November 16, 2005 - Florida Voters In New York State Of Mind For 2008, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Support For President Bush, Iraq War At New Low
Florida voters would like to see New York Sen. Hillary Clinton face off against former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani in the 2008 Presidential race, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Clinton is the darling among Democrats with 50 percent, ahead of Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry with 26 percent and former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards with 18 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

Among Republican voters, Giuliani leads with 56 percent, followed by Arizona Sen. John McCain with 27 percent and Virginia Sen. George Allen with 9 percent.

A look at some frequently mentioned 2008 Presidential election matchups shows:
  • McCain beats Clinton 48 - 42 percent;
  • Giuliani beats Clinton 50 - 44 percent.
McCain gets 41 percent of women voters and 20 percent of Democrats. Giuliani gets 45 percent of women voters and 19 percent of Democrats.

"Two New Yorkers - Sen. Hillary Clinton and Mayor Rudy Giuliani - are the Democratic and Republican choices for President among Florida voters at this early stage. While Clinton is a clear favorite among Democrats, she would lose to either Giuliani or Sen. John McCain in Florida in the general election," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

If Gov. Jeb Bush were to run for President in 2008, 33 percent of Florida voters say they "definitely" or "probably" would vote for him, while 58 percent say they "probably" or "definitely" would not vote for him. Bush Approval

Florida voters disapprove 61 - 37 percent of the job President George W. Bush is doing, the President's lowest approval in any Quinnipiac University Florida poll.

Voters disapprove 64 - 31 percent of the President's handling of the war in Iraq and say 60 - 36 percent that going to war in Iraq was the wrong thing to do.

From November 8 - 13, Quinnipiac University surveyed 855 Florida registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points. The survey includes 281 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 5.9 percentage points, and 305 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 5.6 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Florida, Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and the nation as a public service and for research.

For additional data-www.quinnipiac.edu and quicklinks

5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Approve 37% 71% 10% 30% 41% 33% Disapprove 61 26 90 66 57 64 DK/NA 2 3 1 4 3 2

North/ PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE

Approve 46% 41% 43% 36% 23% Disapprove 51 57 55 60 75 DK/NA 3 2 2 4 2

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Nov 16  Aug 31  Jun 30  Apr 13  Feb 24  Sep 23  Nov 16
                        2005    2005    2005    2005    2005    2004    2005  
                                                                              
Approve                 37      42      45      46      44      50      37   
Disapprove              61      54      51      51      52      47      61   
DK/NA                    2       4       4       3       4       3       2




6. If Governor Jeb Bush were to run for President in 2008, how likely is it that you would vote for him? Do you think you would definitely vote for him, probably vote for him, probably not vote for him, or definitely not vote for him?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Definitely 12% 26% 4% 8% 11% 13% Probably 21 36 8 17 24 17 Probably not 16 11 16 21 18 15 Definitely not 42 15 66 43 36 47 DK/NA 9 11 6 11 11 8

North/ PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE

Definitely 14% 14% 13% 20% 6% Probably 24 27 19 20 15 Probably not 18 12 19 13 16 Definitely not 34 36 41 39 54 DK/NA 9 10 9 7 9

TREND: If Governor Jeb Bush were to run for President in 2008, how likely is it that you would vote for him? Do you think you would definitely vote for him, probably vote for him, probably not vote for him, or definitely not vote for him?

                        Nov 16  Aug 31
                        2005    2005


Definitely 12 13 Probably 21 23 Probably not 16 15 Definitely not 42 43 DK/NA 9 6



7. If New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton were to run for President in 2008, how likely is it that you would vote for her? Do you think you would definitely vote for her, probably vote for her, probably not vote for her, or definitely not vote for her?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Definitely 21% 5% 40% 18% 13% 28% Probably 25 10 36 27 25 24 Probably not 12 11 10 14 13 11 Definitely not 37 73 8 33 44 32 DK/NA 5 1 7 8 4 5

North/ PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE

Definitely 16% 22% 16% 18% 30% Probably 26 20 27 21 27 Probably not 8 13 10 18 13 Definitely not 47 40 42 36 26 DK/NA 3 5 6 7 5

TREND: If New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton were to run for President in 2008, how likely is it that you would vote for her? Do you think you would definitely vote for her, probably vote for her, probably not vote for her, or definitely not vote for her?

                        Nov 16  Aug 31
                        2005    2005


Definitely 21 22 Probably 25 23 Probably not 12 11 Definitely not 37 39 DK/NA 5 5



18. Who would you most like to see the Democrats nominate for President in 2008 if the candidates were New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, Massachusetts Senator John Kerry, and former North Carolina Senator John Edwards?

                        Dem


Clinton 50% Kerry 26 Edwards 18 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 DK/NA 5



19. Who would you most like to see the Republicans nominate for President in 2008 if the candidates were Arizona Senator John McCain, Virginia Senator George Allen, and former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani?

                        Rep


McCain 27% Allen 9 Giuliani 56 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 DK/NA 6



20. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat and Rudolph Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Clinton 44% 7% 75% 44% 37% 50% Giuliani 50 87 19 49 56 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 - 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 DK/NA 4 3 4 5 4 4

North/ PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE

Clinton 38% 44% 39% 35% 54% Giuliani 56 50 56 58 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 4 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - - - 1 DK/NA 4 2 4 7 4



21. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Clinton 42% 9% 71% 42% 32% 50% McCain 48 82 20 45 56 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 - 1 1 1 DK/NA 7 5 7 10 8 6

North/ PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE

Clinton 36% 41% 39% 39% 50% McCain 55 46 48 52 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 2 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 - 1 - DK/NA 4 7 12 8 4



40. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Approve 31% 61% 7% 28% 35% 27% Disapprove 64 33 90 67 59 68 DK/NA 5 6 3 5 6 4

North/ PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE

Approve 42% 36% 30% 30% 21% Disapprove 51 61 64 65 75 DK/NA 7 4 6 5 4



41. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Right thing 36% 69% 8% 32% 42% 30% Wrong thing 60 26 89 64 55 65 DK/NA 4 5 3 4 3 4

North/ PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE

Right thing 44% 38% 38% 36% 26% Wrong thing 51 58 60 55 70 DK/NA 5 3 2 9 4