered Democrat) If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Wesley Clark, Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, John Edwards, Al Gore, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama, and Bill Richardson, for whom would you vote?
REGISTERED DEMOCRATS Tot Men Wom Biden 4 6 3 Clark - - 1 Clinton 36 29 41 Dodd - - - Edwards 9 12 7 Gore 13 18 11 Gravel - - - Kucinich - - - Obama 17 13 19 Richardson 2 1 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 DK/NA 16 17 15
TREND: (If registered Democrat) If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Wesley Clark, Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, John Edwards, Al Gore, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama and Bill Richardson, for whom would you vote? na = not asked
REGISTERED DEMOCRATS Mar 29 Mar 7 Feb 8 2007 2007 2007 Biden 4 3 5 Clark - - - Clinton 36 29 37 Dodd - - 1 Edwards 9 11 11 Gore 13 16 11 Gravel - na na Kucinich - 1 1 Obama 17 18 11 Richardson 2 1 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 2 DK/NA 16 16 17
2. (If candidate choice q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary?
REGISTERED DEMOCRATS CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN Q1 Tot Men Wom Made up 40% 45% 37% Might change 58 55 60 DK/NA 2 - 3 CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1 AG HC BO Made up 28% 53% 35% Might change 70 46 62 DK/NA 2 2 2
3. (If "Gore" q1) If Al Gore sticks to his plans not to run, for whom would you vote - Joe Biden, Wesley Clark, Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, John Edwards, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama or Bill Richardson?
GORE CHOSEN Q1 Tot Biden 6 Clark - Clinton 38 Dodd - Edwards 16 Gravel - Kucinich - Obama 24 Richardson 3 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 DK/NA 11
4. (If registered Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Sam Brownback, Jim Gilmore, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Chuck Hagel, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, George Pataki, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, Fred Thompson and Tommy Thompson, for whom would you vote?
REGISTERED REPUBLICAN Tot Men Wom Brownback 1 2 - Gilmore - - - Gingrich 7 8 7 Giuliani 33 32 35 Hagel - - - Huckabee - 1 - Hunter 1 1 - McCain 18 21 16 Pataki 1 - 1 Paul - - - Romney 5 5 5 Tancredo - - - Thompson, F. 6 8 4 Thompson, T. - - - SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 2 DK/NA 22 19 25
TREND: (If registered Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Sam Brownback, Jim Gilmore, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Chuck Hagel, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, George Pataki, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, Fred Thompson, and Tommy Thompson, for whom would you vote? na = not asked
REGISTERED REPUBLICANS Mar 29 Mar 7 Feb 8 2007 2007 2007 Brownback 1 1 2 Gilmore - - - Gingrich 7 8 14 Giuliani 33 43 30 Hagel - 1 1 Huckabee - - 1 Hunter 1 - 1 McCain 18 17 20 Pataki 1 1 - Paul - - na Romney 5 6 4 Tancredo - - - Thompson, F. 6 na na Thompson, T. - - - SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 3 DK/NA 22 18 20
5. (If candidate choice q4) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary?
REGISTERED REPUBLICANS CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN Q1 Tot Men Wom Made up 24% 27% 20% Might change 75 71 79 DK/NA 1 1 1 CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q4 RG JM Made up 30% 23% Might change 69 75 DK/NA 2 2
6. Do you support or oppose moving the Pennsylvania primary election up to February fifth 2008?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Support 42% 36% 51% 35% 45% 39% Oppose 28 30 25 32 28 29 DK/NA 30 34 23 33 27 32
7. In the past few people voted in the Pennsylvania primary because it had little effect on the outcome of picking the candidates. Have you ever voted in a Pennslyvania primary election for President?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 77% 80% 80% 70% 73% 80% No 22 19 18 29 26 18 DK/NA 1 1 2 1 1 1
8. If Pennsylvania moved up its primary election for President to Feb 5, 2008, would that make you more likely to vote in the primary or not?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 36% 33% 43% 30% 39% 34% No 53 58 46 59 52 54 DK/NA 11 10 11 11 9 12
9. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 42% 7% 76% 38% 36% 48% Giuliani 46 86 16 43 52 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 3 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 2 1 DK/NA 9 6 5 15 8 9 Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl Clinton 43% 75% 37% 44% 39% 38% 32% Giuliani 46 10 59 47 42 48 56 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 1 1 1 4 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 1 1 4 1 1 DK/NA 8 8 4 7 14 8 10
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Mar 29 Mar 7 Feb 8 2007 2007 2007 Clinton 42 40 44 Giuliani 46 51 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 DK/NA 9 7 5
9a. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Obama 39% 6% 70% 38% 34% 44% Giuliani 46 83 18 44 54 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 2 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 3 2 2 DK/NA 12 10 9 14 9 14 Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl Obama 40% 62% 31% 47% 43% 30% 30% Giuliani 49 22 58 41 39 50 53 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 - 1 1 5 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 3 2 2 DK/NA 9 12 10 10 14 13 14
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Mar 29 Mar 7 2007 2007 Obama 39 36 Giuliani 46 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 DK/NA 12 11
10. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Edwards 39% 7% 69% 36% 36% 42% Giuliani 48 84 22 47 53 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 2 1 DK/NA 9 8 6 13 7 11 Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl Edwards 42% 66% 30% 44% 44% 38% 27% Giuliani 49 19 62 47 42 45 59 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - - - 5 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 3 1 1 1 1 3 DK/NA 9 11 7 8 12 10 11
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Mar 29 Mar 7 2007 2007 Edwards 39 35 Giuliani 48 52 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 DK/NA 9 9
11. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 44% 8% 80% 38% 38% 50% McCain 43 83 11 42 50 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 4 4 2 DK/NA 8 5 5 13 6 9 Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl Clinton 45% 74% 39% 48% 39% 42% 34% McCain 45 10 52 41 43 47 52 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 4 1 2 - 5 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 1 2 9 2 3 DK/NA 7 10 7 7 9 3 10
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Mar 29 Mar 7 Feb 8 2007 2007 2007 Clinton 44 41 45 McCain 43 47 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 1 DK/NA 8 7 6
12. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Obama 42% 9% 72% 38% 36% 47% McCain 42 77 15 41 51 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 3 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 4 2 3 DK/NA 12 10 9 14 9 14 Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl Obama 43% 63% 34% 51% 40% 38% 31% McCain 42 22 55 33 39 44 51 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 - 3 2 4 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 2 2 3 4 4 DK/NA 10 12 9 11 16 10 13
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Mar 29 Mar 7 Feb 8 2007 2007 2007 Obama 42 38 39 McCain 42 43 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 2 DK/NA 12 13 11
13. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Edwards 41% 7% 74% 38% 38% 44% McCain 42 79 13 39 49 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 2 2 3 3 DK/NA 12 9 8 18 8 15 Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl Edwards 48% 58% 36% 46% 45% 36% 31% McCain 35 22 51 41 39 42 50 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 5 1 2 - 4 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 3 1 4 5 4 DK/NA 13 13 10 10 12 13 14
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Mar 29 Mar 7 Feb 8 2007 2007 2007 Edwards 41 38 42 McCain 42 44 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 2 DK/NA 12 12 8
14. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 49% 11% 84% 45% 42% 55% Romney 35 74 7 31 41 30 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 3 4 4 3 DK/NA 11 9 6 16 11 10 Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl Clinton 48% 77% 49% 56% 36% 45% 38% Romney 39 7 38 28 36 42 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 2 - 2 4 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 1 4 10 2 3 DK/NA 7 11 10 12 16 6 10
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Mar 29 Mar 7 Feb 8 2007 2007 2007 Clinton 49 46 53 Romney 35 37 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 DK/NA 11 11 9
15. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Obama 48% 15% 79% 48% 44% 53% Romney 29 61 7 23 35 23 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 5 2 4 4 3 DK/NA 18 18 12 23 15 20 Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl Obama 45% 68% 50% 62% 41% 44% 36% Romney 33 13 32 21 31 29 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 1 - 2 4 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 2 2 4 5 5 DK/NA 16 16 15 14 23 18 20
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Mar 29 Mar 7 2007 2007 Obama 48 45 Romney 29 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 DK/NA 18 18
16. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Edwards 50% 12% 85% 51% 47% 53% Romney 28 65 4 18 33 24 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 2 4 2 4 DK/NA 17 18 8 25 16 18 Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl Edwards 52% 72% 54% 56% 48% 43% 38% Romney 28 5 27 23 30 30 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 1 1 1 6 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 1 3 5 4 4 DK/NA 17 18 16 17 17 17 17
TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Mar 29 Mar 7 2007 2007 Edwards 50 47 Romney 28 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 DK/NA 17 16
TREND:. Is your opinion of -- favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him/her? Score = Favorable (Haven't Heard Enough)
Mar 29 Mar 7 Feb 8 2007 2007 2007 Clinton, Hillary 47( 7) 44( 9) 53( 5) Edwards, John 44(30) 42(30) 43(29) Giuliani, Rudy 56(17) 61(19) 61(19) McCain, John 49(26) 48(29) 54(24) Obama, Barack 43(40) 42(41) 39(45) Romney, Mitt 17(68) 16(71) 12(76) Thompson, Fred 13(80) na na
18. Is your opinion of -- Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 47% 13% 76% 45% 41% 51% Unfavorable 44 80 14 45 48 40 Hvn't hrd enough 7 5 7 7 8 6 REFUSED 3 2 3 2 3 3
TREND: Is your opinion of -- Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
Mar 29 Mar 7 Feb 8 2007 2007 2007 Favorable 47 44 53 Unfavorable 44 45 39 Hvn't hrd enough 7 9 5 REFUSED 3 2 3
19. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 43% 25% 56% 48% 39% 46% Unfavorable 16 32 5 13 22 12 Hvn't hrd enough 40 41 38 38 39 40 REFUSED 1 2 1 1 1 2
TREND: Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Mar 29 Mar 7 Feb 8 2007 2007 2007 Favorable 43 42 39 Unfavorable 16 16 15 Hvn't hrd enough 40 41 45 REFUSED 1 1 1
20. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 49% 61% 36% 55% 57% 42% Unfavorable 23 15 31 23 23 24 Hvn't hrd enough 26 22 31 20 19 32 REFUSED 2 2 3 2 2 2
TREND: Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Mar 29 Mar 7 Feb 8 2007 2007 2007 Favorable 49 48 54 Unfavorable 23 21 20 Hvn't hrd enough 26 29 24 REFUSED 2 2 2
21. Is your opinion of -- Rudy Giuliani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 56% 79% 40% 55% 62% 52% Unfavorable 25 8 39 26 24 25 Hvn't hrd enough 17 12 20 17 13 20 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 1 2
TREND: Is your opinion of -- Rudy Giuliani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Mar 29 Mar 7 Feb 8 2007 2007 2007 Favorable 56 61 61 Unfavorable 25 18 18 Hvn't hrd enough 17 19 19 REFUSED 2 3 1
22. Is your opinion of -- Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 17% 30% 7% 15% 23% 11% Unfavorable 14 5 22 15 16 13 Hvn't hrd enough 68 64 70 70 60 75 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1
TREND: Is your opinion of -- Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Mar 29 Mar 7 Feb 8 2007 2007 2007 Favorable 17 16 12 Unfavorable 14 12 11 Hvn't hrd enough 68 71 76 REFUSED 1 1 1
23. Is your opinion of -- John Edwards favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 44% 23% 65% 41% 44% 44% Unfavorable 25 46 8 23 30 20 Hvn't hrd enough 30 29 26 33 23 35 REFUSED 2 1 1 3 3 1
TREND: Is your opinion of -- John Edwards favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Mar 29 Mar 7 Feb 8 2007 2007 2007 Favorable 44 42 43 Unfavorable 25 26 27 Hvn't hrd enough 30 30 29 REFUSED 2 2 2
24. Is your opinion of -- Fred Thompson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 13% 20% 8% 12% 19% 7% Unfavorable 7 5 10 6 9 5 Hvn't hrd enough 80 75 82 82 71 87 REFUSED - - - - - 0
25. What one issue would you most like to hear the presidential candidates talk about?
Tot War (Iraq) 36% Healthcare Total 12% Healthcare/Costs/ Ins/HMO's 11 Prescription costs 1 Economy Total 6% Economy general 3 Unemployment/jobs 2 Business leaving/ Outsourcing 1 Immigration 5% Taxes general 3% Terrorism Total 3% Terrorism general 1 Security/Safety 2 Abortion 2% Budget Total 2% Budget general 1 Budget deficits 1 Education general 2% Energy Total 2% Energy costs general 1 Gas prices 1 Environment/Pollution 2% Social security 2% Crime Total 1 Family breakdown/ Family values 1 Foreign affairs/ policy general 1 Gun control 1 Lack of ethics/Morality 1 Middle class/ Working class ref 1 Political corruption 1 Poverty/Homeless 1 Senior issues 1 Other 4 DK/NA 6
30. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 33% 68% 8% 26% 36% 30% Disapprove 62 27 89 67 59 65 DK/NA 5 5 2 7 5 5
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
Highest Lowest Approve Approve Mar 29 Feb 8 Aug 15 Jun 21 May 11 Jun 5 May 11 2007 2007 2006 2006 2006 2002 2006 Approve 33 33 33 34 30 73 30 Disapprove 62 62 64 62 66 21 66 DK/NA 5 4 3 4 3 6 3
31. Generally speaking, would you say things in this country are heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Right direction 23% 47% 6% 20% 25% 21% Wrong track 71 46 90 77 70 73 DK/NA 5 7 5 3 5 6
TREND: Generally speaking, would you say things in this country are heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track?
Mar 29 Feb 8 2007 2007 Right direction 23 28 Wrong track 71 66 DK/NA 5 5
32. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 30% 63% 7% 24% 35% 25% Disapprove 66 31 92 72 62 69 DK/NA 5 6 1 5 3 5
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq?
Mar 29 Feb 8 Aug 15 Jun 21 May 11 Apr 6 Feb 13 2007 2007 2006 2006 2006 2006 2006 Approve 30 29 31 35 29 35 37 Disapprove 66 66 64 62 67 62 60 DK/NA 5 5 5 3 4 3 3
33. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Right thing 38% 71% 13% 32% 42% 34% Wrong thing 58 24 85 62 55 61 DK/NA 5 4 2 6 3 6
TREND: Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?
Mar 29 Feb 8 Aug 15 Jun 21 May 11 Apr 6 Feb 13 2007 2007 2006 2006 2006 2006 2006 Right thing 38 37 36 38 38 39 40 Wrong thing 58 59 58 57 57 55 55 DK/NA 5 4 6 6 5 6 4
34. Do you support or oppose Bush's plan to send approximately 22,000 additional U.S. military forces to Iraq?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Support 31% 61% 8% 29% 40% 23% Oppose 65 34 90 66 56 72 DK/NA 4 5 2 5 4 5
TREND: Do you support or oppose Bush's plan to send approximately 22,000 additional U.S. military forces to Iraq?
Mar 29 Feb 8 2007 2007 Support 31 32 Oppose 65 64 DK/NA 4 4