November 22, 2011 - Gingrich On Top Of GOP Pack As Cain Fades, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Romney Ties Obama In One-On-One Matchup

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Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich more than doubles his share of the Republican presidential vote to lead the presidential pack with 26 percent and in a head-to-head matchup tops former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney 49 - 39 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today. But Romney is tied with President Barack Obama.

Former pizza magnate Herman Cain drops from the top spot with 30 percent in a November 2 national survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University to third place with 14 percent today. Romney goes from 23 percent November 2 to 22 percent.

Gingrich, who topped out at 10 percent 20 days ago, zooms to the top as he convinces 48 percent of GOP voters that among all GOP contenders he has the knowledge and experience necessary to be president, compared to Romney's 22 percent. Gingrich leads Romney 34 - 24 percent when GOP voters are asked who is a strong leader, a key quality Americans historically seek in a president. On foreign policy, he is seen as better by GOP voters 46 - 16 percent. But Gingrich trails Romney 32 - 9 percent when voters are asked who has "a strong moral character."

In a November 2012 matchup with President Obama, Romney gets 44 percent to Obama's 45 percent, compared to Obama's 47 - 42 percent lead in Quinnipiac University's November 2 survey. The president leads other GOP contenders by wider margins:
  • 49 - 40 percent over Gingrich, compared to 52 - 37 percent three weeks ago;
  • 50 - 37 percent over Cain, compared to 50 - 40 percent.
Republican voters nationwide pick Romney over Gingrich, 38 - 23 percent, as having the best chance to defeat President Obama. By 52 - 19 percent, Republicans say Romney rather than Gingrich is most likely to be the GOP presidential nominee.

"When it comes to the Republican horse race, the scenario hasn't changed much over the past few months - just the players," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Speaker Newt Gingrich is the latest GOP contender to rise to the top, powered by conservatives who remain skeptical about Gov. Mitt Romney," Brown added.

"The question for Gingrich, as was the case for U.S. Rep. Michele Bachmann, Gov. Rick Perry and Herman Cain, is whether he is just the flavor of the month or whether he can sustain his meteoric rise.

"Gingrich's strength with the Republican electorate is the perception of competence, while he needs to deal with questions about personal qualities. He is fighting the problem, especially among non-Republicans, as our mothers told us growing up, that it is very difficult to have a second chance to make a first impression."

While Romney can't get above 25 percent among GOP voters and the identity of his chief rival rotates, the former Massachusetts governor appears to have the largest upside when it comes to the overall electorate. When all voters are asked to rate the candidates favorably or unfavorably, Romney gets 36 - 31 percent, the only GOP contender with a positive score. Gingrich gets a negative 30 - 42 percent, while Cain has a negative 26 - 44 percent score.

President Obama has a split 47 - 46 percent favorability rating.

All voters say 46 - 41 percent that Romney is better able than Obama to handle the economy, the only one of the three top GOP candidates to outscore the president. Gingrich trails Obama 47 - 41 percent and Cain trails 49 - 38 percent on that measure.

"By 74 - 24 percent, GOP voters say they would prefer a candidate with whom they agreed on the issues rather than one who can win in November," said Brown. "Although more seem to prefer Gingrich on issues, it's clear that they agree Romney is their best candidate in November. The key for Romney will be retaining the perception of being a winner, while convincing skeptical conservatives that he shares their views and values."

From November 14 - 20, Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,552 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 1.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Republican primary includes 1,039 voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

2. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the 2012 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, and Herman Cain, for whom would you vote?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS....................
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod
 
Perry                 6%     6%     6%     6%     6%
Gingrich             26     29     23     30     17
Romney               22     21     23     21     28
Bachmann              4      3      5      3      5
Santorum              2      2      1      2      1
Paul                  6      6      6      5      8
Huntsman              2      2      1      1      3
Cain                 14     13     15     16     10
DK/NA                19     17     21     17     23
 
                     WHITE..................................
                                   BRNAGNEVANGL  COLLEGE DEG
                     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     Yes    No
 
Perry                 9%     2%    11%     2%     4%     8%
Gingrich             29     29     29     26     28     26
Romney               18     29     16     29     30     18
Bachmann              3      2      2      2      2      3
Santorum              1      2      1      2      2      1
Paul                  4      6      4      7      7      6
Huntsman              2      -      1      2      2      1
Cain                 14     12     16     13     10     15
DK/NA                21     17     21     18     13     22
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  TEA PARTY     Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  Yes    No     HsHlds
 
Perry                 8%    12%     4%     3%     6%     6%     4%
Gingrich             19     26     27     31     32     25     30
Romney               14     21     21     31     14     25     22
Bachmann              7      4      4      1      2      4      4
Santorum              -      1      2      3      2      2      1
Paul                 10      5      5      6     10      5      4
Huntsman              1      -      2      3      1      2      1
Cain                 14     15     16      9     19     13     15
DK/NA                26     15     18     14     14     19     19
 
TREND: (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the 2012 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, and Herman Cain, for whom would you vote? (na=not asked, * Most recent high/low shown)
             REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS................................
             Nov 22  Nov 02  Oct 05  Aug 31  Jul 13  Jun 08  May 04  Nov 22
             2011    2011    2011    2011    2011    2011    2011    2010
 
Perry         6       8      14      24      10      na      na      na
Gingrich     26      10       8       3       5       8       5      15
Romney       22      23      22      18      25      25      18      18
Bachmann      4       4       3      10      14       6       4      na
Santorum      2       1       3       1       1       4       1      na
Paul          6       7       6       9       5       8       5      na
Huntsman      2       2       1       1       1       1       1      na
Cain         14      30      17       5       6       9      na      na
 
McCotter     na      na      na       1       -      na      na      na
Barbour      na      na      na      na      na      na      na       2
Daniels      na      na      na      na      na      na       5       2
Huckabee     na      na      na      na      na      na      15      17
Johnson      na      na      na      na      na       -       1      na
Palin        na      na       9      11      12      15      15      19
Pawlenty     na      na      na      na       3       5       4       6
Thune        na      na      na      na      na      na      na       2
Trump        na      na      na      na      na      na      12      na
DK/NA        19      16      18      16      18      20      15      17
 
             CANDIDATE..................
             High            Low
 
Perry        24 Aug 2011      6 Nov 2011
Gingrich     26 Nov 2011      3 Aug 2011
Romney       25 Jul 2011*    18 Aug 2011*
Bachmann     14 Jul 2011      3 Oct 2011
Santorum      4 Jun 2011      1 Nov 2011*
Paul          9 Aug 2011      5 Jul 2011*
Huntsman      2 Nov 2011      1 Oct 2011*
Cain         30 Nov 2011      5 Aug 2011
 
McCotter      1 Aug 2011      - Jul 2011
Barbour       2 Nov 2010      2 Nov 2010
Daniels       5 May 2011      2 Nov 2010
Huckabee     17 Nov 2010     15 May 2011
Johnson       1 May 2011      - Jun 2011
Palin        19 Nov 2010      9 Oct 2011
Pawlenty      6 Nov 2010      3 Jul 2011
Thune         2 Nov 2010      2 Nov 2010
Trump        12 May 2011     12 May 2011
DK/NA        20 Jun 2011     15 May 2011
 
 
3. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Suppose the primary came down to a choice between - Herman Cain and Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS....................
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod
 
Cain                 37%    40%    34%    43%    23%
Romney               50     48     51     45     63
DK/NA                13     12     15     12     14
 
                     WHITE..................................
                                   BRNAGNEVANGL  COLLEGE DEG
                     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     Yes    No
 
Cain                 40%    30%    46%    29%    30%    41%
Romney               46     62     42     60     61     46
DK/NA                14      8     12     11      9     14
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  TEA PARTY     Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  Yes    No     HsHlds
 
Cain                 34%    44%    38%    34%    55%    34%    35%
Romney               44     39     52     59     37     54     55
DK/NA                22     17      9      7      8     12     11
 
TREND: (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Suppose the primary came down to a choice between Herman Cain and Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.............
                     Nov 22  Nov 2
                     2011    2011
 
Cain                 37      47
Romney               50      39
DK/NA                13      14
 
 
4. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Suppose the primary came down to a choice between - Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS....................
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod
 
Gingrich             49%    52%    46%    56%    33%
Romney               39     38     39     35     53
DK/NA                12      9     15     10     14
 
                     WHITE..................................
                                   BRNAGNEVANGL  COLLEGE DEG
                     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     Yes    No
 
Gingrich             57%    44%    59%    44%    49%    51%
Romney               30     43     30     42     42     36
DK/NA                13     13     10     14     10     13
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  TEA PARTY     Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  Yes    No     HsHlds
 
Gingrich             53%    54%    49%    48%    68%    46%    48%
Romney               30     33     41     44     25     43     39
DK/NA                18     13      9      8      7     11     13
 
 
5. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Obama                45%     4%    83%    43%    41%    48%    37%    89%    56%
Romney               44     91      8     42     48     39     51      6     33
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      2      2      1      2      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      1      2      4      3      3      3      1      4
DK/NA                 7      3      7      9      5      8      7      4      5
 
                     WHITE..................................
                                   BRNAGNEVANGL  COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                30%    35%    22%    39%    44%    34%    48%    46%    44%
Romney               60     52     68     49     49     52     39     44     46
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      2      2      2      2      2      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      3      3      3      2      3      3      3      3
DK/NA                 6      9      5      8      4      8      8      5      6
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHlds
 
Obama                53%    45%    42%    42%    39%
Romney               32     48     47     51     49
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      2      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      2      3      2      3
DK/NA                 9      4      5      5      7
 
TREND: If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Nov 22  Nov 02  Oct 05  Aug 31  Jul 13  Jun 08  Nov 22
                     2011    2011    2011    2011    2011    2011    2010
 
Obama                45      47      42      45      47      47      44
Romney               44      42      46      45      41      41      45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       2       3       2       2       3       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       4       2       2       2       2       2
DK/NA                 7       5       7       6       7       6       7
 
 
6. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Herman Cain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Obama                50%     9%    87%    50%    45%    55%    43%    90%    59%
Cain                 37     79      5     34     43     31     43      7     29
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      2      1      3      3      2      3      -      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      4      2      5      4      4      5      1      3
DK/NA                 7      6      4      8      6      7      7      2      7
 
                     WHITE..................................
                                   BRNAGNEVANGL  COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                35%    43%    27%    45%    51%    39%    51%    51%    50%
Cain                 52     42     62     39     40     44     33     39     37
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      3      3      3      2      3      3      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      4      5      4      4      5      4      3      5
DK/NA                 6      8      4     10      5      9     10      5      6
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHlds
 
Obama                56%    50%    47%    50%    43%
Cain                 27     38     41     43     44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      2      3      1      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      6      3      4      2      4
DK/NA                 8      7      5      4      7
 
TREND: If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Herman Cain the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Nov 22  Nov 02
                     2011    2011
 
Obama                50      50
Cain                 37      40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4       3
DK/NA                 7       5
 
 
7. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Newt Gingrich the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Obama                49%     5%    86%    48%    44%    53%    41%    90%    55%
Gingrich             40     87      5     38     45     36     46      7     30
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      2      1      3      2      2      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      3      2      4      3      3      3      1      2
DK/NA                 7      4      5      8      6      7      7      2     12
 
                     WHITE..................................
                                   BRNAGNEVANGL  COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                33%    40%    26%    42%    47%    38%    50%    49%    48%
Gingrich             57     48     65     45     44     48     33     41     42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      2      2      2      3      3      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      3      3      2      4      3      2      3
DK/NA                 6      8      3      9      4      8     11      5      5
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHlds
 
Obama                55%    49%    45%    48%    42%
Gingrich             30     40     45     45     46
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      2      2      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      3      4      1      3
DK/NA                 8      6      4      4      7
 
 
TREND: If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Newt Gingrich the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Nov 22  Nov 02
                     2011    2011
 
Obama                49      52
Gingrich             40      37
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       4
DK/NA                 7       5
 
 
8. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in the 2012 presidential election next year, are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
More                 29%    42%    25%    22%    33%    25%    28%    34%    30%
Less                 23     17     23     28     22     24     24     11     29
About the same       47     40     51     49     44     49     47     53     40
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      1      1      1      2      1
 
                     WHITE..................................
                                   BRNAGNEVANGL  COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+
 
More                 31%    31%    36%    27%    26%    29%    24%    26%    34%
Less                 21     25     20     24     25     24     21     25     22
About the same       47     43     42     49     48     46     54     49     42
DK/NA                 1      1      2      -      1      1      1      -      1
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHlds
 
More                 24%    35%    29%    30%    34%
Less                 21     23     26     25     19
About the same       53     41     45     45     45
DK/NA                 1      1      1      -      1
 
TREND: Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in the 2012 presidential election next year, are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?
                     Nov 22  Nov 02  Oct 5
                     2011    2011    2011
 
More                 29      31      30%
Less                 23      23      22
About the same       47      45      46
DK/NA                 1       1       1
 
 
9. Is your opinion of - Herman Cain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            26%    54%     7%    22%    32%    20%    28%    13%    26%
Unfavorable          44     21     65     43     39     48     43     56     41
Hvn't hrd enough     28     25     26     32     27     30     27     29     31
REFUSED               3      1      2      3      3      2      3      2      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Herman Cain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Nov 22  Nov 02
                     2011    2011
 
Favorable            26      33
Unfavorable          44      31
Hvn't hrd enough     28      35
REFUSED               3       1
 
 
10. Is your opinion of - Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            36%    58%    19%    37%    39%    33%    41%    12%    26%
Unfavorable          31     15     47     27     31     30     28     42     36
Hvn't hrd enough     31     24     32     34     27     34     28     45     32
REFUSED               3      2      2      3      3      2      3      -      6
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Nov 22  Nov 02  Oct 05  Aug 31  Nov 22  Oct 05  May 03
                     2011    2011    2011    2011    2010    2011    2007
 
Favorable            36      35      39      36      38      39      17
Unfavorable          31      35      28      27      26      28      16
Hvn't hrd enough     31      27      31      35      35      31      65
REFUSED               3       2       2       2       2       2       2
 
 
11. Is your opinion of - Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            30%    64%     9%    27%    36%    26%    34%    14%    23%
Unfavorable          42     10     67     42     41     42     40     55     41
Hvn't hrd enough     26     24     22     28     21     30     24     30     33
REFUSED               2      1      1      2      3      2      2      1      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Nov 22  Nov 02  Nov 22  Feb 21
                     2011    2011    2010    2007
 
Favorable            30      26      30      22
Unfavorable          42      47      43      47
Hvn't hrd enough     26      26      25      30
REFUSED               2       1       2       2
 
 
12. Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            47%     7%    82%    46%    43%    50%    40%    83%    58%
Unfavorable          46     88     12     45     50     42     53     10     35
Hvn't hrd enough      4      3      4      4      4      4      4      4      4
REFUSED               4      2      2      6      4      3      3      3      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Nov 22  Nov 02  Oct 05  Aug 31  Nov 22  Nov 12  Oct 05
                     2011    2011    2011    2011    2010    2008    2011
 
Favorable            47      49      42      47      48      67      42
Unfavorable          46      46      53      47      48      19      53
Hvn't hrd enough      4       2       3       3       2      11       3
REFUSED               4       2       3       3       2       3       3
 
 
26. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling - the economy? Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman or Herman Cain?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS....................
                                                        WhtBRNAGNEVANGL
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No
 
Perry                 7%     7%     7%     8%     5%    10%     3%
Gingrich             25     24     26     27     18     29     25
Romney               27     30     24     27     30     21     32
Bachmann              2      2      2      1      4      1      1
Santorum              1      2      1      1      -      2      1
Paul                  7      9      5      6     10      5      7
Huntsman              1      -      1      -      1      -      1
Cain                 18     19     17     19     15     19     17
DK/NA                12      7     18     10     15     14     13
 
 
27. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling - foreign policy? Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman or Herman Cain?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS....................
                                                        WhtBRNAGNEVANGL
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No
 
Perry                 5%     4%     5%     5%     4%     6%     2%
Gingrich             46     52     41     50     37     51     45
Romney               16     17     15     15     21     13     19
Bachmann              2      1      3      2      1      2      1
Santorum              2      2      3      2      1      3      3
Paul                  5      7      3      5      6      4      6
Huntsman              3      3      3      3      4      2      5
Cain                  4      4      3      4      4      3      3
DK/NA                16     10     23     14     22     16     17
 
 
28. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling - the abortion issue? Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman or Herman Cain?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS....................
                                                        WhtBRNAGNEVANGL
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No
 
Perry                 6%     6%     7%     7%     5%     9%     3%
Gingrich             11     12     11     13      7     12     12
Romney               14     15     13     12     19     10     18
Bachmann             13     12     15     14     13     16     11
Santorum              6      7      5      8      2      7      6
Paul                  6      7      6      6      7      3      9
Huntsman              1      1      1      1      2      -      2
Cain                  8      7      8      9      5      9      6
DK/NA                34     33     36     31     41     33     34
 
 
29. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling - illegal immigration? Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman or Herman Cain?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS....................
                                                        WhtBRNAGNEVANGL
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No
 
Perry                16%    18%    15%    17%    16%    18%    13%
Gingrich             21     23     19     23     17     24     20
Romney               11      9     13     10     15      9     16
Bachmann              7      9      6      9      5      9      7
Santorum              3      2      4      3      2      3      3
Paul                  6      7      6      6      7      4      9
Huntsman              1      1      2      1      1      -      1
Cain                  9     10      8     11      6      9      9
DK/NA                24     19     30     21     30     24     24
 
TREND: (If Republican or Republican leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling the issue of - illegal immigration: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, or Herman Cain?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS
                     Nov 22  Nov 02
                     2011    2011
 
Perry                16      15
Gingrich             21      14
Romney               11      12
Bachmann              7       8
Santorum              3       1
Paul                  6       7
Huntsman              1       1
Cain                  9      17
DK/NA                24      24
 
 
30. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think is best described as - having the knowledge and experience necessary to be a good president? Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman or Herman Cain?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS....................
                                                        WhtBRNAGNEVANGL
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No
 
Perry                 5%     5%     5%     4%     7%     7%     1%
Gingrich             48     51     45     52     40     51     48
Romney               22     22     22     20     29     17     29
Bachmann              1      1      1      1      1      -      -
Santorum              1      1      1      1      1      2      1
Paul                  4      5      3      4      3      2      5
Huntsman              1      1      1      1      1      -      1
Cain                  7      7      6      8      5      8      4
DK/NA                11      7     16     10     14     12     11
 
 
31. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think is best described as - having a strong moral character? Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman or Herman Cain?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS....................
                                                        WhtBRNAGNEVANGL
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No
 
Perry                 7%     8%     7%     8%     7%    11%     4%
Gingrich              9     11      7      9      5     13      7
Romney               32     32     31     32     34     25     41
Bachmann             11      9     13     12      9     13      7
Santorum              6      7      4      7      3      6      5
Paul                  9      9      8      8     11      7      9
Huntsman              2      2      2      1      4      1      2
Cain                  7      8      6      8      5      8      7
DK/NA                18     14     21     15     23     18     18
 
 
32. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think is best described as - being a strong leader? Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman or Herman Cain?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS....................
                                                        WhtBRNAGNEVANGL
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No
 
Perry                 9%     9%     9%    10%     6%    11%     4%
Gingrich             34     36     33     38     26     37     35
Romney               24     23     24     20     36     18     31
Bachmann              1      1      1      1      1      -      1
Santorum              2      2      1      2      1      2      2
Paul                  4      5      3      4      4      5      3
Huntsman              1      1      1      -      2      -      2
Cain                 14     14     14     16      9     14     12
DK/NA                11      8     14      8     15     12     10
 
 
33. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think is best described as - being able to defeat Barack Obama in the general election? Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman or Herman Cain?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS....................
                                                        WhtBRNAGNEVANGL
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No
 
Perry                 5%     4%     6%     3%     9%     7%     3%
Gingrich             23     26     20     26     14     29     20
Romney               38     42     34     38     44     33     42
Bachmann              1      1      1      1      1      -      1
Santorum              1      1      1      1      -      1      1
Paul                  3      4      2      3      3      2      3
Huntsman              -      -      -      -      -      -      1
Cain                 14     13     15     15     12     13     14
DK/NA                15     10     20     13     17     16     15
 
 
34. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think is best described as - most likely to win the Republican nomination? Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman or Herman Cain?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS....................
                                                        WhtBRNAGNEVANGL
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No
 
Perry                 4%     4%     5%     4%     6%     7%     3%
Gingrich             19     18     20     21     14     22     18
Romney               52     57     47     53     54     47     58
Bachmann              -      -      1      1      -      -      -
Santorum              -      -      -      -      1      -      1
Paul                  2      2      2      2      1      2      3
Huntsman              -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Cain                  9     10      8      8     10      9      7
DK/NA                13      9     17     11     14     13     11
 
 
35. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) When the Republican Party nominates its presidential candidate, which quality do you think should be more important, the candidate's ability to defeat Barack Obama or the candidate's views on the issues?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS....................
                                                        WhtBRNAGNEVANGL
                     Tot    Men    Wom    Con    Mod    Yes    No
 
Defeat Obama         24%    25%    23%    28%    15%    23%    23%
Views                74     72     75     69     84     74     75
DK/NA                 2      3      2      3      1      3      1
 
 
36. Who do you trust to do a better job handling the economy, President Obama or the Republicans in Congress?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Obama                44%     3%    83%    43%    40%    48%    38%    80%    51%
Reps in Congress     41     90      6     36     45     36     47      8     33
DK/NA                15      8     11     20     14     16     15     12     16
 
                     WHITE..................................
                                   BRNAGNEVANGL  COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                30%    38%    23%    39%    44%    35%    44%    47%    44%
Reps in Congress     55     47     65     44     43     49     41     41     41
DK/NA                15     15     12     16     12     16     15     12     16
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHlds
 
Obama                50%    47%    42%    43%    39%
Reps in Congress     32     42     44     47     44
DK/NA                18     11     14     10     17
 
TREND: Who do you trust to do a better job handling the economy, President Obama or the Republicans in Congress? (* Low also 41% Jul 2010, Jun 2011)
                                                             OBAMA.........
                                                             High    Low
                     Nov 22  Nov 02  Oct 06  Sep 01  Jul 14  Nov 02  Oct 06
                     2011    2011    2011    2011    2011    2011    2011*
 
Obama                44      48      41      44      45      48      41
Reps in Congress     41      39      43      41      38      39      43
DK/NA                15      12      16      15      17      12      16
 
 
37. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or - Mitt Romney?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Obama                41%     3%    79%    37%    38%    45%    34%    81%    53%
Romney               46     92     11     46     52     41     53     10     37
DK/NA                13      5     10     17     11     14     13      8     10
 
                     WHITE..................................
                                   BRNAGNEVANGL  COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                27%    31%    21%    35%    38%    32%    43%    43%    40%
Romney               62     56     68     53     53     53     42     46     49
DK/NA                11     13     11     13     10     15     15     10     11
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHlds
 
Obama                52%    45%    36%    36%    33%
Romney               33     46     53     54     51
DK/NA                16      9     11     10     16
 
TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     Nov 22  Nov 02  Oct 06  Sep 01
                     2011    2011    2011    2011
 
Obama                41      46      39      42
Romney               46      43      49      46
DK/NA                13      11      11      12
 
 
38. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or - Herman Cain?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Obama                49%     8%    85%    50%    45%    53%    43%    85%    55%
Cain                 38     81      7     34     43     32     43     10     30
DK/NA                13     11      8     16     11     15     14      5     14
 
                     WHITE..................................
                                   BRNAGNEVANGL  COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                36%    42%    28%    45%    50%    39%    51%    50%    49%
Cain                 51     43     61     40     41     44     32     40     38
DK/NA                13     15     11     16      9     17     17     10     13
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHlds
 
Obama                57%    50%    48%    47%    43%
Cain                 26     40     41     46     42
DK/NA                17     10     11      8     15
 
TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Herman Cain?
                     Nov 22  Nov 02
                     2011    2011
 
Obama                49      50
Cain                 38      39
DK/NA                13      11
 
 
39. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or - Newt Gingrich?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Obama                47%     5%    85%    45%    43%    50%    40%    87%    51%
Gingrich             41     88      7     40     47     37     48      7     34
DK/NA                12      7      8     14     10     13     12      7     14
 
                     WHITE..................................
                                   BRNAGNEVANGL  COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                31%    40%    25%    41%    46%    37%    47%    48%    46%
Gingrich             58     48     66     46     46     49     37     43     43
DK/NA                11     12      9     13      8     14     17      9     10
 
                     ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  Military
                     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  HsHlds
 
Obama                53%    49%    43%    45%    41%
Gingrich             31     43     47     47     47
DK/NA                16      9      9      8     13
 
 
51. How much have you heard or read about accusations that Republican presidential candidate Herman Cain sexually harassed several women in the 1990s, a lot, some, not much, or nothing at all?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
A lot                62%    64%    63%    59%    62%    61%    63%    61%    52%
Some                 22     21     21     24     21     23     22     16     26
Not much              6      6      8      5      6      6      6      8      7
Nothing at all        9      9      8     10      9      9      8     13     12
DK/NA                 1      1      -      1      1      1      1      1      2
 
                     WHITE..................................
                                   BRNAGNEVANGL  COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+
 
A lot                64%    64%    65%    64%    70%    60%    42%    64%    70%
Some                 19     23     19     22     23     21     28     23     17
Not much              6      6      6      6      3      7      7      6      6
Nothing at all       10      6     10      8      3     11     22      6      6
DK/NA                 -      2      -      1      1      1      1      1      1
 
 
52. Does this situation make you more likely to vote for Cain for President, less likely to vote for Cain for President, or doesn't it make a difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
More likely           3%     4%     2%     2%     4%     2%     3%     2%     3%
Less likely          41     34     49     41     35     46     41     42     42
No difference        53     59     46     53     58     48     53     52     50
DK/NA                 4      3      4      3      3      4      3      3      5
 
                     WHITE..................................
                                   BRNAGNEVANGL  COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Prot   Cath   Yes    No     Yes    No     18-34  35-54  55+
 
More likely           4%     3%     5%     2%     1%     3%     3%     3%     2%
Less likely          39     45     38     43     47     38     31     44     43
No difference        53     48     51     52     50     55     63     51     50
DK/NA                 4      3      5      2      2      4      2      2      5
 

Demographic Summary