LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS.............................. Reagan Union Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Dems HsHolds Clinton 50% 44% 54% 56% 17% 55% 52% Obama 44 48 41 38 75 37 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - DK/NA 6 7 5 6 8 8 5 Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl Clinton 57% 37% 63% 42% 57% 60% 46% Obama 39 55 33 53 37 31 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - DK/NA 3 9 3 5 5 8 7 Age Age No col Col INCOME...... 18-44 45+ degree degree <50k >50k Clinton 40% 55% 54% 39% 53% 49% Obama 55 38 38 57 41 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - DK/NA 4 7 7 3 5 4 WHITE DEM LIKELY VOTERS............................ No col Col INCOME...... Men Wom degree degree Cath <50k >50k Clinton 49% 62% 62% 42% 65% 62% 53% Obama 42 34 31 54 29 32 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 - - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - DK/NA 7 4 6 3 5 4 4 IMPORTANT ISSUE TO VOTE/IMPORTANT QLTY IN CANDIDATE ........ War Econ HlthCr /Trust ShrVals Leader CanWin Inspres Clinton 44% 49% 62% 32% 51% 64% 50% 29% Obama 51 45 32 59 42 31 46 71 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - - 2 - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - DK/NA 5 6 6 9 5 5 4 -
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS...... TOTAL................................. Apr 8 Apr 2 Mar 18 Feb 27 Feb 14 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 Clinton 50 50 53 49 52 Obama 44 41 41 43 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - DK/NA 6 8 6 7 11 MEN................................... Apr 8 Apr 2 Mar 18 Feb 27 Feb 14 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 Clinton 44 46 45 43 49 Obama 48 46 48 50 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - DK/NA 7 7 6 4 10 WOMEN................................. Apr 8 Apr 2 Mar 18 Feb 27 Feb 14 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 Clinton 54 54 59 53 54 Obama 41 37 35 39 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - DK/NA 5 9 5 9 12 WHITE................................. Apr 8 Apr 2 Mar 18 Feb 27 Feb 14 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 Clinton 56 59 61 56 58 Obama 38 34 33 37 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - DK/NA 6 7 6 7 9 BLACK................................. Apr 8 Apr 2 Mar 18 Feb 27 Feb 14 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 Clinton 17 11 18 23 10 Obama 75 73 76 69 71 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - DK/NA 8 15 6 8 19 WHITE MEN............................. Apr 8 Apr 2 Mar 18 Feb 27 Feb 14 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 Clinton 49 52 52 48 52 Obama 42 40 42 45 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - DK/NA 7 7 6 6 8 WHITE WOMEN........................... Apr 8 Apr 2 Mar 18 Feb 27 Feb 14 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 Clinton 62 63 68 61 62 Obama 34 29 26 31 28 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - DK/NA 4 7 5 8 10 AGE 18-44............................. Apr 8 Apr 2 Mar 18 Feb 27 Feb 14 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 Clinton 40 42 39 41 52 Obama 55 51 57 58 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - DK/NA 4 7 3 1 7 AGE 45+............................... Apr 8 Apr 2 Mar 18 Feb 27 Feb 14 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 Clinton 55 54 60 52 51 Obama 38 37 34 39 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - DK/NA 7 9 6 8 12 NO COLLEGE DEGREE..................... Apr 8 Apr 2 Mar 18 Feb 27 Feb 14 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 Clinton 54 55 57 52 57 Obama 38 36 37 39 28 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - DK/NA 7 9 6 8 13 COLLEGE DEGREE........................ Apr 8 Apr 2 Mar 18 Feb 27 Feb 14 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 Clinton 39 40 45 41 40 Obama 57 53 50 53 53 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - DK/NA 3 7 5 5 6 SOUTHEAST............................. Apr 8 Apr 2 Mar 18 Feb 27 Feb 14 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 Clinton 42 44 52 41 42 Obama 53 49 44 53 54 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - DK/NA 5 8 4 6 4 INCOME <50K........................... Apr 8 Apr 2 Mar 18 Feb 27 Feb 14 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 Clinton 53 53 57 52 59 Obama 41 38 38 40 30 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - DK/NA 5 8 5 6 9 INCOME 50K+........................... Apr 8 Apr 2 Mar 18 Feb 27 Feb 14 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 Clinton 49 49 49 46 43 Obama 47 45 46 48 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - DK/NA 4 6 5 6 8
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS.............................. Reagan Union Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Dems HsHolds Favorable 71% 67% 75% 74% 56% 66% 73% Unfavorable 23 27 20 21 34 29 21 Hvn't hrd enough 4 5 3 4 5 3 4 REFUSED 2 2 2 2 4 2 1 Age Age No col Col INCOME...... 18-44 45+ degree degree <50k >50k Favorable 69% 72% 73% 66% 75% 69% Unfavorable 25 22 20 29 18 27 Hvn't hrd enough 3 4 4 3 5 3 REFUSED 2 2 2 2 3 1
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS Apr 8 Apr 2 Mar 18 2008 2008 2008 Favorable 71 71 71 Unfavorable 23 23 23 Hvn't hrd enough 4 4 4 REFUSED 2 2 2
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS.............................. Reagan Union Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Dems HsHolds Favorable 67% 70% 64% 62% 91% 60% 66% Unfavorable 19 17 21 23 3 23 23 Hvn't hrd enough 11 11 11 12 6 12 11 REFUSED 3 1 3 3 - 5 1 Age Age No col Col INCOME...... 18-44 45+ degree degree <50k >50k Favorable 75% 63% 62% 80% 61% 73% Unfavorable 18 20 22 13 24 17 Hvn't hrd enough 7 13 13 5 12 9 REFUSED 1 3 3 2 3 1
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS Apr 8 Apr 2 Mar 18 2008 2008 2008 Favorable 67 63 61 Unfavorable 19 21 19 Hvn't hrd enough 11 14 17 REFUSED 3 2 3
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS.............................. Reagan Union Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Dems HsHolds Terrorism 3% 3% 3% 3% - 7% 4% The war in Iraq 22 24 21 24 16 20 24 The economy 52 54 51 50 59 52 54 Illegal immigration 2 2 3 2 2 4 2 Health care 15 13 17 15 20 13 12 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 3 2 2 2 DK/NA 3 2 3 3 2 2 1 Age Age No col Col INCOME...... 18-44 45+ degree degree <50k >50k Terrorism 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% The war in Iraq 19 24 20 27 23 23 The economy 59 49 53 51 49 57 Illegal immigration 2 2 3 2 2 2 Health care 14 17 17 11 19 12 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 4 2 3 DK/NA 2 3 3 2 3 1
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS Apr 8 Mar 18 2008 2008 Terrorism 3 3 The war in Iraq 22 23 The economy 52 48 Illegal immigration 2 3 Health care 15 18 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 2 3 DK/NA 3 2
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS.............................. Reagan Union Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Dems HsHolds Trustworthy 27% 26% 28% 28% 23% 31% 29% Shares your values 18 16 19 18 16 16 20 A strong leader 37 34 40 36 43 38 37 Can win in November 10 13 8 10 13 8 9 Inspiring 5 7 3 5 3 5 3 DK/NA 3 5 1 3 3 4 3 Age Age No col Col INCOME...... 18-44 45+ degree degree <50k >50k Trustworthy 25% 29% 29% 23% 29% 25% Shares your values 21 17 17 21 17 21 A strong leader 35 37 39 31 38 35 Can win in November 12 9 9 14 9 11 Inspiring 5 4 3 9 4 6 DK/NA 3 3 3 2 3 3
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS Apr 8 Mar 18 2008 2008 Trustworthy 27 23 Shares your values 18 22 A strong leader 37 37 Can win in November 10 11 Inspiring 5 5 DK/NA 3 2
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS.............................. Reagan Union Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Dems HsHolds Very important 10% 10% 9% 7% 23% 8% 8% Somewhat important 7 6 7 7 7 8 7 Not too important 12 11 13 13 8 10 15 Not important at all 71 73 70 73 63 74 70 DK/NA - - - - - - - Age Age No col Col INCOME...... 18-44 45+ degree degree <50k >50k Very important 6% 11% 12% 4% 14% 4% Somewhat important 4 8 6 8 7 7 Not too important 14 12 12 12 13 10 Not important at all 76 69 69 75 65 79 DK/NA - - - - - -
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS.............................. Reagan Union Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Dems HsHolds Very important 8% 9% 6% 6% 15% 6% 6% Somewhat important 6 5 7 6 8 8 7 Not too important 11 11 10 11 8 7 14 Not important at all 75 75 76 77 69 79 72 DK/NA - - - - - - 1 Age Age No col Col INCOME...... 18-44 45+ degree degree <50k >50k Very important 6% 8% 9% 3% 11% 3% Somewhat important 5 6 7 5 6 5 Not too important 11 11 11 10 13 9 Not important at all 77 75 73 82 69 83 DK/NA - - - - - -
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS.............................. Reagan Union Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Dems HsHolds Approve 65% 69% 63% 62% 80% 63% 61% Disapprove 23 22 24 25 14 25 29 DK/NA 12 10 13 12 6 11 10 Age Age No col Col INCOME...... 18-44 45+ degree degree <50k >50k Approve 68% 64% 61% 75% 62% 69% Disapprove 21 24 26 16 25 22 DK/NA 11 12 13 8 13 9
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS Apr 8 Apr 2 2008 2008 Approve 65 65 Disapprove 23 24 DK/NA 12 11
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS.............................. Reagan Union Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Dems HsHolds Approve 56% 57% 55% 60% 35% 58% 57% Disapprove 28 28 27 24 48 28 27 DK/NA 17 15 18 16 16 14 17 Age Age No col Col INCOME...... 18-44 45+ degree degree <50k >50k Approve 50% 59% 57% 52% 56% 55% Disapprove 30 26 25 35 26 30 DK/NA 20 15 18 13 18 15
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS Apr 8 Apr 2 2008 2008 Approve 56 55 Disapprove 28 31 DK/NA 17 15
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS.............................. Reagan Union Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Dems HsHolds More likely 8% 10% 7% 9% 4% 5% 9% Less likely 9 11 8 9 13 13 12 Doesn't make diff 82 79 85 82 81 82 79 DK/NA 1 1 1 - 2 1 - Age Age No col Col INCOME...... 18-44 45+ degree degree <50k >50k More likely 10% 8% 9% 6% 7% 11% Less likely 7 10 9 10 9 10 Doesn't make diff 82 82 81 84 84 79 DK/NA 1 - 1 - 1 -
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS.............................. Reagan Union Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Dems HsHolds More likely 5% 6% 3% 4% 5% 5% 4% Less likely 7 7 8 8 1 8 9 Doesn't make diff 87 86 88 87 93 87 87 DK/NA 1 1 - - 2 1 - Age Age No col Col INCOME...... 18-44 45+ degree degree <50k >50k More likely 6% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% Less likely 5 9 8 6 10 6 Doesn't make diff 89 87 87 89 85 89 DK/NA 1 - 1 - - -
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS Tot More likely 11% Less likely 5 Doesn't make diff 83 DK/NA 1
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS.............................. Reagan Union Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Dems HsHolds Right thing 11% 14% 9% 13% 1% 23% 14% Wrong thing 84 83 85 82 94 71 81 DK/NA 5 3 5 4 5 6 5 Age Age No col Col INCOME...... 18-44 45+ degree degree <50k >50k Right thing 12% 11% 12% 10% 10% 13% Wrong thing 83 84 83 87 86 84 DK/NA 5 4 5 3 4 3
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS Apr 8 Apr 2 2008 2008 Right thing 11 12 Wrong thing 84 84 DK/NA 5 3
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS.............................. Reagan Union Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Dems HsHolds Withdraw all troops 29% 29% 29% 27% 40% 20% 26% Set a timetable 58 55 61 59 55 56 62 Keep troops as needed 9 12 7 10 5 19 10 DK/NA 3 3 3 4 1 5 2 Age Age No col Col INCOME...... 18-44 45+ degree degree <50k >50k Withdraw all troops 29% 29% 31% 24% 34% 23% Set a timetable 60 58 57 61 56 62 Keep troops as needed 9 9 8 14 7 13 DK/NA 2 4 4 2 3 2
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS Apr 8 Apr 2 Mar 18 2008 2008 2008 A) Withdraw all troops 29 33 32 B) Set a timetable 58 55 53 C) As long as needed 9 9 13 DK/NA 3 3 3
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS.............................. Reagan Union Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Dems HsHolds Yes 83% 81% 85% 81% 91% 72% 82% No 14 16 12 16 5 25 14 DK/NA 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 Age Age No col Col INCOME...... 18-44 45+ degree degree <50k >50k Yes 84% 83% 85% 78% 85% 81% No 14 14 12 18 12 16 DK/NA 3 3 3 3 3 3
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS Apr 8 Apr 2 2008 2008 Yes 83 80 No 14 16 DK/NA 3 4
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS.............................. Reagan Union Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Dems HsHolds Getting ahead 13% 17% 11% 12% 19% 13% 14% Falling behind 21 17 24 21 18 21 23 Holding steady 65 66 64 66 62 66 61 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 - 2 Age Age No col Col INCOME...... 18-44 45+ degree degree <50k >50k Getting ahead 20% 10% 10% 21% 8% 21% Falling behind 22 20 23 16 27 16 Holding steady 57 69 66 63 65 63 DK/NA 1 1 1 - - -
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS Apr 8 Apr 2 Mar 18 2008 2008 2008 Getting ahead 13 14 19 Falling behind 21 19 19 Holding steady 65 67 62 DK/NA 1 - 1
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS.............................. Reagan Union Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Dems HsHolds Approve 6% 7% 5% 7% - 12% 6% Disapprove 91 91 92 90 99 81 91 DK/NA 3 3 3 3 1 7 3 Age Age No col Col INCOME...... 18-44 45+ degree degree <50k >50k Approve 7% 5% 6% 5% 6% 6% Disapprove 91 92 91 92 91 92 DK/NA 3 3 3 3 2 2
LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS Apr 8 Apr 2 2008 2008 Approve 6 6 Disapprove 91 92 DK/NA 3 2