May 1, 2003 - Bush Approval Soars Past 2 -1 In Connecticut, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Lieberman Runs Best Against Bush, But Loses
President George W. Bush has soared to a 64 - 29 percent approval rating in Connecticut, a 15-point jump in six weeks, according to a Quinnipiac University Poll released today.

Connecticut voters gave President Bush a narrow 49 - 45 percent approval rating in a March 14 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

In this latest survey, Republicans approve of Bush 92 - 6 percent, as Democrats split 45 - 46 percent. Independent voters approve 65 - 29 percent.

"After dropping to a record low job approval in March, President Bush has bounced back after the U.S. victory over Iraq. Bush enjoys a higher job approval than Connecticut Senators Joseph Lieberman and Christopher Dodd and Gov. John Rowland," said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D.

"Bush lost big in Connecticut in 2000, but now he beats all the leading Democratic contenders in head to head matchups, including the state's favorite son, Sen. Lieberman. Bush would beat Lieberman by 5 points. This is a reversal from last month when Lieberman beat Bush by 3 points.

"Lieberman still enjoys a huge lead in a Democratic primary in Connecticut."

Lieberman's approval is 53 - 25 percent. Dodd gets 52 - 16 percent. Rowland has a negative 33 - 54 percent approval. Presidential Matchups

In possible 2004 Presidential matchups in Connecticut:
  • Bush tops Lieberman 48 - 43 percent;
  • Bush beats New York Sen. Hillary Clinton 55 - 37 percent;
  • Bush beats Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry 54 - 37 percent;
  • Bush tops Missouri Congressman Richard Gephardt 57 - 33 percent.
In a primary, if New York Sen. Hillary Clinton seeks the Democratic nomination, Lieberman edges her 35 - 31 percent among Connecticut Democrats, followed by:
  • Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry with 11 percent;
  • Missouri Congressman Richard Gephardt and former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean with 6 percent each;
  • All other contenders with 1 percent each.
With Clinton out of the running, Lieberman dominates the pack with 46 percent, followed by Kerry with 18 percent and
  • Gephardt with 9 percent;
  • Dean with 6 percent;
  • Rev. Al Sharpton with 5 percent;
  • North Carolina Sen. John Edwards with 3 percent;
  • All other contenders with 1 percent each.
From April 22 - 28, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,239 Connecticut voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percent. The survey includes 387 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 5 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania and the nation as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu and quicklinks

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joseph Lieberman is handling his job as United States Senator?

                         App     Dis     DK/NA


May 1, 2003 53% 25% 22% March 14, 2003 60 28 12 October 2, 2002 58 29 13 August 1, 2002 64 26 10 July 31, 2002 64 26 10 May 23, 2002 65 23 12 February 14, 2002 64 21 15 December 19, 2001 71 19 10 April 19, 2001 71 22 7 February 21, 2001 71 20 9 September 21, 2000 80 14 6 July 20, 2000 74 15 11 June 21, 2000 72 14 14 April 13, 2000 71 14 14 February 18, 2000 73 14 13 October 14, 1999 73 16 11 June 24, 1999 71 19 10 May 5, 1999 67 19 14 October 22, 1998 70 16 14 October 2, 1998 71 17 12 June 25, 1998 68 16 16 April 2, 1998 69 16 15 February 19, 1998 69 16 15 November 19, 1997 69 17 13 October 9, 1997 71 18 11 July 15, 1997 72 14 15 February 25, 1997 66 18 16 July 3, 1996 68 18 14 March 27, 1996 66 17 17 April 20, 1995 63 19 18 August 22, 1994 55 23 22 July 19, 1994 58 16 26



TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christopher Dodd is handling his job as United States Senator?

                         App     Dis     DK/NA


May 1, 2003 52% 16% 31% March 14, 2003 57 22 21 October 2, 2002 58 21 21 August 1, 2002 61 20 19 July 31, 2002 61 20 19 May 23, 2002 61 18 21 February 14, 2002 52 17 31 December 19, 2001 63 20 18 April 19, 2001 71 16 13 February 21, 2001 68 15 16 September 21, 2000 66 20 14 July 20, 2000 64 24 12 June 21, 2000 64 21 14 April 13, 2000 63 22 15 February 18, 2000 64 21 16 October 14, 1999 70 22 8 June 24, 1999 65 25 10 May 5, 1999 61 25 14 November 2, 1998 (LV) 62 31 7 October 22, 1998 62 27 11 October 2, 1998 60 27 12 June 25, 1998 60 27 13 February 19, 1998 59 30 11 November 19, 1997 57 31 12 October 9, 1997 56 34 10 July 15, 1997 62 27 12 February 25, 1997 54 30 16 July 3, 1996 56 26 18 March 27, 1996 58 30 13 April 20, 1995 60 26 15 August 22, 1994 56 27 17



TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President? (LV=Likely Voters)

                         App      Dis    DK/NA


May 1, 2003 64% 29% 7% March 14, 2003 49 45 6 October 17, 2002 (LV) 64 29 7 October 2, 2002 61 32 7 August 1, 2002 59 34 7 July 31, 2002 59 34 7 May 23, 2002 70 24 6 February 14, 2002 79 16 6 December 19, 2001 87 10 2 April 19, 2001 55 33 12 February 21, 2001 49 30 21



3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Approve 64% 92% 45% 65% 65% 63% 62% Disapprove 29 6 46 29 29 30 31 DK/NA 7 2 9 7 6 7 6



4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joseph Lieberman is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Approve 53% 44% 64% 51% 51% 55% 53% Disapprove 25 37 15 27 31 20 29 DK/NA 22 19 21 22 18 25 19



5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christopher Dodd is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Approve 52% 43% 62% 53% 53% 52% 53% Disapprove 16 29 6 17 20 13 17 DK/NA 31 28 32 30 27 35 30



6. Now I'm going to name nine Democrats who might run for president in 2004. After I read all nine names, tell me which one you would most like to see the Democrats nominate for president in 2004. Here are the choices... Connecticut Senator Joe Lieberman, Massachusetts Senator John Kerry, Missouri Congressman Dick Gephardt, North Carolina Senator John Edwards, former Vermont Governor Howard Dean, the Reverend Al Sharpton, Florida Senator Bob Graham, former Illinois Senator Carol Moseley-Braun, or Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich.

                          Dem


Lieberman 46% Kerry 18 Gephardt 9 Edwards 3 Dean 6 Sharpton 5 Graham 1 Moseley-Braun 1 Kucinich - DK/NA 11



7. Suppose New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton decides to run for president in 2004. Who would you most like to see the Democrats nominate for president in 2004? -- New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, Connecticut Senator Joe Lieberman, Massachusetts Senator John Kerry, Missouri Congressman Dick Gephardt, North Carolina Senator John Edwards, former Vermont Governor Howard Dean, the Reverend Al Sharpton, Florida Senator Bob Graham, former Illinois Senator Carol Moseley-Braun, or Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich.
                           
                          Dem


Clinton 31% Lieberman 35 Kerry 11 Gephardt 6 Edwards 1 Dean 6 Sharpton 1 Graham 1 Moseley-Braun 1 Kucinich - DK/NA 8



8. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?
                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Clinton 37% 6% 69% 31% 32% 42% 38% Bush 55 93 23 60 62 49 55

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 1 3 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 - 2 3 3 2 3 DK/NA 4 1 5 4 2 5 3



9. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Lieberman the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?
                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Lieberman 43% 9% 73% 40% 39% 47% 46% Bush 48 88 18 50 53 44 46

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 1 2 2 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - 2 3 3 2 3 DK/NA 5 3 6 4 3 6 3



10. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were John Kerry the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?
                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Kerry 37% 7% 63% 35% 34% 39% 40% Bush 54 91 28 54 58 50 52

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - - 3 2 1 2 DK/NA 6 2 7 6 4 8 4



11. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Dick Gephardt the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?
                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Gephardt 33% 6% 61% 27% 28% 38% 36% Bush 57 92 29 61 63 52 56

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - - 4 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - 1 3 2 2 2 DK/NA 5 2 9 4 3 7 4



12. As a result of the war with Iraq, are you now more likely to support George W. Bush for a second term as President, less likely to support him for a second term, or hasn't the war changed your feeling on that?

                                                                          Union
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


More likely 32% 49% 23% 31% 34% 31% 33% Less likely 22 5 35 19 19 25 25 Hasn't changed 43 44 39 47 46 40 40 DK/NA 3 1 3 3 2 4 1