April 3, 2013 - Early Look At 2016 GOP Field Shows 5-Way Horse Race, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; New Jersey's Christie Has Just 14%

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There is no front-runner now for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination, leaving a five- way horse race with no candidate above 19 percent among Republican voters, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today.

New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie, who ran better than other Republicans against top Democrats in a March 7 survey of all American voters by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN- uh-pe-ack) University, gets only 14 percent of Republican voters today.

Florida U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio gets 19 percent of Republican voters, with 17 percent for U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, 15 percent for U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky and 10 percent for former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush. Other contenders are at 3 percent or less.

The March 7 poll of all American voters, pitting Vice President Joseph Biden, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton or New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo against Christie, Ryan or Rubio showed Christie was the second most popular leader, topping Biden and Cuomo but trailing Clinton.

"Three years before the nominating process, the Republicans have no clear favorite," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Sen. Marco Rubio benefits from his exposure giving the GOP response to the State of the Union while Congressman Paul Ryan is known as the Republican vice presidential candidate. But history tells us being the running-mate on a losing ticket does not help one's presidential chances. The last three Republicans in that spot were Sarah Palin, Jack Kemp and Dan Quayle, while the Democrats in that role were John Edwards, Joe Lieberman and Lloyd Bentsen."

Republican voters say 59 - 23 percent that they prefer someone with experience as a governor, rather than a senator as their party's nominee.

"History indicates that Republicans who win the White House tend to be former governors and there are several thinking about running for the White House in 2016," said Brown. "New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie is obviously the best known at this point, and Jeb Bush makes the top five, but Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker and Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell barely register in this survey."

Among all American voters, the Democratic Party is less disliked than the GOP: the Democrats get a negative 38 - 44 percent favorability, compared to a negative 28 - 52 percent for the Republicans. The Tea Party gets a negative 24 - 43 percent.

Voters also give Republicans in Congress a negative 19 - 71 percent job approval, compared to a negative 34 - 59 percent for the Democrats in Congress.

"The Republican brand is essentially in the toilet these days, but it's worth remembering the Democrats faced a similar situation in the late 1980s and got their house in order and returned to power in short order," said Brown.

The Republican Party can do a better job handling the federal deficit, American voters say 43 - 36 percent, while the Democrats will do a better job 49 - 37 percent on health care, 49 - 28 percent on same-sex marriage, and 42 - 38 percent on immigration. Voters are divided almost evenly on which party can do a better job on the economy, taxes and gun control.

Among the most important issues in deciding how they will vote for Congress, 40 percent of American voters list the economy/jobs, with 20 percent listing the budget or budget deficit, 20 percent listing health care, 9 percent citing gun issues and 8 percent listing taxes.

President Barack Obama gets a 49 - 45 percent job approval rating.

"President Barack Obama got a post-election bounce to 53 - 40 percent in a December Quinnipiac University poll. Then he dropped into mid-40s splits as the budget battle with Congress took its toll," Brown said. "Now he may be inching up again."

From March 26 - April 1, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,711 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. The survey includes 712 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percent. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information or RSS feed, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Republican           35%    82%     2%    33%    40%    32%    43%     5%    24%
Democratic           43      3     87     33     38     47     35     78     53
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      -      4      2      2      2      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      -      1      2      2      1      2      -      3
DK/NA                18     14     10     27     18     18     18     16     18
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Republican           36%    47%    53%    47%    46%    41%    61%    44%    45%
Democratic           40     33     25     32     32     39     17     33     35
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      1      1      2      2      1      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      1      2      2      2      1      3      1      1
DK/NA                21     17     19     17     19     18     17     20     17
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Republican           31%    37%    30%    39%    42%    26%    39%    39%
Democratic           44     42     49     40     40     54     38     41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      1      1      2      2      3      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      1      2      1      2      2      2      1
DK/NA                21     17     18     18     14     16     19     18
 
TREND: If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, or for the Democratic candidate in your district? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election", *High also 40% Mar 2011, Feb 2012)
                                                             REPUBLICAN....
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 03  Jul 11  Apr 19  Feb 22  Nov 23  Jul 11  Nov 02
                     2013    2012    2012    2012    2011    2012*   2011
 
Republican           35      40      39      40      36      40      34
Democratic           43      43      40      38      40      43      42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       1       1       2       2       1       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       1       2       2       2       1       2
DK/NA                18      15      17      18      20      15      19
 
 
2. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Scott Walker, Chris Christie, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, and Bob McDonnell for whom would you vote?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Bush                 10%     9%    12%
Rubio                19     19     19
Ryan                 17     16     17
Walker                2      2      2
Christie             14     17     11
Jindal                3      3      3
Paul                 15     18     11
McDonnell             1      1      1
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -
DK/NA                18     14     23
 
 
3. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If you had to choose, would you prefer that the Republican party nominate for President a candidate with experience as a governor or experience as a United States Senator?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Governor             59%    60%    57%
Senator              23     21     25
DK/NA                18     19     18
 
 
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              49%     8%    89%    44%    42%    56%    40%    90%    65%
Disapprove           45     88      8     46     51     39     54      6     28
DK/NA                 6      4      3      9      6      5      6      4      7
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Approve              47%    37%    29%    39%    36%    44%    20%    40%    42%
Disapprove           50     56     66     56     58     50     75     54     54
DK/NA                 4      7      5      4      6      6      5      6      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              52%    48%    55%    46%    48%    61%    46%    46%
Disapprove           43     45     39     51     49     34     49     48
DK/NA                 4      7      7      3      4      5      5      6
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? (*High also 59% Mar 2009)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 03  Mar 07  Feb 08  Dec 06  Jul 11  Jun 04  Oct 06
                     2013    2013    2013    2012    2012    2009*   2011
 
Approve              49      45      46      53      45      59      41
Disapprove           45      46      45      40      49      31      55
DK/NA                 6       9       9       8       6      10       4
 
 
5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              19%    34%     9%    19%    18%    20%    18%    14%    28%
Disapprove           71     57     83     70     74     69     73     75     58
DK/NA                10     10      8     11      8     12      9     11     14
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Approve              14%    21%    24%    22%    18%    19%    24%    21%    18%
Disapprove           80     69     66     71     74     72     63     71     74
DK/NA                 7     10     11      7      8      9     13      8      9
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              16%    20%    19%    23%    16%    22%    18%    17%
Disapprove           78     68     69     70     81     65     74     73
DK/NA                 5     12     13      7      3     12      8     10
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job? (*High also 34% Mar 3, 2011 & Mar 2010, **Low also 19% Nov 2011, Feb 2013)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 03  Mar 07  Feb 08  Dec 06  Jul 11  Mar 31  Apr 03
                     2013    2013    2013    2012    2012    2011*   2013**
 
Approve              19      20      19      23      24      34      19
Disapprove           71      71      72      69      68      55      71
DK/NA                10       9       8       8       8      11      10
 
 
6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              34%     4%    68%    26%    28%    39%    26%    67%    45%
Disapprove           59     90     27     65     67     52     67     24     46
DK/NA                 7      6      6      9      5      9      7      9      8
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Approve              26%    26%    19%    29%    21%    31%    16%    26%    30%
Disapprove           68     67     74     66     74     61     77     68     65
DK/NA                 6      7      7      5      5      8      7      6      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              31%    35%    40%    31%    28%    46%    31%    30%
Disapprove           62     57     51     64     67     47     63     62
DK/NA                 6      7      8      5      4      7      6      8
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job? (*Low also 24% Sep 2011, Oct 2011)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 03  Mar 07  Feb 08  Dec 06  Jul 11  Mar 4   Nov 23
                     2013    2013    2013    2012    2012    2009    2011*
 
Approve              34      32      33      37      29      45      24
Disapprove           59      60      59      54      62      45      69
DK/NA                 7       8       9       9       8      10       7
 
 
7. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Very satisfied        2%     1%     6%     1%     3%     2%     2%     6%     3%
Smwht satisfied      28     11     47     26     24     31     22     51     42
Smwht dissatisfied   31     27     31     33     30     31     31     30     29
Very dissatisfied    38     61     15     40     41     35     44     11     25
DK/NA                 1      -      2      1      2      -      1      1      1
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Very satisfied        2%     2%     1%     2%     2%     1%     1%     2%     1%
Smwht satisfied      26     20     16     20     19     24     14     22     26
Smwht dissatisfied   34     30     30     34     32     31     22     36     24
Very dissatisfied    38     47     51     42     45     44     63     40     48
DK/NA                 -      1      1      1      2      -      -      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Very satisfied        2%     3%     3%     2%     2%     1%     3%     3%
Smwht satisfied      30     27     30     28     27     39     25     25
Smwht dissatisfied   34     29     30     28     38     30     34     28
Very dissatisfied    34     40     36     42     32     29     37     44
DK/NA                 1      1      1      -      1      -      1      1
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                             VERY+SMWHT SAT
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 03  Mar 07  Feb 08  Dec 06  Jul 11  Dec 11  Nov 13
                     2013    2013    2013    2012    2012    2001    2008
 
Very satisfied        2       2       3       3       4      21       2
Smwht satisfied      28      23      28      32      25      47      14
Smwht dissatisfied   31      28      28      26      29      19      38
Very dissatisfied    38      46      40      38      41      10      44
DK/NA                 1       1       1       1       1       3       2
 
 
8. Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            28%    63%     7%    23%    33%    25%    33%    12%    26%
Unfavorable          52     23     73     54     51     53     51     53     51
Hvn't hrd enough     17     12     18     19     13     20     13     31     22
REFUSED               3      2      2      3      3      2      2      4      1
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Favorable            27%    36%    42%    33%    36%    30%    47%    34%    37%
Unfavorable          63     46     44     48     50     53     36     50     49
Hvn't hrd enough      8     16     12     17     11     15     14     14     12
REFUSED               2      2      2      2      2      2      3      2      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            25%    30%    26%    30%    31%    28%    29%    28%
Unfavorable          63     47     49     56     59     46     55     54
Hvn't hrd enough      9     20     23     12      7     27     13     14
REFUSED               3      2      2      2      2      -      3      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it? (*Low also 25% Jul 2009)
                                                             FAVORABLE....
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 03  Jul 11  Apr 19  Feb 22  Nov 23  Nov 22  Oct 8
                     2013    2012    2012    2012    2011    2010    2009*
 
Favorable            28      33      33      32      31      40      25
Unfavorable          52      50      49      53      54      45      53
Hvn't hrd enough     17      14      16      12      13      13      18
REFUSED               3       3       3       3       3       3       4
 
 
9. Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            38%     6%    73%    31%    33%    42%    33%    63%    39%
Unfavorable          44     81     10     47     52     38     52     12     33
Hvn't hrd enough     15     12     15     17     12     17     12     22     24
REFUSED               3      1      2      5      3      3      3      3      4
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Favorable            41%    29%    24%    31%    29%    37%    17%    32%    31%
Unfavorable          49     54     63     53     58     47     68     53     56
Hvn't hrd enough      7     14     10     13     11     13     11     12     10
REFUSED               3      3      3      3      3      3      3      3      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            46%    34%    38%    41%    40%    45%    35%    36%
Unfavorable          44     45     37     50     51     31     48     49
Hvn't hrd enough      6     18     23      6      6     22     13     12
REFUSED               4      3      3      3      3      1      4      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 03  Jul 11  Apr 19  Feb 22  Nov 23  Nov 12  Apr 21
                     2013    2012    2012    2012    2011    2008    2010
 
Favorable            38      37      37      37      35      55      32
Unfavorable          44      50      46      49      51      35      52
Hvn't hrd enough     15      11      15      11      11       6      12
REFUSED               3       2       2       3       3       4       3
 
 
10. Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            24%    44%     7%    22%    29%    19%    27%     7%    24%
Unfavorable          43     18     64     44     43     43     42     52     32
Hvn't hrd enough     32     35     28     33     27     36     30     40     43
REFUSED               2      2      1      1      2      1      2      1      1
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Favorable            25%    27%    35%    26%    30%    23%    44%    25%    29%
Unfavorable          59     34     33     39     42     42     24     42     41
Hvn't hrd enough     14     37     31     33     26     33     30     32     29
REFUSED               1      2      2      1      2      2      2      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            23%    24%    21%    25%    25%    20%    25%    25%
Unfavorable          60     35     36     49     55     38     45     44
Hvn't hrd enough     16     39     41     25     19     41     29     28
REFUSED               2      2      2      1      1      1      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 03  Nov 23  Nov 03  Sep 01  Nov 17  Nov 17  Apr 03
                     2013    2011    2011    2011    2010    2010    2013
 
Favorable            24      29      31      29      34      34      24
Unfavorable          43      42      45      42      38      38      43
Hvn't hrd enough     32      28      24      29      26      26      32
REFUSED               2       2       1       1       1       1       2
 
 
11. Do you think the Democratic party cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes                  53%    24%    86%    47%    48%    59%    47%    82%    65%
No                   44     74     13     49     50     38     50     15     31
DK/NA                 3      2      2      4      2      3      3      3      5
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Yes                  56%    43%    40%    49%    42%    52%    32%    49%    46%
No                   42     54     58     47     56     45     64     49     52
DK/NA                 2      3      2      4      2      3      3      2      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  59%    51%    56%    51%    57%    66%    51%    48%
No                   39     46     41     46     42     33     46     48
DK/NA                 2      4      3      2      2      1      2      4
 
 
12. Do you think the Republican party cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes                  37%    73%    11%    35%    40%    35%    43%    16%    32%
No                   59     24     86     60     57     60     54     78     61
DK/NA                 4      4      3      4      3      5      3      7      7
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Yes                  44%    43%    51%    47%    45%    41%    55%    45%    43%
No                   54     54     45     50     53     55     43     51     54
DK/NA                 2      4      4      3      2      3      2      4      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  41%    36%    31%    40%    50%    37%    40%    36%
No                   58     59     65     58     47     60     57     59
DK/NA                 1      5      4      2      3      3      3      5
 
 
13a. What is the most important issue to you in deciding how to vote for Congress? COMBINED WITH: 13b. And what is the next most important issue to you in deciding how to vote for Congress? (Note: Percentages add to more than 100%)
                                        Tot
 
Economy total                           40%
 Economy                                24
 Jobs/Unemployment                      14
 Cost of living                          1
 Poverty                                 1
 
Budget total                            20%
 Budget/Deficit                         16
 Budget (spending)                       4
 
Healthcare total                        20%
 Healthcare(general)                    15
 Healthcare(ObamaCare-drop)              2
 Medicare                                3
 
Gun Issues                               9%
 
Taxes total                              8%
 Taxes(general)                          7
 Taxes(other/specific)                   1
 
Education total                          7%
 Education(general)                      6
 Education(other/specific)               1
 
Constitution/Rights total                5%
 Civil liberties/Equal rights            3
 Constitution                            2
 
Immigration                              5
Foreign affairs                          3
Gay issues/Gay marriage                  3
Abortion/Contraception                   2
Environment                              2
Military Issues/Benefits                 2
Social security                          2
Terrorism/National security              2
War                                      2
Economic Inequality                      1
Elderly issues                           1
Entitlements                             1
Government too big                       1
Gas prices                               1
Moral issues                             1
Middle class                             1
Women's issues                           1
Social Issues(general)                   1
Social services(general)                 1
 
Bipartisan/Willing to compromise         4
Party/Political Philosophy               3
Cares about the people/The country       3
Honesty/Integrity/Keeps promises         2
Gets things done                         1
Experience/Record                        1
New/Not political insider                1
 
Other                                   10
DK/NA                                   10
 
 
14. Which political party do you think can do a better job of handling - the economy, the Democratic party or the Republican party?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Democratic party     40%     4%    78%    34%    37%    44%    33%    74%    46%
Republican party     42     89      8     39     46     38     49     11     31
NO DIFF (VOL)        11      4      8     16     11     10     10      7     17
DK/NA                 7      3      5     10      7      8      7      8      6
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Democratic party     38%    31%    24%    31%    30%    36%    19%    32%    33%
Republican party     47     50     60     53     53     46     68     51     50
NO DIFF (VOL)        10     10      9     11     10     10      7     11     11
DK/NA                 5      9      6      5      7      8      7      6      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......    Q13 
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+ Econmy
 
Democratic party     42%    39%    45%    39%    36%    48%    37%    39%    44%
Republican party     42     41     36     46     49     35     44     43     40
NO DIFF (VOL)        10     11     11      9     10     10     13      9     10
DK/NA                 5      9      9      6      5      7      7      8      6
 
 
15. Which political party do you think can do a better job of handling - health care, the Democratic party or the Republican party?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Democratic Party     49%     7%    87%    45%    44%    53%    40%    88%    63%
Republican Party     37     83      5     33     42     33     46      3     24
NO DIFF (VOL)         8      5      4     12      8      7      8      4      7
DK/NA                 6      5      3      9      5      7      6      5      5
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Democratic Party     48%    37%    28%    41%    39%    42%    22%    39%    42%
Republican Party     40     48     58     47     48     44     64     46     45
NO DIFF (VOL)         8      8      9      5      8      8      8      8      7
DK/NA                 4      7      5      7      6      6      6      7      7
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......    Q13
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+ HlthCr
 
Democratic Party     53%    47%    53%    47%    48%    60%    45%    45%    50%
Republican Party     35     39     34     41     41     32     41     39     40
NO DIFF (VOL)         8      7      7      7      7      3      9      8      7
DK/NA                 4      7      6      5      5      5      5      8      3
 
 
16. Which political party do you think can do a better job of handling - the federal budget deficit, the Democratic party or the Republican party?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Democratic Party     36%     2%    73%    28%    32%    40%    30%    69%    38%
Republican Party     43     89      8     43     48     38     49     14     34
NO DIFF (VOL)        12      7     10     17     13     12     12      9     15
DK/NA                 9      3      9     12      7     10      8      7     13
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Democratic Party     32%    29%    20%    32%    27%    33%    18%    28%    29%
Republican Party     49     49     59     53     53     46     67     50     50
NO DIFF (VOL)        12     13     12     11     13     12      8     14     13
DK/NA                 7      9      9      5      7     10      8      8      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......    Q13
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+  Budget 
 
Democratic Party     36%    36%    41%    34%    34%    45%    34%    34%    23%
Republican Party     45     42     35     49     51     38     45     43     61
NO DIFF (VOL)        13     12     12     11     11      8     14     12     13
DK/NA                 7     10     11      6      5      9      7     11      4
 
 
17. Which political party do you think can do a better job of handling - immigration issues, the Democratic party or the Republican party?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Democratic Party     42%     7%    78%    35%    40%    43%    35%    66%    54%
Republican Party     38     74     11     36     42     35     43     20     32
NO DIFF (VOL)         9     10      4     13     10      9     10      5      7
DK/NA                11      9      7     16      8     13     12      8      6
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Democratic Party     45%    31%    27%    33%    35%    36%    22%    32%    35%
Republican Party     38     45     49     48     45     40     57     44     43
NO DIFF (VOL)         8     11     10     10     11      9     11     11     12
DK/NA                 8     13     14     10      9     14     10     13      9
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......    Q13
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+ Immgrt
 
Democratic Party     50%    38%    43%    44%    45%    49%    39%    40%    38%
Republican Party     33     41     37     39     41     37     42     36     39
NO DIFF (VOL)         9      9      8      9      7      7     10     10     21
DK/NA                 8     12     12      8      8      7      9     14      2
 
 
18. Which political party do you think can do a better job of handling - gun control, the Democratic party or the Republican party?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Democratic Party     40%     8%    73%    34%    35%    45%    35%    63%    46%
Republican Party     42     79     12     42     50     35     47     16     39
NO DIFF (VOL)         8      6      6     12      7      9      8      9      7
DK/NA                10      8      9     12      9     11      9     12      9
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Democratic Party     44%    31%    25%    37%    30%    40%    18%    35%    34%
Republican Party     41     50     56     48     54     41     67     46     51
NO DIFF (VOL)         9      8      7      7      6     10      5     10      7
DK/NA                 6     11     12      8      9      9     10      9      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......    Q13
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+ GunIss
 
Democratic Party     47%    37%    41%    38%    47%    44%    38%    40%    32%
Republican Party     38     44     39     49     41     46     43     38     58
NO DIFF (VOL)         9      8      8      6      7      4     11      8      7
DK/NA                 6     11     11      7      5      6      7     14      3
 
                     Gun
                     HsHld
 
Democratic Party     28%
Republican Party     56
NO DIFF (VOL)         9
DK/NA                 8
 
 
19. Which political party do you think can do a better job of handling - taxes, the Democratic party or the Republican party?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Democratic Party     41%     5%    78%    35%    37%    45%    35%    71%    52%
Republican Party     41     86      8     40     48     35     48      9     31
NO DIFF (VOL)         8      6      6     13      9      8      8      8      8
DK/NA                 9      4      8     12      6     11      8     11      9
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv   Mltry
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No   HsHld
 
Democratic Party     39%    33%    26%    35%    31%    39%    22%    34%    34%
Republican Party     46     50     59     49     55     42     66     47     49
NO DIFF (VOL)         8      9      7      9      8      8      6     10      8
DK/NA                 8      8      7      7      6     10      6      8      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......    Q13
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+  Taxes
 
Democratic Party     43%    41%    48%    39%    38%    48%    40%    39%    32%
Republican Party     41     42     35     47     49     38     42     43     53
NO DIFF (VOL)         8      9      8      7      6      5     10      8      6
DK/NA                 8      9      9      7      7      8      8     10      9
 
 
20. Which political party do you think can do a better job of handling - the issue of same-sex marriage, the Democratic party or the Republican party?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Democratic Party     49%    21%    74%    48%    48%    51%    48%    58%    50%
Republican Party     28     56      9     26     30     27     31     17     31
NO DIFF (VOL)         8      9      5     10      8      8      8      7      8
DK/NA                14     14     12     16     13     15     14     19     11
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv 
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No 
 
Democratic Party     58%    42%    35%    50%    45%    49%    23%    49%
Republican Party     24     34     42     28     33     29     53     27 
NO DIFF (VOL)         8      9      8      7      8      9      8      9 
DK/NA                11     15     15     14     14     13     16     14 
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Democratic Party     59%    45%    48%    50%    60%    66%    50%    39%
Republican Party     22     31     28     32     24     26     31     28
NO DIFF (VOL)         8      8      8      6      7      3      7     11
DK/NA                11     15     16     12     10      5     12     22
 
 

Demographic Summary