October 25, 2007 - Florida Presidential Seesaw Lifts Giuliani Back To Top, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Primary Delegate Ban Hurts Democrats

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Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani has taken back the lead over New York Sen. Hillary Clinton 46 - 43 percent in Florida, reversing a 46 - 43 percent Clinton lead two weeks ago, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Giuliani still dominates a Republican primary, with 30 percent, but Arizona Sen. John McCain has bounced back to 14 percent, tying former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney has 12 percent. This compares to an October 10 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University which showed Giuliani with 27 percent, Thompson with 19 percent, Romney with 17 percent and McCain trailing with 8 percent.

Sen. Clinton leads a Democratic primary with 43 percent, down from 51 percent October 10, while Illinois Sen. Barack Obama's 18 percent is little changed. Former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards gets 12 percent.

Among Florida's independent voters, 22 percent say they are less likely to vote for a Democrat for president because of the Democratic National Committee's decision to strip the state of its national convention delegates because of Florida's early presidential primary.

"Florida has swung back to give Mayor Giuliani a slight edge over Sen. Clinton. This has gone back and forth since the campaign began this year and reflects just how up for grabs Florida's Electoral votes will be in November of 2008," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Sen. McCain's numbers are improving both in the Republican primary race and against the Democratic contenders. If he can continue this growth, it could vault him back into the conversation about potential nominees."

In other candidate matchups:
  • Sen. Clinton gets 44 percent to McCain's 43 percent, and leads Thompson 46 - 41 percent and Romney 47 - 39 percent;
  • Giuliani leads Obama 47 - 40 percent and Edwards 44 - 41 percent;
  • McCain ties Obama 42 - 42 percent and trails Edwards 42 - 40 percent;
  • Obama defeats Thompson 43 - 39 percent and Romney 44 - 37 percent;
  • Edwards defeats Thompson 47 - 36 percent and Romney 48 - 34 percent.
Among Florida Democrats, 58 percent want a candidate who pledges to eliminate the tax cuts instituted by President George W. Bush and 63 percent say the next President should get all U.S. troops out of Iraq by the end of his/her first term. But only 29 percent favor legalized gay marriage, with 22 percent who support legalized civil unions.

Among Republicans, 54 percent want a nominee who has pledged not to raise federal taxes and 44 percent want a nominee opposed to both legalized abortion and gay marriage, while 27 percent want a candidate who will get the troops out of Iraq by the end of his first term.

By a 62 - 16 percent margin, Florida voters say the Democratic National Committee is wrong to strip Florida of its nominating convention delegates because state lawmakers set the presidential primary for January 29, a week before DNC rules. Feelings are consistent among Democrats, Republicans and independent voters.

But voters say 46 - 29 percent the Florida Legislature is wrong to move up the state's presidential primary.

By a 52 - 30 percent margin, Florida voters have a favorable opinion of Giuliani. Favorability ratings for other contenders are:
  • 47 - 46 percent for Clinton;
  • 50 - 28 percent for Edwards;
  • 48 - 27 percent for McCain;
  • 45 - 29 percent for Obama;
  • 31 - 23 percent for Romney;
  • 30 - 21 percent for Thompson.
Florida voters disapprove 60 - 34 percent of the job President George W. Bush is doing.

From October 17 - 22, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,025 Florida voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points. The survey includes 394 Republicans, with a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percentage points, and 416 Democrats, with a margin of error of +/- 4.8 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Florida, Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.

1.(If registered Democrat)If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, John Edwards, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama, and Bill Richardson for whom would you vote?
                        REGISTERED DEMOCRATS
                        Tot     Men     Wom


Biden 1% 2% 1% Clinton 43 38 47 Dodd - - - Edwards 12 18 9 Gravel - - - Kucinich 1 2 1 Obama 18 14 20 Richardson 3 6 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 DK/NA 17 15 18

TREND: (If registered Democrat) If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, John Edwards, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama and Bill Richardson, for whom would you vote? na = not asked

                        REGISTERED DEMOCRATS.................................
                        Oct 25  Oct 10  Sep 12  Aug 8   Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007 


Biden 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 Clark na na na na na na - Clinton 43 51 42 43 36 38 34 Dodd - - 1 - 1 1 1 Edwards 12 10 9 8 9 8 11 Gore na na 12 11 14 13 13 Gravel - - - - - - - Kucinich 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 Obama 18 17 13 13 14 15 16 Richardson 3 2 1 2 2 2 5 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 3 4 3 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 3 1 3 4 2 DK/NA 17 14 15 15 14 15 14



2.(If registered Republican)If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Sam Brownback, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo and Fred Thompson for whom would you vote?

                        REGISTERED REPUBLICANS..........
                                                WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Brownback 1% 1% - 2% Giuliani 30 29 31 23 Huckabee 8 9 7 12 Hunter 1 1 2 2 McCain 14 13 14 11 Paul 1 2 - - Romney 12 13 10 7 Tancredo 1 2 1 2 Thompson, F. 14 15 13 20 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 3 6 DK/NA 11 7 16 12

TREND: (If registered Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Sam Brownback,Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, and Fred Thompson, for whom would you vote? na = not asked

                        REGISTERED REPUBLICANS................................
                        Oct 25  Oct 10  Sep 12  Aug 8   Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007


Brownback 1 1 - 2 - - 1 Gilmore na na na - - - - Gingrich na na 6 6 5 7 7 Giuliani 30 27 28 26 30 27 31 Hagel na na na na na na - Huckabee 8 4 2 2 1 1 - Hunter 1 - - - - - 1 McCain 14 8 10 11 10 13 10 Pataki na na na na na na - Paul 1 2 2 - 1 2 - Romney 12 17 11 9 9 6 8 Tancredo 1 1 - - 1 1 - Thompson, F. 14 19 17 19 18 21 14 Thompson, T. na na na 1 1 1 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 4 3 2 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 1 3 2 3 3 DK/NA 11 16 18 18 19 18 21



3. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Clinton 43% 7% 80% 36% 33% 51% 26% Giuliani 46 88 12 47 56 38 61 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 1 7 5 3 5 DK/NA 6 2 6 9 5 7 7

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        Oct 25  Oct 10  Sep 12  Aug 8   Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7 
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007  


Clinton 43 46 44 46 44 42 42 Giuliani 46 43 44 44 46 48 47 SMONE ELSE 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE 4 4 2 3 3 3 4 DK/NA 6 6 8 5 5 5 6



4. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Obama 40% 8% 71% 36% 33% 47% 21% Giuliani 47 86 15 48 56 38 63 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 3 1 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 3 5 3 3 5 DK/NA 8 4 8 11 5 10 8

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        Oct 25  Oct 10  Sep 12  Aug 8   Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007 


Obama 40 39 38 41 39 39 40 Giuliani 47 42 47 44 47 47 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 3 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 5 4 4 4 4 4 DK/NA 8 11 10 8 7 8 11



5. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Edwards 41% 6% 78% 34% 35% 47% 30% Giuliani 44 85 11 46 54 36 55 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 1 2 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 6 4 3 6 DK/NA 9 5 9 12 6 12 9

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        Oct 25  Oct 10  Sep 12  Apr 2   Mar 7
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007 


Edwards 41 41 42 40 40 Giuliani 44 43 46 50 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 5 3 2 3 DK/NA 9 8 8 8 10



6. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Clinton 44% 9% 80% 37% 35% 52% 25% McCain 43 84 10 45 50 38 63 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 3 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 1 7 6 2 5 DK/NA 6 2 7 8 6 6 6

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Oct 25  Oct 10  Sep 12  Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7   Aug 2
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007 
                                                                             
Clinton                 44      46      45      46      44      45      45   
McCain                  43      42      40      40      43      42      45   
SMONE ELSE               2       2       2       3       2       2       1   
WLDN'T VOTE              4       4       4       4       4       4       3   
DK/NA                    6       6       9       7       6       7       6   




7. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Obama 42% 12% 72% 34% 33% 50% 24% McCain 42 80 14 43 51 35 62 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 3 3 3 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 3 3 7 6 3 5 DK/NA 9 4 9 12 7 10 8

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        Oct 25  Oct 10  Sep 12  Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7   Apr 26
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007  


Obama 42 39 39 42 42 40 41 McCain 42 41 42 38 42 41 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 3 3 2 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 6 5 6 4 5 3 DK/NA 9 11 11 11 10 11 13



8. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Edwards 42% 11% 76% 32% 37% 47% 26% McCain 40 78 10 43 46 34 55 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 3 3 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 2 9 5 5 8 DK/NA 10 6 10 13 9 12 11

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        Oct 25  Oct 10  Sep 12  Apr 2   Mar 7   Feb 7 
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007


Edwards 42 42 42 43 41 42 McCain 40 40 39 41 43 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 3 3 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 5 5 3 3 2 DK/NA 10 9 11 12 12 11



9. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Clinton 46% 11% 83% 37% 39% 52% 26% Thompson 41 83 8 40 47 36 60 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 2 3 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 1 7 5 2 4 DK/NA 8 3 7 13 7 8 8

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Oct 25  Oct 10  Sep 12  Aug 8   Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007


Clinton 46 48 46 49 48 46 43 Thompson 41 39 40 40 39 41 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 2 2 5 5 4 DK/NA 8 7 10 7 7 6 10



10. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Obama 43% 12% 75% 35% 36% 49% 23% Thompson 39 77 11 38 47 31 57 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 3 3 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 2 8 5 3 5 DK/NA 11 7 9 17 9 14 14

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Oct 25  Oct 10  Sep 12  Aug 8   Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007


Obama 43 45 43 43 42 43 41 Thompson 39 36 39 37 39 41 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 3 3 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 4 5 5 5 6 DK/NA 11 12 12 12 12 11 14



11. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Edwards 47% 16% 80% 36% 42% 51% 28% Thompson 36 74 6 39 44 28 51 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 2 3 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 2 7 4 4 6 DK/NA 11 7 10 16 8 15 13

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        Oct 25  Oct 10  Sep 12
                        2007    2007    2007


Edwards 47 44 44 Thompson 36 36 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 6 4 DK/NA 11 12 13



12. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Clinton 47% 10% 84% 41% 40% 53% 28% Romney 39 81 8 35 45 33 56 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 1 3 4 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 1 8 5 4 6 DK/NA 7 3 6 12 5 8 9

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Oct 25  Oct 10  Sep 12  Apr 2   Mar 7   Feb 7   May 30
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2006


Clinton 47 48 48 45 48 52 50 Romney 39 37 38 39 36 34 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 2 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 3 4 2 2 2 DK/NA 7 9 9 10 12 9 8



13. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Obama 44% 13% 74% 36% 36% 51% 23% Romney 37 74 10 38 45 30 55 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 3 3 4 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 2 7 4 5 7 DK/NA 11 7 10 16 10 12 13

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                        Oct 25  Oct 10  Sep 12  Apr 2   Mar 7
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007


Obama 44 43 44 42 43 Romney 37 36 36 35 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 3 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 6 5 4 4 DK/NA 11 13 13 17 18



14. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Edwards 48% 13% 82% 39% 42% 53% 34% Romney 34 74 6 34 43 27 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 4 3 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 2 7 5 4 6 DK/NA 11 7 8 16 7 14 12

TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Oct 25  Oct 10  Sep 12  Apr 2   Mar 7
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007


Edwards 48 47 47 50 48 Romney 34 33 33 31 32 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 3 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 6 4 3 3 DK/NA 11 12 13 14 15

TREND: Is your opinion of -- favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him/her?

Score = %Favorable (%Haven't heard enough)

                        Oct 25  Oct 10  Sep 12  Aug 8   Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7 
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007


Clinton, Hillary 47( 4) 49( 7) 50( 3) 50( 5) 49( 5) 47( 4) 44( 8) Edwards, John 50(20) 46(20) 48(20) 42(24) 40(26) 37(29) 40(28) Giuliani, Rudy 52(16) 49(15) 54(15) 53(19) 56(15) 54(16) 52(18) McCain, John 48(21) 43(23) 42(22) 34(24) 40(23) 44(23) 41(25) Obama, Barack 45(23) 47(25) 46(23) 44(27) 45(28) 44(35) 42(30) Romney, Mitt 31(43) 30(48) 26(50) 21(54) 20(56) 21(60) 20(58) Thompson, Fred 30(46) 29(45) 30(50) 33(48) 33(49) 32(54) 27(58)



15. Is your opinion of - Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Favorable 47% 12% 80% 42% 39% 53% 30% Unfavorable 46 86 13 44 53 39 63 Hvn't hrd enough 4 1 3 9 4 5 5 REFUSED 3 1 3 6 4 3 3

TREND: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

                        Oct 25  Oct 10  Sep 12  Aug 8   Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007 


Favorable 47 49 50 50 49 47 44 Unfavorable 46 41 43 42 44 47 45 Hvn't hrd enough 4 7 3 5 5 4 8 REFUSED 3 3 3 2 2 2 3



16. Is your opinion of - John Edwards favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Favorable 50% 22% 75% 45% 47% 52% 38% Unfavorable 28 58 7 25 35 22 39 Hvn't hrd enough 20 18 17 26 16 24 20 REFUSED 2 2 1 3 2 2 3

TREND: Is your opinion of John Edwards favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Oct 25  Oct 10  Sep 12  Aug 8   Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007


Favorable 50 46 48 42 40 37 40 Unfavorable 28 32 30 32 32 32 29 Hvn't hrd enough 20 20 20 24 26 29 28 REFUSED 2 2 3 3 3 2 3



17. Is your opinion of - Rudy Giuliani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Favorable 52% 77% 32% 51% 58% 47% 57% Unfavorable 30 12 47 27 28 32 26 Hvn't hrd enough 16 9 20 18 12 19 15 REFUSED 2 1 2 4 2 2 2

TREND: Is your opinion of Rudy Giuliani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Oct 25  Oct 10  Sep 12  Aug 8   Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007


Favorable 52 49 54 53 56 54 52 Unfavorable 30 34 28 26 27 28 27 Hvn't hrd enough 16 15 15 19 15 16 18 REFUSED 2 3 2 2 2 2 2



18. Is your opinion of - John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Favorable 48% 64% 37% 50% 52% 44% 55% Unfavorable 27 16 38 24 27 27 20 Hvn't hrd enough 21 17 23 21 17 25 20 REFUSED 4 3 3 5 4 4 5

TREND: Is your opinion of John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Oct 25  Oct 10  Sep 12  Aug 08  Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 07
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007


Favorable 48 43 42 34 40 44 41 Unfavorable 27 30 31 39 34 29 30 Hvn't hrd enough 21 23 22 24 23 23 25 REFUSED 4 3 5 3 3 3 4



19. Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Favorable 45% 21% 65% 44% 41% 49% 29% Unfavorable 29 52 14 27 36 23 38 Hvn't hrd enough 23 25 19 27 19 27 29 REFUSED 2 2 2 2 3 1 3

TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Oct 25  Sep 12  Jul 23  Jun 07  Apr 2  Feb 07
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007   2007
                                                               
Favorable               45      46      45      42      42     37
Unfavorable             29      28      25      26      20     18
Hvn't hrd enough        23      23      28      30      37     44
REFUSED                  2       3       2       2       1      1




20. Is your opinion of - Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Favorable 31% 55% 15% 29% 38% 26% 40% Unfavorable 23 10 37 19 22 23 13 Hvn't hrd enough 43 32 47 48 37 49 46 REFUSED 3 2 1 4 3 2 2

TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Oct 25  Sep 12  Jul 23  Jun 07  Apr 02  Feb 07
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007 
                                                                    
Favorable               31      26      20      20      19      13   
Unfavorable             23      21      22      19      15      11   
Hvn't hrd enough        43      50      56      58      65      75   
REFUSED                  3       3       2       2       2       1   




21. Is your opinion of - Fred Thompson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Favorable 30% 52% 15% 29% 38% 22% 44% Unfavorable 21 8 35 17 21 21 12 Hvn't hrd enough 46 36 49 49 37 54 41 REFUSED 3 4 1 5 4 2 3

TREND: Is your opinion of Fred Thompson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                        Oct 25  Oct 10  Sep 12  Aug 8   Jul 23  Jun 27  Jun 7
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007


Favorable 30 29 30 33 33 32 27 Unfavorable 21 24 18 17 15 12 12 Hvn't hrd enough 46 45 50 48 49 54 58 REFUSED 3 1 2 3 2 2 2



22.(If registered Democrat) Should the Democratic nominee for president be someone who has pledged to eliminate the tax cuts made by President Bush?

                        REGISTERED DEMOCRATS
                        Tot     Men     Wom


Yes 58% 60% 57% No 26 33 22 DK/NA 16 8 21



23.(If registered Democrat) Should the Democratic nominee for president be someone who has always opposed the war in Iraq, someone who originally supported the war but is now against it, or someone who still supports the war in Iraq?

                        REGISTERED DEMOCRATS
                        Tot     Men     Wom


Always opposed 34% 31% 36% Orig supp/now agnst 35 36 34 Still supports 18 24 14 DK/NA 13 9 16



24.(If registered Democrat)Should the Democratic nominee for president be someone who thinks gay marriage should be legal, thinks only civil unions for homosexuals should be legal, or thinks neither should be legal?

                        REGISTERED DEMOCRATS
                        Tot     Men     Wom


Marriage legal 29% 22% 33% Civil unions legal 22 26 20 Neither 40 41 39 DK/NA 9 12 8



25.(If registered Democrat) Should the Democratic nominee for president commit to removing all United States troops from Iraq by the end of their first term?

                        REGISTERED DEMOCRATS
                        Tot     Men     Wom


Yes 63% 52% 69% No 31 42 25 DK/NA 6 6 6



26.(If registered Democrat) In the democratic primary, if you had to choose,would you vote for the candidate you like best or the candidate you think can win in November?
                        REGISTERED DEMOCRATS
                        Tot     Men     Wom


Like best 67% 66% 68% Can win 24 27 22 BOTH (VOL) 4 2 5 DK/NA 5 5 5



27.(If registered Republican) Should the Republican nominee for president be someone who has pledged not to raise any federal taxes?

                        REGISTERED REPUBLICANS..........
                                                WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Yes 54% 54% 53% 58% No 32 33 31 30 DK/NA 14 13 16 12



28.(If registered Republican) Should the Republican nominee for president be someone opposed to legalized abortion and gay marriage?

                        REGISTERED REPUBLICANS..........
                                                WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Yes/oppose both 44% 40% 48% 65% No/not oppose both 41 42 40 25 (VOL)OPP ABOR/NOT GAY MARR 1 1 1 1 (VOL)OPP GAY MARR/ NOT ABOR 5 6 3 2 DK/NA 10 10 8 7



29.(If registered Republican) Should the Republican nominee for president commit to removing all United States troops from Iraq by the end of their first term?

                        REGISTERED REPUBLICANS..........
                                                WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Yes 27% 26% 29% 21% No 65 70 59 68 DK/NA 7 4 12 10



30.(If registered Republican) In the republican primary, if you had to choose, would you vote for the candidate you like best or the candidate you think can win in November?
                        REGISTERED REPUBLICANS..........
                                                WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Like best 71% 73% 70% 69% Can win 22 19 26 25 BOTH (VOL) 3 3 2 1 DK/NA 4 5 3 5



37. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Approve 34% 69% 11% 31% 39% 30% 50% Disapprove 60 26 84 63 57 64 43 DK/NA 5 5 5 6 4 6 6

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Oct 25  Sep 12  Jul 23  Jun 7   Apr 2   Sep 23  Jun 7 
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2004    2007  


Approve 34 34 33 32 37 50 32 Disapprove 60 62 63 63 58 47 63 DK/NA 5 3 4 5 5 3 5



54. As you may know, the Democratic National Committee has decided that because Florida's presidential primary is taking place on Jan. 29, which is before the date the committee allows, the state will lose all of its delegates to the democratic national convention. How much have you heard or read about this - A lot, some, only a little or nothing at all?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


A lot 27% 30% 25% 30% 36% 19% 24% Some 27 30 24 27 25 29 29 Only a little 23 21 28 19 21 26 24 Nothing at all 21 19 22 21 17 25 23 DK/NA 2 - 2 3 2 2 -



55. Do you think the Democratic National Committee did the right or wrong thing by removing Florida's delegates from the national convention because the Florida primary was moved to January 29th?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Right thing 16% 13% 17% 16% 18% 14% 11% Wrong thing 62 67 60 62 64 60 70 DK/NA 23 20 23 22 18 27 20



56. Do you think the Florida legislature did the right or wrong thing by moving the Florida primary to January 29th?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


Right thing 29% 40% 23% 27% 37% 21% 31% Wrong thing 46 35 53 48 42 49 47 DK/NA 25 24 24 25 21 30 22



57. Does this decision by the democratic national committee make you more likely to vote for the democratic candidate for president in November, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference?
                                                                        WtBrnAgn
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Evnglcl


More likely 5% 2% 10% 3% 4% 6% 4% Less likely 16 30 3 22 21 11 21 Doesn't make diff 73 66 80 68 69 76 69 DK/NA 6 2 6 7 5 7 7