Presidential Swing States (FL, OH & PA) Poll * April 2, 2008 * Clinton Leads 50 - 41 Among Pe - Quinnipiac University

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April 2, 2008 - Clinton Leads 50 - 41 Among Pennsylvania Democrats; Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Whites Give Clinton Lead In Key November Matchups: --- PENNSYLVANIA Democrats: Clinton 50 - Obama 41; FLORIDA: Clinton 44 - McCain 42; McCain 46 - Obama 37; OHIO: Clinton 48 - McCain 39; Obama 43 - McCain 42

Word format New York Sen. Hillary Clinton holds a 50 - 41 percent lead over Illinois Sen. Barack Obama among likely Pennsylvania Democratic primary voters and runs better against Arizona Sen. John McCain, the likely Republican nominee in Pennsylvania, Florida and Ohio, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
This compares to a 53 - 41 percent lead in a March 18 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University. In general election match ups of the three largest and most important swing states in the Electoral College, the survey finds.
Florida: Clinton 44 percent - McCain 42 percent; McCain beats Obama 46 - 37 percent; Ohio: Clinton beats McCain 48 - 39 percent; Obama gets 43 percent to McCain's 42 percent; Pennsylvania: Clinton tops McCain 48 - 40 percent; Obama leads McCain 43 - 39 percent.
The primary vote between Obama and Clinton splits sharply along racial lines, with her advantage coming from stronger support in every contest from white voters. For example, Clinton leads 59 - 34 percent among white Pennsylvania likely primary voters, while Obama leads 73 - 11 percent among black Democrats.
"When it comes to November, Sen. Hillary Clinton's strength is a big edge over Sen. Barack Obama among white voters, who have not given a majority of their votes to a Democratic presidential nominee since Lyndon Johnson in 1964," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute."
More than a third of voters in the three states think Obama's race is an advantage, more than twice the number who think it is a disadvantage. By contrast, roughly a quarter of voters say Clinton's gender is an advantage, and about the same number think it is a disadvantage.
"Former Democratic vice presidential nominee Geraldine Ferraro's assertion that Obama's race has helped his candidacy finds some support among the electorate," said Brown.
"At least for now, Sen. Clinton's argument that she is the better general election candidate in these key battleground states appears to have some validity," said Brown. "In this survey, her strength among white voters is why she runs better against Sen. McCain than does Sen. Obama.
"Roughly one in five Democrats in the three states say they will vote for McCain against Obama, but less than 10 percent say they would vote for McCain over Clinton. Among white Democrats, 23 percent defect to McCain in a matchup with Obama, but only 11 percent defect when Clinton is the Democratic candidate." Pennsylvania
Among Pennsylvania Democrats, Clinton leads 54 - 37 percent with women, and ties Obama 46 - 46 percent with men. Obama leads 51 - 42 percent among voters under 45 years old, while Clinton leads 54 - 37 percent among voters over 45.
By a 48 - 42 percent margin, Pennsylvania registered voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton. Obama gets a 49 - 31 percent favorability and McCain gets 47 - 31 percent.
"Sen. Clinton's imaginary snipers, Rev. Wright, Geraldine Ferraro, these events have taken only a small toll on Sen. Clinton's lead in the Pennsylvania Democratic primary," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
"Her strength is her clear advantage among white voters - blue collar whites, less educated whites, economically hurting whites, that group known famously as Reagan Democrats in the Keystone State. Obama is marshalling all his forces, but despite his eloquent dialogue on the race issue, Pennsylvania Democrats are unmoved. So Far."
The economy is the most important issue in their vote, 46 percent of voters say, followed by 23 percent who list the war in Iraq and 14 percent who cite health care.
Looking at the most important quality in a candidate, 30 percent want a strong leader and 26 percent want someone who is trustworthy.
Being black is an advantage for Obama, 32 percent say, while 15 percent say it's a disadvantage and 47 percent say it makes no difference.
Being a woman is an advantage for Clinton, 26 percent say, with 25 percent saying it's a disadvantage and 45 percent saying it makes no difference. Florida
In a general election match-up, McCain trails Clinton 44 - 42, too close to call, but handily defeats Obama 46 - 37 percent.
"The difference between Clinton and Obama in Florida is the white vote," said Brown. "She gets 38 percent to 50 percent for McCain, but Obama loses to the Arizona senator 54 - 27 among white voters. If Obama does get the nomination, how he fares with whites will be crucial to his chances."
The economy is the most important issue to Florida voters, 44 percent of voters say, followed by 19 percent who list the war in Iraq and 14 percent who cite health care.
Twenty-nine percent say a strong leader is the most important characteristic they seek in a president, while 27 percent say trustworthiness.
Being black is an advantage for Obama, 35 percent say, while 15 percent say it's a disadvantage and 44 percent say it makes no difference.
Being a woman is an advantage for Clinton, 24 percent say, with 25 percent saying it's a disadvantage and 47 percent saying it makes no difference. Ohio
Clinton's 48 - 39 percent lead over McCain puts her clearly out in front after several months of see-saw, too-close-to-call results.
Men split with 43 percent for McCain and 42 percent for Clinton, but women go with her 53 - 35 percent.
In an Obama-McCain matchup in Ohio, women back Obama 44 - 40 percent as men split, with 44 percent for McCain and 42 percent for Obama.
Despite Clinton's edge in the match-ups, she is not as well thought of overall as her two competitors. Ohio voters split 47 - 45 percent in their opinion of Clinton. By a 45 - 37 percent margin, voters have a favorable opinion of Obama. McCain gets a 42 - 33 percent favorability.
"The favorability data indicate that her lead may be in part due to higher name recognition. This is not a good omen as the other candidates become better known," said Brown.
The economy is the most important issue in their vote, 44 percent of voters say, followed by 22 percent who list the war in Iraq and 17 percent who cite health care.
"The economic concerns of voters make Ohio a tougher challenge for McCain than has traditionally been the case for Republicans, who have never won the White House without carrying Ohio," Brown said. "But Obama's weakness among white men is an indication that he has not yet closed the sale among the lunch bucket brigade."
Ohio voters split in the most important quality they want in a candidate, with 28 percent looking for someone trustworthy and 27 percent looking for a strong leader.
Being black is an advantage for Obama, 36 percent say, while 14 percent say it's a disadvantage and 45 percent say it makes no difference.
Being a woman is an advantage for Clinton, 24 percent say, with 27 percent saying it's a disadvantage and 46 percent saying it makes no difference.
From March 24 - 31, Quinnipiac University surveyed:
1,136 Florida voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent; 1,238 Ohio voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percent; 3,484 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of +/- 1.7 percent, including 1,549 Democratic likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percent.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.
1a. If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton or Obama? *This table includes Leaners.
PA LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS............................. Wht Wht Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Men Wom Clinton 50% 46% 54% 59% 11% 52% 63% Obama 41 46 37 34 73 40 29 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - DK/NA 8 7 9 7 15 7 7 Age Age No col Col WhtBrn 18-44 45+ degree degree Evangel Clinton 42% 54% 55% 40% 56% Obama 51 37 36 53 29 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - DK/NA 7 9 9 7 15 Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl Clinton 51% 38% 63% 44% 59% 62% 50% Obama 37 51 28 49 34 33 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 3 - - 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - DK/NA 12 11 7 8 6 4 8 IMPORTANT ISSUE TO VOTE...... IMPORTANT QUALITY IN CANDIDATE.. War Econ HlthCr Trust ShrVals Leader Comptnt Inspires Clinton 45% 53% 56% 43% 47% 55% 60% 11% Obama 48 39 34 47 44 33 36 80 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - DK/NA 7 8 9 9 7 11 3 9
TREND: If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton or Obama? *This table includes Leaners.
PA LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS Apr 02 Mar 18 Feb 27 Feb 14 2008 2008 2008 2008 Clinton 50 53 49 52 Obama 41 41 43 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - DK/NA 8 6 7 11
1. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
WHITE...... FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Clinton 44% 7% 78% 36% 35% 52% 30% 46% McCain 42 85 9 45 52 33 60 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 2 3 1 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 1 5 5 4 5 2 2 DK/NA 8 5 6 11 6 10 6 9 WHITE...... OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Clinton 48% 6% 81% 42% 42% 53% 41% 50% McCain 39 88 8 39 43 35 45 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 2 2 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 4 4 4 3 2 3 DK/NA 8 2 5 13 8 7 9 6 WHITE...... PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Clinton 48% 8% 80% 42% 42% 53% 40% 50% McCain 40 83 11 42 46 34 50 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 3 2 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 DK/NA 8 6 5 10 6 9 6 8
2. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
WHITE...... FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Obama 37% 7% 61% 35% 33% 40% 27% 28% McCain 46 84 20 45 50 42 57 52 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 3 3 4 3 4 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 1 9 5 5 6 5 6 DK/NA 9 7 7 11 8 9 8 11 WHITE...... OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Obama 43% 10% 66% 42% 42% 44% 38% 37% McCain 42 83 19 39 44 40 47 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 1 7 5 4 5 4 5 DK/NA 8 4 7 11 7 9 8 10 WHITE...... PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Obama 43% 11% 67% 44% 41% 46% 38% 40% McCain 39 77 17 35 43 36 47 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 4 2 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 1 6 4 4 4 4 5 DK/NA 11 10 9 14 9 13 9 14
3. Is your opinion of -- Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
WHITE...... FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Favorable 44% 19% 68% 38% 34% 52% 36% 51% Unfavorable 45 71 21 50 57 35 58 37 Hvn't hrd enough 8 8 7 7 6 9 5 7 REFUSED 4 2 4 5 4 4 1 4 WHITE...... OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Favorable 47% 11% 74% 40% 41% 51% 39% 50% Unfavorable 45 82 20 47 52 39 54 40 Hvn't hrd enough 6 5 3 10 4 7 4 8 REFUSED 3 2 3 3 3 2 3 2 WHITE...... PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Favorable 48% 17% 73% 44% 42% 54% 40% 53% Unfavorable 42 73 20 45 49 37 50 38 Hvn't hrd enough 7 8 4 9 8 6 8 6 REFUSED 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 3
4. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
WHITE...... FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Favorable 42% 20% 60% 45% 41% 43% 38% 33% Unfavorable 38 62 24 34 41 36 46 46 Hvn't hrd enough 16 16 13 17 14 17 13 18 REFUSED 4 3 3 4 4 4 3 4 WHITE...... OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Favorable 45% 24% 61% 43% 43% 46% 40% 40% Unfavorable 37 60 24 34 40 34 43 39 Hvn't hrd enough 15 13 12 20 14 15 15 17 REFUSED 3 4 3 3 3 4 3 4 WHITE...... PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Favorable 49% 29% 61% 53% 47% 50% 44% 46% Unfavorable 31 49 22 24 33 29 35 32 Hvn't hrd enough 18 20 15 20 18 18 19 18 REFUSED 3 3 2 3 2 3 2 3
5. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
WHITE...... FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Favorable 50% 82% 25% 55% 59% 42% 66% 52% Unfavorable 32 8 52 27 27 35 22 30 Hvn't hrd enough 15 9 20 13 8 20 6 16 REFUSED 4 2 3 6 5 2 5 2 WHITE...... OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Favorable 42% 78% 22% 42% 48% 38% 50% 42% Unfavorable 33 10 50 28 34 32 31 31 Hvn't hrd enough 21 10 25 25 16 26 15 23 REFUSED 4 2 4 4 3 4 4 3 WHITE...... PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Favorable 47% 74% 30% 48% 53% 41% 55% 46% Unfavorable 31 10 46 28 29 32 28 29 Hvn't hrd enough 19 15 20 21 14 23 14 22 REFUSED 3 2 3 2 3 3 3 3
6. Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the election for President this year? (Read options)
WHITE...... FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Terrorism 9% 19% 2% 8% 12% 6% 14% 7% The war in Iraq 19 13 21 20 19 19 19 21 The economy 44 39 47 46 43 44 39 45 Illegal immigration 7 11 2 8 9 6 11 8 Health care 14 7 22 11 10 17 9 13 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 3 4 2 2 4 1 5 1 DK/NA 5 7 3 4 3 6 3 5 WHITE...... OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Terrorism 7% 18% 1% 4% 9% 5% 10% 5% The war in Iraq 22 15 24 24 22 21 22 22 The economy 44 44 47 42 46 43 48 44 Illegal immigration 5 6 2 7 6 3 5 4 Health care 17 10 21 18 10 23 8 21 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 3 4 1 4 1 DK/NA 3 4 3 2 3 3 3 3 WHITE...... PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Terrorism 8% 18% 2% 6% 9% 7% 9% 7% The war in Iraq 23 18 27 20 22 23 21 23 The economy 46 43 47 50 48 44 49 44 Illegal immigration 5 8 2 7 6 4 7 4 Health care 14 9 20 13 11 17 11 16 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 DK/NA 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 3
7. When you decide how to vote for president, which of the following is the single most important quality you look for in a candidate? (Read options)
WHITE...... FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Trustworthy 27% 24% 26% 31% 29% 25% 27% 26% Shares your values 18 24 16 13 17 19 19 21 A strong leader 29 32 29 25 29 29 28 27 Competent 21 18 23 24 20 22 22 21 Inspiring 2 1 3 2 3 2 2 1 DK/NA 3 2 3 4 3 4 3 3 WHITE...... OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Trustworthy 28% 29% 25% 32% 28% 29% 27% 28% Shares your values 19 29 16 17 18 21 18 22 A strong leader 27 25 32 21 26 27 27 27 Competent 20 16 21 24 22 18 22 19 Inspiring 3 1 4 4 4 3 4 2 DK/NA 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 WHITE...... PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Trustworthy 26% 28% 22% 30% 25% 27% 25% 27% Shares your values 18 23 16 19 17 19 17 20 A strong leader 30 30 33 23 29 31 28 29 Competent 20 17 23 21 21 19 22 19 Inspiring 3 1 4 5 5 2 5 2 DK/NA 2 1 2 3 3 2 3 2
8. What should the United States do in Iraq? Withdraw all troops as soon as possible, or set a timetable to withdraw troops gradually or keep troops in Iraq as long as needed?
WHITE...... FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Withdraw all troops 29% 10% 46% 26% 25% 33% 22% 25% Set a timetable 37 31 39 41 32 42 28 44 Keep troops as needed 29 53 12 29 41 20 48 26 DK/NA 4 6 4 4 3 6 2 6 WHITE...... OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Withdraw all troops 25% 5% 36% 25% 21% 28% 20% 25% Set a timetable 44 30 54 45 41 47 40 49 Keep troops as needed 28 61 8 26 36 21 37 23 DK/NA 3 4 2 3 3 3 3 4 WHITE...... PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Withdraw all troops 24% 10% 35% 21% 18% 30% 17% 25% Set a timetable 45 31 54 49 44 47 42 49 Keep troops as needed 27 55 8 27 35 20 37 22 DK/NA 4 4 3 4 4 3 4 3
9. Do you think it's the government's responsibility to make sure that everyone in the United States has adequate health-care, or don't you think so?
WHITE...... FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Yes 64% 40% 85% 61% 56% 71% 50% 65% No 32 57 13 34 40 25 46 31 DK/NA 4 3 3 6 4 4 4 4 WHITE...... OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Yes 62% 33% 83% 60% 54% 69% 52% 66% No 34 62 14 36 42 27 45 29 DK/NA 4 6 3 4 4 4 3 5 WHITE...... PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Yes 65% 41% 82% 66% 58% 72% 56% 69% No 31 55 14 30 38 24 40 27 DK/NA 4 5 3 4 4 4 4 5
10. Which best describes your family's financial situation - Getting ahead, falling behind or holding steady?
WHITE...... FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Getting ahead 17% 20% 17% 14% 19% 15% 15% 12% Falling behind 17 12 23 15 16 19 16 19 Holding steady 65 68 60 70 64 66 68 68 DK/NA 1 - 1 2 1 1 1 1 WHITE...... OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Getting ahead 13% 17% 11% 12% 15% 11% 15% 9% Falling behind 21 13 23 24 20 21 20 19 Holding steady 66 69 66 63 65 68 64 71 DK/NA - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 WHITE...... PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Getting ahead 16% 20% 15% 15% 19% 14% 20% 13% Falling behind 17 9 20 20 16 17 17 17 Holding steady 66 69 65 65 64 68 63 69 DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 1
11. Is the fact that Barack Obama would be the nation's first black president one of the reasons you would consider voting for him or one of the reasons you would consider voting against him, or doesn't it affect your vote?
WHITE...... FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Reason to vote For 5% 1% 10% 2% 3% 6% 2% 2% Reason to vote Against 4 5 2 5 5 2 6 2 Doesn't affect vote 90 93 86 92 90 89 92 95 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 WHITE...... OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Reason to vote For 3% 1% 5% 3% 3% 4% 2% 3% Reason to vote Against 4 4 4 3 4 3 4 4 Doesn't affect vote 93 95 91 94 93 92 94 93 DK/NA 1 - - 1 - 1 - 1 WHITE...... PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Reason to vote For 4% 1% 6% 3% 3% 4% 2% 2% Reason to vote Against 3 4 3 2 4 3 4 3 Doesn't affect vote 92 94 90 94 92 92 93 93 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
12. Is the fact that Hillary Clinton would be the nation's first woman president one of the reasons you would consider voting for her or one of the reasons you would consider voting against her, or doesn't it affect your vote?
WHITE...... FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Reason to vote For 9% 2% 17% 5% 6% 12% 5% 8% Reason to vote Against 4 6 1 6 6 2 6 3 Doesn't affect vote 85 90 80 87 87 84 87 88 DK/NA 1 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 WHITE...... OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Reason to vote For 7% 1% 12% 5% 3% 10% 2% 9% Reason to vote Against 5 9 3 5 5 5 5 5 Doesn't affect vote 88 89 84 90 91 85 92 86 DK/NA 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 - WHITE...... PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Reason to vote For 8% 3% 13% 5% 5% 11% 5% 8% Reason to vote Against 5 9 2 4 5 4 5 5 Doesn't affect vote 86 86 85 90 89 83 89 86 DK/NA 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
13. Do you think the fact that Barack Obama is black has been an advantage to him in his presidential campaign, a disadvantage, or hasn't it made a difference?
WHITE...... FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Advantage 35% 42% 34% 32% 36% 34% 38% 40% Disadvantage 15 8 20 15 17 12 15 8 No difference 44 45 40 47 40 47 42 44 DK/NA 6 5 6 6 6 7 6 8 WHITE...... OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Advantage 36% 38% 32% 37% 38% 34% 39% 35% Disadvantage 14 8 16 16 15 12 13 11 No difference 45 47 47 41 41 49 41 49 DK/NA 6 7 5 5 6 5 7 5 WHITE...... PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Advantage 32% 37% 30% 33% 34% 31% 36% 33% Disadvantage 15 11 17 16 15 14 14 12 No difference 47 46 48 46 45 50 45 49 DK/NA 6 6 5 6 5 6 5 6
14. Do you think the fact that Hillary Clinton is a woman has been an advantage to her in her presidential campaign, a disadvantage, or hasn't it made a difference?
WHITE...... FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Advantage 24% 27% 24% 23% 24% 25% 23% 24% Disadvantage 25 20 30 23 21 28 18 31 No difference 47 49 42 51 50 44 55 42 DK/NA 4 4 3 3 5 4 4 3 WHITE...... OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Advantage 24% 25% 27% 19% 23% 25% 22% 24% Disadvantage 27 23 27 32 21 32 20 32 No difference 46 49 43 45 52 40 53 40 DK/NA 3 3 3 4 4 3 4 3 WHITE...... PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Advantage 26% 29% 22% 28% 29% 23% 29% 22% Disadvantage 25 19 30 23 20 29 19 31 No difference 45 47 45 45 47 44 48 44 DK/NA 4 5 3 3 4 3 4 4
15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling issues involving race in the Presidential campaign?
WHITE...... FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Approve 50% 36% 61% 51% 52% 48% 46% 44% Disapprove 31 42 23 32 31 31 36 37 DK/NA 19 22 16 17 17 22 18 19 WHITE...... OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Approve 50% 41% 58% 50% 51% 50% 51% 46% Disapprove 31 37 30 28 34 29 35 32 DK/NA 19 22 13 22 15 21 14 22 WHITE...... PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Approve 56% 45% 63% 60% 56% 56% 54% 53% Disapprove 27 36 24 23 28 26 29 28 DK/NA 17 20 13 17 16 18 17 19
16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hillary Clinton is handling issues involving race in the Presidential campaign?
WHITE...... FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Approve 41% 30% 53% 39% 36% 45% 36% 44% Disapprove 39 46 32 41 46 33 43 34 DK/NA 20 24 14 20 18 22 21 22 WHITE...... OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Approve 47% 39% 55% 43% 49% 45% 49% 44% Disapprove 33 34 29 38 35 31 35 30 DK/NA 20 27 16 19 16 24 16 26 WHITE...... PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Approve 46% 34% 56% 46% 45% 48% 45% 48% Disapprove 34 43 28 34 37 32 36 30 DK/NA 20 23 16 20 19 21 19 22
17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
WHITE...... FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Approve 29% 58% 12% 23% 31% 27% 36% 30% Disapprove 67 37 87 69 65 68 60 65 DK/NA 5 5 1 8 4 5 4 5 WHITE...... OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Approve 27% 67% 6% 22% 31% 24% 32% 27% Disapprove 68 27 92 72 67 70 65 67 DK/NA 5 6 2 7 2 6 3 6 WHITE...... PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Approve 26% 61% 6% 19% 28% 24% 30% 27% Disapprove 69 32 92 75 68 71 66 68 DK/NA 5 7 2 6 4 5 5 5
18. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?
WHITE...... FL......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Right thing 33% 65% 15% 26% 36% 31% 40% 37% Wrong thing 60 27 79 68 58 62 53 56 DK/NA 6 8 5 6 6 6 7 7 WHITE...... OH......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Right thing 33% 68% 12% 33% 39% 29% 39% 32% Wrong thing 59 20 84 59 55 63 54 59 DK/NA 7 11 4 8 6 8 6 10 WHITE...... PA......................Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Men Wom Right thing 33% 66% 12% 30% 37% 29% 40% 33% Wrong thing 62 28 85 64 59 64 57 60 DK/NA 6 6 4 6 4 7 4 7