April 29, 2009 - Big Catholic-Protestant Split In Obama Approval, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Millions Of Whites Who Didn't Vote For Him Now Back Him

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One hundred days in office, President Barack Obama wins a 58 - 30 percent job approval rating from American voters, including 53 - 35 percent among white voters, millions more than voted for him in November, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today.

There is a big religious split as white Catholics approve of the President 57 - 33 percent while white Protestants split 44 - 42 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll of 2,041 registered voters nationwide finds. Jews back Obama 76 - 12 percent.

President Obama wins 90 - 4 percent approval from Democrats and 53 - 33 percent approval from independent voters, while Republicans disapprove 59 - 26 percent. Black voters approve 93 - 1 percent. There is a 10-point gender gap, as women approve 63 - 25 percent while men approve 53 - 35 percent. Voters 18 to 34 years old approve 69 - 23 percent, 13 to 14 points higher than older voters. There is an eight-point variance among income groups, ranging from 63 - 23 percent among those earning less than $50,000 to 55 - 35 percent among those making $50,000 to $100,000.

"President Obama's numbers are better than many of his recent predecessors at this point in his term, but his coalition is somewhat different than theirs. His bare majority support among the three-quarters of the electorate who are white is balanced by his extraordinary support among the one-quarter of the electorate who are non-white," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Obama's numbers among whites are high for a Democrat. No Democrat has carried a majority of white votes since Lyndon Johnson in 1964. Obama's 53 percent approval rating among whites means there are millions who did not support him on Election Day, when he received just 43 percent of the white vote, who like what he is doing in office today."

"The President's relatively lower standing among white voters is driven to some degree by his negative 36 - 49 percent rating among those who identify themselves as evangelical Christians, 58 percent of all Protestants and a Republican-leaning group among whom his approval has dropped more than 10 points in the past two months," Brown added. "Crucial to Obama's coalition is that he enjoys a 57 percent approval rating among white Catholics, perhaps the single most important swing group in the American electorate."

Obama's overall level of public support is slightly lower, 53 - 38 percent, when voters are asked if they approve of the way he is handling the economy, with the drop-off from his overall job approval reduced by about the same amount across most of the demographic groups. Americans are slightly more positive, 57 - 32 percent, about his handling of foreign policy.

By a large 59 - 27 percent margin American voters disapprove of the way Republicans in Congress are doing their job. Voters also disapprove 46 - 43 percent of the way Democrats in Congress are doing their job.

Voters trust Obama 54 - 27 percent more than Congressional Republicans to fix the economy.

If the 2010 Congressional elections were held today, 41 percent of voters would vote for a Democratic candidate in their district, while 34 percent would vote for a Republican, with 22 percent undecided. White voters favor Republicans by a narrow 38 - 35 percent margin.

"The American people's faith in Obama as the new President who can lead the country out of these tough times is perhaps best reflected in the fact that twice as many Americans trust him to handle the economy as they do the Republicans in Congress," said Brown. "The Republican brand overall remains in the public opinion basement."

From April 21 - 27, Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,041 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.2 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed - http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.

1. If the 2010 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for - the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?
                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
 
Republican         34%    81%     2%    31%    38%    30%    38%     9%    24%
Democrat           41      3     87     29     37     45     35     77     53
SMONE ELSE(VOL)     1      -      -      3      2      1      1      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)    1      -      1      2      1      1      2      -      -
DK/NA              22     16     10     35     21     23     24     12     23
 
                   AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............
                   18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K
 
Republican         30%    36%    35%    28%    39%    42%
Democrat           51     39     38     47     36     39
SMONE ELSE(VOL)     1      2      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)    -      2      2      1      1      0
DK/NA              18     21     24     23     23     17
 
                   PRES VOTE..........                WHITE.............
                   Bush/  Kerry/ Bush/  NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                   McCain Obama  Obama  Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath   Jew
 
Republican         77%     2%    24%    33%    35%    53%    47%    39%    14%
Democrat            3     84     37     42     40     22     27     34     58
SMONE ELSE(VOL)     1      -      4      1      1      1      1      2      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)    1      1      2      1      1      2      2      1      -
DK/NA              19     13     33     22     23     22     24     24     28
 
 
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
 
Approve            58%    26%    90%    53%    53%    63%    53%    93%    67%
Disapprove         30     59      4     33     35     25     35      1     18
DK/NA              12     15      6     14     12     12     13      6     15
 
                   AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............
                   18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K
 
Approve            69%    56%    55%    63%    55%    59%
Disapprove         23     31     32     23     35     33
DK/NA               8     14     13     14     11      7
 
                   PRES VOTE..........                WHITE.............
                   Bush/  Kerry/ Bush/  NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                   McCain Obama  Obama  Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath   Jew
 
Approve            19%    95%    83%    57%    61%    36%    44%    57%    76%
Disapprove         66      1      7     30     29     49     42     33     12
DK/NA              15      4     10     13     10     14     14     10     12
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?
                   Apr 29  Apr 01  Mar 04
                   2009    2009    2009
 
Approve            58      58      59
Disapprove         30      31      25
DK/NA              12      11      16
 
 
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?
                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
 
Approve            43%    16%    77%    33%    40%    46%    37%    73%    65%
Disapprove         46     75     12     55     53     39     52     14     22
DK/NA              11      9     11     12      7     15     11     13     13
 
                   AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............
                   18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K
 
Approve            57%    42%    37%    48%    42%    41%
Disapprove         33     48     51     39     50     52
DK/NA              10     10     13     14      8      7
 
                   PRES VOTE..........                WHITE.............
                   Bush/  Kerry/ Bush/  NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                   McCain Obama  Obama  Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath   Jew
 
Approve            10%    77%    51%    42%    45%    25%    32%    39%    62%
Disapprove         83     12     36     45     46     65     57     52     26
DK/NA               7     10     13     12      9     11     11      9     13
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?
                   Apr 29  Apr 01  Mar 04
                   2009    2009    2009
 
Approve            43      40      45
Disapprove         46      49      45
DK/NA              11      11      10
 
 
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?
                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
 
Approve            27%    40%    20%    24%    26%    27%    27%    22%    23%
Disapprove         59     48     66     61     63     56     60     63     56
DK/NA              14     12     14     15     11     17     14     15     21
 
                   AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............
                   18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K
 
Approve            30%    29%    22%    29%    27%    25%
Disapprove         57     57     63     56     60     66
DK/NA              13     14     15     15     13      9
 
                   PRES VOTE..........                WHITE.............
                   Bush/  Kerry/ Bush/  NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                   McCain Obama  Obama  Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath   Jew
 
Approve            35%    18%    29%    28%    25%    32%    29%    26%    23%
Disapprove         54     71     54     57     65     53     56     63     58
DK/NA              11     11     17     16     11     15     15     11     20
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?
                   Apr 29  Apr 01  Mar 04
                   2009    2009    2009
 
Approve            27      30      30
Disapprove         59      59      58
DK/NA              14      11      11
 
 
5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the economy?
                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
 
Approve            53%    22%    84%    49%    47%    59%    48%    92%    66%
Disapprove         38     70      9     42     43     33     43      2     25
DK/NA               9      9      7      9     10      8      9      7      9
 
                   AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............
                   18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K
 
Approve            56%    53%    52%    57%    49%    53%
Disapprove         34     39     38     32     43     39
DK/NA              10      8     10     10      8      7
 
                   PRES VOTE..........                WHITE.............
                   Bush/  Kerry/ Bush/  NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                   McCain Obama  Obama  Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath   Jew
 
Approve            17%    87%    80%    53%    53%    35%    40%    53%    69%
Disapprove         76      6     12     37     40     56     51     41     15
DK/NA               7      7      8     10      7      9      9      5     16
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the economy?
                   Apr 29  Apr 01  Mar 04
                   2009    2009    2009
 
Approve            53      55      57
Disapprove         38      37      33
DK/NA               9       8      10
 
 
6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - foreign policy?
                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
 
Approve            57%    27%    84%    55%    53%    60%    52%    85%    64%
Disapprove         32     61      7     36     36     29     36      6     29
DK/NA              11     12      9     10     11     11     11      9      7
 
                   AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............
                   18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K
 
Approve            63%    56%    54%    59%    55%    59%
Disapprove         28     33     35     29     37     34
DK/NA               9     11     11     13      9      6
 
                   PRES VOTE..........                WHITE.............
                   Bush/  Kerry/ Bush/  NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                   McCain Obama  Obama  Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath   Jew
 
Approve            19%    91%    83%    54%    62%    36%    46%    55%    82%
Disapprove         70      3      8     33     31     52     42     38     11
DK/NA              11      6      9     13      7     13     12      8      7
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - foreign policy?
                   Apr 29  Apr 01  Mar 05
                   2009    2009    2009
 
Approve            57      56      56
Disapprove         32      25      21
DK/NA              11      19      23
 
 
7. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
 
Very satisfied      6%     1%    11%     3%     5%     6%     4%    14%     9%
Smwht satisfied    30     17     45     27     28     32     28     48     36
Smwht dissatisfied 29     31     27     31     28     30     31     27     24
Very dissatisfied  34     50     15     38     37     31     37     10     28
DK/NA               1      -      2      1      2      1      1      1      2
 
                   AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............
                   18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K
 
Very satisfied      7%     4%     6%     6%     4%     5%
Smwht satisfied    35     28     29     34     26     29
Smwht dissatisfied 33     29     28     28     31     33
Very dissatisfied  25     36     35     31     37     32
DK/NA               -      2      2      1      1      1
 
                   PRES VOTE..........                WHITE.............
                   Bush/  Kerry/ Bush/  NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                   McCain Obama  Obama  Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath   Jew
 
Very satisfied      -     10%    12%     5%     6%     3%     4%     3%     1%
Smwht satisfied    12     49     41     29     33     19     25     29     37
Smwht dissatisfied 30     26     31     28     33     30     30     31     25
Very dissatisfied  57     12     15     37     27     47     39     36     36
DK/NA               -      2      1      1      1      1      1      1      1
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                           VERY+SMWHT SAT
                                                           High    Low
                   Apr 29  Apr 01  Nov 13  May 15  Nov 22  Dec 11  Nov 13
                   2009    2009    2008    2008    2006    2001    2008
 
Very satisfied      6      4        2       2       5      21       2
Smwht satisfied    30      26      14      15      32      47      14
Smwht dissatisfied 29      31      38      37      33      19      38
Very dissatisfied  34      37      44      45      28      10      44
DK/NA               1       1       2       1       1       3       2
 
 
8. Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
 
Favorable          58%    25%    90%    54%    54%    61%    52%    96%    67%
Unfavorable        27     57      5     27     31     24     32      1     15
Hvn't hrd enough   11     14      6     15     11     12     13      1     12
REFUSED             3      4      -      4      4      3      3      3      6
 
                   AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............
                   18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K
 
Favorable          64%    59%    54%    61%    56%    60%
Unfavorable        22     29     29     22     31     33
Hvn't hrd enough   12      9     13     13     10      6
REFUSED             2      3      4      4      3      -
 
                   PRES VOTE..........                WHITE.............
                   Bush/  Kerry/ Bush/  NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                   McCain Obama  Obama  Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath   Jew
 
Favorable          17%    96%    86%    56%    62%    35%    44%    55%    82%
Unfavorable        63      1      6     27     27     48     40     29     10
Hvn't hrd enough   16      2      6     13      8     14     14     12      8
REFUSED             4      1      3      3      3      2      3      4      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                           High    Low
                   Apr 29  Apr 01  Nov 12  May 14  Oct 31  Nov 12  Feb 21
                   2009    2009    2008    2008    2007    2008    2007
 
Favorable          58      59      67      49      50      67      44
Unfavorable        27      26      19      33      26      19      14
Hvn't hrd enough   11      13      11      15      21      11      40
REFUSED             3       2       3       3       2       3       1
 
 
9. Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
 
Favorable          43%    13%    80%    32%    38%    47%    37%    75%    54%
Unfavorable        41     73      8     46     49     34     46     10     22
Hvn't hrd enough   13     12      9     17     10     16     13     13     17
REFUSED             3      2      2      4      4      3      3      3      6
 
                   AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............
                   18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K
 
Favorable          49%    43%    39%    45%    41%    45%
Unfavorable        29     44     44     34     46     47
Hvn't hrd enough   18     10     13     18      9      6
REFUSED             3      4      3      4      3      3
 
                   PRES VOTE..........                WHITE.............
                   Bush/  Kerry/ Bush/  NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                   McCain Obama  Obama  Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath   Jew
 
Favorable           9%    85%    52%    41%    48%    23%    30%    44%    71%
Unfavorable        80      7     27     40     43     59     53     46     21
Hvn't hrd enough    9      6     17     16      6     14     13      7      4
REFUSED             2      2      4      3      4      3      4      4      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                   Apr 29  Apr 01  Nov 12
                   2009    2009    2008
 
Favorable          43      41      55
Unfavorable        41      42      35
Hvn't hrd enough   13      13       6
REFUSED             3       3       4
 
 
10. Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
 
Favorable          27%    58%    11%    21%    27%    26%    29%    15%    21%
Unfavorable        51     25     66     55     57     47     51     57     46
Hvn't hrd enough   17     12     19     19     12     21     16     25     23
REFUSED             5      5      4      5      4      5      5      3     10
 
                   AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............
                   18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K
 
Favorable          25%    30%    24%    25%    30%    30%
Unfavorable        49     51     54     49     53     57
Hvn't hrd enough   24     14     17     22     13      9
REFUSED             2      5      5      4      4      3
 
                   PRES VOTE..........                WHITE.............
                   Bush/  Kerry/ Bush/  NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                   McCain Obama  Obama  Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath   Jew
 
Favorable          51%     9%    26%    26%    27%    37%    33%    29%    19%
Unfavorable        33     76     52     47     61     41     47     53     62
Hvn't hrd enough   11     12     18     21      8     17     15     14     17
REFUSED             5      3      3      5      4      5      6      4      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                   Apr 29  Apr 01  Nov 12
                   2009    2009    2008
 
Favorable          27      27      36
Unfavorable        51      52      52
Hvn't hrd enough   17      17       7
REFUSED             5       4       5
 
 
11. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as - excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
 
Excellent           -      1%     -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Good                6      4      9      6      7      5      4     19     11
Not so good        41     36     47     38     37     44     39     54     39
Poor               52     60     43     57     54     50     56     27     50
DK/NA               1      -      1      -      1      -      1      -      -
 
                   AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............
                   18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K
 
Excellent           1%     -      -      -      -      1%
Good                9      5      6      8      4      4
Not so good        47     38     41     39     43     40
Poor               44     58     52     53     53     55
DK/NA               -      -      1      -      -      -
 
                   PRES VOTE..........                WHITE.............
                   Bush/  Kerry/ Bush/  NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                   McCain Obama  Obama  Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath   Jew
 
Excellent           -      1%     -      -      1%     -      -      -      -
Good                4      7      9      7      4      5      5      3      3
Not so good        33     46     49     39     45     35     40     40     46
Poor               63     46     41     53     50     59     55     57     51
DK/NA               -      -      -      1      -      1      1      -      -
 
TREND: Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as - excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                                                           EXLNT+GOOD....
                                                           High    Low
                   Apr 29  Apr 01  Mar 04  Nov 13  May 15  Dec 10  Mar 04
                   2009    2009    2009    2008    2008    2003    2009
 
Excellent           -       1       -       -       1       3       -
Good                6       4       3       4      12      37       3
Not so good        41      39      28      37      44      42      28
Poor               52      56      68      58      43      16      68
DK/NA               1       -       -       1       -       1       -
 
 
12. Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
 
Better             24%    14%    36%    20%    25%    22%    21%    35%    28%
Worse              33     47     18     37     33     33     36     14     20
The same           42     39     44     41     41     43     41     49     52
DK/NA               2      1      2      1      2      2      2      1      -
 
                   AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............
                   18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K
 
Better             27%    22%    24%    20%    25%    28%
Worse              30     34     32     32     34     30
The same           41     42     42     47     40     41
DK/NA               2      1      2      2      2      1
 
                   PRES VOTE..........                WHITE.............
                   Bush/  Kerry/ Bush/  NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                   McCain Obama  Obama  Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath   Jew
 
Better             13%    39%    32%    20%    31%    16%    19%    22%    34%
Worse              47     15     19     36     25     44     39     34     29
The same           39     45     46     42     42     39     40     43     24
DK/NA               1      2      3      2      2      1      2      1     12
 
TREND: Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
                   Apr 29  Apr 01
                   2009    2009
 
Better             24      19
Worse              33      32
The same           42      47
DK/NA               2       2
 
 
13. Would you describe the state of your own personal finances these days as - excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                   Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
 
Excellent           8%     8%     7%     7%    10%     5%     8%     4%     7%
Good               49     52     46     50     51     47     51     40     43
Not so good        28     28     27     30     27     30     27     36     30
Poor               14     11     18     12     11     16     13     19     20
DK/NA               1      2      2      1      1      1      1      1      1
 
                   AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............
                   18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K
 
Excellent           9%     8%     6%     4%     7%    19%
Good               45     52     48     38     60     58
Not so good        32     24     31     34     26     19
Poor               13     16     13     23      7      4
DK/NA               1      1      2      1      1      1
 
                   PRES VOTE..........                WHITE.............
                   Bush/  Kerry/ Bush/  NoColl Coll   BrnAgn
                   McCain Obama  Obama  Degree Degree Evngl  Prot   Cath   Jew
 
Excellent           9%     9%     6%     6%    11%     7%     7%     6%    14%
Good               55     50     56     43     61     51     52     56     38
Not so good        25     29     25     32     21     26     27     21     41
Poor                9     12     12     18      6     13     12     15      7
DK/NA               2      1      -      1      1      2      2      1      -
 
TREND: Would you describe the state of your own personal finances these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                   Apr 29  Apr 01
                   2009    2009
 
Excellent           8       6
Good               49      47
Not so good        28      31
Poor               14      14
DK/NA               1       1