Presidential Swing States (FL, OH & PA) Poll * March 7, 2007 * Giuliani Leads Clinton In Two - Quinnipiac University

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March 7, 2007 - Giuliani Leads Clinton In Two Of Three Swing States, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; FLORIDA: Giuliani Over Clinton 47 - 42; Clinton-McCain Tied at 44 - 44; OHIO: Clinton 44 to Giuliani 43; Clinton tops McCain 45 - 42; PENNSYLVANIA: Giuliani Tops Clinton 51 - 40; McCain Up 47 - 41

Former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani is the early favorite over New York Sen. Hillary Clinton or Illinois Sen. Barack Obama in Quinnipiac University's Swing State Poll, three simultaneous surveys of voter opinion in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, states that have been pivotal in presidential elections since 1964.
Giuliani leads Clinton 47 - 42 percent in Florida and 51 - 40 percent in Pennsylvania, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Clinton gets 44 percent to Giuliani's 43 percent in Ohio.
Giuliani bests Obama 48 -36 percent in Florida, 44 - 40 percent in Ohio and 48 - 36 percent in Pennsylvania.
In all of these matchups, Giuliani leads among independent voters and scores 12 percent or higher among Democrats. In Pennsylvania, he gets 20 percent of Democratic voters against either Clinton or Obama, and 19 percent against Edwards.
"Because of Electoral College math, Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania are critical in presidential elections," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "No candidate since 1964 has taken the White House without taking at least two of these swing states. And while Mayor Rudolph Giuliani is ahead in Florida and Pennsylvania, it's early in the race and our Swing States remain very much in play."
"You would think Rudolph Giuliani had been mayor of Miami, Cleveland and Philadelphia by his numbers," Brown added.
"Giuliani is ahead among independents, and has ratings among Democrats that should make party chairman Howard Dean nervous and President George W. Bush jealous. That used to be Sen. John McCain's calling card. But although McCain remains well-liked among independents and Democrats, he's lost a step to the new guy in the race."
Florida Findings
Looking at other possible 2008 presidential matchups in Florida, the Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll finds:
Clinton tops former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney 48 - 36 percent; Giuliani tops 2004 vice presidential candidate John Edwards 48 - 40 percent; McCain tops Obama 43 - 39 percent; McCain edges Edwards 43 - 41 percent; Obama tops Romney 43 - 34 percent; Edwards beats Romney 48 - 32 percent.
In a Democratic primary matchup, Clinton gets 38 percent, followed by 13 points each for Obama and former Vice President Al Gore and 6 percent for Edwards.
Among Republican primary voters, Giuliani gets 38 percent, followed 18 percent for McCain, 14 percent for former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and 6 percent for Romney.
By a 56 - 20 percent margin, Florida voters have a favorable opinion of Giuliani. Favorability ratings for other contenders are:
48 - 39 percent for Clinton; 46 - 24 percent for McCain; 40 - 19 percent for Obama, with 39 percent who haven't heard enough to form an opinion; 46 - 23 percent for Edwards; 64 percent haven't heard enough about Romney to form an opinion.
Ohio Results
In other possible 2008 presidential matchups in Ohio:
Edwards edges Giuliani 45 - 42 percent; Giuliani beats Obama 44 - 40 percent; Clinton bests Romney 51 - 31 percent; Obama inches by McCain 42 - 39 percent; Edwards beats McCain 45 - 38 percent; Obama tops Romney 47 - 26 percent; Edwards beats Romney 52 - 26 percent.
Clinton leads in a Democratic primary matchup with 32 percent, followed by 19 percent for Obama, 13 percent for Edwards and 11 percent for Gore.
In a Republican primary, Giuliani gets 35 percent, followed 18 percent for McCain, 13 percent for Gingrich and 3 percent for Romney.
Giuliani gets a 53 - 22 percent favorability rating from Ohio voters. Favorability ratings for other contenders are:
49 - 41 percent for Clinton; 44 - 24 percent for McCain; 40 - 17 percent for Obama, with 41 percent who haven't heard enough; 47 - 24 percent for Edwards; 70 percent haven't heard enough about Romney to form an opinion.
Pennsylvania Results
In other possible 2008 presidential matchups in Pennsylvania:
Giuliani beats Obama 48 - 36 percent; Giuliani tops Edwards 52 - 35 percent; Clinton bests Romney 46 - 37 percent; McCain beats Obama 43 - 38 percent; McCain beats Edwards 44 - 38 percent; Obama tops Romney 45 - 31 percent; Edwards beats Romney 47 - 31 percent.
Clinton leads in a Democratic primary with 29 percent, followed by 18 percent for Obama, 16 percent for Gore and 11 percent for Edwards.
Among Republicans, Giuliani gets 43 percent, followed 17 percent for McCain, 8 percent for Gingrich and 6 percent for Romney.
Giuliani gets a 61 - 18 percent favorability rating from Pennsylvania voters. Favorability ratings for other contenders are:
44 - 45 percent for Clinton; 48 - 21 percent for McCain; 42 - 16 percent for Obama, with 41 percent who haven't heard enough; 42 - 26 percent for Edwards; 71 percent haven't heard enough about Romney to form an opinion.
"Although Sen. Barack Obama loses most trial heats to either of the leading Republicans, and trails Sen. Clinton among Democratic primary voters, he has much more room to grow his candidacy than she does. Her negative ratings among independents and Republicans are high enough to be worrisome and that means her strategy must be to emulate Bush's in 2004 - turn out the party faithful," said Brown.
"Ironically, John Edwards finds himself dropping further behind in the nomination fight while there are indications he might be the party's best vote-getter in November in Ohio."
"It's a good thing for Romney he has raised a lot of money because he has a long way to go to introduce himself to the voters."
From February 25 - March 4 Quinnipiac University surveyed:
1,125 Florida voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent, including 429 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.7 percent, and 442 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.7 percent; 1,281 Ohio voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percent, including 438 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.7 percent, and 503 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percent; 1,134 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent, including 495 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percent, and 488 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percent; The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.

1. (If registered Democrat) If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Al Gore, Chris Dodd, Joe Biden, John Edwards, Bill Richardson, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, Wesley Clark and Dennis Kucinich for whom would you vote?
REGISTERED DEMOCRATS FL OH PA Gore 13% 11% 16% Dodd - - - Biden 4 2 3 Edwards 6 13 11 Richardson 2 1 1 Clinton 38 32 29 Obama 13 19 18 Clark 1 1 - Kucinich 1 2 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 2 DK/NA 18 16 16
2. (If registered Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Duncan Hunter, Sam Brownback, Tommy Thompson, Jim Gilmore, Chuck Hagel, Mike Huckabee, George Pataki, Tom Tancredo and Ron Paul for whom would you vote?
REGISTERED REPUBLICANS FL OH PA Giuliani 38% 35% 43% McCain 18 18 17 Romney 6 3 6 Gingrich 14 13 8 Hunter 1 1 - Brownback 1 - 1 Thompson 1 2 - Gilmore - 1 - Hagel - 1 1 Huckabee 1 - - Pataki - - 1 Tancredo 1 1 - Paul - - - SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1 3 DK/NA 16 19 18
1. (If registered Democrat) If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were -- for whom would you vote?
REGISTERED DEMOCRATS FL......................Tot Men Wom Gore 13% 14% 13% Dodd - - - Biden 4 8 1 Edwards 6 7 6 Richardson 2 2 2 Clinton 38 27 44 Obama 13 13 13 Clark 1 1 - Kucinich 1 1 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 3 DK/NA 18 22 15 OH......................Tot Men Wom Gore 11% 14% 8% Dodd - - - Biden 2 1 3 Edwards 13 16 10 Richardson 1 2 - Clinton 32 26 38 Obama 19 19 18 Clark 1 1 - Kucinich 2 4 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 2 DK/NA 16 12 19 PA......................Tot Men Wom Gore 16% 20% 14% Dodd - 1 - Biden 3 5 2 Edwards 11 15 7 Richardson 1 2 1 Clinton 29 21 35 Obama 18 16 18 Clark - 1 - Kucinich 1 2 - SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 4 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 DK/NA 16 13 19
2. (If registered Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were -- for whom would you vote?
REGISTERED REPUBLICANS......... WtBrnAgn FL......................Tot Men Wom Evnglcl Giuliani 38% 38% 38% 34% McCain 18 20 16 14 Romney 6 8 4 6 Gingrich 14 19 10 17 Hunter 1 2 1 2 Brownback 1 1 - - Thompson 1 1 1 2 Gilmore - - - - Hagel - 1 - - Huckabee 1 - 2 3 Pataki - - 1 - Tancredo 1 1 1 - Paul - - - - SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 5 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - DK/NA 16 9 23 21 WtBrnAgn OH......................Tot Men Wom Evnglcl Giuliani 35% 32% 39% 33% McCain 18 20 15 17 Romney 3 2 5 4 Gingrich 13 16 9 12 Hunter 1 1 - - Brownback - - - 1 Thompson 2 3 1 - Gilmore 1 2 1 2 Hagel 1 1 - - Huckabee - 1 - 1 Pataki - - - - Tancredo 1 2 1 - Paul - - - 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 4 5 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 DK/NA 19 16 23 23 WtBrnAgn PA......................Tot Men Wom Evnglcl Giuliani 43% 41% 44% 35% McCain 17 18 16 18 Romney 6 6 5 3 Gingrich 8 11 6 10 Hunter - - - 1 Brownback 1 1 - 1 Thompson - 1 - - Gilmore - - - 1 Hagel 1 2 - 1 Huckabee - 1 - - Pataki 1 1 1 1 Tancredo - - - - Paul - - - - SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3 2 DK/NA 18 14 23 28
3-11. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were -- the Democrat and -- the Republican, for whom would you vote?
FL OH PA Clinton 42% 44% 40% Giuliani 47 43 51 Obama 36% 40% 36% Giuliani 48 44 48 Edwards 40% 45% 35% Giuliani 48 42 52 Clinton 44% 45% 41% McCain 44 42 47 Obama 39% 42% 38% McCain 43 39 43 Edwards 41% 45% 38% McCain 43 38 44 Clinton 48% 51% 46% Romney 36 31 37 Obama 43% 47% 45% Romney 34 26 31 Edwards 48% 52% 47% Romney 32 26 31
3. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
FL OH PA Clinton 42% 44% 40% Giuliani 47 43 51 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 DK/NA 8 9 7
3. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
WtBrnAgn FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Clinton 42% 8% 76% 37% 38% 45% 22% Giuliani 47 84 16 50 53 41 69 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 3 4 2 3 DK/NA 8 5 7 9 4 11 6 WtBrnAgn OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Clinton 44% 6% 81% 35% 39% 48% 31% Giuliani 43 84 12 45 48 39 59 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 3 2 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 4 3 1 3 DK/NA 9 7 6 12 7 11 7 WtBrnAgn PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Clinton 40% 8% 73% 39% 33% 45% 20% Giuliani 51 87 20 47 59 44 68 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 DK/NA 7 3 5 11 5 9 9
4. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
FL OH PA Obama 36% 40% 36% Giuliani 48 44 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 2 DK/NA 12 12 11
4. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
WtBrnAgn FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Obama 36% 5% 65% 35% 35% 37% 21% Giuliani 48 83 19 49 51 45 67 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 3 4 5 3 2 DK/NA 12 9 12 11 8 15 8 WtBrnAgn OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Obama 40% 7% 74% 34% 37% 43% 26% Giuliani 44 81 16 44 49 39 58 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 4 3 2 3 DK/NA 12 10 7 16 9 15 13 WtBrnAgn PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Obama 36% 7% 67% 36% 32% 40% 22% Giuliani 48 84 20 40 55 43 62 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 2 3 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 3 2 2 1 DK/NA 11 7 8 18 10 13 14
5. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
FL OH PA Edwards 40% 45% 35% Giuliani 48 42 52 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 2 DK/NA 10 10 9
5. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
WtBrnAgn FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Edwards 40% 9% 69% 37% 38% 41% 24% Giuliani 48 81 20 49 53 44 65 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 2 5 4 2 2 DK/NA 10 8 10 9 5 13 9 WtBrnAgn OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Edwards 45% 7% 80% 40% 44% 45% 30% Giuliani 42 84 10 43 45 39 56 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 DK/NA 10 7 8 14 8 13 12 WtBrnAgn PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Edwards 35% 6% 69% 31% 32% 38% 24% Giuliani 52 87 19 51 57 48 63 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 3 2 2 2 DK/NA 9 5 9 12 8 11 10
6. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
FL OH PA Clinton 44% 45% 41% McCain 44 42 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 3 DK/NA 8 9 7
6. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
WtBrnAgn FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Clinton 44% 6% 80% 42% 37% 50% 22% McCain 44 83 12 44 51 37 68 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 3 3 2 2 DK/NA 8 7 6 8 8 9 6 WtBrnAgn OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Clinton 45% 8% 80% 38% 40% 50% 30% McCain 42 82 14 40 47 37 59 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 - 2 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 4 3 2 2 DK/NA 9 6 5 15 8 11 8 WtBrnAgn PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Clinton 41% 8% 77% 40% 33% 47% 19% McCain 47 81 17 44 57 39 65 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 5 2 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 5 1 3 3 3 4 DK/NA 7 5 4 9 5 9 9
7. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
FL OH PA Obama 39% 42% 38% McCain 43 39 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 4 DK/NA 14 15 13
7. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
WtBrnAgn FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Obama 39% 7% 69% 38% 36% 41% 22% McCain 43 79 15 40 49 37 63 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3 3 5 2 2 DK/NA 14 10 12 16 8 18 13 WtBrnAgn OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Obama 42% 10% 72% 39% 38% 46% 28% McCain 39 76 16 35 47 32 51 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 4 3 1 2 DK/NA 15 11 9 20 10 19 18 WtBrnAgn PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Obama 38% 10% 68% 39% 35% 41% 21% McCain 43 73 21 36 50 37 57 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 4 1 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 1 6 4 3 5 DK/NA 13 11 8 16 10 15 15
8. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
FL OH PA Edwards 41% 45% 38% McCain 43 38 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 4 DK/NA 12 14 12
8. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
WtBrnAgn FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Edwards 41% 9% 73% 38% 40% 42% 27% McCain 43 80 14 41 50 37 58 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 2 4 4 2 2 DK/NA 12 8 11 15 6 17 12 WtBrnAgn OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Edwards 45% 10% 78% 39% 43% 47% 31% McCain 38 78 10 37 42 34 51 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 3 2 1 DK/NA 14 10 9 19 10 17 15 WtBrnAgn PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Edwards 38% 9% 72% 34% 34% 41% 24% McCain 44 77 16 41 51 39 59 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 4 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 1 6 5 3 4 DK/NA 12 8 9 14 9 16 12
9. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
FL OH PA Clinton 48% 51% 46% Romney 36 31 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 4 3 DK/NA 12 13 11
9. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
WtBrnAgn FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Clinton 48% 12% 83% 45% 42% 52% 27% Romney 36 76 8 31 43 31 58 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 - 2 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 4 3 2 3 DK/NA 12 9 7 19 11 13 11 WtBrnAgn OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Clinton 51% 13% 85% 46% 47% 55% 36% Romney 31 72 6 26 35 28 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 4 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 2 7 4 3 3 DK/NA 13 12 8 17 12 13 12 WtBrnAgn PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Clinton 46% 13% 81% 46% 41% 50% 25% Romney 37 75 8 30 45 30 56 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 2 6 3 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 DK/NA 11 7 7 15 8 13 14
10. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
FL OH PA Obama 43% 47% 45% Romney 34 26 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 4 DK/NA 18 21 18
10. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
WtBrnAgn FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Obama 43% 9% 74% 42% 40% 45% 24% Romney 34 69 7 32 40 28 52 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 4 5 5 3 5 DK/NA 18 18 13 20 13 22 18 WtBrnAgn OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Obama 47% 16% 76% 42% 43% 50% 34% Romney 26 60 7 19 32 20 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 2 8 6 3 4 DK/NA 21 19 13 29 16 25 25 WtBrnAgn PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Obama 45% 14% 77% 48% 43% 47% 26% Romney 31 64 6 23 38 25 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 5 2 3 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 3 5 3 4 3 DK/NA 18 17 13 19 15 21 20
11. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
FL OH PA Edwards 48% 52% 47% Romney 32 26 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 4 DK/NA 15 17 16
11. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
WtBrnAgn FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Edwards 48% 14% 79% 48% 47% 48% 29% Romney 32 70 6 27 38 28 50 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 2 5 3 3 2 DK/NA 15 13 11 18 10 19 17 WtBrnAgn OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Edwards 52% 16% 84% 52% 51% 54% 38% Romney 26 64 3 17 30 22 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 - 2 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 2 7 4 3 2 DK/NA 17 17 11 23 14 20 21 WtBrnAgn PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Edwards 47% 16% 80% 46% 47% 47% 35% Romney 31 66 4 22 37 26 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 5 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 3 6 3 5 3 DK/NA 16 13 11 21 11 20 18
12-17. Is your opinion of -- favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her/him?
FL OH PA - Hillary Clinton Favorable 48% 49% 44% Unfavorable 39 41 45 Hvn't hrd enough 9 9 9 REFUSED 3 2 2 - Barack Obama Favorable 40% 40% 42% Unfavorable 19 17 16 Hvn't hrd enough 39 41 41 REFUSED 2 2 1 - John McCain Favorable 46% 44% 48% Unfavorable 24 24 21 Hvn't hrd enough 27 30 29 REFUSED 3 2 2 - Rudy Giuliani Favorable 56% 53% 61% Unfavorable 20 22 18 Hvn't hrd enough 22 23 19 REFUSED 2 2 3 - Mitt Romney Favorable 20% 14% 16% Unfavorable 14 15 12 Hvn't hrd enough 64 70 71 REFUSED 2 2 1 - John Edwards Favorable 46% 47% 42% Unfavorable 23 24 26 Hvn't hrd enough 29 26 30 REFUSED 1 2 2
12-17. Is your opinion of -- favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her/him? 12. - Hillary Clinton.
FL OH PA Favorable 48% 49% 44% Unfavorable 39 41 45 Hvn't hrd enough 9 9 9 REFUSED 3 2 2 WtBrnAgn FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 48% 14% 81% 44% 42% 53% 25% Unfavorable 39 77 8 41 48 33 62 Hvn't hrd enough 9 6 9 11 7 11 10 REFUSED 3 2 2 4 3 2 2 WtBrnAgn OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 49% 14% 79% 43% 42% 55% 36% Unfavorable 41 79 12 42 47 35 54 Hvn't hrd enough 9 7 7 13 9 8 9 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 WtBrnAgn PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 44% 12% 76% 43% 37% 51% 24% Unfavorable 45 79 15 40 54 37 65 Hvn't hrd enough 9 8 6 14 8 9 8 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 1 3 2
13. - Barack Obama.
FL OH PA Favorable 40% 40% 42% Unfavorable 19 17 16 Hvn't hrd enough 39 41 41 REFUSED 2 2 1 WtBrnAgn FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 40% 22% 53% 44% 38% 42% 28% Unfavorable 19 28 10 21 26 13 23 Hvn't hrd enough 39 46 36 33 33 44 47 REFUSED 2 4 1 1 2 2 2 WtBrnAgn OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 40% 28% 52% 37% 38% 42% 28% Unfavorable 17 28 9 17 22 12 23 Hvn't hrd enough 41 42 37 44 36 45 46 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 3 1 3 WtBrnAgn PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 42% 21% 60% 51% 41% 42% 24% Unfavorable 16 32 6 10 21 12 25 Hvn't hrd enough 41 46 33 39 37 44 50 REFUSED 1 1 1 - 1 1 1
14. - John McCain.
FL OH PA Favorable 46% 44% 48% Unfavorable 24 24 21 Hvn't hrd enough 27 30 29 REFUSED 3 2 2 WtBrnAgn FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 46% 59% 36% 47% 52% 42% 55% Unfavorable 24 16 30 24 29 20 21 Hvn't hrd enough 27 24 30 23 16 35 23 REFUSED 3 1 3 5 3 3 2 WtBrnAgn OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 44% 62% 33% 43% 52% 37% 50% Unfavorable 24 13 35 22 26 21 18 Hvn't hrd enough 30 24 30 35 19 40 30 REFUSED 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 WtBrnAgn PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 48% 58% 40% 50% 52% 44% 46% Unfavorable 21 16 28 18 22 20 18 Hvn't hrd enough 29 23 30 31 23 34 32 REFUSED 2 3 2 1 3 2 4
15. - Rudy Giuliani.
FL OH PA Favorable 56% 53% 61% Unfavorable 20 22 18 Hvn't hrd enough 22 23 19 REFUSED 2 2 3 WtBrnAgn FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 56% 78% 38% 59% 59% 54% 61% Unfavorable 20 6 32 19 23 18 13 Hvn't hrd enough 22 13 29 19 15 27 24 REFUSED 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 WtBrnAgn OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 53% 76% 35% 50% 56% 49% 57% Unfavorable 22 7 35 22 24 20 15 Hvn't hrd enough 23 15 27 25 18 28 26 REFUSED 2 1 3 2 2 2 2 WtBrnAgn PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 61% 80% 45% 58% 64% 58% 64% Unfavorable 18 6 30 17 18 17 11 Hvn't hrd enough 19 13 22 21 15 22 22 REFUSED 3 1 3 4 3 3 3
16. - Mitt Romney.
FL OH PA Favorable 20% 14% 16% Unfavorable 14 15 12 Hvn't hrd enough 64 70 71 REFUSED 2 2 1 WtBrnAgn FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 20% 36% 10% 17% 26% 15% 25% Unfavorable 14 6 20 14 17 11 10 Hvn't hrd enough 64 57 69 67 55 72 63 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 WtBrnAgn OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 14% 28% 6% 10% 16% 11% 15% Unfavorable 15 5 23 15 19 11 10 Hvn't hrd enough 70 65 70 74 63 76 73 REFUSED 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 WtBrnAgn PA.......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 16% 29% 6% 15% 20% 12% 17% Unfavorable 12 5 19 12 14 10 6 Hvn't hrd enough 71 64 73 73 65 76 74 REFUSED 1 2 2 - 1 2 3
17. - John Edwards.
FL OH PA Favorable 46% 47% 42% Unfavorable 23 24 26 Hvn't hrd enough 29 26 30 REFUSED 1 2 2 WtBrnAgn FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 46% 24% 61% 52% 47% 45% 33% Unfavorable 23 46 6 23 29 19 32 Hvn't hrd enough 29 30 32 24 22 35 35 REFUSED 1 - 1 1 2 1 1 WtBrnAgn OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 47% 22% 69% 45% 46% 48% 37% Unfavorable 24 46 9 23 29 20 30 Hvn't hrd enough 26 29 20 31 21 31 30 REFUSED 2 3 2 1 4 1 3 WtBrnAgn PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 42% 20% 68% 38% 41% 43% 32% Unfavorable 26 44 9 25 33 19 32 Hvn't hrd enough 30 34 22 35 23 36 34 REFUSED 2 2 - 2 3 1 2